Central Toronto Integrated Regional Resource Plan (IRRP) Introduction to the Engagement and IRRP Overview

Transcription

1 Central Toronto Integrated Regional Resource Plan (IRRP) Introduction to the Engagement and IRRP Overview September 11, 2014

2 THIS WEBINAR IS THE BEGINNING OF AN ENGAGEMENT PROCESS Introduction to the Integrated Regional Resource Plan for Central Toronto Information on opportunities to provide feedback Answer questions about this plan A contextual workbook with more information is online 2

3 THE REGIONAL ELECTRICITY PLANNING PROCESS IN ONTARIO An Integrated Regional Resource Plan (IRRP) looks at the long term trends for electricity requirements and the different ways to meet the need for: Capacity to supply demand Reliability for meeting standards and customer expectations Supply security for the urban centre The IRRP is jointly developed by a Working Group Ontario Power Authority Toronto Hydro-Electric System Limited Independent Electricity System Operator Hydro One Networks Inc. 3

4 TORONTO IS ONE OF 21 REGIONAL PLANNING AREAS ACROSS ONTARIO Regional Planning Zones 1. Burlington to Nanticoke 11. London Area 2. Greater Ottawa 12. Peterborough to Kingston 3. GTA North 13. South Georgian Bay/Muskoka 4. GTA West 14. Sudbury/Algoma 5. KWCG 15. Chatham/Lambton/Sarnia 6. Metro Toronto 16. Greater Bruce/Huron 7. Northwest Ontario 17. Niagara 8. Windsor Essex 18. North of Moosonee 9. East Lake Superior 19. North/East of Sudbury 10. GTA East 20. Renfrew 21. St. Lawrence

5 THIS PLANNING PROCESS EXISTS TO SERVE YOUR NEEDS We want to know: Your expectations around electricity service The value you place on higher levels of service Your preferences around options to meet Toronto s electricity needs Your input will help shape the electricity plan Perspectives may vary based on the type of customer: Residential, multi-residential, commercial, institutional, etc. 5

6 ONTARIO S ELECTRICITY SYSTEM Generation Resources GENERATION TRANSMISSION DISTRIBUTION CUSTOMERS 6

7 CENTRAL TORONTO IRRP STUDY AREA Metro Toronto (5,000 MW Total Demand, including Central Area) Central Toronto (2,000 MW, 40% of Metro Toronto) QEW 7

8 CENTRAL TORONTO IRRP STUDY AREA Two major transmission pathways (East and West) One source of internal generation (Portlands Energy Centre) Demand Supply Balance 1980s QEW Transmission Generation 8

9 INFRASTRUCTURE PLANNING IS TARGETED TO ADDRESS THE PEAK DEMAND Toronto Hydro Commercial Load Profile Peak Summer Day Air Conditioning Lighting Auxiliary Motors Auxiliary Equipment/Plug Loads 9

10 FORECASTING INVOLVES UNCERTAINTY - A PLAN MUST BE ABLE TO ADAPT TO A RANGE OF POSSIBLE FUTURES 2,600 2,400 Peak Demand (MW) 2,200 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1, Actual historic peak demand Factors that can drive demand upward: More economic growth More people moving into the city Electrification of transportation Less than expected Conservation results Factors that can bring demand down: Shifting to less energy intensive commerce Reduced pace of growth Increasing end-use efficiency More stringent building codes 10 Year

11 THE LOCATION OF GROWTH IS AN IMPORTANT CONSIDERATION IN PLANNING Growth Areas Stations Nearing Capacity 11

12 A CLOSE UP OF CENTRAL TORONTO S ELECTRICITY SYSTEM Central Toronto - Inset 400 Load Transfer Capability 427 Portlands 550 MW QEW 12

13 THE SYSTEM PERFORMS WELL UNDER MOST NORMAL EQUIPMENT OUTAGES Some major events have impacted many customers Frequency Statistics (Interruptions per customer) Duration Statistics (Hours per customer - average) BLUE: Without Major Events RED: With Major Events # of outages per customer on average 13 length of outages in hours per customer on average

14 RECENT MAJOR EVENTS July 2013 Rainfall December 2013 Ice Storm 14

15 OPTIONS FOR MEETING ELECTRICITY DEMAND COST TIMING Distributed Generation Transmission & Distribution OTHERS?? VISUAL IMPACTS ENVIRON- MENTAL IMPACTS Conservation & Demand Management Each option has strengths and weaknesses An integrated plan includes a mix of options that is affordable and acceptable to the community and approval authorities Integrated Solutions 15

16 CONSERVATION AND DEMAND MANAGEMENT (CDM) OPTIONS Conservation is an important consideration in regional planning Opportunity to deploy provincial CDM resources in areas where local electricity needs have been identified Next generation CDM plans and programs can contribute to regional and community energy planning goals CDM opportunities for consideration: Targeted marketing in specific areas with needs Focusing on programs with greater energy savings at peak Local demand response and district energy systems Updating local building codes and standards Cost and lead time vary based on type of CDM, some programs could be implemented in 1-2 years 16

17 DISTRIBUTED GENERATION (DG) OPTIONS DG can contribute to the reliability and security of supply in local areas Scalable resources can be built up over time Different types of DG for consideration: Renewable resources such as solar, wind, biogas/biomass Combined heat and power systems Emergency and backup generation Cost and lead time (2-5 years average) vary based on type of resource 17

18 TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION OPTIONS Wires options can have economies of scale, and significantly contribute to reliability and security Space for new transmission and distribution is constrained in built up urban areas Depending on the type of capacity need, options can be: New load station (s) Transmission lines and stations Cost and lead time (5-7 years average) vary based on the type of facility 18

19 OPPORTUNITIES TO PROVIDE FEEDBACK Today s webinars September 11 at 2:00 pm and 7:00 pm An archive of these webinars can be found on OPA s website Complete the online workbook Posted on OPA and Toronto Hydro s website from September 3 October 10 for comment Attend an Open House September 30 at 3:00 pm and 7:00 pm Metro Hall Civic Centre, Room 302 Provide input in writing to the OPA at torontoregionalplan@powerauthority.on.ca 19

20 QUESTIONS? 20