Pierre Delort President of the French National Association of CIOs Association Nationale des DSI.

Transcription

1 OECD ICCP Technology Foresight Forum "Harnessing data as a new source of growth: Big data analytics and policies" Pierre Delort President of the French National Association of CIOs Association Nationale des DSI. 1/14

2 Research and the Internet 2/14

3 What you have typed Oscar nomination Nature Vol February /14

4 The 45 queries and their topics logit(i(t)) = αlogit(q(t)) + ε 4/14

5 Results Induction the glory of science and the scandal of philosophy CD Broad Etats-Unis Propagation du Virus Estimation de la grippe Google Flu Trends CDC s Sentinel US, Region atlantic center, season Google Flu Trends (black) CDC (red) 5/14

6 NGS & Moore s law Ion proton sequencer Cost per Mégabase 10 years ; cost divided by About 100 time Moore s law Bottleneck = Data Analysis 6/14

7 % of sequencing cost NGS ; impact on skills 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Genome's sequencing cost 2000 (before NGS) 2010 (NGS) 2020 (Est.) Sampling & Experiment design Sequencing Data Management Data reduction & synthesis Downstream analysis Important (X 3 to X 10) increase of the need of : Sboner A, et al.: The real cost of sequencing: higher than you think! Genome Biology 2011, 12:125. (bio) computer scientists ; (bio) statisticians. If you are looking for a career where your services will be in high demand, you should find something where you provide a scarce, complementary service to something that is getting ubiquitous and cheap. So what s getting ubiquitous and cheap? Data. And what is complementary to data? Analysis. Prof. Hal Varian, UC Berkeley, Chief Economist at Google, /14

8 The last ten years 64 bits adressable memory (DRAM) X 4, Sharp decrease of Solid State Device s cost + Increase of computing power DRAM/10 2 Flash NAND/10 3 X 100 Innovation in DB & software /50 à /10 x This leads to three technologies I belive will drive the future of computing : In-Memory ; SSD ; MPP. 8/14

9 Three technologies In-Memory ; very fast (I/O), saves on Opex (DB tuning, energy ) but nonpersistent, requires reformatting of the software, expensive and (today) with limited scalability ; SSD (Flash/NAND) ; fast (I/O) no reformating required, persistent, scalable, extensible, cheap ; saves both on Capex and Opex (energy) ; MPP (MapReduce) ; very scalable (n 10 5 ), fit for «low density data» (key/value), but requires new programming skills and Opex (energy). Bandwidth (MB/S) DRAM CPU Cache Tape Source : Objective Analysis Flash Disk (Echelle Log.) Cost 9/14

10 E-science ; the 4th stage of science 58 Harvard Business Review November /14

11 Impacts on Research & Innovation Induction the glory of science and the scandal of philosophy CD Broad EXPÉRIMENTATION (2 nd Paradigm) Research Inspiration Limiting factor Validation Publication Protection Valorisation Data Hypothesis Exploration Explanation Publication Protection Valorisation (BIG) DATA MINING (4 th Paradigm) Firm / Innovation Idea generation Selection Conversion Diffusion 11/14

12 Public Data; a right for citizens as well as scientists? data.gouv.fr 12/14

13 CDO, a new rôle for the (business) CIO? Will the CIO : 1.be in charge of the (rich, up to date, reliable ) data whatever their origin (in Business) ; internal ; external ; public ; private ; available for acquisition or ; depending of the action of a regulator. 1.and act as a Chief Data Officer, in charge of «Data Informed Decisions*»? I keep saying that the sexy job in the next 10 years will be statisticians, said Hal Varian, chief economist at Google. And I m not kidding. *Kolker E., /14

14 Where is the wisdom we have lost in knowledge? Where is the knowledge we have lost in information? T.S. Eliot Wisdom Knowledge Information Data - Lee Scott, Wal-Mart CEO to the question «What happened to K-Mart? His answer, in a word, was coupons. K-Mart overdid it with coupons, which became too much a hunk of its overhead, while also narrowing his customer-base toward coupon clippers. By contrast, Wal-Mart minimized that kind of thing, focusing instead on promising everyday low price. In the intention Economy, Doc Searle, /14