Power Generation. Lilian Macleod Power Supply Manager National Grid



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Power Generation Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. This text box and image can be deleted and replaced with your own selection from Brand Central s image library. Lilian Macleod Power Supply Manager National Grid

Power Generation Factors We Consider Climate Change Targets & Legislation Government Policy & Initiatives Market Intelligence and Project Status Technology 2

Power Generation Capacity Part 1 Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. Nuclear, Coal, Gas/CHP and Carbon Capture & Storage

Power Generation Capacity: Nuclear 2 2 15 5 213 9.5GW 22 9.GW 235 1.3GW 15 5 213 9.5GW 22 9.GW 235 11.9GW 212 215 22 225 23 235 212 215 22 225 23 235 Nuclear Duration Of Life Extension For Existing Power Stations Average 1 Year Life Extension Average 7 Year Life Extension Connection Date Of First New Power Station Connecting Mid 22 Connecting Early 22 Contract for Difference Strike Price Announcement Pending 4

Power Generation Capacity: Coal 2 2 15 5 213 2.4GW 22 13.7GW 235 GW 15 5 213 2.4GW 22 15.6GW 235 2.GW 212 215 22 225 23 235 Nuclear 212 215 22 225 23 235 Coal Impact of Environmental Legislation Industrial Emissions Directive Majority Of Plant Opt Out Of IED Broader Range of IED Outcomes Conversion To Biomass Consideration Of Biomass Conversion Emphasis on Biomass Conversion 5

Power Generation Capacity: Gas/Combined Heat & Power (CHP) 2 2 15 5 213 35.5GW 22 36.7GW 235 48.GW 15 5 213 35.1GW 22 35.2GW 235 36.GW 212 215 22 225 23 235 212 215 22 225 23 235 Nuclear Coal Gas/CHP Lifespan of Existing Power Stations Most Existing Plant Open Out To 22 Plant Closures Off-Set By New Plant Level of Renewable Generation Renewable Mix & Utilisation of Gas Plant Emphasis On Renewable Generation Capacity Mechanism Payment Received Under Capacity Mechanism 1 st Auction in 214 for 218/19 6

Power Generation Capacity: Carbon Capture & Storage (CCS) 2 2 15 5 213 GW 22 GW 235 GW 15 5 213 GW 22 GW 23 4.6GW 235 12.3GW 212 215 22 225 23 235 212 215 22 225 23 235 Nuclear Coal Gas/CHP CCS Commercialisation Of Carbon Capture & Storage CCS Not Commercially Viable for Coal & Gas CCS for Coal, Gas and Biomass Contract for Difference Strike Price Announcement Pending 7

Power Generation Capacity Part 2 Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. Wind, Other Renewables, Interconnectors & Others (Pumped Storage & Oil)

Power Generation Capacity: Wind Onshore & Offshore 2 15 5 213 1.2GW 22 17.7GW 235 35.2GW 2 15 5 213 1.3GW 22 26.3GW 235 59.3GW 212 215 22 225 23 235 212 215 22 225 23 235 Onshore Wind Offshore Wind Nuclear Coal Gas/CHP CCS Onshore Wind Offshore Wind Onshore Wind Offshore Wind Level of Renewable Generation and Associated Technology Increase Over Period and Compared to 212 Scenarios @ 22-1.1GW (Onshore) & 7.5GW (Offshore) @235-13.9GW (Onshore) & 21.3GW (Offshore) Onshore Wind: Higher Increase Compared to 212 Scenarios Offshore Wind: Lower Levels @ 22 Compared to 212 Scenarios @22-14.2GW (Onshore) & 12.1GW (Offshore) @235 21.8GW (Onshore) & 37.5GW (Offshore) Contract for Difference (Draft) Strike Price 9 Onshore Wind - to 95 MWh (214/15 & 218/19) Offshore Wind - 155 to 135 MWh (214/15 & 218/19)

Power Generation Capacity: Other Renewables Biomass, Hydro, Marine & Solar PV 2 2 235 31.1GW 15 5 213 7.3GW 22 1.4GW 235 14.8GW 15 5 213 7.7GW 22 15.6GW 212 215 22 225 23 235 212 215 22 225 23 235 Nuclear Coal Gas/CHP CCS Onshore Wind Offshore Wind Other Renewables Government Incentives Modest Levels of Biomass & Solar PV Increased Emphasis on Biomass & Solar PV Technology Development Slow Development of Marine Technology Commercial Deployment of Marine Technology Contract For Difference (Draft) Strike Price Biomass Conversion - 15 MWh Dedicated Biomass CHP - 12 MWh Hydro - 95 MWh Wave & Tidal - 35 MWh ( 3MW) Solar PV - 125 to 11 MWh (214/15 & 218/19) 1

Power Generation Capacity: Interconnectors & Others (Pumped Storage & Oil) 235 13.7GW 2 15 5 213 9.2GW 22 8.9GW 235 12.1GW 2 15 5 213 9.2GW 22 9.9GW 212 215 22 225 23 235 212 215 22 225 23 235 Nuclear Coal Gas/CHP CCS Onshore Wind Offshore Wind Other Renewables Interconnectors Others Interconnectors Others Interconnectors Others Government Policies Increased Interconnector Capacity Higher Interconnector Capacity Impact of Environmental Legislation Reduction In Oil Plant Capacity 11

Power Generation Capacity: Comparison @ 22 Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line.

Power Generation Capacity: Comparison @ 22 (212 vs 213 Scenarios) 16 14 212 213 212 213 12 ~5GW Other Renewables ~5GW Gas 8 6 4 ~6GW Other Renewables ~5GW Offshore Wind ~4GW Gas ~4GW Coal 2 ~2GW Coal 212 SP 22 213 SP 22 212 GG 22 213 GG 22 Nuclear Coal Gas/CHP Onshore Wind Offshore Wind Other Renewables Interconnectors Others Climate Change Targets & Legislation Market Intelligence & Project Status Government Policy & Initiatives Technology 13

Power Generation: What Needs To Happen? Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line.

Power Generation: What Needs To Happen? Installed Capacity Installed Capacity 235 166.2GW 2 15 5 213 92.1GW 22 96.2GW 235 12.4GW 2 15 5 213 92.3GW 22 111.6GW 212 215 22 225 23 235 212 215 22 225 23 235 Nuclear Coal Gas/CHP CCS Onshore Wind Offshore Wind Other Renewables Interconnectors Others Transmission Peak Demand Biomass: Sustainable Sources of Material Wind Deployment: Consents, Support & Finance Effective Supply Chain for Offshore Wind Life Extensions/Span of Existing Power Stations Commercial Deployment of New Technologies EMR To Be Implemented Networks Developed To Connect New Generation 15