Annual Meeting of the Austrian Statistical Society (ÖSG) 2014

Transcription

1 Annual Meeting of the Austrian Statistical Society (ÖSG) 2014 September 10 th - 12 th, 2014 at the University of Innsbruck, Faculty of Economics and Statistics

2 With the kind support of: Bürgermeisterin der Stadt Innsbruck, Mag.a Christine Oppitz-Plörer Präsident des Tiroler Landtags, DDr. Herwig van Staa Dekanat der Fakultät für Volkswirtschaft und Statistik Forschungsplattform Empirical and Experimental Economics (eeecon) Universität Innsbruck

3 Program The name of the author giving the talk is underlined. Wednesday, September 10, :00-10:00 Registration 10:00-10:15 Welcome address by the dean of the Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Hannelore Weck-Hannemann, and Stefan Lang Session: Environmental Modeling and Natural Hazards Chair: Janette Walde (University of Innsbruck) 10:15-10:55 Keynote: Reinhard Furrer Spatial Models for Global Change and Biodiversity Research 10:55-11:20 Thomas Mendlik, Ernst Stadlober, Andreas Gobiet Quantification of Climate Change Using Multilevel Regression Models 11:20-11:40 Coffee break 11:40-12:00 Nikolaus Umlauf Bayesian Structured Additive Regression for Identifying Tipping Points of Tropical Forests 12:00-12:20 Jakob Messner, Georg Mayr, Achim Zeileis Weather Forecasts and Censored Regression with Conditional Heteroscedasticity 12:20-12:40 Christian Pfeifer, Peter Höller Effects of New Fallen Snow and Temperature in Alpine Areas on Backcountry Avalanche Accidents Reported in Tyrol within :40-13:40 Lunch break Session: Econometrics I Chair: Achim Zeileis (University of Innsbruck) 13:40-14:20 Keynote: Marie Holzhausen, Christian Leschinski, Philipp Sibbertsen Testing for Spurious Multivariate Long Memory 14:20-14:45 Robert M. Kunst Forecasting Seasonal Data and Nonparametric Unit-root Tests 14:45-15:10 Stefan Mittnik, Nikolay Robinzonov, Martin Spindler Stock Market Volatility: Identifying Major Drivers and the Nature of Their Impact 15:10-15:30 Coffee break 1

4 Wednesday, September 10, 2014 Session: Econometrics II Chair: Philipp Sibbertsen (University of Hannover) 15:30-15:55 Marta Disegna, Fabrizio Durante, Enrico Foscolo A Copula-based Analysis of Tourists Spending Behavior 15:55-16:20 Tamara Geisberger, Thomas Glaser Decomposing the Gender Pay Gap in Austria 16:20-16:45 Johannes Klotz A Statistical Model for Annual Migration Counts of Rural Municipalities 16:45-17:05 Alexander Razen, Wolfgang Brunauer, Nadja Klein, Thomas Kneib, Stefan Lang, Nikolaus Umlauf Statistical Risk Analysis for Real Estate Collateral Valuation using Bayesian Distributional and Quantile Regression 17:05-17:30 Daniel Tillich, Dietmar Ferger Estimation in Discontinuous Binary Regression Models with Dependent Data and its Application in Credit Rating Systems 18:00 Reception at the City Hall (Maria-Theresien-Strasse 18, Plenary hall, 6th floor) Thursday, September 11, 2014 Session: Computational Statistics I Chair: Helga Wagner (JKU Linz) 09:00-09:25 F. Marta L. Di Lascio, Marta Disegna Food Consumption Patterns of European Countries: An Application of the CoClust Algorithm 09:25-09:50 Andreas Quatember A Bootstrap Method based on the Horvitz-Thompson Principle 09:50-10:15 Elisa Perrone Robustness Issues in the Optimal Design of Experiments for Copula Models 10:15-10:40 Markus Hainy, Werner Müller, Helga Wagner Simulation-based Likelihood-free Optimal Designs 10:40-11:00 Coffee break 2

5 Thursday, September 11, 2014 Session: Computational Statistics II Chair: Thomas Kneib (Georg-August-University Göttingen) 11:00-11:25 Sonja Greven, Sarah Brockhaus, Fabian Scheipl, Torsten Hothorn The Functional Linear Array Model 11:25-11:50 Fabian Scheipl Additive Mixed Models for Generalized Functional Data 11:50-12:10 Helene Roth Influence of the Inverse Gamma Hyperparameters on Bayesian Random Intercept Selection Quality 12:10-13:30 Lunch break Session: Flexible Modeling of Non-Standard Data I Chair: Sonja Greven (LMU Munich) 13:30-14:10 Keynote: Thomas Kneib Bayesian Structured Additive Distributional Regression 14:10-14:35 Nadja Klein Extensions of Bayesian Structured Additive Distributional Regression for Multivariate Responses 14:35-15:00 Andreas Futschik Multiscale Binomial Partitioning with Applications to DNA Segmentation 15:00-15:20 Judith Santer, Kenneth Harttgen, Stefan Lang Multilevel Modelling of Child Mortality in Africa 15:20-15:40 Coffee break 3

6 Thursday, September 11, 2014 Session: Flexible Modeling of Non-Standard Data II Chair: Stefan Lang (University of Innsbruck) 15:40-16:05 Hauke Rennies, Thomas Kneib Identifying Production Frontiers with Conditional Quantiles 16:05-16:30 Peter Scheibelhofer, Günter Hayderer, Ernst Stadlober Fault Detection and Diagnosis of Multiway Data Using a Kernel Approach 16:30-16:55 Daniela Pauger, Helga Wagner Bayesian Effect Fusion for Categorial Predictors 16:55-17:20 Johannes Klotz, Alexander Hanika, Monika Hackl, Nadine Zielonke Prognose von Krebsinzidenz und Krebsmortalität in Österreich bis :20-17:45 Lisa Neuhofer, Simone Sauter, Doron Edlinger, Christoph Rinner, Gottfried Endel, Michael Wolzt, Wilfried Grossmann, Walter Gall Auswahl von statistischen Methoden für ein automatisiertes Tool 18:00-19:15 ÖSG board meeting ( Besprechungsraum at the Dep. of Statistics, east, 2nd floor) 19:30 Conference dinner at Fischerhäusl (Herrengasse 8) Friday, September 12, 2014 Session: The Challenges of Official Statistics in the International Environment Chair: Ulrike Oschischnig (Austrian Economic Chamber) 09:00-09:40 Keynote: Konrad Pesendorfer Challenges for the European Statistical System - Vision :40-10:05 Alexandra Wegscheider-Pichler Umweltbetroffenheit und -verhalten von Personengruppen abhängig von Einkommen und Kaufkraft 10:05-10:30 Manuela Lenk biber - Bildungsbezogenes Erwerbskarrierenmonitoring 10:30-10:55 Coffee break 10:55-11:20 Patrick Thienel The New ECB Payments Statistics 11:20-11:45 Marcus Hudec, Thomas Burg Challenges for Official Statistics from a Quality Point of View 11:45-12:10 Ineke Stoop European users of statistics 4