Investment Opportunities in Gold - Forward Looking Statements

Transcription

1 January 2016 Corporate Update 1

2 Cautionary Statement Forward Looking Statements This presentation contains forward looking information and forward looking statements within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, respectively, which may include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to future events or future performance, management s expectations regarding Franco-Nevada s growth, results of operations, estimated future revenues, requirements for additional capital, mineral reserve and mineral resource estimates, production estimates, production costs and revenue, future demand for and prices of commodities, expected mining sequences, business prospects and opportunities. In addition, statements (including data in tables) relating to reserves and resources and gold equivalent ounces are forward looking statements, as they involve implied assessment, based on certain estimates and assumptions, and no assurance can be given that the estimates will be realized. Such forward looking statements reflect management s current beliefs and are based on information currently available to management. Often, but not always, forward looking statements can be identified by the use of words such as plans, expects, is expected, budgets, scheduled, estimates, forecasts, predicts, projects, intends, targets, aims, anticipates or believes or variations (including negative variations) of such words and phrases or may be identified by statements to the effect that certain actions may, could, should, would, might or will be taken, occur or be achieved. Forward looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Franco-Nevada to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward looking statements. A number of factors could cause actual events or results to differ materially from any forward looking statement, including, without limitation: fluctuations in the prices of the primary commodities that drive royalty and stream revenue (gold, platinum group metals, copper, nickel, uranium, silver, iron-ore and oil and gas); fluctuations in the value of the Canadian and Australian dollar, Mexican peso and any other currency in which revenue is generated, relative to the U.S. dollar; changes in national and local government legislation, including permitting and licensing regimes and taxation policies; regulations and political or economic developments in any of the countries where properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest are located or through which they are held; risks related to the operators of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest, including changes in the ownership and control of such operators; influence of macroeconomic developments; business opportunities that become available to, or are pursued by Franco-Nevada; reduced access to debt and equity capital; litigation; title, permit or license disputes related to interests on any of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest; whether or not the Company is determined to have passive foreign investment company, or PFIC, status as defined in Section 1297 of the United States Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended; potential changes in Canadian tax treatment of offshore streams; excessive cost escalation as well as development, permitting, infrastructure, operating or technical difficulties on any of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest; actual mineral content may differ from the reserves and resources contained in technical reports; rate and timing of production differences from resource estimates, other technical reports and mine plans; risks and hazards associated with the business of development and mining on any of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest, including, but not limited to unusual or unexpected geological and metallurgical conditions, slope failures or cave-ins, flooding and other natural disasters, terrorism, civil unrest or an outbreak of contagious disease; and the integration of acquired assets. The forward looking statements contained in this presentation are based upon assumptions management believes to be reasonable, including, without limitation: the ongoing operation of the properties in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest by the owners or operators of such properties in a manner consistent with past practice; the accuracy of public statements and disclosures made by the owners or operators of such underlying properties; no material adverse change in the market price of the commodities that underlie the asset portfolio; the Company s ongoing income and assets relating to determination of its PFIC status; no material changes to existing tax treatment; no adverse development in respect of any significant property in which Franco-Nevada holds a royalty, stream or other interest; the accuracy of publicly disclosed expectations for the development of underlying properties that are not yet in production; integration of acquired assets; and the absence of any other factors that could cause actions, events or results to differ from those anticipated, estimated or intended. However, there can be no assurance that forward looking statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements and investors are cautioned that forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. Franco-Nevada cannot assure investors that actual results will be consistent with these forward looking statements. Accordingly, investors should not place undue reliance on forward looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty therein. For additional information with respect to risks, uncertainties and assumptions, please refer to the Risk Factors section of our most recent Annual Information Form filed with the Canadian securities regulatory authorities on and contained in our most recent form 40-F filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC ) on as well as our most recent Management s Discussion and Analysis filed with the Canadian securities regulatory authorities on and with the SEC on The forward looking statements herein are made as of the date of this presentation only and Franco-Nevada does not assume any obligation to update or revise them to reflect new information, estimates or opinions, future events or results or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. Non-IFRS Measures Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted EBITDA and Margin are intended to provide additional information only and do not have any standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards ( IFRS ) and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. These measures are not necessarily indicative of operating profit or cash flow from operations as determined under IFRS. Other companies may calculate these measures differently. For a reconciliation of these measures to various IFRS measures, please see the end of this presentation or the Company s most recent Management s Discussion and Analysis filed with the Canadian securities regulatory authorities on and with the SEC on This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to purchase any security in any jurisdiction 2

3 A Gold Focused Royalty/Stream Company Market Cap 1 ~ US$7.5 Billion FNV on TSX & NYSE S&P/TSX 60 GDX Top Shareholders BlackRock Fidelity T. Rowe Price Available Capital 2 ~ US$800 Million Free Cash Flow Margin 3 > 75% Overhead/mkt cap <0.3% Dividend ~1.8% 8 years of increases US$0.84 annualized Aristocrat Index Board of Directors Pierre Lassonde, Chair David Harquail, CEO Tom Albanese Derek Evans Graham Farquharson Dr. Catharine Farrow Louis Gignac Randall Oliphant Hon. David R. Peterson Free cash flow 1. As at January 6, Refer to slide 15 for details 3. Please see note 2 on slide 18 3

4 The Gold Investment that Works 300% 250% 200% FNV 150% 100% 50% 0% -50% FNV IPO: Dec % Gold S&P/TSX Global Gold Index FNV and S&P/TSX Global Gold Index converted to USD. Chart to January 6,

5 Our Business Principles Maximize Exploration upside Security of tenure Focus on new investments Minimize Cost exposures Potential for encroachments Involvement in operations Long term optionality 5

6 Business Model Benefits Risk of: Gold ETF FNV Operators Capital Costs 0% 0% 1 100% Operating & Other Costs 0% 0% 1 100% Benefit of: Leverage to Gold Price 1 >1 >1 Exploration & Expansion 0% 100% 100% Dividend Yield (0.4%) 2 ~1.8% 0-2% FNV provides yield and more upside than a gold ETF with less risk than an operator 1. Revenue royalties & streams. 2. Source: SPDR Gold Trust. 6

7 Franco-Nevada since IPO 500 Revenue 1 (US$ millions) 1.40 Adjusted Net Income 1,2 (US$ per share) 50 Producing Mineral Assets 4 10 Market Capitalization 4 (US$ billions) US$ Millions US$ per share # of Royalties US$ billions '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Working Capital 3 (US$ millions) '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 Dividends (US$ per share) 0 30 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 G&A 1 (US$ millions) 0 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 ' US$ Millions US$ / share US$ Millions Please see note 4 on slide Please see note 1 on slide Please see note 3 on slide As at December 31 0 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 ' '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 0 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 7

8 2015 Q3 Revenue Sources By Commodity Other 3% O&G 7% By Geography PGMs 7% Rest of World 21% US 19% Canada 23% Gold 83% Latin America 37% 90% Precious Metals 79% from Americas 8

9 ~400 Assets Precious Metal Assets (selected) U.S. Goldstrike Stillwater Gold Quarry Marigold Fire Creek Bald Mountain Mesquite South Arturo Hollister Midas Canada Sudbury Detour Holt Musselwhite Hemlo Kirkland Lake Timmins W. Cdn. Malartic Brucejack Hardrock Latin America Rest of World Candelaria Antamina Palmarejo Cerro S. Pedro Cobre Panama Cerro Moro Calcatreu Gurupi San Jorge Volcan MWS Sabodala Subika Tasiast Duketon Edikan Cooke 4 Karma Henty Perama Hill Other Assets (selected) Weyburn (oil) Midale (oil) Edson (gas) Mt. Keith (Ni) Relincho (Cu) Rosemont (Cu) Most diversified portfolio Selected highlighted assets only. See our Annual Information Form filed on on March 25, 2015 and 2015 Asset Handbook for a more complete listing and further detail. 9

10 Antamina Transaction Antamina open pit US$610 million stream on Teck s 22.50% share of silver produced at Antamina One of the lowest cost major Cu producers Immediately accretive to GEOs, revenue, cash flow and EPS Exposure to long life asset with resource, exploration and expansion upside 10

11 Cobre Panama Cobre Panama port Plant Area Precious metals stream on one of the world s largest copper developments First Quantum has committed >$3B of a projected $6B project: expects ramp-up in 2018 FNV total contribution of $1B is funded pro-rata with other project funds: $338m advanced to end of Another $180m expected in 2016 FNV has security on First Quantum s shares in the project and is compensated if the project does not achieve a targeted throughput by the end of

12 Other Positive Portfolio News Adding New Ounces Timmins West Lakeshore Gold s new 144 GAP resource expected in Q1 Duketon Regis new discoveries at Baneygo & Tooheys Well Macassa Kirkland Lake s production growth & exploration success Fire Creek/Midas Klondex s exploration success & 2015 production increase Marigold Silver Standard exploration success & Valmy claims Detour New Area A reserve pending Projects Being Advanced Goldstrike Barrick s TCM ramp-up / South Arturo: production in 2016 Ahafo/Subika Mill expansion & Subika UG decision later in 2016 Karma True Gold on track for 2016 start-up Guadalupe Coeur now producing and has expanded reserves Sabodala Teranga s Gora production in Q4 Brucejack Pretium s $540 million construction financing Cerro Moro Yamana construction decision Sissingue Perseus commencing construction Tasiast Kinross studying phased expansion Eagle Victoria Gold receives final major permits Golden Highway SAS Taylor mine reached commercial production New Stronger Sponsorship Hardrock Centerra s $300 million investment # of Mineral Assets Producing 46 Advanced 39 Exploration 176 Ity Endeavour Mining acquisition Monument Bay Yamana acquired the asset As at January 6,

13 New Investment Opportunities Since 1985 Existing 3 rd party royalties Cerro Moro Yamana Gold Brucejack Pretium Resources Hardrock Premier Gold Mines Since 2008 By-product funding Palmarejo Coeur Mining Cobre Panama First Quantum Since Since 2013 Primary product funding M&A funding Kirkland Lake Kirkland Lake Gold Stibnite Gold Midas Gold Karma True Gold Mining Sabodala Teranga Gold Fire Creek/Midas Klondex Mines Candelaria Lundin Mining Since 2015 Refinancing Antamina Teck Resources 13

14 Available Capital US$ 1,000 US$ 338 US$ 698 US$ 82 US$ 610 US$ As at September 30, See definition on Slide 18 14

15 Franco-Nevada Provides: Gold exposure at a discount Growth organic and acquisitions Dividends vs. ETF fees FNV FNV IPO: Dec Gold S&P/TSX Global Gold Index Why own a gold ETF? At January 6, 2016; FNV and S&P/TSX Global Gold Index converted to USD 15

16 Q&A 16

17 Non IFRS Measures 1. Adjusted Net Income and Adjusted Net Income per share are non-ifrs financial measures, which excludes the following from net income and net income per share: foreign exchange gains/losses and other income/expenses; gains/losses on the sale of investments; impairment charges related to royalty, stream and working interests and investments; unusual non-recurring items; and the impact of income taxes on these items. See the following appendix for non-ifrs reconciliation. 2. Margin is defined by the Company as Adjusted EBITDA divided by revenue. See the following appendix for non-ifrs reconciliation. 3. Working Capital is a Non-IFRS financial measure. The Company defines Working Capital as current assets less current liabilities. 4. Fiscal years 2010 through 2014 were prepared in accordance with IFRS. Fiscal years 2008 and 2009 were prepared in accordance with Canadian GAAP Three months ended December 31, Twelve months ended December 31, (expressed in millions, except per share amounts) Net Income (Loss) $ 1.2 $ (80.6) $ $ 11.7 Foreign exchange (gains)/losses and other (Income)/expenses, net of income tax Mark-to-market changes on derivatives, net of income tax (1.1) 9.9 Impairment of royalty, stream and working interests, net of income tax Impairment of investments, net of income tax Indexation adjustment (0.6) Credit facility costs written off, net of income tax Adjusted Net Income $ 31.6 $ 30.5 $ $ Basic Weighted Average Shares Outstanding Basic EPS $ 0.01 $ (0.55) $ 0.71 $ 0.08 Foreign exchange(gains)/losses and other (income)/expenses, net of income tax Mark-to-market changes on derivatives, net of income tax Impairment of royalty, stream and working interests, net of income tax Impairment of investments, net of income tax Indexation adjustment (0.01) - (0.01) - Adjusted Net Income per share $ 0.20 $ 0.21 $ 0.91 $