LEVERAGING OUR ASSETS THROUGH FLEXIBILITY. RBPlat Styldrift I Site Visit 17 November 2015



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Transcription:

LEVERAGING OUR ASSETS THROUGH FLEXIBILITY

Disclaimer The information presented in this presentation is of a general nature and the forward-looking information, opinions and beliefs of the Company and its affiliates are based on various market related assumptions. Changes in market circumstances after the production of the information may impact on the accuracy thereof. No assurance can therefore be given as to the accuracy of any information after publication. Before relying on the information, investors or potential investors should carefully evaluate the accuracy, completeness and relevance of the information and should preferably obtain professional relevant advice. The Company, its directors, officers, managers or employees, advisers or representatives accept no responsibility or liability whatsoever for any loss howsoever arising from any use of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with this presentation. This presentation also includes market share and industry data obtained by the Company from industry publications and surveys and the Company does not have access to the facts and assumptions underlying the numerical data, market data and other information extracted from publicly available sources. As a result, the Company is unable to verify such numerical data, market data and other information. The Company assumes no responsibility for the correctness of any market share or industry data included in the materials and presentation. 2

CONTENTS 1. Safety, health and environment 2. Location and brief geological overview 3. The PGM industry and our strategies 4. Styldrift I The way forward 5. Conclusion

Safety, health and environment >

Rate Rate The RBPlat SHE Strategy Zero harm through resilience Safety Rates in-line with national milestones Key targets ZERO fatalities Target 20% year-on-year improvement in LTIFR and SIFR Road to resilience Competent people Fit for purpose equipment 1.20 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.20 0.00 LTIFR /200,000 0.95 0.91 0.68 0.61 0.53 0.26 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q3-2015 Safe work practices Safety Risk Management Process (SRMP) SIFR /200,000 Health Annual percentage hearing loss difference <2.5% 0.60 0.50 ZERO TB deaths for persons on the RBPlat TB program 0.40 Contractors onto Platinum Health medical aid Environment Obtain ISO14001 certification at Styldrift in 2016 Maintain Iso14001 certification at BRPM 0.30 0.20 0.10 0.00 0.53 0.47 0.42 0.26 0.29 0.13 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q3-2015 5

LOCATION AND GEOLOGICAL SETTING >

BRPM JV location relative to neighbouring mines 7

Bushveld Complex Upper Zone Main Zone Merensky Reef Unconformity Transvaal Sequence Northern Limb Critical Zone Lower Zone Bushveld Igneous Complex > Suite of mafic sills intruded floor rocks of the Transvaal Supergroup > Rustenburg Layered Suite: Largest mafic layered Igneous Complex on earth > 65,000 km 2 > 2054.4 Ma Western Limb RBPlat Eastern Limb 8

-806000 N -808000 N -810000 N -812000 N Geological Schematic: Styldrift 8000 E 10000 E 12000 E 14000 E 16000 E 18000 E 20000 E Z - Elevation (mamsl) B -610 to -400-400 to -200-200 to 0 0-200 200-400 400-600 600-800 800-1200 -806000 N -808000 N Styldrift I Styldrift II -810000 N BRPM A 1:52000-812000 N 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Western Bushveld Complex 8000 E 10000 E 12000 E 14000 E 16000 E 18000 E 20000 E Rustenburg Facies Swartklip Facies MR UG2 UG1 Basement Upliftment Transvaal Sedimentary Sequence 9 B

Stratigraphic Position (cm) 600 Level Merensky Reef Grade Profile 4e g/t 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Best Cut Parameters 80cm HW BRC 120cm FW Merensky Hangingwall Feldspathic Pyroxenite Pegmatoidal Feldspathic Pyroxenite Bottom Reef Contact Chromitite Merensky Footwall Poikilitic Anorthosite 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10-10 -20-30 -40-50 -60-70 -80-90 -100-110 -120-130 -140-150 0.11 0.08 0.97 0.95 0.7 0.97 1.06 1.26 2.21 2.43 1.84 1.67 1.43 1.32 1.52 1.53 1.16 0.89 0.32 0.34 3.27 4.08 3.53 2.89 2.81 5.40 11.69 80cm HW BRC 120cm FW 32.52 Mining width: 2.0m, Grade: 4.46g/t, Gradient/dip: Average 4

The PGM industry and our strategies >

Tailored strategies with inherent flexibility drive efficiencies and create value Significant reduction in LTIFR and SIFR Strong stakeholder relations Limited industrial action 5 year wage agreement secured Industry leading employee housing project Community SLP projects Improved labour efficiency Effective cost management first quartile producer Effective operational flexibility UG2 mining platform established BRPM Merensky Phase III replacement project ahead of schedule 45% improvement in IMS panel ratio Establishing processing flexibility Revised processing strategy modular approach ensuring timing flexibility Prioritise Merensky UG2 toll arrangement More than Mining LTFIR SIFR Tonnes milled/ TEC IMS panel ratio Cost/tonne Phase III Merensky 4E ounces 47% 46% 12% 45% 2% - 29% - 6.5% pa 7% schedule 2010-2014 0.5% pa Styldrift I Main# commissioned Focus on high grade Merensky assets for growth Styldrift I expansion project - Styldrift I will strengthen Merensky bias and further consolidate our position on the industry cost curve Main shaft commissioned Key surface infrastructure and equipment to support strategic mining and construction activities in place and operational Styldrift II pre-feasibility study completed Negotiated two royalty agreements (2.98Moz) with Implats which have yielded R214 million in revenue to date Continual assessment of value enhancing opportunities 12

The SA PGM industry a challenging environment 2 1 Sovereign Declining debt crisis Merensky & depressed reserves and commodity productivity prices 3 Protecting asset value and shareholder wealth Our approach 1 Expect medium to longer term rebound Continue to strategically develop Styldrift I with due cognisance of prevailing market conditions prudent capital expenditure Optimise current BRPM Merensky extraction Declining Industry Merensky inflation reserves and 3 x CPI productivity Declining Merensky Declining reserves Merensky and productivity reserves 2 Cost per Pt oz increases since 2010-8.25% p.a., per tonne 6.50% p.a. Maintain the first quartile producer position Maintain focus on cost control and drive mechanisation Target high-margin yielding assets 4 Declining productivity Merensky reserves (Pt oz/ and productivity employee) PGM industry 6 Declining Power and Merensky water reserves and constraints productivity 5 Declining Industry and Merensky community reserves and unrest productivity 3 4 5 6 Develop and bring into production Styldrift I and II - high grade, high margin Merensky assets Merensky will comprise 92% of RBPlat production by 2019 Zero harm safety approach, regulatory compliance and continuous improvement Targeted mechanisation of mining operations Operational stability Strong stakeholder relations and More than Mining philosophy key No labour unrest in 2014 and 2015 Continuous engagement with Eskom Limit energy cost inflation with energy efficiency projects Water efficiency projects Industry Mer/UG2 contribution 2000 2012 MERENSKY (30 %) MERENSKY (70 %) UG2 (70 %) UG2 (30 %) 13

Deteriorating PGM prices our response RBPlat / BRPM JV Capital deferment Styldrift expenditure self funding Rescheduling and restructuring of mining activities maximise Merensky production Operational improvement initiatives Cost saving/reduction Improving efficiencies and productivity Review SLP expenditure $/oz Pt basket price reduced by 30% from June 2014 to Aug 2015 R/oz basket price reduced by 18% over the same period PGM price forecast to remain depressed for the medium term Required decisive decisions to protect the business as a whole Styldrift I Defer ramp-up align with market forecasts Defer non-essential infrastructure construction and equipment purchases Delay construction of 100ktpm module Align production capacity to 250ktpm concentrator 50ktpm Align staffing requirements Maintain a healthy balance sheet Pt pricing environment: 2015 R17,000/oz 2016 R17,500/oz Improved metals pricing from 2018 BRPM Defer/reduce capital expenditure Defer construction of 14L and 15L on Phase III Keep SIB below 6% of opex Align staffing requirements Operational improvement / cost initiatives Increase South shaft Merensky production Stop South shaft UG2 development Align operational staffing requirements South shaft LOM optimisation project 14

Styldrift I The way forward >

Styldrift Mine A high grade, shallow, mechanised Merensky mine High quality Merensky Shallow Merensky mine Key operating statistics Production ramp up Shallow dip 4 0-6 0 Twin vertical shaft system: Mechanised bord and pillar First ROM production Q3 2015 Resource grade of 6.94g/t 4E Resource of 72.90Mt LOM 30 years Merensky only 10.5mØ Main# - 758m deep 6.5mØ Services# - 723m deep Mean mining depth of 680m ±3000 employees - steady state 230ktpm 2.7Mt/annum 4.33g/t 4E delivered grade Start of ramp-up Q1 2017 36 month ramp-up Steady state Q1 2020 320koz 4E/annum in concentrate 2020 steady state opex: 15% lower than BRPM High grade, long life Shallow Mechanised, low cost Near term 16

Styldrift I a brief history. 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Site establishment Terrace bulk earthworks Commenced with manufacture of Main & Services shaft winders Focus on placing of long lead item orders Bulk earthworks completed Bulk civils completed: Shaft collars Winder houses Headgear foundations Pre-sink Main and Services shafts Pre-sink completed April Main and Services # headgears erected Commenced with main sink in July Main# 219m bc Service# 152m bc Shaft sinking ongoing 600L Merensky reef intersection achieved in August Commenced with lateral development Optimisation study Sinking progressed to 708L on Main and Services shafts 2,300m lateral development completed Commenced with construction of key surface infrastructure Surface & U/G ore handling infrastructure construction Primary & secondary fleet orders placed Commenced with Main # equipping Start o/land belt construction Sinking contract terminated Main # commissioned Surface silo s completed & commissioned Vent # 1 completed Commenced with 250ktpm plant Progressive CAPEX R212 million Progressive CAPEX R689 million Progressive CAPEX R1 257 million Progressive CAPEX R1 883 million Progressive CAPEX R2 686 million Progressive CAPEX R3 818 million Progressive CAPEX R5 168 million (Q3 2015) 17

Styldrift timing to maximise the revenue stream Styldrift I strongly platinum biased Historically, Merensky reef has commanded a 25% premium over UG2 reef on a revenue per tonne basis 100% 6% Merensky focus Revenue from base metals Revenue from PGMs (4E) 17% 13% 7% High Pt:Pd ratio of 2.3:1 at Styldrift drives premium basket price Base metals are a significant revenue driver for Styldrift Styldrift Merensky resource of 133Mt 80% 60% 40% 94% 62% 83% 87% 93% Styldrift I portion is 72.9Mt 20% 38% By 2020 RBPlat will produce 90% of tonnes from the Merensky orebody 0% Styldrift North America Russia Zimbabwe Styldrift South Africa Source: SFA (Oxford) Basket price appreciation (SFA Oxford) Basket price appreciation gathers pace from 2018 Basket price, 2015 / forecast (R/4E oz, nom.) 17 000 Timing expansion to price recovery 2020 YTD basket price averages R11,870/4E oz By 2018, the basket price should average 10% higher than the YTD 2015 average By 2020, the basket price should average 40% higher than the YTD 2015 average 16 000 15 000 14 000 13 000 12 000 11 000 2019 2017 2016 10 000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Forecast 2018 Source: SFA (Oxford), Bloomberg 18

Revised Styldrift construction programme Strategically aligning construction and production activities to optimise cashflow whilst maintaining the flexibility to rampup as and when conditions permit Align construction progress/activities with market conditions Protect balance sheet Free cashflow from BRPM On reef revenues from Styldrift Progress key critical long lead items required for ramp-up on a just in time basis with focus on Stoping face length Footwall development Ore handling Water handling Electrical Logistics infrastructure Ventilation Optimise timing of processing requirements with ROM output 250ktpm upgrade Overland conveyor belt 100ktpm module Optimise mine design, layout and schedule to Maximise ROM output Minimise waste/dilution Improve ROM grade Revise fleet and equipment purchases and delivery with revised production profile 19

Strategically align work with current market conditions and forecast Impact of price on ability to do work Pricing below R17 500 /Pt oz Pricing above R17 500 /Pt oz Ramp-up of project Zone of progression Sustained basket prices above R18 500/Pt oz Depressed Zone Limited ability to pursue work Manage cashflow priority Zone of uncertainty Proceed with caution Progress small pieces of work Develop key infrastructure which advances ability to ramp-up Consideration for longer term items such as plant upgrade and overland belt Positive market sentiment Appropriate debt level 20

Styldrift I revised construction programme 2015 Mining and construction - R17,000/Pt oz Development of underground infrastructure on 600 level Workshops Refuelling bay Access roadways Complete ventilation shaft No.1 Complete Silo No.2 Current operating status 4 production crews operational on 600 level Silo No.2 construction progressing well Ventilation shaft No.1 has been commissioned A total of 40kt of ROM has been hoisted and delivered to the BRPM plant 2016 Mining and construction R17,500/Pt oz Complete 250ktpm concentrator upgrade 100ktpm module upfront design work Continue to develop 600 level infrastructure 642 level footwall preparation for Silo No.3 and No.4 642 level decline development and initial ore pass installation Services # equipping Silo No.4 Commence with Settler 1 and Pump Chamber related construction Infrastructure which will be deferred post 2016: Silo 3 642 level footwall development outside critical access to declines Ventilation shafts No.3 and No.4 Settler 2 Overland belt to BRPM concentrator 100ktpm treatment plant module construction 21

600 Level development and construction activities LEGEND Current workings Sept 2015 Infrastructure completed end 2016 Deferred infrastructure Two sections pre-established West Service # Development focus Maximise available face-length Access around shaft infrastructure Pre-develop footprint Main # TM3 Workshops Vent # No.2 Improved grade All development on reef Reduced height and dilution 4,800m³ of waste dilution removed by optimising the design Double cut large excavations: reef cut & waste sliping Vent # No.3 Two sections pre-established East Vent # No.1 Description 2015 (m) 2016 (m) Total (m) Workshop 170 1 604 1 774 Declines 321 2 778 3 099 Washbays 130 81 211 Stores/Material 169 47 216 Fuel Bays & Management 58 280 338 General Access 159 875 1 034 Tyre Stores 13 30 43 Ventilation Holes & Ventilation Access 0 178 178 Total 1 020 5 873 6 893 22

642 Level mining and construction activities LEGEND Current workings Sept 2015 Infrastructure completed 2016 Deferred infrastructure Main # Top of Settlers Service # North 01 Ore pass Development focus Ore handling infrastructure Access/Advance decline north and south North 1 and South 1 ore-passes 2 development crews introduced from Q1 2016 TM3 Workshops South 01 Ore pass Description 2015 (m) 2016 (m) Total (m) Declines - 483 483 General access - 237 237 Workshop - 77 77 Vent. Holes & Vent. access - 72 72 Vertical dev (boxholes) - 33 33 Total - 902 902 23

Silo 4 Silo 3 Silo 2 Settler 2 Silo 1 Settler 1 708 Level development and construction activities LEGEND Current workings Sept 2015 Infrastructure completed 2016 Deferred infrastructure Service # Development focus Ore handling infrastructure Water handling infrastructure Level hand over Main # Shaft Bottom Spillage Ramp Total Description 2015 (m) 2016 (m) (m) Silo's & Settlers - 68.0 68 Total - 68 68 Bottom of Vent # No 1 24

De-risking the ramp-up LEGEND Current workings Sept 2015 Original ramp-up footprint Description Original Ramp-up Revised Ramp-up Revised ramp-up footprint end 2016 Deferred infrastructure Two sections pre-established West Service # Sections pre-established 2 4 Stoping face-length 335m 800m Workshops pre-developed 4 32 Main # TM3 Workshops Vent # No.2 Workshops equipped 4 4 Vent # No.3 Vent # No.1 Two sections pre-established East Substantial increase in initial stoping capacity Pre-development of infrastructure will allow: De-coupling of the mining and construction activities Improved construction efficiency Larger footprint will reduce fleet congestion, improving operational efficiency Improved operational flexibility 25

CONCLUSION >

ktpm koz Styldrift Key outputs 3000 Revised Styldrift ramp-up 350.0 Recovered ounces (4E) 2500 300.0 2000 250.0 1500 200.0 150.0 1000 100.0 500 50.0 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 0.0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Description Unit H1-2015 H2-2015 2016 Cash outflows R'm 980 469 998 Total cash outflows related to Styldrift construction activities (mining and processing) for 2016 amounts to R1 billion R0.7 billion will be funded from on reef development revenues and excess BRPM cashflows - basket price of R17,500/Pt oz Steady state production reached in Q1 2020 assuming metal prices improve from 2018 27

koz Mt % Contribution BRPM JV Production profile 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 RBPlat production plan 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Merensky contribution 0.0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 SD1 Merensky North Shaft Merensky North Shaft UG2 South Shaft Merensky South Shaft UG2 Processing capacity 0% 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Merensky UG2 BRPM JV - Recovered ounces 4E 600 No South shaft production beyond 2018 UG2 market dependant Concentrating capacity matched to Merensky production 500 400 Merensky contribution 90% by 2019 300 Steady state production of ±480koz 4E 2020 200 100 0 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 28

Styldrift I remains a sound investment The Styldrift project remains a key part of the Company s organic growth strategy and continues to be developed mainly for the following reasons: RBPlat is ungeared with a strong balance sheet 70% of Styldrift expenditure in 2016 funded from surplus BRPM cashflows and Styldrift onreef development (at R17,500/Pt oz) High grade Shallow mechanised 230ktpm, 320koz/annum 4E mine - significant base metal credits Merensky resources of 72.9 million tonnes at a resource grade of 6.94g/t 4E First quartile cost producer The life of mine exceeds 60 years 29