Sustainable Development Strategy: Egypt Vision 2030 Nihal El Megharbel, PhD First Assistant to the Minister of Planning, Monitoring and Administrative Reform Workshop on National Development Strategies and Plans for the Middle East & Central Asia Region October 27 th 2015
Sustainable Development Strategy (SDS): Egypt Vision 2030 Egypt started to prepare the Sustainable Development Strategy (SDS): Egypt Vision 2030. Methodology: Participatory Approach Intensive workshops embracing expertise, academics private sector and civil society representatives. ILO, UN Women, USAID, JAICA and World Bank providing consultancy and technical assistance. Building on previous experience GOE strategies, sectoral strategies, population strategy Best practices and previous experiences Compatibility between the SDS and the (SDGs). 10/20/2015 2
Constituents Of SDS Economy (measured in GDP) Competitive Market Fighting Corruption Egypt in top 30 Globally Human Capital Happy citizen 10/30/2015 3
SDS 12 Pillars Education Knowledge, innovation and scientific research Economic development Transparency and efficiency of governmental institutions Environment Urban development Heath Energy Domestic policy Social justice Culture Foreign policy and national security 4
Constituents Of SDS General Goal Subsidiary Goals Key Performance Indicators Policies, Programs and Projects By 2030, the pillar is characterized by and capable of. Dividing the general goal into a number of sub goals. For each sub-goal a number of KPIs is set to evaluate input-output nexus and outcomes (the vital few) Time frame and reference cost contributing to general goal achievement. Take advantage of the experience and previous similar efforts Review Previous Studies Learned Lessons from Comparative Studies Status Quo Determining the Quantitative targets achievement of desired strategic objectives and integration with each other to ensure the Review various quantitative targets compatibility 10/30/2015 5
KPI Card PROGRESS LEVEL Strategic objective that serves indicator Define indicator measurement Periodical measurement The indicator measuring equation The indicator measuring unit Definition source Status Quo Value 2020 Goal 2030 Goal The entity/agency responsible for measurement The entity/agency responsible for measurement target The participating entities/agencies 10/30/2015 6
-GDP per capita (in thousand USD) -Real economic growth rate (%) -Female Labor Force Participation (FLFP) (%) -Percentage of public debt to GDP (%) -Percentage of total deficit to GDP (%) -The annual inflation rate (%) Achieve Sustainable Inclusive Growth Reaching a highmiddle income countries GDP per Capita Stability of Macroeconomic environment Economic Development A market Economy characterized by a stable macroeconomic environment, capable of achieving sustainable inclusive growth, a knowledge-based competitive and diversified economy, an active player in the world economy, capable of adjusting to international developments and of maximizing value added, able to generate decent and productive jobs, and can achieve a high-middle income countries GDP per capita. Increase Competitiveness, Diversification, and Knowledge -Macro-economic environment index (rank) -Net balance of trade to GDP (%) Maximize Value Added -Share of services to GDP (%) -The growth rate of industrial value added (%) -Share of industrial valueadded to GDP (%) -Unemployment rate (%) Decent and productive jobs An active player in the global economy capable of adjusting to international developments -Global Competitiveness Index (rank) -Exports contribution to GDP growth (%) -Doing Business Index -Real GDP as a percentage of real world GDP (%) 10/30/2015 7
Examples of Education KPIs top 500 top 30 80% best 20 top 10 7% Illiteracy reduced to the zero default (7%) One of the top 30 countries in the quality of basic education index Gross enrollment ratio for children at the age of 4-6 reaches 80% At least ten Egyptian universities are among the top 500 universities Egyptian universities among the best 20 higher education institutions publishing in international periodicals Egypt to become one of the top10 countries in the TIMMS assessment 10/30/2015 8
Examples of Innovation, Knowledge & Scientific Research KPIs top 40 Egypt among the top 20 countries for the number of patents top 40 Egypt one of the top 20 countries in Intellectual Property Rights top 40 Egypt among the top 40 countries in the field of innovation top 20 Egypt among the top 40 countries of quality of scientific research institutions top 20 Egypt one of the top 40 countries in retaining innovative talents and capabilities 10/30/2015 9
Examples of Health KPIs Reduce neonatal, infant and under 5 mortality rate by 50% Reduce maternal mortality by 60% Achieve equitable access to 80% of essential health interventions Government spending on health reaches to 5% of the total GDP Ensure 100% coverage for each vaccination and expand national immunization schedule 10/30/2015 10
Data and Challenges The importance of data at the regional level: Provides more accurate results compared to averages at the national level. Helps to draft and implement appropriate region specific policies for economic and social issues. Challenges in Indicator Calculation Human Resources challenges: availability of expertise capable of data collection, calculation and analysis of indicators. Availability of modernized, accurate, merged and overarching databases. Develop a framework for coordination between the concerned authorities to efficiently implement as allowing for the implementation of these goals more efficiently. Take advantage of the indicators in identifying gaps, assessing needs, setting priorities and drafting policies. 10/30/2015 11
Summary of data availability for indicator computation Pillars Number of Indicators Devised Indicators Common Indicators* Unavailable Indicators Common unavailable indicators SDS unavailable indicators Total 246 81 45 85 4 81 Urban Development Transparency and Efficiency of Government Institutions Social Justice 15 3 4 4 1 3 14 1 1 3 0 3 29 19 5 19 2 17 Knowledge, innovation and scientific research 37 14 0 12 0 12 Health 28 3 18 3 1 2 Energy 14 1 4 4 0 4 Culture 29 24 0 24 0 24 pre-university 16 5 3 5 0 5 Education and Training vocational 17 9 0 9 0 9 higher education 12 1 1 1 0 1 Economic Development 17 1 4 1 0 1 Environment 18 0 5 0 0 0 *Common indicators are included in all of the United Nations sustainable development goals and national sustainable development strategy 10/30/2015 12
The Way Forward Holding intensive workshops between the different society actors (including civil society, private sector, government representatives, experts and academics) to discuss the indicators and integration mechanisms into the planning and monitoring system. Holding specialized training courses to prepare expertise capable of data collection and indicators calculation and analysis. Agreeing on data requirements, collection methodology and the role of agencies. Providing funding and technical assistance from international institutions. The development of a national action plan for data collection and indicators assessment, including a matrix of responsibilities and timeframe. In addition to, the agreement on the reports (content, methodology and periodicity). Agreeing on a unified Arab stance and the exchange of regional experiences, information and resources. 10/20/2015 13