MAP-21 Performance Management Implementation. Federal Highway Administration March 19, 2014 Webcast
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1 MAP-21 Performance Management Implementation Federal Highway Administration March 19, 2014 Webcast
2 Opening Comments Jeff Paniati FHWA Executive Director
3 Today s Webcast Part 1 Implementing Performance Management Pete Stephanos FHWA Office of Transportation Performance Management Part 2 Safety Performance Measures Proposal Robert Ritter FHWA Office of Safety
4 MAP-21 National Performance Title Management Measures Subtitle An Overview of Notice of Proposed Rulemakings Related to Safety Performance Management Meeting Date March 13, 2014 Federal Highway Administration Office of Transportation Performance Management
5 Questions that will be answered Transportation Performance Management How is performance built into MAP-21? How does USDOT intend to implement the performance elements of the law? How did FHWA develop the proposed regulations? How do the first three rules implement performance management provisions? Overview of Safety Performance Management 5
6 Transportation Performance Management How is performance built into MAP-21? Overview of Safety Performance Management 6
7 Transportation Performance Management MAP-21 Background-Performance Elements National Goals Measures Targets Plans Reports Accountability and Transparency Overview of Safety Performance Management 7
8 USDOT Performance Measure Areas Transportation Performance Management National Highway Traffic Safety Administration 14 measures documented in 2008 report Federal Highway Administration, Federal-aid Highway Program Fatalities HSIP Serious Injuries Pavement Condition Bridge Condition NHPP System Performance Traffic Congestion CMAQ On-road Mobile Source Emissions Freight Movement Federal Transit Administration - Public Transportation State of Good Repair Safety Criteria Overview of Safety Performance Management 8
9 Transportation Performance Management How does USDOT intend to implement the performance elements of the law? Overview of Safety Performance Management 9
10 11 Inter-related Rulemakings Transportation Performance Management Highway Safety Grant Programs Federal-aid Highway Programs Public Transportation Programs NHTSA FHWA FTA 1 Rule 6 Rules 4 Rules Overview of Safety Performance Management 10
11 Issue Proposed Rules in Three Stages Transportation Performance Management 1 Safety Proposals Statewide and Metro Planning 2 Infrastructure Condition Asset Management 3 System Performance+ Public Transportation Proposals Overview of Safety Performance Management 11
12 Transportation Performance Management Coordinated Effective Dates for Measures Stakeholder Outreach 2013 Rules Effective FHWA Issued Rulemakings 2014 Proposing Rules 2016 Targets Established Overview of Safety Performance Management 12
13 Proposal Comment Periods Transportation Performance Management March April May June July August September HSIP Safety PM Planning Asset Management Infrastructure PM System Performance+ PM Overview of Safety Performance Management 13
14 Transportation Performance Management How did FHWA develop the proposed regulations? Overview of Safety Performance Management 14
15 Transportation Performance Management Stakeholder Engagement (PM NPRMs) Listening Sessions Understand how provisions can be implemented successfully Informational Webinars Subject Matter Meetings Online Dialogues Direct Contact to USDOT Overview of Safety Performance Management 15
16 Transportation Performance Management Stakeholder Engagement (PM NPRMs) MPOs Federal Entities State/Local Gov Private Non-Profit Listening Sessions Informational Webinars Subject Matter Meetings Online Dialogues Direct Contact to USDOT Overview of Safety Performance Management 16
17 Transportation Performance Management Stakeholder Engagement (PM NPRMs) 26% 39% 29% Listening Sessions Informational Webinars 6% Subject Matter Meetings Online Dialogues Direct Contact to USDOT Overview of Safety Performance Management 17
18 Transportation Performance Management Stakeholder Engagement (PM NPRMs) Listening Sessions Available on Docket Summaries & Letters FHWA Informational Webinars Subject Matter Meetings Online Dialogues Direct Contact to USDOT Overview of Safety Performance Management 18
19 Implementation Principles Transportation Performance Management Progress Provide for a national focus Phase in requirements Consider risk and constraints Understand that priorities differ Minimize the number of measures Increase accountability/transparency Overview of Safety Performance Management 19
20 Performance Measure Analysis Transportation Performance Management Overview of Safety Performance Management 20
21 Is The Measure Appropriate? Transportation Performance Management Focused Collaborated Maintainable Impactful Track-able Is the measure focused on an area of national interest? Has the measure been developed in partnership with stakeholders? Is the measure maintainable to accommodate changes? Can the measure be used to support investment decisions, policy making and target setting? Can the measure be used to analyze performance trends? Feasible Has the feasibility & practicality to collect, store, & report data for the measure been considered? Overview of Safety Performance Management 21
22 Are We Ready to Use the Measure? Transportation Performance Management Who Provides the Data? Federal Agency State/Local Agency Third Party Collection Storage Access Data Quality Timeliness Consistency Completeness Accuracy Accessibility Data Integration Overview of Safety Performance Management 22
23 Transportation Performance Management How do the first three rules implement performance management provisions? Overview of Safety Performance Management 23
24 Three Safety-Related Rulemakings Transportation Performance Management 150 Safety Performance Management Measures (Safety PM) 148 Highway Safety Improvement Program (HSIP) Statewide & Nonmetropolitan & Metro Planning (Planning) Overview of Safety Performance Management 24
25 MAP-21 Performance Elements Transportation Performance Management National Goals National Measures State/MPO Targets State/MPO Plans State/MPO Reporting State/MPO Accountability PLANNING HSIP SAFETY PM Overview of Safety Performance Management 25
26 MAP-21 Performance Elements Transportation Performance Management National Goals National Measures State/MPO Targets State/MPO Plans State/MPO Reporting State/MPO Accountability PLANNING HSIP SAFETY PM Overview of Safety Performance Management 26
27 MAP-21 Performance Elements Transportation Performance Management National Goals National Measures State/MPO Targets State/MPO Plans State/MPO Reporting State/MPO Accountability PLANNING HSIP SAFETY PM Overview of Safety Performance Management 27
28 MAP-21 Performance Elements Transportation Performance Management National Goals National Measures State/MPO Targets State/MPO Plans State/MPO Reporting State/MPO Accountability PLANNING HSIP SAFETY PM Overview of Safety Performance Management 28
29 Transportation Performance Management Stage 1 NPRM and TPM Relationship TPM Element Safety PM HSIP Planning National Goals National Measures State/MPO Targets State/MPO Plans State/MPO Reporting State/MPO Accountability
30 Stakeholder Outreach Transportation Performance Management Transportation Performance Management Web Site Federal Register Links Overview slides Briefing Sheet and Social Media Alerts Webcasts Informational session at relevant national conferences, upon request
31 Safety Performance Measures (Safety PM) Notice of Proposed Rulemaking
32 FHWA
33 Legislative Requirements MAP-21 (23 USC 150 and 23 USC 134) Secretary to promulgate rulemaking to establish measures and standards To carry out the HSIP, the Secretary to establish measures for serious injuries and fatalities by number and rate per VMT Urbanized and rural targets optional MPO Targets required Report Progress
34 Legislative requirements (23 USC 148) Requires determination of State target achievement - Met or made significant progress towards meeting targets Requirements for non-achievement Report performance
35 What s in the SAFETY PM NPRM? I. Executive Summary II. Discussion of Stakeholder Engagement and Outreach III.Rulemaking authority and background IV.Performance Measure Analysis V. Section-by-Section Discussion of the General Information and Proposed Highway Safety Improvement Program Performance Measures VI.Rulemaking Analyses and Notices
36 MAP-21: Safety PM NPRM Overview Establishes performance management requirements for the HSIP States the National Goal for safety NPRM: Proposes measures for safety Proposes method for States and MPOs to report targets and progress Proposes FHWA method to evaluate State target achievement Proposes requirements if targets are not achieved Establishes new Code of Federal Regulations 23 CFR 490
37 Safety PM Implementation Timeline US-DOT establishes measures in this rulemaking Serious injuries and fatalities per vehicle mile traveled (VMT) Number of serious injuries and fatalities States establishes targets 1 year after effective date of the rule May establish targets for urban or rural areas MPOs establishes targets not less than 180 days after the states Assess State target achievement 37
38 The Regulation 23 CFR Part 490 Subpart A: General Definitions Subpart B: Purpose Applicability Definitions. Safety Performance Measures or Safety PM National Performance Measures for the Highway Safety Improvement Program Establishment of Performance Targets Assessing Significant Progress Toward Achieving Performance Targets Reporting on Performance Targets for the Highway Safety Improvement Program.
39 HSIP Performance Measures Selection Process Sources of input: Knowledge of DOT technical experts Information from external stakeholders Measures recommended in nationally recognized reports Priorities: Align measures common to both FHWA and National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) Aggregate measures for all fatalities and serious injuries A minimal number of measures across the overall PM program Validation: Assessed appropriateness and readiness of measures based on key factors including consistency, completeness, and data integration
40 Safety PM Measures (23 CFR ) 5-Year Rolling Average for Number of Fatalities Rate of Fatalities per 100 million VMT Number of Serious Injuries Rate of Serious Injuries per 100 million VMT Measures applicable to all public roads (23 CFR ) Data source(s) (23 CFR ) FARS for fatalities State reported serious injury data Highway Performance Monitoring System (HPMS)
41 Measure Components (23 CFR ) Fatalities Total number of persons suffering fatal injuries in a motor vehicle traffic crash during a calendar year Ratio of total number of fatalities to the number of vehicle miles traveled (VMT) (expressed in 100 million VMT) in a calendar year
42 Serious Injuries Measure Components Cont d (23 CFR ) Total number of persons suffering at least one serious injury Ratio of total number of serious injuries to the number of vehicle miles traveled (VMT) (expressed in 100 million VMT) in a calendar year Reporting Requirements» For first 18 months injuries classified as A on the KABCO scale through use of NHTSA conversion tables» Within 18 months use MMUCC Suspected Serious Injury (A)» States must supply 10 years of SI data in HSIP report» Preparation for use of a data linkage system
43 State Targets (23 CFR ) States establish annual targets in the HSIP report Targets established one year after effective date, then annually Target for each measure (5-year rolling average) Targets based on calendar year Measures and targets applicable to all public roads regardless of functional classification or ownership Targets must be identical to NHTSA HSP targets for equivalent measures
44 NHTSA Highway Safety Grant Programs Traffic Safety Performance Measures for States and Federal Agencies (2008) States first use performance measures (FY2010) IFR issued January 2013 HSP includes targets for 12* core measures Targets must be evidence-based and data-driven Due July 1, annually Changes to the reported measures/targets require coordination between NHTSA and GHSA
45 Performance Measure Coordination DOT is working to align performance measures that are common across agencies NHTSA and FHWA will work with their State partners to align targets for common measures for FY 15: Number of fatalities Fatality Rate Number of Serious Injuries
46 State Targets (23 CFR ) States must establish one Statewide Target for each measure States may establish separate targets for Urbanized and Non-Urbanized Areas One target for all urbanized areas; and One target for all non-urbanized areas States may establish up to 12 targets
47 MPO Targets (23 CFR ) MPOs establish targets 180 days after State Coordination with State required Target for each measure required MPO targets are reported to State DOT and must be available to FHWA, if requested
48 MPO Targets (23 CFR ) MPOs can agree to support the State DOT target - OR MPOs can establish a numerical target specific to the MPO planning area Targets applicable to all public roads in the MPO
49 Target Establishment Timeline Spring, 2015 Measure rules are effective. July 1, 2016 State GHSO reports 2017 targets to NHTSA in HSP August 31, 2016 State DOT reports 2017 targets to FHWA in HSIP March, 2017 MPO reports 2017 targets to State DOT DOTs, GHSOs, MPOs, and others coordinate on selection of targets for 2017
50 Target Achievement Assessment (23 CFR ) FHWA determines whether State DOT has met or made significant progress toward the achievement of targets Determination will use final FARS data and HPMS data for fatality measures targets Determination will use State reported data and HPMS data for serious injuries measures targets
51 Target Achievement Assessment Data lag in FARS and HPMS requires assessment to occur up to 24 months after the subject target year ends FHWA intends to notify States of the final determination within 3 months of the availability of Final FARS and HPMS
52 Progress Assessment Timeline 2017 Assessment Late 2019 HPMS and FARS data finalized and accessed to assess progress of CY2017 targets Early 2020 States notified of significant progress determination for CY2017 targets
53 Target Achievement Assessment Targets that are met require no further assessment Targets not met are further assessed for significant progress
54 Significant Progress Assessment FHWA determines a historical trend line Based on Final FARS, State reported serious injury, and HPMS data Plots 5-year rolling averages for 10 consecutive years ending at the last year available at the time the State set the target» Example: For CY2017 target the historical trend line consists of six data points using the 5-year rolling averages for 10 years of data from 2004 to 2013
55 Significant Progress Assessment A projection point based on the historical trend line is plotted The 70% prediction interval for the projection point is calculated If outcome upper bound of the 70% prediction interval significant progress is achieved Made Significant Progress
56 Overall Target Assessment States that meet or made significant progress for at least 50% of all targets Overall Made Significant Progress States that do not meet or make significant progress for 50% of all targets have Overall Not Made Significant Progress Additional requirements apply
57 Requirements - Overall Not Made Significant Progress Use HSIP obligation authority equal to prior year only for safety projects Data lag timeline» CY 2017 target set in August 2016» Target evaluation complete by March 2020» HSIP Obligation Authority basis is for FY 2016 Develop Implementation Plan Due annually until overall significant progress achieved
58 A Process Example
59 Process Example CY2017 Targets CY2017 target established in 2016 State DOT and State Highway Safety Office consultation and agreement on targets for equivalent measures NHTSA program Highway Safety Plan targets due July 2016 (23 USC 402) HSIP targets due August 2016 MPO Targets due to State DOT Feb 2017 Serious Injury Data reported
60 Process Example - Targets Selection State Targets Established for CY2017 CY2017 Target Setting Reported in HSIP Report August Targets Number of Fatalities Rate of Fatalities 1.29 Number of Serious Injuries Rate of Serious Injuries 7.05
61 Process Example - Target Assessment Each target is assessed for achievement Target Achievement Assessment CY Targets Actual Outcome Targets not achieved are further assessed for Significant Progress Number of Fatalities Rate of Fatalities Number of Serious Injuries Rate of Serious Injuries
62 Process Example Significant Progress Assessment
63 Process Example Significant Progress Assessment Target set by State
64 Process Example Significant Progress Assessment Actual 5 Yr rolling average
65 Process Example Significant Progress Assessment Historical trend line with projection
66 Process Example Significant Progress Assessment % Prediction Interval
67 Process Example Significant Progress Assessment Upper bound of 70% Prediction Interval x
68 Process Example Significant Progress Assessment x
69 Target Establishment Timeline Spring, 2015 Measure rules are effective. July 1, 2016 State GHSO reports 2017 targets to NHTSA in HSP August 31, 2016 State DOT reports 2017 targets to FHWA in HSIP March, 2017 MPO reports 2017 targets to State DOT DOTs, GHSOs, MPOs, and others coordinate on selection of targets for 2017
70 Progress Assessment Timeline 2017 Assessment Late 2019 HPMS and FARS data finalized and accessed to assess progress of CY2017 targets October 1, 2020 If State did not overall make significant progress, obligation authority from FY2016 spent on safety projects in FY Early 2020 States notified of significant progress determination for CY2017 targets
71 Regulatory Impact Analysis Cost estimated for 10-years ( ) Total costs are estimated to be $66.7 million Costs associated with establishing performance targets = 53 percent KABCO and MMUCC Compliance and law enforcement reporting changes = 39 percent Implementation Plan Requirements = 8 percent
72 Regulatory Impact Analysis Used Break-even analysis Approximately 1 avoided fatality per year Benefits: Safety investment decision making more informed through the uniform measures Greater level of accountability for the use of Federal funds to reduce fatalities and serious injuries on all public roadways Progress toward the MAP-21 national goal for safety.
73 Comment Questions - General - Effective date for performance measures rule - The extent to which the approach to performance measures supports the principles - Serious Injuries - Appropriate injury classification and coding system(s) - Performance Measures - Use of 3-, 4- or 5-year rolling averages - Use of moving averages to predict future metrics
74 Comment Questions - Non-motorized performance measures - How USDOT could address separate nonmotorized performance measures - Extent to which States and MPOs collect and report non-motorized data - Reliability and accuracy of State and MPO nonmotorized data - How States consider such data in their safety programs and in selecting investments - Ways to most efficiently track, report, and use performance measures to improve safety
75 Comment Questions - Establishing Targets - Data time lag and any impacts to establishing targets - Alternative approaches for State and MPO target coordination - Methodology for significant progress, including - Trend line - Prediction interval - Threshold for determining Overall Made Significant Progress
76 Submit comments to: Safety PM Docket Number: FHWA
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