Agenda Det norske always moving forward Ivar Aasen project learning points Field development what will it take? Observations
DET NORSKE Concentrated in two core areas Utsira High Greater Alvheim area
GREATER ALVHEIM AREA Opportunities in the Alvheim area Alvheim area Four new wells planned to come on stream in 2015, with three already producing and last planned for Q4 Alvheim area map Future infill wells and developments More discoveries being matured and numerous exploration targets identified Currently tendering for rig to secure rig capacity for next likely projects in the Alvheim area Reusing, not reinventing, in new projects Proven technology Utilizing the same teams Standardized development concepts Learning and improvement processes
UTSIRA HIGH Ivar Aasen project on schedule The Ivar Aasen development Det norske-operated, ~200 mmboe development with first oil planned for Q4 2016 Production to reach ~67,000 boepd at plateau Gross CAPEX of 27.4 NOKbn (nom.) The Ivar Aasen development concept Ivar Aasen Edvard Grieg Key milestones Jacket installed in June 2015 Production drilling commenced in July 2015 Topside mechanical complete planned by year-end 2015 Topside sail-away planned for spring 2016 Hook-up and completion planned for summer and autumn 2016 Hanz West Cable
UTSIRA HIGH Ivar Aasen development progressing as planned Topside construction more than 70% complete High activity level offshore
DET NORSKE PROCUREMENTS Top 20 Suppliers of total 2014 spend 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 SMOE Pte Ltd (20 %) TECHNIP NORGE AS (13 %) Transocean Norway Operations AS (11 %) Schlumberger Norge AS (4 %) Saipem Limited (3 %) Apply Leirvik AS (2 %) AKER SOLUTIONS SUBSEA AS (2 %) Halliburton AS (2 %) Dolphin Drilling AS (1 %) Mærsk Giant Norge AS (1 %) Baker Hughes Norge AS (1 %) Centerpoint AS (1 %) TEEKAY NAVION OFFSHORE LOADING (1 %) FABRICOM AS (1 %) Apache Beryl Limited (1 %) Emas-AMC AS (1 %) Steria AS (1 %) Vallourec Mannesmann oil & gas UK Ltd. (1 %) STATOIL FUEL & RETAIL NORGE AS (1 %) NorSea AS (1 %) Øvrige leverandører (31 % - 1512 stk) Total spend: 12 MRD NOK 7
DET NORSKE PROCUREMENTS Supply Chain Categories (2014 spend) 3 % 15 % 6 % 3 % 43 % Projects Drilling & Wells Operations Logistics & Marine Business Support Sales 30 %
DET NORSKE PROCUREMENTS Operation contracts now being tendered Contracts No. To be issued for tender 21 Issued invitation to tender 7 Signed contracts 4 Total 32
Agenda Det norske always moving forward Ivar Aasen project learning points Field development what will it take? Observations
IVAR AASEN Contract Breakdown Structure (CBS) Ivar Aasen Development Project Project Management Concept Development FEED Rig NA Drilling Services & equipment Study contracts as relevant Subsea Flowlines and Power Cables Concept study contract FEED contract Reimbursable pdq Topside Living Quarter Det norske Study contract FEED contract Reimbursable Jacket Study contract FEED Contract Reimbursable Transportation and Installation Study Contract under Topside FEED Flotel NA EPC Transportation and Heavy Lift Installation and Hook-up Rig Contract Reimbursable Service and equipment contracts Reimbursable and Lump Sums EPCI(C) Lump sum and Reimbursable EPC Norms and rates for construction. Target sum for engineering & procurement Lump Sum for preliminaries Reimbursable EPC Lump Sum EPCI Lump Sum EPC Lump sum Commissioning NA NA Det norske NA NA NA EPCI Lump sum NA Flotel Contract Reimbursable
IVAR AASEN Learning points (1 of 2) Drilling rig (Maersk Drilling) New CJ-70 jack-up rig - good performance, first production well completed. Second well is ongoing 6 wells drilled since start drilling, all wells top quartile Rushmore Drilling Services (Schlumberger) 12 15 contracts bundled into the Drilling Services contract Integrated team between Det norske and Drilling Services Contractor works as intended Subsea flow lines and power cable (EMAS) Pipelines installed in August 2015 on time and cost Power cable to be installed next year Offshore campaign well prepared
IVAR AASEN Learning points (2 of 2) PdQ Topside (SMOE) Engineering (Wood Group Mustang): Higher than planned involvement from Det norske Equipment: Contracts awarded in a heated marked. Multidiscipline involvement from Det norske closely following up of suppliers together with EPC Contractor Construction: Important to have strong site team at the construction yard Living Quarter (Apply Leirvik) Separate EPC contract with Apply Leirvik (not subcontract under Topsides Contractor) Det norske to conduct interface co-ordination with Topsides Contractor Jacket and Transportation & Installation (Saipem) Bundling of jacket and T&I has been worked well Jacket delivered on time and cost
Agenda Det norske always moving forward Ivar Aasen project learning points Field development what will it take? Observations
USD/bbl THE BIG PICTURE A challenging, but necessary crisis? Upstream costs have nearly tripled over the last 10 years, similar to oil prices 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Full cycle cost vs brent oil price Other Tax Production Development Finding Oil price 00/01 01/02 02/03 03/04 04/05 05/06 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 11/12 12/13 13/14 14/15 Source: IHS, Morgan Stanley Research, BCG
Field development what will it take? Economics of fields currently in execution phase NPV at different price scenarios NPV at 10% (nom), NOKm Fields developments Production (mmboe) Total CAPEX (NOKbn 2015) Edvard Grieg 188 26 Ivar Aasen 189 25 Gina Krog 225 31 Martin Linge 188 27 Aasta Hansteen 336 37 Source: Wood Mackenzie, Det norske analysis 90 USD/bbl flat 6 USD/NOK 70 USD/bbl flat 7 USD/NOK 50 USD/bbl flat 8 USD/NOK
Field development what will it take? NPV break down of field in execution phase Break down of Discounted Cash Flow at 50 $/bbl NPV a 10% (nom), NOKm Accumulated tax paid: 16 200 NOKm (undiscounted) NPV: -580 NOKm Source: Wood Mackenzie, Det norske analysis
Field development what will it take? Possible Improvement Measures Effect of measures at 50 USD/bbl NPV at 10% (nom), NOKm Accumulated tax paid: 23 100 NOKm (undiscounted) NPV at 90 USD/bbl 2 USD/bbl 30% Uplift NPV : -580 NOKm -20% CAPEX -20 % OPEX Source: Wood Mackenzie, Det norske analysis Not subject to Special Petroleum Tax
Agenda Det norske always moving forward Ivar Aasen project learning points Field development what will it take? Observations
Observations In the short and medium term companies need to prepare for low oil prices In the longer term NCS actors need to see to it that resources may be developed at oil prices not much higher than what we see today; Cost must be significantly reduced Framework conditions must be considered/adjusted Key for Det norske Deliver Ivar Aasen Maximise value from the Alvheim area Active partner in Johan Sverdrup project execution Continuously work to improve