Curriculum Vitae Marc K. Francke
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1 Curriculum Vitae Marc K. Francke Updated July 15, 2013 Professor of Real Estate Valuation Department of Real Estate Finance Amsterdam Business School, University of Amsterdam Roetersstraat 11, 1018 WB Amsterdam, the Netherlands Phone: ; Fax: Head of Real Estate Research Ortec Finance Barajasweg, 1043 CP Amsterdam, the Netherlands Phone: ; Fax: PERSONAL DETAILS Date of birth March 8, 1970 Nationality Dutch Marital status Married EDUCATION PhD in Econometrics, obtained from the VU University Amsterdam on March 7, PhD thesis: Marginal Likelihood in State-Space models; theory and applications (advisors: S.J. Koopman and A.F. de Vos) MSc in Econometrics, VU University Amsterdam ACADEMIC CAREER 2009 Professor Real Estate Valuation, Amsterdam Business School, Finance Group, University of Amsterdam Assistant professor of Econometrics, VU University Amsterdam RESEARCH INTERESTS Real Estate: Econometrics: Valuation; Price Index Construction; Mass Appraisal; Housing Markets; Commercial Real Estate Time Series; State space models; Kalman filter; Unit roots and cointegration 1
2 BUSINESS CAREER 2009 Head of Real Estate Research at Ortec Finance Research Center Co-founder and general manager of OrtaX, a firm specialized in mass appraisal of real estate by the use of statistical models. The models are used by local governments for property tax and housing corporations for measuring the indirect returns. Main responsibilities: acquisition, model development and projectmanagement Selective list of projects (apart from mass appraisal projects): - Amsterdam development Corporation (2006, 2007) Research on valuation of ground value for houses with shortly expiring land lease contracts. - KPN (2005, 2006): (in cooperation with Ortec). Examination of the comparative cost efficiency of the Dutch telecom company KPN for the output on their fixed lines by a stochastic frontier model based on data from 67 local exchange carriers in the USA. - ProRail: o 2009: Simulation study on the effects of rewarding companies that produce in a climate conscious (reduction of CO2) manner in tendering procedures. o From 2004: Research on the impact of fraud in the construction sector, business cycle and contract types on the costs of projects where ProRail has commissioned the projects. - Caterpillar / PON (from 2006): Monthly (18-months ahead) forecasts for the number of sales for different machine types in the Netherlands. - Housing Corporation Zomers Buiten (Woonmaatschappij) (2004) The valuation of individual houses in a project of selling off building complexes in single units. - Shell (2002) Research (in cooperation with Ortec) on asymmetric price policy on the Dutch petrol market in response to suspicions by the Netherlands Competition Authority (NMA) Amsterdam Council Tax office (Dienst Belastingen Gemeente Amsterdam) Development and implementation of real estate mass appraisal models. Some research topics: - Influence of land leases on selling prices for shortly expiring land lease contracts - Impact of transaction noise on selling prices - Impact of public green on selling prices by measuring distance and view of green 2
3 TEACHING EXPERIENCE 2008 Lectures in the courses - Real Estate Valuation and Investment - Real Estate Markets - Real Estate Finance and Portfolio Management University of Amsterdam Undergraduate courses in Quantitative Methods and Statistics (Seminars), VU University Amsterdam 2001 Now Lectures in the courses Real Estate Valuation Market Analysis Amsterdam School of Real Estate PUBLICATIONS Publications in Journals Constantinescu, M. and Francke, M.K. (2013). The Historical Development of the Swiss rental market- A new Price Index, Journal of Housing Economics, 22, De Wit, E.R., Englund, P. and Francke, M.K. (2013). Price and Transaction Volume in the Dutch Housing Market, Regional Science and Urban Economics, 43, Francke, M.K. (2010). Repeat Sales Index for Thin Markets. A Structural Time Series Approach, Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 41(1), Francke, M.K., Koopman, S.J. and de Vos, A.F. (2010). Likelihood functions for state space models with diffuse initial conditions. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 31 (6), Francke, M.K. and de Vos, A.F. (2007). Marginal Likelihood and Unit Roots. Journal of Econometrics, 137(2), Francke, M.K. and de Vos, G.A. (2004). The Hierarchical Trend Model for Property Valuation and Local Price Indices. Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 28 (2), Francke, M.K. and de Vos, A.F. (2000). Efficient Computation of Hierarchical Trends. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 18 (1), Francke, M.K., Needham, D.B. and Bosma, P. (1997/1998). How the City of Amsterdam is using Econometric Modelling to Value Real Estate. Journal of Property Tax Assessment & Administration, 3,
4 Academic publications in other Dutch Journals Van de Minne, A. and Francke, M.K. (2012), De waardebepaling van grond en opstal, Real Estate Research Quartely, 11(3), Francke, M.K. (2010). How Bloated is the Dutch Housing Market? Real Estate Research Quarterly, 9 (1), Francke, M.K. (2010). A State-Space Model for Residential Real Estate Valuation. Aenorm, 18 (July), 4-7. Francke, M.K., Kuijl, T. and Kramer, B. (2009). De betrouwbaarheid van Nederlandse huizenprijsindices. Real Estate Research Quarterly, 8(3), Kramer, B., Kuijl, T. and Francke, M.K. (2009). Invloed woningprijsfluctuaties. Real Estate Research Quarterly, 8(3), Francke, M.K. (2005). Taxeren van courant onroerend goed zonder referentieverkopen. Property Research Quarterly, 5, Publications in Volumes and Proceedings Francke, M.K. (2008). The Hierarchical Trend Model, In T. Kauko and M. Damato (eds), Mass Appraisal Methods; An International Perspective for Property Valuers, , Wiley-Blackwell RICS Research, Boelen, B., Francke, M.K. en van de Paverd, F. (1997). Modelmatige bepaling van grondwaarde. In N.C. Harkes (eds), Trends in de berekening van grondkosten, 35-54, Delftse Universitaire Press. Francke, M.K. (1996). De waarde van omgevingskenmerken, In L.B. Uittenbogaard en G. A. Vos (eds), Waardebepaling Vastgoed. Enkele actuele ontwikkelingen, 74-88, Stichting voor Beleggings- en Vastgoedkunde (Amsterdam School of Real Estate). Professional publications Van de Minne, A., Francke, M.K. and Conijn. J. (2012), Gevolgen verkopen corporatiewoningen op woningprijzen, Ortec Finance. Francke, M.K. (2011). Kwaliteitsbeoordeling van een model en de kenmerken, Syllabus VastgoedCert: hercertificering 2012: modelmatige waardebepaling, Francke, M.K. (2011). Waarderingsmodellen voor de vergelijkingsmethode, Syllabus VastgoedCert: hercertificering 2012: modelmatige waardebepaling,
5 Francke, M.K. (2010). Modelmatige bepaling van de waarde in het economische verkeer. In P.J.M. de Graaff Saarloos en I. Vermeulen (eds), WOZ-taxatie, , Doetinchem: Reed Elsevier. Francke, M.K. (2010). Krimp en woningprijzen. De invloed van demografische krimp op de woningprijs, SEV, Rotterdam. Francke, M.K. (2008). Modelmatige waardebepaling. In P.J.J.M. van den Bosch en J.M. Monsma (eds), WOZ-praktijk pakket, Reed Business Information. Francke, M.K. en Saarloos, P.J.M. (2008). Onderbouwing taxatie, In P.J.J.M. van den Bosch en J.M. Monsma (eds), WOZ-praktijk pakket, Reed Business Information. Francke, M.K. (2008). Modelmatige bepaling van de waarde in het economisch verkeer. In P.J.M. Saarloos en I. Vermeulen (eds), Zakboekje WOZ-taxaties, , Reed Business Information. Francke, M.K. (2003). Geautomatiseerde waardebepaling, In P.J.J.M. van den Bosch en J.A. Monsma, Praktijkhandboek WOZ, Reed Business Information. Monographs (English) Francke, M.K. (2010). Casametrics. The art of modelling and forecasting the market value of houses. Amsterdam (extensive summary of inaugural speech). Francke, M.K. (2006). Marginal Likelihood in State-space Models. Theory and Applications, Thesis,VU University Amsterdam. Monographs (Dutch) Francke, M.K. (2010), Casametrie. De kunst van het modelleren en het voorspellen van de marktwaarde van woningen, Vossiuspers UvA, Amsterdam (oratie). Working- and discussion papers Francke, M.K. and van de Minne, A.M. (2011), Land, Structure & Depreciation, Research paper, University of Amsterdam. Francke, M.K. and van de Minne, A.M. (2011), The effects of demographic changes and supply constraints on Dutch housing prices, Research paper, University of Amsterdam. Francke, M.K. (2010). Comparing Markets Rents from a User Cost and Reaction model. Applied Working paper Ortec Finance Research Center. De Wit, E., Englund, P. and Francke, M.K. (2010). Price and Transaction Volume in the Dutch Housing Market. Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers /2 (Paper presented at ERES conference Stockholm, 2009) 5
6 Van Bragt. D., Francke, M.K., Kramer B. and Pelsser A. (2009). Risk Neutral Valuation of Real Estate Derivatives. Technical Working paper Ortec Finance Research Center. Francke, M.K., Vujic, S. and Vos, G.A. (2009). Evaluation of the House Price Models Using an ECM Approach: The Case of the Netherlands, Methodological Working paper Ortec Finance Research Center (paper presented at the ERES conference, Stockholm, 2009). Francke, M.K., Kuijl, T. and Kramer, B. (2009). A Comparitive Analysis of Dutch House Price Indices. Applied Working paper Ortec Finance Research Center (paper presented at ERES conference, Stockholm, 2009). Kramer, B., Kuijl, T. and Francke, M.K. (2009). The Impact of House Price Index Specification Levels on the Risk Profile of Housing Corporations. Applied Working paper Ortec Finance Research Center (paper presented at ERES conference, Stockholm, 2009). Francke, M.K., de Vos, A.F. and Koopman, S.J. (2008). Likelihood Functions for State Space Models with Diffuse Initial Conditions. Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers /4. Francke, M.K., de Vos, A.F. (2008). Bayesian Unit Root Tests and Marginal Likelihood. Technical paper, Francke, M.K., de Vos, A.F. (2008). An Efficiency Correction Model. Technical paper, Francke, M.K., de Vos, A.F. (2007). Marginal Likelihood based Tests on Cointegration in the Engle-Granger Model. Technical paper, (paper presented at ESEM conference, Budapest, 2007). Contributions to academic conferences, workshops and seminars Casametrie. De kunst van het modelleren en het voorspellen van de marktwaarde van woningen, VOGON research seminar, Amsterdam, April 7, De invloed van demografische krimp op woningprijzen, VOGON research seminar, Utrecht, June 16, Comparing markets rents from a user cost and reaction model, 19th Annual International AREUEA Conference, Erasmus University, Rotterdam, June 17-19, Risk neutral valuation of real estate derivatives, Skye seminar, Sky, August 29 September 1,
7 Participation in academic networks & fellowships Treasurer of the European Real Estate Society (ERES). Board member of the Vereniging Onroerend Goed Onderzoekers Nederland (VOGON). 7
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