Capability Analysis Using Statgraphics Centurion



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Transcription:

Capability Analysis Using Statgraphics Centurion Neil W. Polhemus, CTO, StatPoint Technologies, Inc. Copyright 2011 by StatPoint Technologies, Inc. Web site: www.statgraphics.com

Outline Definition of process capability analysis Examples 1. Capability analysis for attributes 2. Estimating capability for variable data 3. Capability indices 4. Statistical tolerance limits 5. Multivariate capability analysis Sample size determination 2

Capability Analysis Determination based on data of a process s ability to meet established specifications. Specifications may be stated in terms of variables (such as the tolerance on the diameter of a part) or in terms of attributes (such as the frequency of customer complaints). 3

Capability Measurements The essential measure of process capability is DPM (defects per million) or DPMO (defects per million opportunities), defined as the number of times that a process does not meet the specifications out of every million possibilities. DPM may be estimated directly or inferred from statistics such as a capability index or statistical tolerance limit. 4

How can we estimate capability using Statgraphics? Direct counting of defects Estimation of DPM from a fitted distribution Indirect inference about DPM from a capability index Demonstration of required capability through a statistical tolerance interval or bound 5

Example #1 - defects1.sgd Inspected k=30 batches of n=500 items each. Counted number of defective items. 6

Procedure Capability Analysis Percent Defective 7

8 Output

Conclusions Best estimate for DPM = 866.7 With 95% confidence, DPM is no greater than 1,377.2 Tolerance limit: 95% of all batches of n=500 items will have no more than 2 defectives Equivalent Z = 3.13 9

Example #2 - resistivity.sgd Measured resistivity of n=100 electronic components 10

Procedure Capability Analysis Variable Data - Individuals 11

12 Selecting Proper Distribution

frequency Capability Plot Process Capability for resistivity USL = 500.0 24 20 16 Largest Extreme Value Mode=203.355 Scale=53.9342 Cpk = 0.85 Ppk = 0.88 12 8 4 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 resistivity 13

14 Estimate of DPM

Capability Indices 15 6ˆ LSL USL C P 3 ˆ ˆ, 3 ˆ ˆ min USL LSL C PK ˆ ˆ, ˆ ˆ min USL LSL Z

16 Long-term and Short-term

17 Six Sigma Calculator

Example #3 - bottles.sgd Measured breaking strength of n=100 glass bottles 18

19 Statistical Tolerance Limits

20 Tolerance Limit Options

frequency Output Fitted Normal Distribution mean=254.64, std. dev.=10.6823 24 20 95-99 Limits UTL: 285.99 LTL: 223.29 16 12 8 4 0 200 220 240 260 280 300 strength 21

Conclusions The StatAdvisor Assuming that strength comes from a normal distribution, the tolerance limits state that we can be 95.0% confident that 99.0% of the distribution lies between 223.295 and 285.985. This interval is computed by taking the mean of the data +/-2.93431 times the standard deviation. 22

Multivariate Capability Analysis For multiple variables, determines the probability that ALL variables meet their established specification limits. Important when the variables are strongly correlated. 23

Example #4 - bivariate.sgd Measurements of height and weight of n=150 items. Specs: height 5 ± 0.3, weight 215 ± 7 24

25 Data Input

Bivariate Normal Distribution Multivariate Capability Plot DPM = 5015.65 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 5 210 5.1 5.2 height 5.3 5.4 205 225 220 215 weight 26

weight Capability Ellipse 225 99.73% Capability Ellipse MCP =0.86 220 215 210 205 4.6 4.8 5 5.2 5.4 height 27

Multivariate Capability Multivariate capability indices defined to give same relationship with DPM as in univariate case. 28

Sample Size Determination - Counting Suppose I wish to estimate DPM to within +/-10% with 95% confidence. 29

Sample Size Determination Capability Indices Suppose I wish to estimate Cpk to within +/-10% with 95% confidence. 30 Requires measuring n = 154 items

Sample Size Determination Statistical Tolerance Limits 0.04 Normal Distribution Mean=250.0, Std. dev.=11.0 0.03 n=20 0.02 0.01 0 190 210 230 250 270 290 310 X 31 A 95-99 tolerance interval covering 80% of the distance between the spec limits requires a sample of n = 20 items in this case.

More Information Go to www.statgraphics.com Or send e-mail to info@statgraphics.com 32