MUSTAFA ONUR ÇAĞLAYAN, Ph.D.
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1 MUSTAFA ONUR ÇAĞLAYAN, Ph.D. Göztepe Mahallesi, Gülden Sokak Özyeğin University No:12, Pirçek Apt. Faculty of Business Kat:2, Daire:3 Nişantepe Mahallesi, Orman Sokak, No:34-36 Çiftehavuzlar, Kadıköy, Alemdağ, Çekmeköy, İstanbul / TURKEY İstanbul / TURKEY Home Phone: Telephone: Cell: Fax: [email protected] [email protected] CURRENT EMPLOYMENT Özyeğin University, Istanbul, Turkey Associate Professor of Finance, Faculty of Business (April 2015 present) Assistant Professor of Finance, Faculty of Business (Dec March 2015) Director of Ph.D. Studies in Business (July 2014 present) FIELDS OF SPECIALIZATION Asset Pricing, Investments, Hedge Funds, Mutual Funds, Asset Allocation, Portfolio Optimization, Financial Risk Management, Macro and Monetary Economics, Quantitative Currency Trading Models. EDUCATION Ph.D. in Financial Economics, The Graduate Center, City University of New York (June 2000) Ranked 1st among department graduates with a cumulative GPA of 3.94 out of B.A. in Economics with Honors, Boğaziçi University, Istanbul, Turkey (June 1996) Ranked 3rd among 140 Economics majors with a cumulative GPA of 3.36 out of PH.D. DISSERTATION Title: Hedge Funds and Managed Futures Funds: A Performance Analysis. Advisors: Prof. Franklin R. Edwards (Columbia University) and Prof. Salih Neftçi (CUNY) ACADEMIC PUBLICATIONS Macroeconomic Risk and Hedge Fund Returns, Journal of Financial Economics, Oct. 2014, Vol. 114: 1-19 (with Turan G. Bali and Stephen J. Brown). Emerging Market Exposures and the Predictability of Hedge Fund Returns, Financial Management, Spring 2014, Vol. 43: (with Sevan Ulutas). Development and Calibration of a Currency Trading Strategy Using Global Optimization, Journal of Global Optimization, Jun. 2013, Vol. 56: (with Janos D. Pinter). Systematic Risk and the Cross-section of Hedge Fund Returns, Journal of Financial Economics, Oct. 2012, Vol. 106: (with Turan G. Bali and Stephen J. Brown). Do Hedge Funds Exposures to Risk Factors Predict Their Future Returns? Journal of Financial Economics, Jul. 2011, Vol. 101: (with Turan G. Bali and Stephen J. Brown). 1
2 Hedge Fund Performance and Manager Skill, Journal of Futures Markets, Nov. 2001, Vol. 21: (with Franklin R. Edwards). Hedge Fund and Commodity Fund Investments in Bull and Bear Markets, Journal of Portfolio Management, Summer 2001, Vol. 27: (with Franklin R. Edwards). Comment on Do Hedge Funds Disrupt Emerging Markets? by W. Fung, D. A. Hsieh, and K. Tsatsaronis, Brookings-Wharton Papers on Financial Services, 2000: (with Franklin R. Edwards). WORKING PAPERS Managerial Talent and Hedge Fund Performance (with Turan G. Bali and Stephen J. Brown). Analyst Recommendations, Hedge Fund Holdings, and Expected Stock Returns (with Umut Çeliker). Do Hedge Funds Herd in Industries? (with Umut Çeliker and Gökhan Sonaer). Does Systematic Risk Predict Future CTA and Managed Futures Fund Returns? (with Burcu Avci). Risk Factor Betas and Cross-sectional Variation in CTA and Managed Futures Fund Returns (with Burcu Avci). TEACHING EXPERIENCE Özyeğin University, Assistant and Associate Professor of Finance (Dec present) Courses taught: Finance (Undergraduate), Hedge Fund Performance and Trading (Undergraduate and Master in Financial Engineering), Corporate Finance (MBA and EMBA), Survey in Finance (Ph.D.), Special Topics in Finance (Ph.D.) and Macroeconomics (Undergraduate). Baruch College, City University of New York, Full-time Instructor of Finance (Jan May 2001); Adjunct Lecturer of Finance and Economics (Sept Dec. 1999). Courses taught: Investments, Fundamentals of Financial Management, and Macroeconomics. Hunter College, City University of New York, Adjunct Lecturer of Economics (Sept Dec. 1998). Courses taught: Introductory and Intermediate Macroeconomics. Bilkent University, Ankara, Turkey, Visiting Instructor of Economics (Summer 1998). Courses taught: Introductory and Intermediate Macroeconomics. CONFERENCE AND SEMINAR PRESENTATIONS Managerial Talent and Hedge Fund Performance, Özyeğin University Weekly Finance and Economics Seminar Series, Özyeğin University, Istanbul, Turkey, April Macroeconomic Risk and Hedge Fund Returns, Financial Management Association (FMA) Conference, Nashville, TN, USA, October 2014 (Listed in conference booklet). Emerging Market Exposures and the Predictability of Hedge Fund Returns, Federal Reserve Board Finance Seminar Series, FED Board, Washington D.C., USA, July Emerging Market Betas and the Cross-section of Hedge Fund Returns, Norwegian School of Economics Finance Seminar Series, NHH, Bergen, Norway, March
3 Emerging Market Betas and the Cross-section of Hedge Fund Returns, Istanbul International Finance Congress, Okan University, Istanbul, Turkey, June Systematic Risk and the Cross-section of Hedge Fund Returns, American Finance Association (AFA) Conference, Chicago, IL, USA, January 2012 (Listed in conference booklet). Systematic Risk and the Cross-section of Hedge Fund Returns, Koç University Finance Seminar Series, Koç University, Istanbul, Turkey, December Systematic Risk and the Cross-section of Hedge Fund Returns, Sabancı University Finance Seminar Series, Sabancı University, Istanbul, Turkey, December Systematic Risk and the Cross-section of Hedge Fund Returns, Boğaziçi University Weekly Economics and Finance Seminar Series, Boğaziçi University, Istanbul, Turkey, November Systematic vs. Fund-Specific Risk in Hedge Funds, Özyeğin University Finance Seminar Series, Özyeğin University, Istanbul, Turkey, April Optimized Calibration of Currency Market Strategies, 24th Mini EURO Conference on Continuous Optimization and Information-based Technologies in the Financial Sector, Izmir Economics University, Izmir, Turkey, June 2010 (Short article published in conference proceedings). Hedge Funds Exposures to Risk Factors and Expected Fund Returns, 46th Euro Working Group on Financial Modeling Conference, Özyeğin University, Istanbul, Turkey, May 2010 (Conference co-chair). Hedge Fund Performance and Manager Skill, Sabancı University Finance Seminar Series, Sabancı University, Istanbul, Turkey, February Alternative Investments: Hedge Funds and Commodity Funds, Annual Seminars by Society of Quantitative Analysts, New York, NY, USA, October FELLOWSHIPS AND GRANTS Robert E. Gilleece Fellowship, The Graduate Center, City University of New York ( ): Maximum financial aid awarded by The Graduate Center, including full tuition waiver, housing and boarding. Sabancı Fellowship, Boğaziçi University, İstanbul, Turkey ( ): Scholarship awarded by the Hacı Ömer Sabancı Foundation to a select group of students based on the University Entrance Examination. TEACHING AND RESEARCH ASSISTANTSHIPS Columbia University, Business School, Research Assistant for Prof. Franklin R. Edwards ( ); Teaching Assistant for Prof. Franklin R. Edwards ( ). Held problem sessions for Futures Markets and Institutional Funds Management MBA courses. The Graduate Center, City University of New York, Teaching Assistant for Prof. Salih Neftçi ( ); Teaching Assistant for Prof. Ted Joyce (1998); Research Assistant for Prof. Alvin Marty ( ). Held problem sessions for Financial Markets, Macroeconomics, and Econometrics courses in Ph.D. program. Boğaziçi University, İstanbul, Turkey, Teaching Assistant for Prof. Süleyman Özmucur ( ). Held problem sessions for the undergraduate Econometrics course. 3
4 INDUSTRY EXPERIENCE Millennium Partners, L.P., New York, NY Foreign Exchange Portfolio Manager (July 2006 Nov. 2008) Managed the hedge fund s $150 million capital in foreign exchange markets; responsible for every aspect of the fund s allocated capital in currency markets, from implementation of currency models to execution of actual trades. Developed profitable quantitative trading models in currency markets, using empirical research applied to financial markets. Used various electronic trading platforms for the execution of trades to minimize transaction costs. Monitored the P&L of the portfolio on a daily basis, and managed the size of the portfolio according to market conditions and volatility. J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., New York, NY Vice President, Global Foreign Exchange Strategist (Jan June 2006) Associate, Foreign Exchange Product Development (Oct Dec. 2002) Developed the Carry-to-Risk G-10 and emerging markets currency basket trading model, in which the bank invested $145 million. This basket generated $8.1 million P&L for the bank in Generated the Risk Tolerance Index, a measure of risk-aversion for financial markets, which is used as an overlay for the Carry-to-Risk basket model. Launched and marketed to external clients J.P. Morgan s FX Barometer product, a multi-factor signaling model for currency markets. Generated a currency trading model from J.P. Morgan s propriety Flow-of-Funds portfolio flow database, in which the bank invested $6 million in Constructed the FX CACI (Foreign Exchange Current Account and Carry Index) basket, a G-10 currencytrading portfolio model, in which the bank invested $60 million in Presented currency views and trade recommendations to external and internal clients on a regular basis. Wrote daily, bi-weekly, monthly, and quarterly Foreign Exchange strategy publications. INDUSTRY PUBLICATIONS Introducing JPMorgan s Flow of Funds Portfolio Flow Trading Model, JPMorgan Global Foreign Exchange Research Publication, June 2, Trading JPMorgan s Carry-to-Risk Currency Model in G-10 & Emerging Markets, JPMorgan Global Foreign Exchange Research Publication, March 2, JPMorgan s FX & Commodity Barometer, JPMorgan Investment Strategies, No. 10, September 22, Using Official Data and Flow of Funds to Track Portfolio Flows, JPMorgan Global Foreign Exchange Research Publication, July 8, Finding Lower-risk FX Carry Trades, JPMorgan Global Foreign Exchange Research Publication, May 1, Flow of Funds: Profitable Patterns, JPMorgan Global Foreign Exchange Research Publication, April 1, Alternative LCVI Trading Strategies, JPMorgan Investment Strategies, No. 8, January 8,
5 LCVI Trading Rules to Reduce Transaction Costs, JPMorgan Global Foreign Exchange Research Publication, December 18, Trading Emerging Market FX using the LCVI, JPMorgan Global Foreign Exchange Research Publication, December 18, Using Equities to Trade FX: Introducing the LCVI, JPMorgan Investment Strategies, No. 7, October 1, Cross-Border Flow of Funds: A Primer, JPMorgan Global Foreign Exchange Research Publication, April 18, FX Performance in Four Modes of LCPI, JPMorgan Global Foreign Exchange Research Publication, February 14, New LCPI Trading Rules: Introducing FX CACI, JPMorgan Global Foreign Exchange Research Publication, December 19, COMPUTER SKILLS Matlab, Stata, E-Views (Econometric Views), TSP (Time Series Processing), ET (Econometric Toolkit), Microsoft Excel, Microsoft Word, Microsoft Power Point, Adobe PageMaker, Ibbotson Investment Analysis 7.0. REFERENCES Stephen J. Brown David S. Loeb Professor of Finance Leonard N. Stern School of Business, New York University Kaufman Management Center 44 West 4th Street KMC 9-89 New York, NY Phone: (212) [email protected] Turan G. Bali Robert S. Parker Chair Professor of Business Administration McDonough School of Business, Georgetown University Washington, D.C Phone: (202) [email protected] H. Nejat Seyhun The Jerome B. & Eilene M. York Professor of Business Administration Ross School of Business, University of Michigan 701 Tappan Avenue Ann Arbor, MI Phone: (734) [email protected] 5
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