The Voting Patterns of the Settlers 2013 Knesset Elections

Transcription

1 The Voting Patterns of the Settlers 2013 Knesset Elections Peace Now, Settlement Watch Main Findings: The settler population constitutes 4.14% of the electorates in Israel, equaling 5 Members of Knesset (MKs) out of MKs (9%) of the 120 newly elected Knesset Members, reside in the settlements. 5 are members of the Likud Beitenu party, a composition of the Likud party, headed by PM Netanyahu and by Israel Beitenu party, headed by Avigdor Liberman (who himself lives in the settlement of Nokdim); 5 are members of the Bait Hayehudi ( The Jewish Home ) party led by Naftali Bennet; 1 is a member of Yesh Atid party, led by former journalist Yair Lapid. The voter turnout among the settlers was slightly over 83%, higher than the national average of 67.6%. The most popular party among the setters was the Bait Hayehudi party, with nearly 28% of the votes, over 3 times higher than the 9% support the party received among the general Israeli public. The second most popular party in the settlements was the Likud Beitenu party with 21% of the votes, however lower than its national 23% support. The ultraorthodox parties received an accumulated support of almost 28% ( Yahadut Hatora 17.1%; Shas 9.5%), significantly higher than the 15% votes received by the general public. Otzma LeIsrael ( Might to Israel ) party, the successor of the racist Kahane movement, received 7.4% among the settler votes, well over the 1.7% received by the general public (which didn t pass the 2% election threshold). The vote among the setters for the Centrist parties of Yesh Atid and Kadima was 6.5% and 0.7% respectively, lower than the national voter turnout of 14.2% and 2.1% respectively. The Labor party was supported by 3.4% of the voters from the settlements, less than a third of its national result which was 11.4%. The politically dovish parties of HaTnua and Meretz, which during their elections campaign emphasized the two state solution and the need for negotiations that would evidently lead to evacuation of settlements, received 2.2% among the settlers, lower than the 9.6% received among the general public. Hantnua party received 1.4% among settlers, less than the 5% received by the general public, while the support for Meretz stood at 0.7% among the settlers, less than the 4.6% received by the general public.

2 Settler and National voting patterns 30.00% 25.00% 20.00% 15.00% 10.00% 5.00% 0.00% 27.93% 27.56% 23.25% 21.3% 14.91% 8.76% 17.50% 11.4% 9.61% 7.40% 8.29% 3.41% 1.72% 2.18% Nationaly Settlements A closer look at the voting patterns within the settlements clarifies the differences among them. In order to understand the voting patterns, we created 6 subgroups of settlements, each with specific characteristics: 1. National Religious settlements; 2. Large, un-orthodox settlements; 3. Ultraorthodox settlements; 4. Quality of Life settlements; 5. Secular and or mixed (secular and national religious) settlements; 6. Secular settlements in the Jordan Valley. Secular and/or Mixed (secular + national religious), 13.3% "Quality of Life", 10.9% Jordan Valley Secular settlements, 1.8% Settlement Types population percentage out of total settler population National Religious, 25.9% Large, unorthodox, Settlements (Ma'ale Edumim, Givat Ze'ev, Ariel), 23.0% Ultraorthodox, 25.2%

3 14.14% National Religious Settlements Centrist Parties, 2.30% Labor, 0.78% Politically Dovish, Ultraorthodox Settlements, 3.90% 0.30% 13.76% 64.04% Settlements: Avnei Hefetz, Itamar, Elon More, Alon Shvut, El azar, Elkana, Efrata, Beit El, Beit Horon, Bruchin, Bracha, Bat Ayin, Dolev, Hebron, Halamish, Hashmonaim, Talmon, Yitzhar, Yakir, Kochav Ha shachar, Kfar Etzion, Kfar Tapuah, Karmei Tzur, Carmel, Mevo Horon, Migdal Oz, Mechola, Ma on, Ma ale Levona, Ma ale Michmash, Ma ale Shomron, Yatir (aka Metzadot Yehuda), Mitzpe Yericho, Neve Daniel, Nahliel, Susiya, Ofra, Ateret, Alei Zahav, Enav, Otniel, Pedu el, Pnei Hever, Psagot, Kedumim, Kiryat Netafim, Rosh Tzurim, Revava, Shavei Shomron, Shadmot Mehola, Shilo.

4 4.12% Koah Lehashpia'a, 1.67% Ultraorthodox Settlemets 1.12% Habait HaYehudi, 3.35% Shas, 25.04% Yahadut HaTorah, 63.86% Settlements: Immanuel, Kochav Ya akov, Ma ale Amos, Asfar, Beitar Illit, Matityahu, Modi in Ilit Large, unorthodox, settlements (Ma'ale Edumim, Givat Ze'ev, Ariel) Labor, 4.37% Centerist parties, 12.63% Politically Dovish, 2.71% HaBait Hayehudi, 18.34% Ultraorthodox, 11.29% 4.08% 42.63% Settlements: Ma ale Edumim, Givat Ze ev, Ariel

5 "Quality of Life" settlements Politically Dovish, 8.94% 13.12% Labor, 12.32% Centerist Parties, 28.54% 29.40% Utraorthodox, 1.67% 2.77% Settlements: Oranit, Alfei Menashe, Beit Arie, Har Adar, Har Gilo, Hinanit, Kfar Ha oranim, Nili, Na ale, Sal it, Alei Zahav, Reihan, Shaked Secular or Mixed (secular and national religious) Ultraorthodox Parties, 5.97% Labor, 4.09% Centerist Parties, 9.51% Politically Dovish, 2.5% 34.3% 11.49% 29.62% Settlements: Adora, Eshkolot, Barqan, Geva Binyamin (aka Adam), Giv on Ha hadasha, Hermesh, Tene, Kfar Adumim, Mevo Dotan, Migdalim, Nofim, Nokdim, Almon, Etz Efraim, Tzofim, Keidar, Kiryat Arba, Karnei Shomron, Rimonim, Shim a, Sha arei Tikva, Telem, Tko a

6 Secular Settlements at the Jordan Valley Labor, 9.23% Centerist Parties, 15.75% 27.16% 3.59% Ultraorthodox Parties, 17.3% 2.48% Settlements: Almog, Argaman, Beit Ha arava, Bqa ot, Gitit, Gilgal, Vered Yericho, Hamra, Yitav, Yafit, Mechora, Ma ale Efraim, Mitzpe Shalem, Masu a, Niran, Na ama, Nativ Ha gdud, Petzael, Kalia, Ro i, Tomer