When did the New Normal begin? Longer-term Outlook Months since trough Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Haver Analytics. 3
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3 Months since trough
4 :Q2 2008:Q3-2009:Q4 2010:Q1-2010:Q3 2010:Q4-2012:Q2-1
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6 Percent change year change 4 3- year change The "Lost Decade" is into re- runs - 4-6
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13 Actual 10-year Treasury yield (solid black line) Predictions out to five quarters ahead of professional forecasters (hatched lines)
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17 Average,
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19 Commercial Property Prices
20 Gross Acquisitions and Dispositions
21 Net Acquisitions Adjusted*
22 REITs are raising record amounts of capital 60 Billions of dollars Debt Preferred shares 50 IPO Secondary equity offerings *
23 Net Acquisitions buy low, sell high $ Millions $ Millions $ Millions $ Millions $ Millions 15,400 (20,898) (7,425) 27,313 14,390 11,760 (81,483) 9,120 (22,957) (22,360) (13,101) 141,731 5,579 (2,439) 131, ,140 2,533 1,054 42,464 (14,795) (77,490) (9,808) (2,971) (166,264)
24 Disclaimer For more information please visit: 24
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