Key Market Data Points. Sentiment Indicators MARKET BREADTH
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- Sharon Walton
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1 Market Recap After a mild correction in the past couple of sessions the domestic market underwent a consolidation phase during the first half of today s session. The benchmark indices traded in an extremely narrow range since morning as the voting for BREXIT referendum begun on 11.30am IST. However, once the European markets started the index NIFTY picked up the momentum in the later part of the session to claim a smart rally of almost 0 points. As a result, the index closed near the day s high above the 8250 mark. In addition, the BSE index SENSEX reached the milestone of and closed above the same. The action increased in the companies with considerable exposure to Europe with Tata Motors Ltd and Bharat Forge Ltd recovering some ground after yesterday's losses. With all said and done, the market breadth failed to impress as it ended in the favour of declining counters. On the global front, European indices like FTSE (+1.39%), CAC (+2.07%) and DAX (+2.02%) were trading with heavy gains while the time the report was made. The Asian Indices like NIKKIE (+1.06%), HANGSENG (+0.35%) and SHANGHAI (-0.47%) displayed mixed trend in today s session. On the sectoral front, apart from the NIFTY REALTY (-1.15%) and NIFTY MEDIA (-0.37%) stocks almost all the indices closed in positive terrain. From the list of gainers, NIFTY PSU BANK (+2.02%) stocks outperformed the most and were followed by NIFTY BANK (+1.51%) and NIFTY AUTO (+1.05%) stocks. The broader markets underperformed a bit as the MID100 (+0.11%) and SML100 (-0.26%) indices ended with small loss. In the currency market, we witnessed weakness in the INR against other major currencies. On the stock front, Jain Irrigation Systems surged on reports that a foreign brokerage has upgraded its rating on the stock to overweight from equal-weight on robust earnings growth forecast. On the other hand, Sharon Bio-Medicine surged another 10% triggered by the company's announcement with regard to its business expansion plans. Key Market Data Points Name High Low Range Prev. Sensex Nifty Spot Nifty Future VIX Name Sentiment Indicators Prev. Day Prm/Disc PCR () PCR (Vol) MARKET BREADTH NSE Today % Advance % Declines % A/D Ratio %
2 OPEN INTEREST (`000) 30,000 Openinterest Nifty 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000,0 5/24 5/27 5/1 5/6 5/9 5/14 5/17 5/ Key Takeaways The Nifty Fut. closed at 8282 levels with a premium of points against premium of 1.35 points Nifty open interest increased by 4.47% with a rise in price Bank Nifty closed at with a rise of 4.25% in open interest with a rise in price. The total turnover in F&O segment is 3,57,634 cr., risen by 37% from previous session. 10,000,000 8,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 CE PE - NIFTY OPTION OPEN INTEREST For the current series, the Call PUT concentration has shifted to 8400 strike Call with an open interest of lakh shares. On the other hand, highest PUT base remains at 8000 strike with Lakh shares in open interest. In current series, call options addition was seen to the tune of 4.08 Lakh shares in open interest with a rise in price; on the other PE added Lakh shares in open interest with a rise in price. The highest open interest activity was observed in the strikes CE with an open interest of 1.77 cr. shares, on the flipside highest PE activity was seen in strikes to the tune of 1.39 cr. shares in open interest. The strikes CE added Lakh shares; while on the PE side meaningful addition was seen 7000,7500,7800,7900,8200 & 8300 PE strikes to the tune of Lakh shares. Whereas, unwinding was seen in 8300 strikes CE to the tune of 9.40 Lakh shares and on the PE side unwinding was seen in 8000 strike to the tune of 4.97 Lakh shares.
3 F&O Price Gainers & Losers Long Build-Up ALBK ,338, RCOM ,782, STAR ,270, JSWENERGY ,758, HEXAWARE ,450, IOB ,566, L , BAJAJ-AUTO ,382, Short Covering ALBK ,338, JISLJALEQS ,241, HEXAWARE ,450, RCOM ,782, Short Build-Up INFRATEL ,652, BATAINDIA ,999, PTC ,552, INDIACEM ,345, Liquidation JETAIRWAYS ,897, ARVIND ,364, GODREJCP ,360, VEDL ,480, INFRATEL ,652, UNITECH ,131, HDIL ,593, UPL ,770, Key Takeaways The overall TELECOM pack is giving a signals of sharp recovery. From them RCOM can be the best bet for going long. The PSU BANKS like BANKBARODA and ALBK etc. has some more fume left and thus they can be traded with positive bias. As mentioned earlier, we are expecting a corrective move in the REALTY stocks like IBREAL, HDIL etc. AUROPHARMA will confirm a major breakdown if it breached the 710. Thus, at this stage it s a chance buy. Long Build Up:- Rise in Price & Rise in Liquidation:- Fall in Price & Fall in Short Build Up:- Fall in Price & Rise in Short Covering:- Rise in Price & Fall in
4 News Updates Sensex rises 200 points, Nifty50 above 8,250 ahead of EU referendum outcome. Historic Brexit referendum on knife-edge as millions vote. InMobi faces $950,000 fine for deceptively tracking millions of consumers. NTPC s credit strength reflects dominant position: Moody s. Sterling hits 2016 high, stocks climb as UK votes on Brexit. KEC International surges on bagging orders worth Rs 1,036 crore. Stock View CMP TGT Rationale HINDPETRO Bullish Stocks In Action The stock has relatively outperformed the broader market and the secular trend remains positive. Price has been sustaining well above its cluster of medium and long term moving averages, indicting strength in the counter. The delivery volume is also showing strong traction on a weekly and monthly chart. For medium term the stock is poised to test the 1100 mark. In today s session the counter confirmed a bullish FLAG pattern on the weekly chart. Thus, we advise traders to go long in the stock in the range of for the upside target of On the downside, the stop loss should be placed below 908. Technical Outlook As anticipated earlier, Nifty found support from 8180 level and recorded smart pullback with the help of which index closed above key resistance of 8260 levels. In continuation with that, above 8300 Nifty can fill the negative gap witnessed on 21st August 2015 placed in the range of levels. On the contrary, now vital support has shifted to range. A breach of 8200 level would be an alarming point for the longs. A breach of 8180 level would lead to further weakness in the market which might drag Nifty below 8060 levels. Going forward, India VIX is the only concern, as it s sustaining above 18 levels for the consecutive second day. At the same time market breath moreover remain weak. Similar to benchmark index NIFTY, Nifty Bank index recorded breakout from downward sloping channel formation and closed near swing high. Going ahead, is going to act as a strong resistance. Even Bank Nifty has negative Gap placed in the range of levels. Meanwhile remains strong support for the Nifty Bank index.
5 FII s activity: Cash Market: Today FII s bought worth Rs. 82 cr. in the equity markets; at the same time DII s bought 204 cr. Consequently, in the June Series up till now, FII s have bought 4586 Cr. in the cash segment, while DII s sold 1769 Cr. F&O Segment: After ten day s selling activity, today FII s bought worth Rs cr. in the F&O segment. On the Index Future front they bought 320 cr. (net long added). On the index option front, they bought 645 cr. (liquidation of CE short position along with addition in PE long combined with addition of fresh Short positions). Also, they bought worth Rs. 362 Cr. in the stock futures (added some long position along with liquidation of short positions). Conclusion: In line with our view, Nifty recorded breakout from 8260 mark. The FII s derivative statistical data suggest long addition in index futures combined with liquidation of short positions, hedge with net addition in PE long. Also, as expected the upper end for the current series has now shifted to 8400 from earlier 8300 levels. If Nifty manages to close above 8360 mark on a weekly closing basis, then we may see points rally. In case of a failure to do so, Nifty can confine within the range of range for next couple of sessions. Only a decisive move below would create further cynicism in the market. Therefore, we suggest readers to book profit on long positions if Nifty crosses 8300 mark but fails to sustain above 8360 mark.
6 Disclaimer: This document has been prepared by IndiaNivesh Securities Limited ( INSL ), for use by the recipient as information only and is not for circulation or public distribution. INSL includes subsidiaries, group and associate companies, promoters, employees and affiliates. This document is published in accordance with Regulation 18 of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Research Analysts) Regulations, INSL researches, aggregates and faithfully reproduces information available in public domain and other sources, considered to be reliable and makes them available for the recipient, though its accuracy or completeness has not been verified by INSL independently and cannot be guaranteed. This document is not to be altered, transmitted, reproduced, copied, redistributed, uploaded or published or made available to others, in any form, in whole or in part, for any purpose without prior written permission from INSL. 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