Executive Summary. Honda, Husaberg, Kawasaki, KTM, Moto Guzzi, Piaggio, Polaris, Suzuki, Triumph, Vespa, Victory and Yamaha.

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1 Date: September 24, 2012 Regarding: 2011 Motorcycle Theft and Recovery (through 5/31/12) Report (External Dissemination) Prepared By: Chris Kluz, Strategic Analyst Executive Summary This ForeCAST Report analyzes motorcycle thefts for 2011 and recoveries for 2011 and 2012 (through 5/31/12) in the United States (U.S.), including the District of Columbia (D.C.) and Puerto Rico. For the purposes of this report, the National Crime Information Center (NCIC) motorcycle theft data for 2011 and recovery data for 2011 and 2012 (through 5/31/12) was analyzed by NCIC Make, Model, and Style fields. This report is divided into two sections. The first section analyzes motorcycle thefts in the U.S. for 2011 by Theft Year, Theft Month, Theft Day, Theft State, as well as Motorcycle Make and Manufactured Year. The second section analyzes motorcycle recoveries in the U.S. for 2011 and 2012 (through 5/31/12) by Recovery Year, Recovery Month, Recovery Day, Recovery State as well as Motorcycle Make. The appendix at the end of this report includes the methodology of the data edits and a visual map of motorcycle thefts by county. Overall, there were a total of 46,667 motorcycle thefts in the U.S. in From 2010 to 2011, motorcycle thefts decreased 6% even though motorcycle sales slightly increased; according to the Motorcycle Industry Council 1 (MIC), there was a 0.3% increase in motorcycle sales between 2010 (439,678 units) and 2011 (440,899 units); this is a difference of 1,221 units. Motorcycle thefts increased during the warmer months, as July and August had the most motorcycle thefts and December, January, and February had the least motorcycle thefts. Motorcycle thefts typically occurred on Mondays and Tuesdays while the highest number of recoveries occurred on Wednesdays and Thursdays. Of the 46,667 motorcycle thefts in 2011, 17,199 or 37% of the motorcycles were recovered from 01/01/2011 through 05/31/2012. July and August were the months with the greatest number of motorcycle recoveries while January and February were the months with the fewest motorcycle recoveries. The states with the most motorcycle thefts in 2011 also had the highest recoveries for the same period; these states were California (5,927 thefts and 2,279 recoveries), Texas (3,950 thefts and 1,135 recoveries) and Florida (3,927 thefts and 1,486 recoveries). Honda, Yamaha, and Suzuki were the motorcycle Makes with both the most motorcycle thefts and recoveries. 1 The MIC s figures include data reported by 19 manufacturers: Aprilia, Arctic Cat, BMW, Buell, Can-Am, Ducati, Harley-Davidson, Honda, Husaberg, Kawasaki, KTM, Moto Guzzi, Piaggio, Polaris, Suzuki, Triumph, Vespa, Victory and Yamaha.

2 Page 2 of 15 SECTION 1: Motorcycle Thefts in the U.S. (2011 through 5/31/12) This section analyzes the 46,667 motorcycle thefts, reported to NCIC, in the U.S. in 2011, as compared to the 49,791 thefts in The following subsections further analyze the 46,667 motorcycle thefts by Theft Year, Theft Month, Theft State, and Make. Motorcycle Thefts: By Theft Year The following graph shows the 46,667 motorcycle thefts in the U.S. for Theft Year motorcycle thefts declined 6% from 49,791 in 2010 to 46,667 thefts in The number of 50,000 48,000 46,000 44,000 49, Motorcycle Thefts in the U.S. By Theft Year ,667 Motorcycle Thefts: By Theft Month and Year The following table and graph shows 2011 motorcycle thefts in the U.S. by Theft Month. In general, motorcycle theft is a seasonal crime related to warmer months, as July and August had the most motorcycle thefts in 2011 (5,544 motorcycle thefts in July and 5,397 in August). December, January, and February were the months with the fewest motorcycle thefts (2,475 in December; 2,632 in January; and 2,147 in February) Thefts Percent of Theft Month Thefts (%)* Jan 2,632 6% Feb 2,147 5% Mar 3,137 7% Apr 3,867 8% May 4,632 10% Jun 4,977 11% July 5,544 12% Aug 5,397 12% Sept 4,454 10% Oct 4,042 9% Nov 3,363 7% Dec 2,475 5% Totals 46,667 *Percents were rounded to the nearest whole number.

3 Page 3 of Motorcycle Thefts: By Theft Month 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec 2,632 2,147 3,137 3,867 4,632 4,977 5,544 5,397 4,454 4,042 3,363 2,475 Motorcycle Thefts: By Day of the Week The following table shows motorcycle thefts in the U.S. for 2011 according to the day of theft. Motorcycle thefts showed a higher theft rate at the beginning of the week (6,962 motorcycle thefts on Mondays and 6,907 on Tuesdays). Saturday and Sunday were the days with the fewest reported motorcycle thefts (6,503 on Saturdays and 6,422 on Sundays) Motorcycle Thefts Percent of Thefts Day of the Week (%)* Day of the Week Sunday 6,422 14% Monday 6,962 15% Tuesday 6,907 15% Wednesday 6,663 14% Thursday 6,604 14% Friday 6,606 14% Saturday 6,503 14% *Percents were rounded to the nearest whole number. Motorcycle Thefts: By State The following table shows the number of 2011 motorcycle thefts in the U.S. by Theft State. The chart ranks the states based on the total number of motorcycle thefts. There were 46,667 motorcycle thefts in the U.S. in The state of California had 50% more reported thefts than the second ranking state of Texas Theft Rank Theft State 2011 Motorcycle Thefts Percent of Thefts by State (%) * 1 CA 5,927 13% 2 TX 3,950 8% 3 FL 3,927 8% 4 NC 2,466 5% 5 IN 2,114 5%

4 Page 4 of 15 6 SC 1,727 4% 7 GA 1,512 3% 8 NY 1,460 3% 9 PA 1,455 3% 10 MD 1,445 3% 11 WA 1,275 3% 12 VA 1,268 3% 13 OH 1,097 2% 14 MO 1,047 2% 15 AR 1,005 2% 16 MI 966 2% 17 AZ 945 2% 18 NJ 907 2% 19 MA 862 2% 20 IL 817 2% 21 TN 803 2% 22 CO 756 2% 23 NV 753 2% 24 KY 731 2% 25 AL 717 2% 26 OK 646 1% 27 LA 638 1% 28 CT 555 1% 29 MS 541 1% 30 KS 455 1% 31 OR 405 1% 32 PR 400 1% 33 WI 367 1% 34 NM 359 1% 35 MN 329 1% 36 UT 255 1% 37 IA 241 1% 38 WV 198 <1% 39 DE 189 <1% 40 HI 180 <1% 41 DC 138 <1% 42 NE 128 <1% 43 ID 126 <1% 44 RI 107 <1% 45 NH 83 <1% 46 ME 82 <1% 47 MT 78 <1% 48 AK 63 <1% 49 VT 62 <1% 50 SD 46 <1% 51 WY 43 <1% 52 ND 21 <1% Total Thefts 46,667 *Percents were rounded to the nearest whole number.

5 Page 5 of 15 The following graph shows the Top 10 States with the greatest number of motorcycle thefts in the U.S. for The Top 10 States accounted for 25,983 motorcycle thefts, or 56% of the 46,667 motorcycle thefts. The state with the most motorcycle thefts was California with 5,927 motorcycle thefts, or 13%, of the total number of motorcycle thefts. 6,000 5, Top 10 Motorcycle Theft States 5,000 4,000 3,950 3,927 3,000 2,000 2,466 2,114 1,727 1,512 1,460 1,455 1,445 1,000 0 CA TX FL NC IN SC GA NY PA MD Motorcycle Thefts: By Make A total of 550 motorcycle Makes were identified within the 46,667 motorcycle thefts in the U.S. for The following table displays the Top 15 Makes with the greatest number of motorcycle thefts for The Top 15 Makes accounted for 41,304 motorcycle thefts, or 89%, of the 46,667 motorcycle thefts. The Top 15 Make with the most motorcycle thefts was Honda with 11,014 thefts, or 24% of all motorcycle thefts. *Note: 3,484 motorcycle (CYCL) and 198 miniscooter (MINI) records were not included in the Top15 theft rankings as the actual Makers were not specifically identified Rank Make* 2011 Percent of Thefts by Make (%) 1 American Honda Motor Co., Inc. 11,014 24% 2 Yamaha Motor Corporation 8,880 19% 3 American Suzuki Motor Corporation 7,281 16% 4 Kawasaki Motors Corp., U.S.A. 5,009 11% 5 Harley Davidson, Inc. 3,120 7% 6 KTM Sportmotorcycle AG 410 1% 7 KYMCO U.S.A., Inc % 8 Vespa International 323 1% 9 Bajaj Auto., Ltd % 10 Goldenvale, Inc. - Roketa 286 1% 11 Ducati Motor Holding 232 <1% 12 Astronautical Bashan 226 <1% 13 Genuine Cycle 197 <1% 14 Zhejiang Shenmao Appliance Co Ltd. 153 <1% 15 E-TON Power Tech Co Ltd. 150 <1%

6 Page 6 of 15 Motorcycle Thefts: By Top 10 Manufactured Years The following pie chart displays the Top 10 manufactured years of motorcycles that were stolen in The manufactured year that showed the highest amount of motorcycle thefts was 2008, which represented 13% of all thefts; followed by 2007 and 2006 with 12% and 11% respectively Motorcycle Thefts: Top 10 Manufactured Years 6% 6% 4% 19% All Others % 5% % 11% 5% % 13% Motorcycle Thefts: Top Make by Theft State The table below shows the Top Make for each Theft State. States showing more than one motorcycle make indicates a tie for total thefts. Theft State Top Make Total Thefts AK 2006 Honda 7 AL 2007 Suzuki 32 AR 2007 Honda 66 AZ 2005 Honda 31 CA 2007 Suzuki 208 CO 2007 Yamaha 20 CT 2008 Suzuki 14 DC 2009 Yamaha 10 DE 2011 Yamaha 7 FL 2007 Honda 135 GA 2006 Suzuki 59 HI 2007 Suzuki 13 IA 2007 Honda 7 ID 2004 Yamaha/2004 Honda 6 IL 2006 Honda 23 IN 2008 Roketa 46 KS 2003 Honda 15 KY 2007 Honda 33

7 Page 7 of 15 LA 2007 Suzuki 31 MA 2006 Suzuki 31 MD 2006 Suzuki 52 ME 2009 Honda 4 MI 2006 Suzuki 29 MN 2007 Yamaha 13 MO 2006 Honda 31 MS 2007 Honda 39 MT 2003 Harley Davidson 3 NC 2007 Honda 70 ND 2011 Kawasaki/2007 Honda 2 NE 2006 Yamaha 6 NH 2005 Yamaha 5 NJ 2007 Suzuki 38 NM 2008 Suzuki 6 NV 2011 TAIO 32 NY 2009 Yamaha 76 OH 2007 Honda 39 OK 2007 Honda 31 OR 2007 Honda 17 PA 2007 Suzuki 45 PR 2005 Vento 54 RI 2011 Yamaha 6 SC 2007 Suzuki 49 SD 2005 Yamaha/2006 Yamaha/ 2007 Cana/ 2007 CYCL 3 TN 2006 Honda 27 TX 2007 Honda 153 UT 2003 Honda/2005 Honda 8 VA 2007 Suzuki 42 VT 2003 Honda 4 WA 2006 Yamaha 42 WI 1986 Honda/2005 Yamaha 12 WV 2003 Honda 11 WY 2001 Yamaha/2005 Honda 3

8 Page 8 of 15 SECTION 2: Motorcycle Recoveries in the U.S. (2011 through 5/31/12) This section analyzes the 2011 U.S. motorcycle thefts recovered between 01/01/2011 and 05/31/2012. There were 15,017 motorcycle recoveries associated with the 46,667 motorcycle thefts in the U.S. for 01/01/2011 through 12/31/2011. Additionally from 01/01/2012 to 05/31/2012 there were 2,182 recoveries, of 2011 thefts, for a total of 17,199 recoveries. The following subsections further analyze these 17,199 motorcycle recoveries by Recovery Year, Recovery Month, Recovery Day, Recovery State and motorcycle Make. Motorcycle Recoveries: 2011 Thefts The pie chart on the following page shows the recovery rate, which was 37%, for the 2011 motorcycle thefts recovered in 2011 and 2012 (through 5/31/12). Motorcycle Recoveries (2011 through 5/31/12) 17,199 37% 29,468 63% Number of Unrecovered 2011 Thefts Number of Recovered 2011 Thefts Motorcycle Recoveries: By Day of the Week The following table and graph shows motorcycle recoveries, by day, in the U.S. for 2011 and 2012 (through 5/31/12). Motorcycle recoveries, during this period, showed a higher rate of recovery towards the middle of the week (2,899 motorcycle recoveries on Wednesdays and 2,812 recoveries on Thursdays). Saturdays and Sundays showed the fewest number of motorcycle recoveries for 2011 (1,771 on Saturdays and 1,710 on Sundays). Day of the Week (through 5/31/12) Recoveries Percent of Recoveries Day of the Week (%)* Sunday 1,710 4% Monday 2,569 6% Tuesday 2,782 6% Wednesday 2,899 6% Thursday 2,812 6% Friday 2,656 6% Saturday 1,771 4% *Percents were rounded to the nearest whole number.

9 Page 9 of Motorcycle Thefts and Recoveries (through 5/31/12) : By Day of the Week 8,000 7,000 6,697 7,282 7,194 6,977 6,934 6,955 6,810 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,710 2,569 2,782 2,899 2,812 2,656 1,771 Thefts Recoveries 1,000 0 Motorcycle Recoveries: By Month and Year The following chart shows the number of motorcycle recoveries by Recovery Month and Recovery Year from 2011 through May 31, July and August were the months with the greatest number of motorcycle recoveries in 2011 (1,843 recoveries in July and 2,057 recoveries in August) and were also the months with the greatest number of thefts. The months with the fewest number of motorcycle recoveries in 2011 were January (361 recoveries) and February (480 recoveries). Month 2011 Recoveries 2012 (through 5/31/12) Jan Feb Mar Apr May 1, Jun 1,567 NA July 1,843 NA Aug 2,057 NA Sept 1,773 NA Oct 1,557 NA Nov 1,295 NA Dec 1,101 NA Totals 15,017 2,182

10 Page 10 of 15 Motorcycle Recoveries: By State The following table displays the number of recoveries for 2011 and 2012 (through 5/31/12) by Recovery State. Also included is the overall average time of recovery (31 days) which provides a benchmark when comparing each state s average time of recovery. The chart ranks the states based on the total number of motorcycle recoveries from An asterisk (*) represents a tie in the total number of motorcycle recoveries through Not all recoveries had a recovery State listed and are therefore not listed in the table Rank Recovery State 2011 Recoveries 2012 Recoveries (through 5/31/12)) Average Time of Recovery (Days) 1 CA 2, FL 1, TX IN NC SC MD WA GA PA MO VA OH AZ AR KY NY NV MI IL CO NJ TN OK MA AL LA OR CT KS WI MN UT * MS * NM IA DC HI WV ID DE PR

11 Page 11 of RI NE MT NH ME AK SD WY ND VT Totals: 15,017 2,182 Avg.: 31 Days The graph below shows the Top 10 States for motorcycles stolen in 2011 and recovered from 2011 through 05/31/2012. The Top 10 States accounted for 9,138 motorcycle recoveries, or 53%. The state with the most motorcycle recoveries was California with 2,279 motorcycle recoveries, or 13%, of the 17,199 motorcycle recoveries in 2011 (through 05/31/ ,500 2,279 Top 10 Motorcycle Recovery States: 2011 through 5/31/12 2,000 1,500 1,486 1,135 1, CA FL TX IN NC SC MD GA WA PA

12 Page 12 of 15 The following visual compares the Top 10 States, in only 2011, of thefts verses recoveries.

13 Page 13 of 15 Motorcycle Recoveries: By Top 15 Makes : By State A total of 336 motorcycle Makes were identified from the 17,199 motorcycle recoveries in the U.S. from 2011 through 5/31/2012. The following table and graph displays the Top 15 Makes of motorcycle recoveries. The Top 15 Makes accounted for 13,075 motorcycle recoveries, or 87%, of the 17,199 motorcycle recoveries. The Make with the most motorcycle recoveries was Honda, with 3,466, or 23% of the total number of motorcycle recoveries. * Note: 1,361 (CYCL) records were not included in the Top 15 recovery ranking as the actual Makers were not specifically identified Recovery Rank Recovery Make* American Honda Motor Co., Inc. Yamaha Motor Corporation American Suzuki Motor Corporation Kawasaki Motors Corp., U.S.A. Harley Davidson, Inc Recoveries 2012 Recoveries (through 5/31/12) 3, , , , Honda Yamaha Suzuki Kawas CYCL* Harley KTM KYMC Vespa RKTA TAOI GENU BASH Ducati TRUM Top 15 Motorcycle Recoveries: By Make 2011 through 5/31/12 3,976 3,016 2,426 1,878 1,513 1,045 6 KTM Sportmotorcycle AG ,000 4,000 6,000 7 Vespa International Goldenvale, Inc. - Roketa KYMCO U.S.A., Inc Astronautical Bashan Genuine Cycle Taotao Group Co. Ltd Ducati Motor Holding Triumph Motorcycles Ltd 15 Bajaj Auto., Ltd. 69 9

14 Page 14 of 15 Appendix: Appendix 1: The NCIC theft data from 2011 was edited in the following manner: Records with thefts of anything other than the motorcycle model and styles 2 were removed. Records with blank or incomplete VIN fields were removed. Records with motorcycle parts (wheels, tracks, etc.) were removed. ATVs, watercraft, golf carts, motorized wheelchairs, snowmobiles, toys, go-carts, farm equipment, etc. that were mislabeled as a motorcycle style were removed. VIN structures that began with ATV were removed. Appendix 2: The map below shows the 2011 motorcycle thefts: By County 2 There are 7 motorcycle styles identified within NCIC: minibikes, minicycles, mopeds, motorbikes, motorcycles, motorscooters, and multi-wheels manufactured for on or off-road use.

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