3 rd Party Solar Sales April 2012

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Transcription:

3 rd Party Solar Sales April 2012

About SolarCity The Leading Solar Service Provider in the U.S. More than 30,000 projects completed or underway Serving thousands of markets nationwide AZ, CA, CO, DC, DE HI, MA, MD, NJ, NY, OR, PA, TX, WA and Ontario, Canada Installing ~600 new projects per month #1 Market Share 1,600+ Employees Raised $1.4 Billion in Structured Financing

SolarCity Full Service Provider SolarCity provides a single source for solar financing, design, installation, monitoring and maintenance.

SolarCity Locations & Regional Operations Centers Arizona California Colorado Delaware Hawaii Maryland Massachusetts New Jersey New York Ohio Oregon Pennsylvania Texas Wash D.C.

SolarCity Locations & Regional Operations Centers Arizona California Colorado Delaware Hawaii Maryland Massachusetts New Jersey New York Ohio Oregon Pennsylvania Texas Wash D.C.

Total System Size 23 MW Installed 2010-2011 Walmart Type Locations Industry Ground mount, Rooftops and Carports 90 stores installed; 120+ by end of 2013 Retail Multiple locations in CA, AZ, NJ and CO > 30 MWs installed by end of 2011 > 120 systems under contract

SolarStrong Multiple locations nationwide > Targeting 120,000 base housing systems

System Size 6+ MW Installed 2011 Type Ground mount and Residential Rooftops Davis-Monthan Air Force Base Soaring Heights Community Location Industry Tucson, AZ Government/Military First SolarStrong project

System Size 394 kw Intel Installed October 2010 Type Car Port Jones Farm Campus Location Industry Hillsboro, OR High Tech

SolarCity and Home Depot SolarCity offers solar through 400 Home Depot Stores.

Will 3 rd Party Solar Raise Rates for Everyone? Assume a customer cuts 1000 kwh /year by updating the beer fridge in the garage. Assume their neighbor cuts 5000 kwh / year by putting in solar panels. Is the second customer raising everyone s rates? If using fewer kwh from the utility is bad, energy efficiency should be discouraged. In fact, solar energy in many ways saves all other ratepayers money it produces most during the hot Summer afternoons when the grid is most stressed and power is most expensive.

Will 3 rd Party Solar Cause Unreliability? If 1 solar kw hurt reliability (needed 1 backup kw, ) capacity value would be negative 100 percent. If 1 solar kw didn t hurt or help, capacity value would be zero percent. If 1 solar kw knocked out the need for 1 backup kw, capacity value would be positive 100 percent. In PJM market, it is positive thirtyeight percent. In Colorado, it is 40%.

Nov-08 Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 Feb-12 Has 3 rd Party Solar Caused Unreliability? 1200 PJM solar MW (DC) NC is 7% 1000 800 DC VA 600 DE OH MD 400 NC PA NJ 200 0

Will 3 rd Party Solar Cause Unreliability? How does the grid know what is in the contract? A residential solar system might be 5 kw. A hair dryer would be about 1.2, a microwave oven 1.5. It s hard to predict how many microwaves will be turned on twenty minutes from now. It s a little easier to predict how much solar generation will be active twenty minutes from now. It s much easier to predict how much solar generation will be operating tomorrow. Especially if it s spread around; one cloud can t cover the whole state.

Solar and Reliability =

Intermittency is Not Unreliability -24? 7? 365?

Why do Businesses Not just Buy With Cash? Why do businesses lease space per square foot instead of buying buildings? Why do businesses lease copiers per page instead of buying copiers? Why do businesses rent trucks per mile instead of buying them? We find: Capital constraints, desire to focus on core business, desire to have full performance guarantee. Nonprofits and state agencies see solar pricing drop by half when PPAs, not just leases are allowed.

Why is there a Monopoly on Electric Service? The grid as a natural monopoly where the market fails. The government steps in to set fair prices. Should the government extend these protected monopolies into other businesses, by banning competition? Could someone seeking solar get competing bids? Yes. In fact most do. Where does the limit lie? What happens between two consenting adults, behind the meter Safety, reliability and interconnection are the state s business Banning competition is not

3 rd Party Solar A privately negotiated contract, in a competitive market Is Reducing a Customer s Own Load from a system on their Own Property A Source of Generating Capacity A Way to Leverage Private Capital A Way to Enable Nonprofits to Go Solar Is Not A Government-Protected Monopoly Deregulating The Market, Allowing Private Development of Power Plants Miles Away A Threat to the Grid A Means of Raising Rates