The Future of Telecommunications A look at the technology evolution that will shape the Telecom Biz. Roberto Saracco Future Centre Telecom Italia

Transcription

1 The Future of Telecommunications A look at the technology evolution that will shape the Telecom Biz Roberto Saracco Future Centre Telecom Italia

2 50 years >>> 18 months! 2

3 Lloyd 3

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9 Microprocessors Evolution 9

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11 GB SSD 5+ TB 100s TB 10s TB 10s TB Far East is leading, but?

12 % 0.001% Quantum? 1c GFlop 100 TFlop Molecular 100s PFlop USA, Japan,?? Com 12

13 USA, Far East, Europe? 13

14 ? Smart M. USA, Far East, Europe? 14

15 Size Resol 32 Mpixel Contextual 2010 Radio Semantics Far East, Europe, USA (sw)? 15

16 QuickTime and a decompressor are needed to see this picture. 16

17 Eyes 8*2 Mpixels -> Mbps Eyes+Brain 28 Mpixels -> 400 Mbps Sensorial Band Limit 500 Mbps Proprioceptors -> 100 kbps Touch 1 Gbps -> 100 Mbps low latency Hearing -> 400 kbps Smell -> 40 kbps

18 NG-PON 40Gbit/64 = 640Mbps idwdm-pon 100Gbit/64 = 1,6Gbps Sensorial Band Limit 500 Mbps 300 Mbps GPON 2,5Gbit/64 = 40Mbps Bandwidth Demand XG-PON 10Gbit/64 = 160Mbps 150 Mbps 10 Mbps 70 Mbps

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21 Storage as Alternative to Bandwidth From Streaming to Burst Information Buoys Televisions embed movies? Viral Communication True Mobile Networks - Mesh Networks FON Evolution? Radical usage of Software Defined Radio? MicroTelcos? 21

22 Huge Bandwidth Pervasive Access Huge storage Eye resolution = Transparency 14

23 Transparency Low Cost Processing Printed Electronics Low Energy Consumption Smart Materials = Embedded Communications 16

24 Embedded Communications + Embedded Software Flexibility Always on Open Platforms = From Products to Services 18

25 Intelligence: Customer & Context Awareness Service Platforms Overlay Networks Autonomic Behavior Resources Virtualization Infrastructure: Fibre everywhere Wireless Drop termination MultiTera in the Core Gbps in wired access, 10Mbps wireless Flat Architecture, IPv6 on the core optical layer Resources Pooling from several Ownership Domains 25

26 Service Provider ZERO CAPEX Service Enabler Bit Carrier ZERO OPEX The Network Architecture is influenced by the Operator s Strategy 26

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28 Live Feeds

29 Ambient extension

30 Real Time Google Earth

31 Ambient gaming

32 The Past focussed on Bits Creation The Future is in the fuzzy boundaries among Bits & Atoms 20

33 Adding bits to atoms

34 Service Providers

35 Technologies Sensors/Awar Optical Tags Bar Codes/Sem DNA/Nano Mrkrs Image Localiz RFID Print. Elect OBJECTS Detection Systems Network Mirror Cars Hand readers Cell Phones/Ca Cell Phones NFC

36 OBJECTS Technologies Detection Systems Municipal. Tourist Ag. A M B I E Product Pr. Content Pr. N T Individ.WK Comm.WK Regulations

37 CONNECTIV. GRUPPO TELECOM ITALIA OBJECTS Technologies Detection Systems Municipal. Tourist Ag. A M B I E Product Pr. Content Pr. Ntw Pl/Host Google Snapfish Srv.Aggr. Track/V.A N T Individ.WK Comm.WK Regulations

38 CONNECTIV. GRUPPO TELECOM ITALIA Technologies OBJECTS Detection Systems Municipal. Tourist Ag. A M B I E Product Pr. Content Pr. Aggregators Platforms Srv.Aggr. Track/V.A N T Individ.WK Comm.WK Regulations

39 CONNECTIV. CONTEXT-MEANING GRUPPO TELECOM ITALIA Technologies OBJECTS Detection Systems Municipal. Tourist Ag. A M B I E Product Pr. Content Pr. Aggregators Platforms Srv.Aggr. Track/V.A Serv.Prov. META Data C. Stat.MeaningE. Pers.Aggreg. Ambient Creat. N T Individ.WK Comm.WK Regulations

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43 The vineyard Wine tasting Buy! Your diet Wine History

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51 The Future of Telecommunications Kiitos!