Smart Communication for a Segmented Rollout

Transcription

1 Smart Communication for a Segmented Rollout

2 Eandis in the Energy market Regulator CREG / VREG Producers Electricity Import Natural Gas Elia Distribution Grid Operator Fluxys Suppliers Customers 2 04/11/2015

3 Transition: from Pilot to Segmented Rollout Mesh Topology Ster Topology AMM AMM NODE Meshed PLC Concentrator V 3 04/11/2015

4 Transition: from Pilot to Segmented Rollout Standard- Solution (Mature, available on the market) Timing: 2019 Choose Communication Technology Lifetime >15j Budget: CAPEX/OPEX 4 04/11/2015

5 Evaluating different technologies 2G/GPRS PLC 4G/LTE PLC/RF Mesh 3G/UMTS RF Mesh No meters available (market) LoRa/Sigfox Wifi No network available (cost) WiMax FTTH Expensive termination (kost) Customer modem CDMA 450 Regulation (spectrum not available) 5 04/11/2015

6 GPRS 2G Wikipedia: GPRS or General Packet Radio Service is a technique to extend the existing GSM network. With this technology mobile data can be sent and recieved more efficiëntly, faster and cheaper. Commercial standardsolution, shared with other users, growing M2M market. Network infrastructure is available in Flanders. Coverage >95% Mature technology, meters readily available, good experience in pilot. Fast implementation possible, meters and network are readily available Solution for both a Global and Segmented Rollout Relatively Low Pricing. Low modem and communication cost due to mass-market. Easy to install. 6 04/11/2015

7 GPRS: lifetime > 15 year? #GPRS M2M 4M LTE: broadband LoRa/Sigfox: smallband 3M 2M 1M Lifetime Vendor machines: 5 j Vehicles: 10 j Risk: market decline /11/2015

8 LTE 4G Wikipedia LTE, an acronym for Long-Term Evolution, commonly marketed as 4G LTE, is a standard for wireless communication of high-speed data for mobile phones and data terminals. It is based on the GSM/EDGE and UMTS/HSPA network technologies, increasing the capacity and speed using a different radio interface together with core network improvements. Commercial standardsolution, shared with other users, growing M2M market. Mature technology, rather new for M2M Several DNB s choose this technology (eg. Enexis) Meter vendors put LTE meters are on roadmap for Network infrastructure is being rolled out in Flanders. Coverage >95% in Implementation possible in 2019, both the network and the meters are in development or rolllout now. License until 2033 (800Mhz) Cost relatively low. Modem still expensive, but price erosion ongoing. 8 04/11/2015

9 LTE: Lifetime > 15 year #GPRS/LTE M2M? 4M LTE: broadband LoRa/Sigfox: smallband 3M 2M 1M Lifetime Vendor machines: 5 j Vehicles: 10 j 2033 : 800MHz License granted until 2033 (800MHz) 9 04/11/2015

10 LTE coverage - Indoor National outdoor coverage >95% by 2016 Indoor coverage (GPRS measurements): 95% residential 75% appartment Mitigation: Roaming/Antenna For Appartments: Femtocell: LTE coverage extension inside building Backhaul:» VDSL, coax or» Fiber to the building 10 04/11/2015

11 100% Coverage? Cost NPV Cost Telecom H: residential KIR - MOC - Defect; 21% Material (Modem); 19% Femto cell A: apartment H: 98% (+3) Coverage 30% Communication 30% A: 99% (+14) II Roaming SIM H: 98% (+3) A: 78% (+3) I Basic coverage with LTE (GPRS) Coverage H: 95% H: 100% A: 75% A: 100% Mitigation I: Roaming SIM = SIM card capable of roaming on national networks Mitigation II: Femto Cell = Local extension of the LTE network 11 04/11/2015

12 Smart meter generations 1e gen 2e gen 3e gen PLC - SFSK Mature PLC OFDM Rising GPRS Mature: PLC OFDM (mass roll-out) LTE (GPRS) (point to point) Rising: Dual comm technologie Every 5 year a new generation: new technologies emerging Dual Technology in development but not yet mature enough 12 04/11/2015

13 Cost 100% Coverage? Dual technologie Femto cell H: 98% (+3) A: 99% (+14) II H: residential A: apartment Roaming SIM H: 98% (+3) A: 78% (+3) I Dual tech Basic coverage with LTE (GPRS) Coverage H: 95% H: 100% A: 75% A: 100% Mitigation I: Roaming SIM = SIM card capable of roaming on national networks Mitigation II: Femto Cell = Local extension of the LTE network 13 04/11/2015

14 Dual Communication Technology Possible technologies: Combination of: RF-mesh + PLC LTE + PLC Multiple solutions are being presented, not sure which ones will be adopted by the market. Meters with dual technology are available as prototypes or in pilots, possibly not mature for rollout in With the correct choice of technologies, lifetime of >15 years is possible Second technology reduces the cost of mitigating the coverage, but should not be more expensive as a meter /11/2015

15 Way forward Start a segmented rollout with LTE meters. Follow up on the evolution of dual technology meters First passively: learn from existing pilots Then actively: start with POC/Pilot testing Continously evaluate new meter generations and carefully select when to switch to new communication technologies. 1e gen 2e gen 3e gen??? /11/2015

16 Conclusion 1. Segmented rollout 2019 : LTE / 4G 2. Innovation/Trend Dual Tech Evaluation for 2022 and beyond 16 04/11/2015