Trends in the high-tech systems industry for Joost Krebbekx Senior managing consultant Berenschot

Transcription

1 Trends in the high-tech systems industry for 2020 Joost Krebbekx Senior managing consultant Berenschot

2 Content Introduction Market trends Technology trends Management trends Sustainability trends

3 Introduction Berenschot: 75 years 370 consultants Started in the industry Joost Krebbekx Innovation & sustainability HTS roadmaps

4 1 Market trends 4

5 Megatrends Growth of the population Global economies and rising markets Bottom of the piramid Security Urbanization Health and aging In control Entertainment Climate change Depletion (easy) sources More More high high tech tech systems New high tech systems 1 Earth

6 New high tech systems New additive Manufacturing systems New medical devices New bottom-of-the piramid products New simulators New cars New information & communication generations New robots New unmanned planes 6

7 Large, expanding global markets MaBa Marketsize (global/year) Growth expectations Clusterposition NL (x blln Euro s) Health (equipment) Energy (equipment) ICT (semicon) Lifestyle & leisure (consumer- elektronics) /- Transport, logistics & security (devices) Estimation Berenschot, Figures

8 2 Technology trends 8

9 System technology: modular thinking

10 Trends per module Sustainable 6 DOF en 3 sorts of motion Extreme vacuum Speed + prec. Electrons, etc. Value adding 3D imaging No Contact Wireless Less FF & selfcontrol Massive data algorithmes 10

11 Component technology: new areas Elektronische components Mechanische HC-components Acoustic components Optical components Photonic components PV-components Biomedical components Fluid components Magnetic components 11

12 Component technology: nanosub-subsub-systems Nanoantennas, nanomotor, nanogears Voorbeelden van nano-sub-sub-sub systemen Next step: connecting them in sub-systems 12 12

13 Manufacturing technology: rising of the bottom-up technologies 13

14 The Tanaguchi precision roadmap goes 3D 14

15 3 Management trends 15

16 OEM OEM New strategic roles in the Demand Chain OEM System innovators System integrators Designing suppliers Technology- and Application knowledge Product specialist Organizational capacity and project management Process specialist Producing suppliers Product- and Application knowledge Specialized fabrication technology Market

17 Emphasis on forward innovation Capitalization Creation Professionalization on R&D processes by roadmapping techniques creating new functions and subfunctions Implemention Backward innovation ends up in China! 17

18 The art of co-opetion Making of alliances, consortia and mergers Pre-competitative R&D Campuses: focus and mass Customer Competitor CompanyX Supplier Add-on s 18

19 Battle on technical talent 19

20 4 Sustainability trends 20

21 Strategic aspects of sustainability Services Low CO2 footprint Low H20 footprint Producer Supplier Distribution LCA thinking Use Retrieve New applications & USP s Rare materials Raw material feed Base material Upcycling Disassembly New technologies needed From chains to circles

22 Asset recovery is business Producer Distribution Use Supplier SEMICLOSED OPEN Retrieve Base material Disassembly Raw material feed Upcycling

23 New market application and USP s Reduced energy use, reduced toxicity and CO2 emission, renewable, C2C, less embodied energy, optimized esthetical and technical durability, reduced scarce material use

24 New business models: Lease model End-to-End Solution Audit: Inventory of trolleys, kitchens, loops Cradle-2-Cradle Recycling: Closed loop re-use Steering Committee Asset Management & Reporting: Real-time physical asset mgt Real-time stock Asset & budget reporting Deploy & Refresh: Old trolleys >< New light-weight poymer trolleys Phased implementation Optimized Logistics (RFID): Track & trace Real-time inventory Paperless proof of delivery Catering workflow as industrial process Correct fulfillment of trolley loading & transport Flexible Financing: Off balance Cash injection through Sale & Lease Back Flexible phased switch Cost center management (Preventive) Maintenance: Longer lifecycle > reduced need for maintenance Trend triggering Better customer service Airline Catering Made EAZY

25 Less CO2: the rise of biobased materials Revival used materials C-switch The chemical industry will be 25% biobased in 2030 Many start-ups are expected in this industry PE PVC 11 million tonnes/yr CO2 New materials

26 Design = product, process & value chain More design complexity, new choises Energy use, material security; CO2 footprint, childlabor, how to get back?; how to disassemble?; contact at end of the product life cycle; preservation of customer relations

27 ! Thank you for your attention 27