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1 February 2016 Date of release: 30 March 2016 Contents Headline statistics 3 Average prices by property type 4 Key regional observations 5 Key county and unitary authority observations 6 Key metropolitan district observations 10 Key London borough observations 11 Sales volumes 12 Repossession data 14 Notes 16 Terms and conditions 17 Index Average price Monthly change Annual change ,275 -% 6.1%
2 asdfasdasdffasdasdfasdafaasdf To find out more about any of the information contained in this document or on our other House Price Index offerings, please Alison Draper at 2
3 Headline statistics The February data shows a monthly price decrease of per cent. The annual price change now stands at 6.1 per cent, bringing the average house price in England and Wales to 190,275. The number of property transactions has decreased over the last year. From September 2014 to December 2014 there was an average of 79,237 sales per month. In the same months a year later, the figure was 78,778. Index 1 Average price 2 Monthly change Annual change ,275 -% 6.1% Annual growth of 6.1 per cent in February brings the average house price in England and Wales to 190, Seasonally adjusted (HPI) with base period of January 1995=100 2 All average prices quoted in this report represent standardised seasonally adjusted prices 3
4 Average annual price change Average annual change in residential property prices The February data for London shows a monthly increase of 0.6 per cent. At 13.5 per cent, the annual change for London is considerably higher than most other regions. The average price of property in the capital is 530,368 in comparison with the average for England and Wales of 190,275. England and Wales London Average prices by property type (England and Wales) February 2016 February 2015 Difference (%) Detached 298, , Semi-detached 180, , Terraced 143, , Flat/maisonette 183, , All 190, ,
5 Price change by region Region Monthly Annual Average price ( ) Key regional observations The region with the most significant annual price increase is London with a movement of 13.5 per cent. The North East saw the only annual price fall with a movement of -3.2 per cent. The North West experienced the greatest monthly price rise with a movement of 1.8 per cent. The North East also saw the most significant monthly price decrease with a fall of 1.2 per cent. North West East Midlands Yorkshire & The Humber East South East South West London Wales West Midlands North East , , , , , , , , ,734 97,582 5
6 Price change by county Annual price change by county Growth (%) < to -8-8 to -6-6 to -4-4 to -2-2 to 0 0 to 2 2 to 4 4 to 6 6 to 8 8 to to to to 16 >16 Key county and unitary authority observations County/unitary authority Monthly Annual Average price ( ) Slough experienced the greatest annual price increase in February with a movement of 19.0 per cent. Rhondda Cynon Taff saw the most significant annual price fall with a movement of -2.4 per cent. Bath and NE Somerset Bedford Blackburn with Darwen Blackpool Blaenau Gwent Bournemouth , ,319 71,034 77,317 72, ,185 Bracknell Forest ,851 Bridgend ,274 Brighton and Hove ,653 Buckinghamshire 1 330,156 Caerphilly ,996 Cambridgeshire ,837 Cardiff ,439 Carmarthenshire 107,319 Central Bedfordshire ,958 Ceredigion ,057 6
7 Price change by county County/unitary authority Monthly Annual Average price ( ) Key county and unitary authority observations Blaenau Gwent experienced the strongest monthly growth with an increase of 9.4 per cent. Flintshire saw the most significant monthly price fall with a movement of -1.4 per cent. Four counties and unitary authorities exhibited no monthly price movement. 7 Cheshire East Cheshire West and Chester City of Bristol City of Derby City of Kingston Upon Hull City of Nottingham City of Peterborough City of Plymouth Conwy Cornwall Cumbria Darlington Denbighshire Derbyshire Devon Dorset Durham East Riding of Yorkshire East Sussex Essex Flintshire Gloucestershire Greater London Greater Manchester Gwynedd Halton Hampshire Hartlepool Herefordshire Hertfordshire Isle of Anglesey Isle of Wight Kent Lancashire Leicester Leicestershire Lincolnshire , , , ,559 70,914 93, , , , , ,737 98, , , , ,837 77, , , , , , , , ,352 95, ,179 78, , , , , , , , , ,369
8 Price change by county County/unitary authority Monthly Annual Average price ( ) Luton ,184 Medway ,253 Merseyside ,349 Merthyr Tydfil ,693 Middlesbrough 77,024 Milton Keynes ,081 Monmouthshire ,143 Neath Port Talbot ,425 Newport ,982 Norfolk ,928 North East Lincolnshire ,947 North Lincolnshire ,876 North Somerset ,496 North Yorkshire ,227 Northamptonshire ,250 Northumberland ,057 Nottinghamshire ,516 Oxfordshire ,717 Pembrokeshire ,399 Poole ,566 Portsmouth ,388 Powys ,876 Reading ,002 Redcar and Cleveland ,662 Rhondda Cynon Taff ,756 Rutland ,430 Shropshire ,279 Slough ,023 Somerset ,769 South Gloucestershire ,791 South Yorkshire ,065 Southampton ,337 Southend-on-Sea ,236 Staffordshire ,129 Stockton-on-Tees ,158 Stoke-on-Trent ,490 8 Suffolk ,559
9 Price change by county County/unitary authority Monthly Annual Average price ( ) Surrey Swansea Swindon The Vale of Glamorgan Thurrock Torbay Torfaen Tyne and Wear Warrington Warwickshire West Berkshire West Midlands West Sussex West Yorkshire Wiltshire Windsor and Maidenhead Wokingham Worcestershire Wrekin Wrexham York , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,495 9
10 Price change by metropolitan district Metropolitan district Monthly Annual Average price ( ) Key metropolitan district observations The metropolitan district with the largest annual price increase is Knowsley rising by 8.1 per cent. Barnsley experienced the highest monthly price rise with an increase of 3.2 per cent. Rochdale saw the greatest annual price fall with a movement of -1.8 per cent. Doncaster saw the greatest monthly price fall with a movement of -1.2 per cent. Barnsley Birmingham Bolton Bradford Bury Calderdale Coventry Doncaster Dudley Gateshead Kirklees Knowsley Leeds Liverpool Manchester Newcastle upon Tyne North Tyneside Oldham Rochdale Rotherham Salford Sandwell Sefton Sheffield Solihull South Tyneside St Helens Stockport Sunderland Tameside Trafford Wakefield Walsall Wigan Wirral Wolverhampton , ,020 93,448 96, ,456 98, ,440 95, ,412 96, , , ,587 94, , , ,456 85,203 88, , , , , , , ,190 96, ,120 86, , , , ,529 93, , ,102 10
11 Price change by London borough London borough Monthly Annual Average price ( ) Key London borough observations The borough with the highest annual price rise is Hillingdon, with a movement of 17.1 per cent. Hammersmith and Fulham experienced the highest monthly price increase, with a movement of 2.2 per cent. Camden saw the smallest annual increase of 3.6 per cent. Merton experienced the greatest monthly fall, with a movement of -0.8 per cent. n/a is shown if there have been insufficient sales that meet the criteria for inclusion. Barking and Dagenham Barnet Bexley Brent Bromley Camden City of London City of Westminster Croydon Ealing Enfield Greenwich Hackney Hammersmith and Fulham Haringey Harrow Havering Hillingdon Hounslow Islington Kensington and Chelsea Kingston upon Thames Lambeth Lewisham Merton Newham Redbridge Richmond upon Thames Southwark Sutton Tower Hamlets Waltham Forest Wandsworth n/a n/a , , , , , ,067 n/a 1,057, , , , , , , , , , , , ,077 1,396, , , , , , , , , , , , ,857 11
12 Sales volumes Recorded monthly sales England and Wales Sales volumes In the months September 2015 to December 2015, sales volumes averaged 78,778 transactions per month. This is a decrease from the same period a year earlier, when sales volumes averaged 79,237 per month. Price index volatility is greater in areas where recorded sales volumes are low. Index volatility leads to erratic and high changes in reported price. Some of the areas that typically have very low transaction volumes include, but are not limited to, the following: City of London Rutland Isle of Anglesey Merthyr Tydfil Blaenau Gwent Ceredigion Torfaen. non-seasonally adjusted seasonally adjusted Recorded monthly sales London Because sales volume figures for the two most recent months are not yet complete, they are not included in the report. In addition, the lag in recording data is likely to result in increases to the reported sales volumes over time. non-seasonally adjusted seasonally adjusted 12
13 Sales volumes Sales volumes by price range (England and Wales) Price range ( ) December 2015 December 2014 Difference The number of properties sold in England and Wales for over 1 million in December 2015 increased by 2 per cent to 1,077 from 1,052 in December Under 50,000 50, , , , , , , , ,306 13,669 13,297 9,926 1,051 8,137 15,575 15,115 12,895-24% -10% -12% -12% -23% 250, ,000 7,595 6,302 21% 300, ,000 9,287 8,652 7% 400, ,000 4,820 4,630 4% 500, ,000 2,429 1,879 29% 600, ,000 2,219 2,029 9% 800,001 1,000, % 1,000,001 1,500, % 1,500,001 2,000, % Over 2,000, % Total 73,326 78,208-6% Sales volumes by price range (London) Price range ( ) December 2015 December 2014 Difference The number of properties sold in London for over 1 million in December 2015 increased by 2 per cent to 707 from 696 in December Under 50,000 50, , , , , , , , ,208 n/a -37% -53% -51% -60% 250, , ,009-12% 300, ,000 1,986 2,066-4% 400, ,000 1,533 1,507 2% 500, , % 600, , % 800,001 1,000, % 1,000,001 1,500, % 1,500,001 2,000, % Over 2,000, % Total 8,334 9,418-12% 13
14 Repossession data Adjusted headline statistics The table to the right shows the headline statistics after the inclusion of repossession data. The difference between the adjusted figures and those on the front page of this report are explained by the inclusion of this additional data. Please note repossession data was only comprehensively recorded after The additional data decreases the average price for England and Wales to 189,563 and increases the annual change to 6.4 per cent. Adjusted index 1 Average price 2 Monthly change Annual change ,563 -% 6.4% Repossession volumes In the months September 2015 to December 2015, repossession volumes averaged 406 per month. This is a fall compared to the same period a year earlier, when volumes averaged 771 per month. Repossession volumes appear to be exhibiting a downward trend. Monthly repossession volumes England and Wales Because repossession volume figures for the two most recent months are not yet complete, they are not included in the report. In addition, the lag in recording data is likely to result in small increases to the reported repossession volumes over time. 1 Seasonally adjusted HPI inclusive of repossession data from January 2006 onwards. 2 Standardised seasonally adjusted prices inclusive of repossession data from January
15 Repossession data Repossessions as percentage of sales in the last 12 months Per cent < to to to to to to to 9.0 > 9.0 Regional repossession sales The region with the greatest fall in repossession sales was London, with a decrease of 67 per cent from December All regions experienced a decrease in the number of repossession sales in December when compared with the same period a year earlier. Region East East Midlands London North East North West South East South West Wales December December Difference -64% -46% -67% -44% -43% -65% -41% -31% West Midlands % Yorkshire & The Humber % Total % 15
16 Notes The March (HPI) will be published at at 09:30 hours on 28 April The HPI is produced using the Repeat Sales Regression (RSR) method. Under the RSR method, house price growth is measured by observing houses which have been sold more than once. By using repeat transactions, differences in the quality of homes comprised in any monthly sample are greatly reduced thereby ensuring an apples to apples comparison. The HPI uses Land Registry's own price paid dataset. This is a record of all residential property transactions made in England and Wales since January At present it contains details on over 20 million sales. Of these, over 7 million are identifiable matched pairs, providing the basis for the repeat-sales regression analysis used to compile the index. In the adjusted headline statistics section on p14, the effect of the inclusion of repossession data is revealed. Such data was only comprehensively recorded after January Since this date, we have data on over 150,000 repossessions. The standardised average house prices presented by Land Registry are calculated by taking the geometric mean price in April 2000 and moving this in accordance with index changes both back to 1995 and forward to the present day. Classical seasonal decomposition (Census Method 1) is used to isolate the effects of seasonal trends in volume and index analysis. Monthly and annual percentage changes displayed for counties, unitary authorities, metropolitan district councils and London boroughs represent rolling four-monthly averages of the price changes over one month and 12 months respectively. All price changes represent seasonally adjusted movements. Historical data published as part of the HPI is revised each month as missing and new data becomes available. Statistical computation of the HPI is performed for Land Registry by Landmark Analytics - see for information on the methodology used. With the world s largest property database of over 24 million titles, Land Registry underpins the economy by safeguarding ownership of many billions of pounds worth of property. As a government department established in 1862, executive agency and trading fund responsible to the Secretary of State for Business, Innovation and Skills, Land Registry keeps and maintains the Land Register for England and Wales. The Land Register has been an open document since Please visit for further information. 16
17 Terms and conditions Neither Land Registry nor any third party shall be liable for any loss or damage, direct, indirect or consequential, arising from (i) any inaccuracy or incompleteness of the data in the HPI or (ii) any decision made or action taken in reliance upon the data. Neither shall Land Registry or any third party be liable for loss of business resources, lost profits or any punitive indirect, consequential, special or similar damages whatsoever, whether in contract or tort or otherwise, even if advised of the possibility of such damages being incurred. No part of the HPI may be reproduced in any form or for any purpose without the prior permission of Land Registry. Enquiries can be made to 17
18 Crown copyright 2016 Land Registry
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