Prof. Olivier de Weck



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Transcription:

ESD.36 System Project Management + Lecture 18 MultiProject Program Management Instructor(s) Prof. Olivier de Weck

Outline Program Management Definition, Distinction from Project Management Example Program (BP Azerbaijan) Project Portfolio Management Project Selection Process Example Portfolio (PreQuip) 2

Concept Question 1 What is the largest number projects you have worked on or managed at the same time (in parallel)? 1 2 3 4 more than 4 Dec 1, 2009 3

Programs PMBOK Definition Program. A program is a group of projects managed in a coordinated way to obtain benefits not available from managing them individually. Many programs also include elements of ongoing operations. For example: The XYZ airplane program includes both the project or projects to design and develop the aircraft as well as the ongoing manufacturing and support of that craft in the field. Many electronics firms have program managers who are responsible for both individual product releases (projects) and the coordination of multiple releases over time (an ongoing operation). Programs may also involve a series of repetitive or cyclical undertakings, for example: Utilities often speak of an annual construction program, a regular, ongoing operation which involves many projects. Many nonprofit organizations have a fundraising program, an ongoing effort to obtain financial support that often involves a series of discrete projects such as a membership drive or an auction. 4

Scalebased Product Families Develop a product platform that can be scaled or stretched in one or more dimensions to satisfy a variety of market niches Boeing 737 is divided into 3 platforms: Initialmodel (100 and 200) Classic (300, 400, and 500) Next generation (600, 700, 800, and 900 models) The Boeing 777 has also been designed knowing that it will be stretched Aerospaceweb.org. All rights reserved. This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license. For more information, see http://ocw.mit.edu/fairuse.

Airbus Aircraft Program Airbus A3XX Family: common height, width, cockpit The A330 cockpit is common to all other Airbus types while Boeing s 767400 cockpit is common only with the 757. This enabled the A330200, a less efficient shrink of a larger aircraft, to outsell Boeing s 767 400ER, a more efficient stretch design of a smaller aircraft.

Sample Program: BP ACG (Azerbaijan) BP Caspian. All rights reserved. This content is excluded from our Creative Commons license. For more information, see http://ocw.mit.edu/fairuse. Capex: $9bn total / $6m / day 90,000 te topsides 90,000 te jackets 1000 km offshore pipelines One of world s largest terminals 7 years of execute 74 million manhours total so far Over 3 million manhours/month 80% of manhours in Azerbaijan 20% across another 10 countries New Workforce 9000 Azeris Source: Adrian Luckins, BP

ACG Reservoir Size

ACG Full Field Development Production 1200 1000 800 Phase 3 mbd 600 Phase 2 400 200 Phase 1 0 Chirag 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024

Geographical Challenges D rilling E quipm ent, N orw a y Living Q uarters Fabrication, S w eden Transport routes: B y Trailer B y Rail B y S ea E ngineering & P rocurem ent, U K D rilling C onstruction (W A/ E A ), H olland D rilling C onstruction (C A ), France Jacket P re Fabrication, Italy Baku Logistics 5000 Trailer trips 6000 rail trips 200 river boats Installation D esign, C roatia C &W P / term inal pre fabrication, Turkey Topsides P re Fabrication, D ubai Topsides Fabrication, Jacket Fabrication, Term inal C onstruction, E ngineering D esign, A zerbaijan

Project Schedules 2001 2002 2003 1H 2H 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 1H 2H 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 ACG Phase 1 Define Execute 1 st Oil BTC Select Define Execute Operation ACG Phase 2 Select Define Execute 1 st Oil West Azeri 1 st Oil East Azeri ACG Phase 3 Appraise Select Define Execute 1 st Oil

Production Line Strategy Development E&P CA jacket k C&WP W P jacket k W WA A jacket k EA jacket k DUQ jacket PCWU jacket BOS Yard KBR/ AIOC CA topsides s C&WP W P topsides s Terminal m trains 1&2 2 W WA A topsides s PCWU topsides Terminal m trains 3&4 4 EA topsides s ATA Yard Terminal m Shah Deniz DUQ topsides Terminal trains 5&6 MCCI Yard AzTf Key : ACG Phase 1 ACG Phase 2 ACG Phase 3 Pipelines: : 30" Pipelines: : 28" Pipelines: : Shah 30" Deniz Pipelines: : 30" Pipelines: ACG 3 MCCI Shah Deniz Objectives : Learning Curve Benefits Faster, Cheaper Elimination of Inefficiency Continually Reduce Unit Costs Strategy : Standardization Contracting Natural Choice at Right Price Organisation People Continuity Right Pace for capital efficiency

Project Challenges ACG & Shah Deniz Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 CAPDQ Topsides Detail 42 Mhrs Per Tonne Design WAPDQ EAPDQ 50% Copy 95% Copy (WA) 31 Mhrs Per Tonne 11 Mhrs Per Tonne DWGDUQ 60% Copy (WA/EA) 28 Mhrs Per Tonne CBPDQ 30% Copy 30 Mhrs Per Tonne Topsides Detail Design CA C&WP DWGPCWU 20% Copy (C&WP/WA) 21 Mhrs Per Tonne 19 Mhrs Per Tonne Copied Building Block Seed Building Block To Develop New Design

Benefits realised through standardisation: Engineering Engineering Benefits 50 Production Facilities Engineering Costs CA ( 42 ) Phase 3 (Manhours / te DWG: 29 contract 25 stretch DUQ: 28 PCWU: 20 CA Drilling Facilities Engineering Costs (Eiffel/KCA) Direct Man hours/ te 40 30 20 10 CWP (21) WA ( 31 ) EA ( 11 ) DWG ( 29 ) Direct Manhours/te (54) WA (30) EA (8) DWG (8) Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3

Benefits realised through standardisation: Fabrication Fabrication Benefits Topsides Fabrication Costs Jacket Fabrication Costs $/te units $18042/te $/te units $6181/te 100 10% $16122/te 100 7% $5751/te 4% 6% $15228/te $5521/te Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3

Concept Question 2 In our organization we pursue mainly: Programs sets of directly related projects Portfolios sets of indirectly related projects Individual single projects Not applicable Dec 1, 2009 16

Portfolio of Projects A portfolio of projects is a collection of projects owned or managed by the same organization that are only indirectly related Projects may not be directly related to each other, as in a program, i.e. outputs from one don t necessarily feed into the other Usually no or only minimal commonality and standardization Portfolio is chosen with diversity of projects, some of them may be negatively correlated Mix of large scale potentially less risky and small risky projects that act as pathfinders Project portfolio may not have a single manager 17

1 Advanced R&D Projects Product Changes New Core Product Project Portfolio Planning New Core Processes 2 Breakthrough Projects Process Changes Next Single Generation Dept. Process Upgrade Tuning and Incremental Source: (Wheelwright & Clark, 1992) Next Generation Product Addition to Product Family Addons and Enhancements Platform Projects 3 4 Derivatives (Enhancements, Hybrids, and Cost Reduced Versions) 5

Aggregate Project Plan Classifications Source: (Wheelwright & Clark, 1992) Advanced R&D Projects Innovations and technology development that provides a precursor to commercial development Breakthrough Projects Projects that involve significant change in the product and process establish a new core product and process Platform Projects Projects provide a base for a product and process family that can be leveraged over several years Derivative Projects Costreduced versions of an existing product or platform or addons or enhancements to an existing production process Allied Partnerships Partnerships in any of these project areas to leverage development resources and activities

R&D Project Planning at PreQuip Part 1 PreQuip s Development Projects (30) before the Aggregate Project Plan Breakthrough projects Platform projects Mass spectrometers Liquid chromatographs Gas chromatographs Data processing and handling products Derivative projects R&D Allied and Partnership projects Breakthrough Platform Adapted from: Wheelwright, S.C. and Clark, K. B., 1992, Creating Project Plans to Focus Product Development, Harvard Business Review, 70(2), pp. 70 82. Derivative

R&D Aggregate Project Planning Part 2 PreQuip s Development Projects (11) after the Aggregate Project Plan Breakthrough projects Platform projects Mass spectrometers Liquid chromatographs Gas chromatographs Data processing and handling products R&D Allied and Partnership projects Derivative projects Breakthrough Platform Adapted from: Wheelwright, S.C. and Clark, K. B., 1992, Creating Project Plans to Focus Product Development, Harvard Business Review, 70(2), pp. 70 82. Derivative

Concept Question 3 What is the most challenging issue you have encountered working in a multiproject environment? Conflicts due to financial resource contention Inefficiency due to multitasking Staffing dynamics (trying to get the A team) Friction between program and project manager Enforcing standard work procedures Ensuring commonality at the parts and module level Other 22

Portfolio Management Issues Risk Correlation across Portfolio Constraints on Shared Resources Late and overbudget projects delay rampup of downstream projects Shared resources (e.g. test facilities) can also create bottlenecks Staff working simultaneously on multiple projects create inefficiencies and delays Typically dealt with via exogenous inputs to singleproject models, or via portfolio models 23

Program Manager Challenges Creating a vision for the program as a whole Scheduling and prioritization of individual projects in the program Dealing with project interdependencies Resource contention, CAPEX phasing Staffing, avoid firefighting Ensuring learning and commonality across projects Program Manager is a very different and more strategic role than project manager Typically requires more strategy and diplomacy than individual project management Dec 1, 2009 24

Discussion / Q&A 25

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