Retail's $1.1 Trillion Inventory Distortion Problem

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Research Study: We Lost Australia! Retail's $1.1 Trillion Inventory Distortion Problem Analyst: Greg Buzek

About IHL Group Who We Are IHL Group is a global research and advisory firm specializing in technologies for the retail and hospitality industries. The company, based in Franklin, Tenn., generates timely data reports, offers advisory services and serves as the leading retail technology spokesperson for industry and vendor events. What We Do IHL provides customized business intelligence for retailers and retail technology vendors, with particular expertise in supply chain and store level systems. Our customers are retailers and retail technology providers who want to better understand what is going on in the overall technology market, or wish to identify specific equipment needs for the retail market. When We Started Greg Buzek served as Product Development Manager for two Fortune 500 retail technology suppliers for 6 years. Faced with making recommendations to senior management with spotty reports stuffed with technical jargon and unsubstantiated data, in 1996 he left to form IHL Group as an arms length consulting firm that delivers exacting research to corporate managers. How We Work Reliable market analysis is essential for corporations to accelerate revenue and expand their market share. Most research providers do not disclose data sources or statistically defend the validity of their assumptions. We do. We disclose in precise detail exactly how and why we reached our conclusions so that our customers can be comfortable with the data they are using. What We Know Our associates and advisors have over 100 years combined years of retail technology experience. Our associates have worked as product managers, sales representatives and executives in the retail market. We have the relationships, tools, and experience to meet your research and consulting needs. 1064 Cedarview Lane Franklin, TN 37067 Phone +1 615-591-2955 www.ihlservices.com

Table of Contents 5 We Lost Australia! 26 Out-of-Stocks When Customer Can t Get Satisfaction 6 Summary Highlights 32 Out-of-Stocks by Region 10 How Much Are Retailers Losing? 38 Methodology 12 Causes and Costs of Overstocks 21 Overstocks by Region Copyright 2015 IHL Group All Rights Reserved www.ihlservices.com

Introduction We Lost Australia! Mostly unseen by retailers, Inventory Distortion is a hidden opportunity for retail When you think about retailing, the focus is on advertising, marketing, presentation, and the sale. And when we think of the $14.5 Trillion retail economy, this is where we focus as an industry. Yet hidden among the same stores and online marketplaces are a tremendous amount of inefficiencies, monies left on the table due to a host of reasons that equate to the loss of sales that otherwise were available. $1.1 Trillion Worldwide total lost revenue opportunities due to Inventory Distortion Reasons for these inefficiencies range from improper marketing, failures in forecasting, supplier issues, internal personnel issues, mandated legislation from government organizations and even weather issues. Some of the reasons can be planned for, many others cannot. We will spend the bulk of this study explaining the opportunities to improve and sizing those opportunities for retailers. There is an old adage that says where there is mystery there is margin. This study quantifies the margin for this mystery. In total these Inventory Distortion missed opportunities amount to $1.1 Trillion annually worldwide, an amount that is nearly the GDP of Australia! Copyright 2015 IHL Group All Rights Reserved www.ihlservices.com 5

About the Research This IHL Study is a combination of several different primary research and secondary studies and a model that has been built over the last 5 years. The resulting data was compiled, and the updated model created and then conclusions drawn from the research and the overall costs of the industry. The report is in the form of a Slide Doc, which is a format that allows for both easy reading and presentation layout. IHL analysts are also available for presenting this material at your user conferences or for internal briefings. The study comes with three potential licenses. Type of License Price Comments Single User $1,695 USD For use by a single user, not to be shared in company Enterprise $1,995 USD Can be used for entire company and presented internally Distributable $14,500 USD Can be shared externally to Retail clients or used for lead generation activities For any questions regarding this policy, please contact us at 615-591-2955 or email us at ihl@ihlservices.com Copyright 2015 IHL Group All Rights Reserved www.ihlservices.com

Highlights of Other IHL Research Available Include: Research Price Cloud POS Why the Time Might Be Right $1,495 Retail 2018 Retail Transformed 12 th Annual IHL/RIS News Study $3,495 EMV: Retail s $35Billion Money Pit $1,995 CMO Takes Over IT Spend $1,995 mpos Houston, We May Have A Problem $3,295 North American Retail POS Terminal Study $3,295 Europe/Middle East/Africa POS Terminal Study $3,295 Asia/Pacific POS Terminal Market Study $3,295 Latin/South America POS Terminal Study $3,295 Mobile POS SW Share $4,000-$6,000 Rise of Distributed Order Management $2,495 What do we see? Predictive Analytics/Data Visualization $2,495 Beacons, Wayfinding and IOT in Retail Trends and Best Practices $2,295 More on these and other research at www.ihlservices.com Copyright 2015 IHL Group All Rights Reserved www.ihlservices.com 41

IHL Group License and Fair Use Agreement This IHL Research Study includes a Distributable License and the purchasing customer can share the study with customers in a gated process where you register the email address of the retailers who are getting the study. In addition, the study can be shared internally to all employees of the purchasing company and wholly owned subsidiary. We ask that this information not be shared with partners or other vendors that should be purchasing their own license without authorization from IHL Group. Practically, this implies the following: 1. The purchasing company can use the reports internally and share with customers as part of a lead generation or thought leadership activity. 2. The research reports and databases cannot be distributed in whole or in part to partners or other vendor without express written approval from IHL Group. 3. You may quote components of the data (limited use) in presentations and press releases such as specic charts. All references to the data in presentations should include credit to IHL Group for the data. 4. The license holder can reference qualitative quotes in printed material with written approval from IHL Group. 5. All requests requiring written approval should be submitted to ihl@ihlservices.com and will be reviewed within one business day. For any questions regarding this policy, please contact us at 615-591-2955 or email us at ihl@ihlservices.com 1064 Cedarview Lane Franklin, TN 37067 Phone +1 615-591-2955 www.ihlservices.com

IHL Group License and Fair Use Agreement This IHL Study includes an electronic enterprise license and can be shared freely within the purchasing organization and wholly owned subsidiaries. We only ask that this information not be shared with partners or others outside the purchasing company without authorization from IHL Group. The license does not extend to joint ventures or other partnerships. If the relationship is not a wholly owned subsidiary, then both parties would need a license. Practically, this implies the following: 1. The purchasing company can use the reports worldwide internally as long as the international organizations are wholly owned subsidiaries of the purchasing company. 2. The research reports and databases cannot be distributed in whole or in part to partners or customers without express written approval from IHL Group. 3. The purchasing company may quote components of the data (limited use) in presentations to customers such as specific charts. This is limited to percentage components, not individual unit information. Unit data cannot be shared externally without express written approval from IHL Group. 4. The license holder can reference qualitative quotes in printed material with written approval from IHL Group. 5. All requests requiring written approval should be submitted to ihl@ihlservices.com and will be reviewed within one business day. For any questions regarding this policy, please contact us at 615-591-2955 or email us at ihl@ihlservices.com 1064 Cedarview Lane Franklin, TN 37067 Phone +1 615-591-2955 www.ihlservices.com

IHL Group License and Fair Use Agreement This IHL Study includes a Single Use License and is only intended for use by the purchaser. We ask that this information not be shared with partners or others inside or outside the purchasing company without authorization from IHL Group. If the relationship is not a wholly owned subsidiary, then both parties would need a license. Practically, this implies the following: 1. The purchasing company can use the reports worldwide internally as long as the international organizations are wholly owned subsidiaries of the purchasing company. 2. The research reports and databases cannot be distributed in whole or in part to others in the organization, partners, or customers without express written approval from IHL Group. 3. You may quote components of the data (limited use) in presentations to others in the organization or customers such as specific charts. This is limited to percentage components, not individual unit information. Unit data cannot be shared externally without express written approval from IHL Group. All references to the data in presentations should include credit to IHL Group for the data. 4. The license holder can reference qualitative quotes in printed material with written approval from IHL Group. 5. All requests requiring written approval should be submitted to ihl@ihlservices.com and will be reviewed within one business day. For any questions regarding this policy, please contact us at 615-591-2955 or email us at ihl@ihlservices.com 1064 Cedarview Lane Franklin, TN 37067 Phone +1 615-591-2955 www.ihlservices.com