International Parity Conditions. 1. The Law of One Price. 2. Absolute Purchasing Power Parity
|
|
- Clinton Sharp
- 7 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 International Parity Conditions Some fundamental questions of international financial managers are: - What are the determinants of exchange rates? - Are changes in exchange rates predictable? The economic theories that link exchange rates, price levels, and interest rates together are called international parity conditions. These international parity conditions form the core of the financial theory that is unique to international finance The Law of One Price If the identical product or service can be sold in two different markets, and no restrictions exist on the sale or transportation costs of moving the product between markets, the products price should be the same in both markets. This is called the law of one price. 2 A primary principle of competitive markets is that prices will equalize across markets if frictions (transportation costs) do not exist. Comparing prices then, would require only a conversion from one currency to the other: P $ x S = P 2. Absolute Purchasing Power Parity If the law of one price were true for all goods and services, the purchasing power parity (PPP) states that exchange rate could be found from any set of prices. Where the product price in US dollars is (P $ ), and the price in Baht is (P ) the spot exchange rate is (S) (Direct Quote). 3 4
2 By comparing the prices of identical set of products denominated in different currencies, we could determine the real or PPP exchange rate that should exist if markets were efficient. PI $ x S = PI Where the prices of identical set of products in US dollars is (PI $ ), the prices of identical set of products in Baht is (PI ) and the spot exchange rate is (S) (Direct Quote). This is the absolute version of the PPP theory Relative Purchasing Power Parity If the assumptions of the absolute version of the PPP theory are relaxed a bit more, we observe what is termed relative purchasing power parity (RPPP). RPPP holds that the relative change in prices between two countries over a period of time determines the change in the exchange rate over that period. 6 More specifically, if the spot exchange rate between two countries starts in equilibrium, any change in the differential rate of inflation between them tends to be offset over the long run by an equal but opposite change in the spot exchange rate. S 1 = 1+I S 0 1+I $ S 1, S 0 = Spot Exchange Rate ( / $) at time 1, 0 I = Inflation Rate of Thailand I $ = Inflation Rate of U.S.A. 7 Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) Percent change in the spot exchange P rate for foreign currency Percent difference in expected rates of inflation (foreign relative to home country) 8
3 Empirical Test of PPP Empirical testing of PPP and the law of one price has been done, but has not proved PPP to be accurate in predicting future exchange rates. Two general conclusions can be made from these tests: - PPP holds up well over the very long run but poorly for shorter time periods. - The theory holds better for countries with relatively high rates of inflation and underdeveloped capital markets. 4. The Fisher Effect The Fisher Effect states that nominal interest rates in each country are equal to the required real rate of return plus compensation for expected inflation This equation reduces to (in approximate form): i = (1+r)(1+ π)-1 = r + π + rπ = r + π Where i = nominal interest rate r = real interest rate π = expected inflation Currencies with high rates of inflation should bear higher interest rates than currencies with lower rates of inflation. 1+ π d = 1+i d 1+ π f 1+i f Empirical Tests of Fisher Effect 1. For short-term, the Fisher Effect holds. 2. For long-term, the Fisher Effect affected by increased financial risks. 3. For private securities, the comparison are influenced by unequal creditworthiness of the issuers The International Fisher Effect The relationship between the percentage change in the spot exchange rate over time and the differential between comparable interest rates in different national capital markets is known as the International Fisher Effect. Fisher-open, as it is termed, states that the spot exchange rate should change in an equal amount but in the opposite direction to the difference in interest rates between two countries. 12
4 More formally: S 0 S 1 S 1 x 100 = i $ -i Where i $ and i are the respective national interest rates and S is the spot exchange rate using direct quotes ( /$). Justification for the international Fisher effect is that investors must be rewarded or penalized to offset the expected change in exchange rates. 13 Currencies with lower interest rates are expected to appreciate relative to currencies with higher interest rates. S 1 = S 0 1+i 1+i $ Empirical Tests of International Fisher Effect 1. Lend some support to the International Fisher Effect. 2. Indicate the long-run tendency for interest differentials to offset exchange rate changes Interest Rate Parity The theory of Interest Rate Parity (IRP) provides the linkage between the foreign exchange markets and the international money markets. The forward rate is calculated for any specific maturity by adjusting the current spot exchange rate by the ratio of eurocurrency interest rates of the same maturity for the two subject currencies. The theory states: The difference in the national interest rates for securities of similar risk and maturity should be equal to, but opposite in sign to, the forward rate discount or premium for the foreign currency, except for transaction costs. 15 F = 1+i d S 1+i f 16
5 For example, the 90-day forward rate for the Swiss franc/us dollar exchange rate (F SF/$ 90) is found by multiplying the current spot rate (S SF / $ ) by the ratio of the 90-day euro-swiss franc deposit rate (i SF ) over the 90-day eurodollar deposit rate (i $ ). F = 1+i d S 1+i f Interest Rate Parity (IRP) 90 days Swiss franc money market i $ = 8.00 % per annum Start (2.00 % per 90 days) End $1,000,000 x 1.02 $1,020,000 $1,019,993 * Dollar money market S = SF /$ F 90 = SF /$ SF 1,480,000 x 1.01 SF 1,494,800 i SF = 4.00 % per annum (1.00 % per 90 days) 17 Note that the Swiss franc investment yields $1,019,993, $7 less on a $1 million investment. 18 The forward premium or discount is the percentage difference between the spot and forward exchange rate, stated in annual percentage terms. f SF = Spot Forward 360 x x 100 Forward days This is the case when currency SF/$ is used. 19 Currency Yield Curves & The Forward Premium Interest yield 10.0 % 9.0 % 8.0 % 7.0 % 6.0 % 5.0 % 4.0 % 3.0 % 2.0 % 1.0 % Eurodollar yield curve Forward premium is the percentage difference of 3.96% Euro Swiss franc yield curve Days Forward 20
6 7. Covered Interest Arbitrage The spot and forward exchange rates are not, however, constantly in the state of equilibrium described by interest rate parity. When the market is not in equilibrium, the potential for risk-less or arbitrage profit exists. The arbitrager will exploit the imbalance by investing in whichever currency offers the higher return on a covered basis. This is known as covered interest arbitrage (CIA). 21 Covered Interest Arbitrage (CIA) Start End $1,000,000 x 1.04 $1,040,000 $1,044,638 Dollar money market S = /$ Eurodollar rate = 8.00 % per annum 180 days Yen money market F 180 = /$ 106,000,000 x ,120,000 Euroyen rate = 4.00 % per annum Arbitrage Potential 22 The following exhibit illustrates the conditions necessary for equilibrium between interest rates and exchange rates. The disequilibrium situation, denoted by point U, is located off the interest rate parity line. However, the situation represented by point U is unstable because all investors have an incentive to execute the same covered interest arbitrage, which is virtually risk-free. 23 Interest Rates Parity (IRP) and Equilibrium Percent difference between foreign ( ) and domestic ($) interest rates Percentage premium on foreign currency ( ) 4.83 X Y Z U 24
7 8. Forward Rate as an Unbiased Predictor for Future Spot Rate Some forecasters believe that forward exchange rates are unbiased predictors of future spot exchange rates. Intuitively this means that the distribution of possible actual spot rates in the future is centered on the forward rate. Unbiased prediction simply means that the forward rate will, on average, overestimate and underestimate the actual future spot rate in equal frequency and degree. 25 Forward Rate as an Unbiased Predictor for Future Spot Rate Exchange rate t 1 S 1 S 2 F 1 t 2 t 3 t 4 Error F 2 S 3 Error F 3 S 4 Error Time t 1 t 2 t 3 t 4 The forward rate available today (F t,t+ 1), time t, for delivery at future time t+1, is used as a predictor of the spot rate that will exist at that day in the future. Therefore, the forecast spot rate for time S t2 is F 1 ; the actual spot rate turns out to be S 2. The vertical distance between the prediction and the actual spot rate is the forecast error. When the forward rate is termed an unbiased predictor of the future spot rate, it means that the forward rate over or underestimates the future spot rate with relatively equal frequency and amount. It therefore misses the mark in a regular and orderly manner. The sum of the errors equals zero International Parity Conditions in Equilibrium (Approximate Form) Forward rate as an unbiased predictor ( E ) Forecast change in spot exchange rate + 4 % (yen strengthens) Purchasing power parity ( A ) Forward premium on foreign currency + 4 % (yen strengthens) International Fisher Effect ( C ) Forecast difference in rates of inflation -4 % (less in Japan) Interest rate parity ( D ) Difference in nominal interest rates -4 % (less in Japan) Fisher effect ( B ) 27
Finance 581: Arbitrage and Purchasing Power Parity Conditions Module 5: Lecture 1 [Speaker: Sheen Liu] [On Screen]
Finance 581: Arbitrage and Purchasing Power Parity Conditions Module 5: Lecture 1 [Speaker: Sheen Liu] MODULE 5 Arbitrage and Purchasing Power Parity Conditions [Sheen Liu]: Managers of multinational firms,
More informationThe relationship between exchange rates, interest rates. In this lecture we will learn how exchange rates accommodate equilibrium in
The relationship between exchange rates, interest rates In this lecture we will learn how exchange rates accommodate equilibrium in financial markets. For this purpose we examine the relationship between
More informationChapter 14 Foreign Exchange Markets and Exchange Rates
Chapter 14 Foreign Exchange Markets and Exchange Rates International transactions have one common element that distinguishes them from domestic transactions: one of the participants must deal in a foreign
More informationRelationships among Inflation, Interest Rates, and Exchange Rates. J. Gaspar: Adapted from Jeff Madura, International Financial Management
Chapter8 Relationships among Inflation, Interest Rates, and Exchange Rates J. Gaspar: Adapted from Jeff Madura, International Financial Management 8. 1 International Finance Theories (cont) Purchasing
More information2. Discuss the implications of the interest rate parity for the exchange rate determination.
CHAPTER 6 INTERNATIONAL PARITY RELATIONSHIPS AND FORECASTING FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES SUGGESTED ANSWERS AND SOLUTIONS TO END-OF-CHAPTER QUESTIONS AND PROBLEMS QUESTIONS 1. Give a full definition of arbitrage.
More informationEstimating Risk free Rates. Aswath Damodaran. Stern School of Business. 44 West Fourth Street. New York, NY 10012. Adamodar@stern.nyu.
Estimating Risk free Rates Aswath Damodaran Stern School of Business 44 West Fourth Street New York, NY 10012 Adamodar@stern.nyu.edu Estimating Risk free Rates Models of risk and return in finance start
More informationCHAPTER 11 CURRENCY AND INTEREST RATE FUTURES
Answers to end-of-chapter exercises ARBITRAGE IN THE CURRENCY FUTURES MARKET 1. Consider the following: Spot Rate: $ 0.65/DM German 1-yr interest rate: 9% US 1-yr interest rate: 5% CHAPTER 11 CURRENCY
More informationChapter Review and Self-Test Problems
CHAPTER 22 International Corporate Finance 771 3. The fundamental relationships between international financial variables: a. Absolute and relative purchasing power parity, PPP b. Interest rate parity,
More informationChapter 9. Forecasting Exchange Rates. Lecture Outline. Why Firms Forecast Exchange Rates
Chapter 9 Forecasting Exchange Rates Lecture Outline Why Firms Forecast Exchange Rates Forecasting Techniques Technical Forecasting Fundamental Forecasting Market-Based Forecasting Mixed Forecasting Forecasting
More informationWhat you will learn: UNIT 3. Traditional Flow Model. Determinants of the Exchange Rate
What you will learn: UNIT 3 Determinants of the Exchange Rate (1) Theories of how inflation, economic growth and interest rates affect the exchange rate (2) How trade patterns affect the exchange rate
More informationTest 4 Created: 3:05:28 PM CDT 1. The buyer of a call option has the choice to exercise, but the writer of the call option has: A.
Test 4 Created: 3:05:28 PM CDT 1. The buyer of a call option has the choice to exercise, but the writer of the call option has: A. The choice to offset with a put option B. The obligation to deliver the
More informationTheories of Exchange rate determination
Theories of Exchange rate determination INTRODUCTION By definition, the Foreign Exchange Market is a market 1 in which different currencies can be exchanged at a specific rate called the foreign exchange
More informationSolutions: Sample Exam 2: FINA 5500
Short Questions / Problems Section: (88 points) Solutions: Sample Exam 2: INA 5500 Q1. (8 points) The following are direct quotes from the spot and forward markets for pounds, yens and francs, for two
More informationArbitrage. In London: USD/GBP 0.645 In New York: USD/GBP 0.625.
Arbitrage 1. Exchange rate arbitrage Exchange rate arbitrage is the practice of taking advantage of inconsistent exchange rates in different markets by selling in one market and simultaneously buying in
More informationChapter Two. Determinants of Interest Rates. McGraw-Hill /Irwin. Copyright 2001 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Chapter Two Determinants of Interest Rates Interest Rate Fundamentals Nominal interest rates - the interest rate actually observed in financial markets directly affect the value (price) of most securities
More informationUntangling F9 terminology
Untangling F9 terminology Welcome! This is not a textbook and we are certainly not trying to replace yours! However, we do know that some students find some of the terminology used in F9 difficult to understand.
More informationMULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.
Chatper 34 International Finance - Test Bank MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question. 1) The currency used to buy imported goods is A) the
More informationIntroduction to Exchange Rates and the Foreign Exchange Market
Introduction to Exchange Rates and the Foreign Exchange Market 2 1. Refer to the exchange rates given in the following table. Today One Year Ago June 25, 2010 June 25, 2009 Country Per $ Per Per Per $
More information21: International Cash Management
: International Cash Management The term cash management can be broadly defined to mean optimization of cash flows and investment of excess cash. From an international perspective, cash management is very
More information8. Eurodollars: Parallel Settlement
8. Eurodollars: Parallel Settlement Eurodollars are dollar balances held by banks or bank branches outside the country, which banks hold no reserves at the Fed and consequently have no direct access to
More informationCHAPTER 7 SUGGESTED ANSWERS TO CHAPTER 7 QUESTIONS
INSTRUCTOR S MANUAL: MULTINATIONAL FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, 9 TH ED. CHAPTER 7 SUGGESTED ANSWERS TO CHAPTER 7 QUESTIONS 1. Answer the following questions based on data in Exhibit 7.5. a. How many Swiss francs
More informationINFLATION, INTEREST RATE, AND EXCHANGE RATE: WHAT IS THE RELATIONSHIP?
107 INFLATION, INTEREST RATE, AND EXCHANGE RATE: WHAT IS THE RELATIONSHIP? Maurice K. Shalishali, Columbus State University Johnny C. Ho, Columbus State University ABSTRACT A test of IFE (International
More informationCHAPTER 23: FUTURES, SWAPS, AND RISK MANAGEMENT
CHAPTER 23: FUTURES, SWAPS, AND RISK MANAGEMENT PROBLEM SETS 1. In formulating a hedge position, a stock s beta and a bond s duration are used similarly to determine the expected percentage gain or loss
More informationCHAPTER 15 INTERNATIONAL PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT SUGGESTED ANSWERS AND SOLUTIONS TO END-OF-CHAPTER QUESTIONS AND PROBLEMS
CHAPTER 15 INTERNATIONAL PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT SUGGESTED ANSWERS AND SOLUTIONS TO END-OF-CHAPTER QUESTIONS AND PROBLEMS QUESTIONS 1. What factors are responsible for the recent surge in international portfolio
More informationForward exchange rates
Forward exchange rates The forex market consists of two distinct markets - the spot foreign exchange market (in which currencies are bought and sold for delivery within two working days) and the forward
More informationHow To Get A Long Euro Forward Position On Eurodollar From A Short Euro Position On A Short Currency
CHAPTER 3. FORWARD FOREIGN EXCHANGE In a forward foreign exchange (FX) contract, two parties contract today for the future exchange of currencies at a forward FX rate. No funds change hands when a typical
More informationThis act of setting a price today for a transaction in the future, hedging. hedge currency exposure, short long long hedge short hedge Hedgers
Section 7.3 and Section 4.5 Oct. 7, 2002 William Pugh 7.3 Example of a forward contract: In May, a crude oil producer gets together with a refiner to agree on a price for crude oil. This price is for crude
More informationSlides for Krugman and Obstfeld Chapter 13
Slides for Krugman and Obstfeld Chapter 13 Alan G. Isaac American University 2010-09-10 Preview Introduction to Exchange Rates Introductory Concepts International Financial Markets Basics exchange rate
More informationProblems and Solutions
Problems and Solutions CHAPTER Problems. Problems on onds Exercise. On /04/0, consider a fixed-coupon bond whose features are the following: face value: $,000 coupon rate: 8% coupon frequency: semiannual
More informationVanguard research July 2014
The Understanding buck stops here: the hedge return : Vanguard The impact money of currency market hedging funds in foreign bonds Vanguard research July 214 Charles Thomas, CFA; Paul M. Bosse, CFA Hedging
More informationCHAPTER 15: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES
CHAPTER : THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES CHAPTER : THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES PROBLEM SETS.. In general, the forward rate can be viewed as the sum of the market s expectation of the future
More informationChapter 11. International Economics II: International Finance
Chapter 11 International Economics II: International Finance The other major branch of international economics is international monetary economics, also known as international finance. Issues in international
More information2 Stock Price. Figure S1.1 Profit from long position in Problem 1.13
Problem 1.11. A cattle farmer expects to have 12, pounds of live cattle to sell in three months. The livecattle futures contract on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange is for the delivery of 4, pounds of cattle.
More informationAgenda. Exchange Rates, Business Cycles, and Macroeconomic Policy in the Open Economy, Part 1. Exchange Rates. Exchange Rates.
Agenda, Business Cycles, and Macroeconomic Policy in the Open Economy, Part 1 How Are Determined A Supply-and-Demand Analysis 19-1 19-2 Nominal exchange rates: The nominal exchange rate indicates how much
More informationAssignment 10 (Chapter 11)
Assignment 10 (Chapter 11) 1. Which of the following tends to cause the U.S. dollar to appreciate in value? a) An increase in U.S. prices above foreign prices b) Rapid economic growth in foreign countries
More informationCHAPTER 15: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES
CHAPTER 15: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES 1. Expectations hypothesis. The yields on long-term bonds are geometric averages of present and expected future short rates. An upward sloping curve is
More informationMonetary Policy Bank of Canada
Bank of Canada The objective of monetary policy may be gleaned from to preamble to the Bank of Canada Act of 1935 which says, regulate credit and currency in the best interests of the economic life of
More informationAnswers to Review Questions
Answers to Review Questions 1. The real rate of interest is the rate that creates an equilibrium between the supply of savings and demand for investment funds. The nominal rate of interest is the actual
More informationChapter 6 Interest rates and Bond Valuation. 2012 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4-1
Chapter 6 Interest rates and Bond Valuation 2012 Pearson Prentice Hall. All rights reserved. 4-1 Interest Rates and Required Returns: Interest Rate Fundamentals The interest rate is usually applied to
More informationChapter 11. Managing Transaction Exposure. Lecture Outline
Chapter 11 Managing Transaction Exposure Lecture Outline Transaction Exposure Identifying Net Transaction Exposure Adjusting the Invoice Policy to Manage Exposure Hedging Payables Forward or Futures Hedge
More informationChapter 1 Currency Exchange Rates
Chapter 1 Currency Exchange Rates 1. Since the value of the British pound in U.S. dollars has gone down, it has depreciated with respect to the U.S. dollar. Therefore, the British will have to spend more
More informationCHAPTER 14 INTEREST RATE AND CURRENCY SWAPS SUGGESTED ANSWERS AND SOLUTIONS TO END-OF-CHAPTER QUESTIONS AND PROBLEMS
CHAPTER 14 INTEREST RATE AND CURRENCY SWAPS SUGGESTED ANSWERS AND SOLUTIONS TO END-OF-CHAPTER QUESTIONS AND PROBLEMS QUESTIONS 1. Describe the difference between a swap broker and a swap dealer. Answer:
More informationFinancial-Institutions Management. Solutions 4. 8. The following are the foreign currency positions of an FI, expressed in the foreign currency.
Solutions 4 Chapter 14: oreign Exchange Risk 8. The following are the foreign currency positions of an I, expressed in the foreign currency. Currency Assets Liabilities X Bought X Sold Swiss franc (S)
More informationRefer to Figure 17-1
Chapter 17 1. Inflation can be measured by the a. change in the consumer price index. b. percentage change in the consumer price index. c. percentage change in the price of a specific commodity. d. change
More information1. a. (iv) b. (ii) [6.75/(1.34) = 10.2] c. (i) Writing a call entails unlimited potential losses as the stock price rises.
1. Solutions to PS 1: 1. a. (iv) b. (ii) [6.75/(1.34) = 10.2] c. (i) Writing a call entails unlimited potential losses as the stock price rises. 7. The bill has a maturity of one-half year, and an annualized
More informationFutures Price d,f $ 0.65 = (1.05) (1.04)
24 e. Currency Futures In a currency futures contract, you enter into a contract to buy a foreign currency at a price fixed today. To see how spot and futures currency prices are related, note that holding
More informationFNCE 301, Financial Management H Guy Williams, 2006
REVIEW We ve used the DCF method to find present value. We also know shortcut methods to solve these problems such as perpetuity present value = C/r. These tools allow us to value any cash flow including
More informationIntroduction to Macroeconomics TOPIC 2: The Goods Market
TOPIC 2: The Goods Market Annaïg Morin CBS - Department of Economics August 2013 Goods market Road map: 1. Demand for goods 1.1. Components 1.1.1. Consumption 1.1.2. Investment 1.1.3. Government spending
More informationCHAPTER 8 MANAGEMENT OF TRANSACTION EXPOSURE SUGGESTED ANSWERS AND SOLUTIONS TO END-OF-CHAPTER QUESTIONS AND PROBLEMS
CHAPTER 8 MANAGEMENT OF TRANSACTION EXPOSURE SUGGESTED ANSWERS AND SOLUTIONS TO END-OF-CHAPTER QUESTIONS AND PROBLEMS QUESTIONS 1. How would you define transaction exposure? How is it different from economic
More informationChapter 5 Financial Forwards and Futures
Chapter 5 Financial Forwards and Futures Question 5.1. Four different ways to sell a share of stock that has a price S(0) at time 0. Question 5.2. Description Get Paid at Lose Ownership of Receive Payment
More informationSAMPLE MID-TERM QUESTIONS
SAMPLE MID-TERM QUESTIONS William L. Silber HOW TO PREPARE FOR THE MID- TERM: 1. Study in a group 2. Review the concept questions in the Before and After book 3. When you review the questions listed below,
More informationCHAPTER 12 CHAPTER 12 FOREIGN EXCHANGE
CHAPTER 12 CHAPTER 12 FOREIGN EXCHANGE CHAPTER OVERVIEW This chapter discusses the nature and operation of the foreign exchange market. The chapter begins by describing the foreign exchange market and
More informationChapter 2: The balance of payments and the foreign exchange market
Chapter 2: The balance of payments and the foreign exchange market 1- Exchange rates and international transactions Currency Overview Asia 10:46 a.m. EDT 03/22/11 Last (bid) Prior Day Australian Dollar
More informationNon-Government-Guaranteed Bonds in the Petroleum Fund - NBIM
Page 1 of 7 Non-Government-Guaranteed Bonds in the Petroleum Fund From 2002, the Government Petroleum Fund will be investing a large portion of the portfolio in non-government bonds. The benchmark index
More informationCHAPTER 15: THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES
Chapter - The Term Structure of Interest Rates CHAPTER : THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST RATES PROBLEM SETS.. In general, the forward rate can be viewed as the sum of the market s expectation of the future
More information3. a. If all money is held as currency, then the money supply is equal to the monetary base. The money supply will be $1,000.
Macroeconomics ECON 2204 Prof. Murphy Problem Set 2 Answers Chapter 4 #2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, and 9 (on pages 102-103) 2. a. When the Fed buys bonds, the dollars that it pays to the public for the bonds increase
More informationTexas Christian University. Department of Economics. Working Paper Series. Modeling Interest Rate Parity: A System Dynamics Approach
Texas Christian University Department of Economics Working Paper Series Modeling Interest Rate Parity: A System Dynamics Approach John T. Harvey Department of Economics Texas Christian University Working
More informationGRADO EN ECONOMÍA. Is the Forward Rate a True Unbiased Predictor of the Future Spot Exchange Rate?
FACULTAD DE CIENCIAS ECONÓMICAS Y EMPRESARIALES GRADO EN ECONOMÍA Is the Forward Rate a True Unbiased Predictor of the Future Spot Exchange Rate? Autor: Elena Renedo Sánchez Tutor: Juan Ángel Jiménez Martín
More informationWeb. Chapter International Managerial Finance. Chapter Summary
Chapter International Managerial Finance Web T his chapter provides a brief introduction to international finance. Of course, whole courses and even degree programs are offered on this topic. The reason
More informationPaper F9. Financial Management. Fundamentals Pilot Paper Skills module. The Association of Chartered Certified Accountants
Fundamentals Pilot Paper Skills module Financial Management Time allowed Reading and planning: Writing: 15 minutes 3 hours ALL FOUR questions are compulsory and MUST be attempted. Do NOT open this paper
More informationMULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.
ECON 4110: Sample Exam Name MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question. 1) Economists define risk as A) the difference between the return on common
More informationInterest Rate and Currency Swaps
Interest Rate and Currency Swaps Eiteman et al., Chapter 14 Winter 2004 Bond Basics Consider the following: Zero-Coupon Zero-Coupon One-Year Implied Maturity Bond Yield Bond Price Forward Rate t r 0 (0,t)
More informationTo appear as an entry in the Concise Encyclopedia of Economics, Liberty Fund, Inc., edited by David Henderson.
Foreign exchange Jeffrey A. Frankel September 2005 To appear as an entry in the Concise Encyclopedia of Economics, Liberty Fund, Inc., edited by David Henderson. The foreign exchange market is the market
More informationIntroduction, Forwards and Futures
Introduction, Forwards and Futures Liuren Wu Zicklin School of Business, Baruch College Fall, 2007 (Hull chapters: 1,2,3,5) Liuren Wu Introduction, Forwards & Futures Option Pricing, Fall, 2007 1 / 35
More informationEconomic commentaries
No. 5 2012 Economic commentaries Estimating forward Nibor premiums Erlend Hellum and Geir-Are Ø. Kårvik, Department for Market Operations and Analysis, Norges Bank Monetary Policy * The views expressed
More informationCHAPTER 7 FUTURES AND OPTIONS ON FOREIGN EXCHANGE SUGGESTED ANSWERS AND SOLUTIONS TO END-OF-CHAPTER QUESTIONS AND PROBLEMS
CHAPTER 7 FUTURES AND OPTIONS ON FOREIGN EXCHANGE SUGGESTED ANSWERS AND SOLUTIONS TO END-OF-CHAPTER QUESTIONS AND PROBLEMS QUESTIONS 1. Explain the basic differences between the operation of a currency
More informationPractice questions: Set #1
International Financial Management Professor Michel A. Robe Practice questions: Set #1 What should you do with this set? To help students prepare for the exam and the case, several problem sets with solutions
More informationCh. 38 Practice MC 1. In international financial transactions, what are the only two things that individuals and firms can exchange? A.
Ch. 38 Practice MC 1. In international financial transactions, what are the only two things that individuals and firms can exchange? A. Currency and real assets. B. Services and manufactured goods. C.
More informationCurrency Derivatives Guide
Currency Derivatives Guide What are Futures? In finance, a futures contract (futures) is a standardised contract between two parties to buy or sell a specified asset of standardised quantity and quality
More informationIntroduction to Fixed Income (IFI) Course Syllabus
Introduction to Fixed Income (IFI) Course Syllabus 1. Fixed income markets 1.1 Understand the function of fixed income markets 1.2 Know the main fixed income market products: Loans Bonds Money market instruments
More informationPractice Set #1: Forward pricing & hedging.
Derivatives (3 credits) Professor Michel Robe What to do with this practice set? Practice Set #1: Forward pricing & hedging To help students with the material, eight practice sets with solutions shall
More informationReg. no 2014/1392 30 September 2014. Central government debt management
Reg. no 2014/1392 30 September 2014 Central government debt management Proposed guidelines 2015 2018 1 Summary 1 Proposed guidelines 2015 2018 2 The objective for the management of central government debt
More informationD) surplus; negative. 9. The law of one price is enforced by: A) governments. B) producers. C) consumers. D) arbitrageurs.
1. An open economy is one in which: A) the level of output is fixed. B) government spending exceeds revenues. C) the national interest rate equals the world interest rate. D) there is trade in goods and
More informationCHAPTER 8 INTEREST RATES AND BOND VALUATION
CHAPTER 8 INTEREST RATES AND BOND VALUATION Solutions to Questions and Problems 1. The price of a pure discount (zero coupon) bond is the present value of the par value. Remember, even though there are
More informationA note on the marking to market of futures contracts
Derivatives Professor Michel A. Robe A note on the marking to market of futures contracts As a finance specialist, it is important to understand the main difference between futures and forwards, namely
More informationFinance 350: Problem Set 6 Alternative Solutions
Finance 350: Problem Set 6 Alternative Solutions Note: Where appropriate, the final answer for each problem is given in bold italics for those not interested in the discussion of the solution. I. Formulas
More informationC(t) (1 + y) 4. t=1. For the 4 year bond considered above, assume that the price today is 900$. The yield to maturity will then be the y that solves
Economics 7344, Spring 2013 Bent E. Sørensen INTEREST RATE THEORY We will cover fixed income securities. The major categories of long-term fixed income securities are federal government bonds, corporate
More informationJ. Gaspar: Adapted from Jeff Madura, International Financial Management
Chapter11 Managing Transaction Exposure J. Gaspar: Adapted from Jeff Madura, International Financial Management 11. 1 Transactions Exposure: To Manage or Not to Manage? Once the degree of transactions
More informationCommercial Customer Foreign Currency accounts
Commercial Customer Foreign Currency accounts A Customer Foreign Currency account is a useful mechanism for managing the flows of foreign currency. Customer Foreign Currency accounts Companies active in
More informationInvestments Analysis
Investments Analysis Last 2 Lectures: Fixed Income Securities Bond Prices and Yields Term Structure of Interest Rates This Lecture (#7): Fixed Income Securities Term Structure of Interest Rates Interest
More informationThis chapter seeks to explain the factors that underlie currency movements. These factors include market fundamentals and market expectations.
EXCHANGE-RATE DETERMINATION LECTURE NOTES & EXERCISES based on Carbaugh Chapter 13 CHAPTER OVERVIEW This chapter seeks to explain the factors that underlie currency movements. These factors include market
More informationExchange Rates Revised: January 9, 2008
Global Economy Chris Edmond Exchange Rates Revised: January 9, 2008 Exchange rates (currency prices) are a central element of most international transactions. When Heineken sells beer in the US, its euro
More informationChapter Outline. Chapter 13. Exchange Rates. Exchange Rates
Chapter 13, Business Cycles, and Macroeconomic Policy in the Open Economy Chapter Outline How Are Determined: A Supply-and-Demand Analysis The IS-LM Model for an Open Economy Macroeconomic Policy in an
More informationInternational Finance and Hedging Currency Risk. John Board
International Finance and Hedging Currency Risk John Board Country Risk Country Risk The risk that the business environment in the host country changes unexpectedly Increases the risk to multinational
More informationUniversity of Lethbridge Department of Economics ECON 1012 Introduction to Macroeconomics Instructor: Michael G. Lanyi
University of Lethbridge Department of Economics ECON 1012 Introduction to Macroeconomics Instructor: Michael G. Lanyi CH 25 Exch Rate & BofP 1) Foreign currency is A) the market for foreign exchange.
More informationSome Answers. a) If Y is 1000, M is 100, and the growth rate of nominal money is 1%, what must i and P be?
Some Answers 1) Suppose that real money demand is represented by the equation (M/P) d = 0.25*Y. Use the quantity equation to calculate the income velocity of money. V = 4. 2) Assume that the demand for
More informationWhat are Swaps? Spring 2014. Stephen Sapp
What are Swaps? Spring 2014 Stephen Sapp Basic Idea of Swaps I have signed up for the Wine of the Month Club and you have signed up for the Beer of the Month Club. As winter approaches, I would like to
More informationMULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question.
Study Questions 6 (Foreign Exchange Markets) MULTIPLE CHOICE. Choose the one alternative that best completes the statement or answers the question. 1) The currency used to buy imported goods is 1) A) the
More informationIV. Special feature: Foreign currency deposits of firms and individuals with banks in China
Robert N McCauley (+852) 2878 71 RMcCauley@bis.org.hk YK Mo (+852) 2878 71 IV. Special feature: deposits of firms and individuals with banks in China In principle, an economy with capital controls can
More informationLecture 12. Options Strategies
Lecture 12. Options Strategies Introduction to Options Strategies Options, Futures, Derivatives 10/15/07 back to start 1 Solutions Problem 6:23: Assume that a bank can borrow or lend money at the same
More informationInterest Rate Futures. Chapter 6
Interest Rate Futures Chapter 6 1 Day Count Convention The day count convention defines: The period of time to which the interest rate applies. The period of time used to calculate accrued interest (relevant
More informationMechanics of Foreign Exchange - money movement around the world and how different currencies will affect your profit
Dear Business Leader, Welcome to the Business Insight Seminars an exclusive, informational series to help you gain a powerful edge in today s highly competitive business environment. Our first topic in
More informationChapter. Interest Rates. McGraw-Hill/Irwin. Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.
Chapter Interest Rates McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright 2008 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Interest Rates Our goal in this chapter is to discuss the many different interest rates that
More informationContribution 787 1,368 1,813 983. Taxable cash flow 682 1,253 1,688 858 Tax liabilities (205) (376) (506) (257)
Answers Fundamentals Level Skills Module, Paper F9 Financial Management June 2012 Answers 1 (a) Calculation of net present value (NPV) As nominal after-tax cash flows are to be discounted, the nominal
More informationOxford University Business Economics Programme
The Open Economy Gavin Cameron Tuesday 10 July 2001 Oxford University Business Economics Programme the exchange rate The nominal exchange rate is simply the price of one currency in terms of another pounds
More informationFLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATES
FLEXIBLE EXCHANGE RATES Along with globalization has come a high degree of interdependence. Central to this is a flexible exchange rate system, where exchange rates are determined each business day by
More informationPaper F9. Financial Management. Friday 7 June 2013. Fundamentals Level Skills Module. The Association of Chartered Certified Accountants.
Fundamentals Level Skills Module Financial Management Friday 7 June 2013 Time allowed Reading and planning: Writing: 15 minutes 3 hours ALL FOUR questions are compulsory and MUST be attempted. Formulae
More informationHow To Calculate The Price Of A Dollar
Exchange Rates Costas Arkolakis teaching fellow: Federico Esposito Economics 407, Yale January 2014 Outline De nitions: Nominal and Real Exchange Rate A Theory of Determination of the Real Exchange Rate
More informationCHAPTER 5 THE MARKET FOR FOREIGN EXCHANGE SUGGESTED ANSWERS AND SOLUTIONS TO END-OF-CHAPTER QUESTIONS AND PROBLEMS
CHAPTER 5 THE MARKET FOR FOREIGN EXCHANGE SUGGESTED ANSWERS AND SOLUTIONS TO END-OF-CHAPTER QUESTIONS AND PROBLEMS QUESTIONS 1. Give a full definition of the market for foreign exchange. Answer: Broadly
More informationCHAPTER 10. CURRENCY SWAPS
CHAPTER 10. CURRENCY SWAPS The advent of swaps, as much as anything else, helped transform the world s segmented capital markets into a single, truly integrated, international capital market. John F. Marshall
More information