The big data business model: opportunity and key success factors

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MENA Summit 2013: Enabling innovation, driving profitability The big data business model: opportunity and key success factors 6 November 2013 Justin van der Lande EVENT PARTNERS:

2 Introduction What is big data analytics? What is the scope and size of the market? What systems are needed to support big data? What are the challenges today?

Historically, data storage and computation has been a challenge because of technological constraints 3 This was 1956 Doris Day was in the top UK charts with the hit Que Sera, Sera you would need an entire plane to carry the digitalised version of one of her albums and a lab with a dozen scientists just to copy it 5MB hard drive being forklifted into a plane but things have changed

Cost (USD million per petabyte) The big data business model: opportunity and key success factors Open-source tools and cloud-based data infrastructure continue to drive down the costs of analytics 4 2.0 1.5 1.0 Storage area network (SAN) Network access server (NAS) The declining cost of storage Local storage Predictive analytics Inline analytics 0.5 Business analytics Cloud storage 0.0 Enterprise data warehouse Time Quick facts: It costs USD600 to buy a disk drive that can store all the world s music 1 billion pieces of content are shared daily on Facebook

Big data and analytics drive business value in three core areas Super-charge established operations by providing deeper insight into the current processes to make better decisions. Expand established revenue streams a sub-set of the above to provide more targeted, timely, context-aware offers to customers to encourage them to spend more. Create new revenue streams such as selling of customer insights, providing data analysis for M2M applications or offering targeted advertising. Create new revenue streams Business demands Data Analytics tools Expand established revenue streams Super-charge established operations 5

The large-scale utilisation of internal data is becoming a key competitive factor for all industries 6 Source: McKinsey Global Institute, Big Data: The next frontier for innovation, competition and productivity.

The telecoms industry is in the front line of the big data revenue generation in the short term 7 Key factors for the telecoms industry Quantity of customers Quantity of data Diversity of data Telecoms services have typically high penetration rates Telecoms operators have a large percentage of the population in their customer base Telecoms groups have access to worldwide customer database The average telecoms customer generates data entries on a daily basis Frequency will tend to increase as Internet services become widespread, potentially resulting in continuous generation of data Telecoms operators data includes different dimensions, including telecoms patterns, location, devices used, content accessed, online transactions, demographics and so on and the range is growing

8 Growing mobile Internet usage creates opportunities for operators to expand their data capturing capabilities New analytical dimensions The increasing use of mobile Internet brings new data sets to explore: Content: Being able to understand what types of website and application individual customers access gives operators a more detailed overview. Device: These were an analytical dimension before the rise of mobile Internet, but the type of device, the screen size and the utilisation of multiple devices have now become a more relevant. Location: Mobile data is permanently switched on, creating a continuous flow of information to the operator. Deeper levels of segmentation Traditionally, telecoms analytical segmentation used voice and SMS usage data and segmented customers using that data and the demographic information available. By offering insights into location, the content accessed and the devices used, mobile Internet analytics allows operators to perform a behavioural segmentation on an individual basis, getting a much better knowledge of individual needs. Operators can use the available data for internal purposes, or can package it as a product for third parties.

Operators are now using their internal data as a direct source of revenue 9 Big aggregates Segmented data Big data Description Operator does not capture and manipulate individual data Operator captures individual data for internal analysis Operator uses its data and customer data is a standalone product Data utilisation Data not captured Data is captured and aggregated at customer level Data is captured, aggregated at customer level and as B2B2C product Revenue Impact No impact Indirect impact through the improvement of decisions Direct impact on revenue by selling customer data

10 Introduction What is big data analytics? What is the scope and size of the market? What systems are needed to support big data? What are the challenges today?

Setting up the right analytical methodologies is more important than setting up the right IT infrastructure 11 What is big data analytics? Big data analytics is the business opportunity to enhance revenue and operational efficiency by exploiting the widespread availability of valuable data on individual customers across the organisation. What is not big data analytics Big data analytics is not only about volume of data, but about the value of that data Big data analytics is not about IT infrastructure implementation, but about the methodologies and analytical frameworks needed to take advantage of that infrastructure Establishing the analytical capabilities, frameworks and algorithms before investing in IT infrastructure is key to ensuring that operators can truly take advantage of big data and obtain a return on their IT investment.

Big data analytics is not only about the characteristics of the available data, but what operators can do with it The large volume of available data is a key characteristic of big data. The velocity, understood as the frequency at which data is generated. The high frequency of data capture brings new opportunities in terms of real-time and reporting. Velocity Volume The 5 Vs of big data analytics Visualisation Presenting the data in a meaningful and insightful manner, doing the correct slicing and dicing to achieve the defined objective. Variety Value 12 Data comes from established sources (CDR, billing data sessions) and interactive data social networks, location and in different formats (structured and unstructured). The value of data is the key component of big data analytics. Establishing the right methodologies and analytical frameworks to extract value from data is essential.

Big data analytics can be used both to improve internal decision making and as a source of revenue 13 How companies can gain from big data analytics Internal use External use Use big data to support internal decisions as well as improve operational efficiency and support commercial strategy. Internal decision making can be supported at different hierarchic levels, with each level requiring a different model and different analytical frameworks and tools. The data generated in a telco is part of the assets that it should exploit. By packaging the available data in a structured and visual way, access can be sold to third parties for example, handset vendors can benefit from information about usage trends among customers with different handsets.

14 Introduction What is big data analytics? What is the scope and size of the market? What systems are needed to support big data? What are the challenges today?

Big data analytics solutions are set for growth as CSP margins come under pressure and solution costs fall 15 Dutch mobile market declines by 4.5% to EUR5.8 billion in 2012 Orange s profit declines by 79% amid economic decline Increasing competitive pressures Decreasing margins and growth Growing demands from smarter customers Spain loses 5% of its mobile subscriber base in 2012: warning for Europe Forbes 2013 5 billion mobile phone users worldwide Analytics is set for growth Declining cost of computing Decreasing cost of storage Increasing data for modelling customers, operations and capital requirements AT&T s call data record database has 1.9 trillion rows of data Facebook works on more than 30PB of user-generated data

16 CSPs have applied analytics to a rich set of use cases across different aspects of their business Customer Supply and partner Financial and legal Marketing and campaign Network and operations Digital data services Churn Channel Revenue assurance Campaign Network asset optimisation Mobile advertising Customer care Partner Fraud Customer segmentation Dynamic policy Market data research Social media Golden path analysis Settlements liability Risk Offer margin analysis Offer creation and pricing Customer lifetime value analysis Revenue-driven network planning Fulfilment Identity verification services M2M monitoring services Dynamic offer Data retention and retrieval Net promoter Root-cause analysis Traffic flow services Cross-sell and upsell Social network analysis Performance Proximity promotions

Market maturity dictates the analytics solutions that CSPs need to deploy 17 New segments Developing segments Mature segments Crossselling models Base segmentation Churn models Fraud and bad debt Lifetime value Credit risk Campaign Sentiment analysis Network planning Social network analysis Insight services Context-based marketing Mobile advertising services

18 Scaling of market opportunities Market size Potential impact for CSPs Expanding established revenue streams USD1.9 trillion Telecoms worldwide revenue in 2012 First-mover advantage could provide a sustained market advantage, but it will become table stakes when competitors follow. Supercharging established processes USD1.71 trillion Telecoms worldwide IT spending in 2011 Annual spend can be impacted each and every subsequent year to exploit efficiencies. Creating new revenue streams USD500 billion Advertising and market research Non-telecoms revenue potential to compete with online, mobile and proximity advertising. Other opportunities can greatly increase potential.

19 Introduction What is big data analytics? What is the scope and size of the market? What systems are needed to support big data? What are the challenges today?

Value The big data business model: opportunity and key success factors Big data analytics is challenging established systems, and leading CSPs are investing in new infrastructure The market maturity of analytics tools 20 Business intelligence tools Predictive analytics tools In-line analytics tools Data view Data view Data view What will happen? What is happening now? Growing volume, variety and velocity of big data What happened?

21 Key components in an analytics framework BPM APIs Applications Tool users Front-line workers Presentation or visualisation Portals Mash-ups Business intelligence and analytics tools Optimisation Data access Data infrastructure (can be part of EDW) Database Analysable data Server Storage Operational systems Customers or partners Executives Data scientists Business analysts Engineers Dashboards Reports Departmental data marts APIs Predictive modelling Forecasting Statistical analysis Audio and video ELT or ETL tools Source data Images Docs Text Billing CRM Network ERP Web and social media

Vendors are continuing to expand into the telecoms analytics market from different perspectives Types of analytics vendor 22 Analytics and business intelligence tool vendors, which apply generic tools to the telecoms business environment through configuration and deployment of specific templates and models Storage tools vendors, which have expanded from providing data storage solutions to include analytics Analytics software solutions Customised solutions based on open-source software and generic hardware Specialist software vendors, which have developed products they have used to support specific business applications, such as revenue assurance, service assurance, mediation and customer care

23 Introduction What is big data analytics? What is the scope and size of the market? What systems are needed to support big data? What are today s challenges?

24 CSPs are struggling with three broad issues today Prioritisation of use case development Systems selection and implementation architecture Big data challenges Organisation structure to adopt

25 CSPs are struggling with three broad issues today Prioritisation of use case development Systems selection and implementation architecture Big data challenges Organisation structure to adopt

Big data analytics is creating lots of complex choices for IT and business managers 26 Presentation or visualisation Tool selection, legacy integration Business intelligence and analytics tools Batch Data processing Language SQL, NoSQL, open source, vendor-specific Real-time data processing Real-time query engines NoSQL database selection MPP database selection Database resourcing Hadoop which distribution, other vendor options Big data appliances General purpose, vendor specific, re-use of the EDW and utilisation of cloud resources

that need to be developed to support different use cases 27 Platform Resource Data transformation Real-time analytics Online transaction processing RDBMS Large structured data Cloudera MAP/R Horntonetworks Hadoop Hive Data storage and indexing for analytics applications 100T data with multi-structured with minute or more latency Cloudera MAP/R Horntonetworks Cloudera MAP/R Horntonetworks Offer creation and pricing Hive Pig Java MapReduce 100T data with multi-structured with minute or less latency MPP DB EDW

Supporting specific use cases can be efficiently achieved through the use of tightly integrated applications Supporting a use case requires the data sources to be incorporated into specific data marts and the development of a data model, which is then visualised through the presentation tools and incorporated into a process via business process tools, if required. Analytics applications provide these components pre-configured, which enables fast and low-risk deployment. However, in order for these analytics applications to work in this way a prerequisite platform is need. Most use cases are not supported by analytics applications, but are supported through a combination of configuration, data adapters, integration and professional services support by vendors. Analytics application 28 Data source adapters Data source Data models Analytics models Presentation Automation Common data infrastructure platform

29 CSPs are struggling with three broad issues today Prioritisation of use case development Systems selection and implementation architecture Big data challenges Organisation structure to adopt

To understand the organisational changes required, you need to define the value chain you want to operate in 30 Organisational changes required + Data pipe Data aggregation Data analytics Product packaging Market analysis Operator keeps business as usual, allowing third parties to extract data directly from IT or network systems Operator captures and aggregates the data from its own systems into a big data datamart, providing anonymised data to third parties Operator captures, aggregates and segments customer data Operator uses segmentation algorithms and packages the data for different types of client, based on their needs Operators offer turnkey customisable solutions based on client needs, without ever providing customer data to third parties

Ultimately, as a significant source of revenue, big data should become a department on its own 31 Big data practice Data warehousing Responsible for creating and maintain the ETL processes required to extract data from systems Responsible for ensuring data capture requirements are in place from a network perspective Product development Team responsible for analysing aggregated data enterprise-wide Responsible for product design and algorithm generation for product creation Business development Responsible for identifying and contacting potential clients Co-operation in the product packaging based on the knowledge of clients needs

32 CSPs are struggling with three broad issues today Prioritisation of use case development Systems selection and implementation architecture Big data challenges Organisation structure to adopt

The selection and prioritisation of different projects on which to implement a new BDA strategy is complex 33 New segments Developing segments Mature segments Crossselling models Base segmentation Churn models Fraud and bad debt Lifetime value Credit risk Campaign Sentiment analysis Network planning Social network analysis Insight services Context-based marketing Mobile advertising services

34 Thank you for your attention. Any questions? Justin van der Lande Analyst justin.van.der.lande@analysysmason.com

Our unique skillset ensures a holistic understanding of the big data phenomenon 35 Big data Operational + Regulatory + Software research Operational analytics implementation RFP support Operational analytics strategy Centralisation of analytics functions Customer lifetime value Regulatory support and advice New generation big data strategies RFP support Technical strategy and implementation

Second breakout streams choose one to attend 4.15-5pm 36 Mobile Internet trends in the Middle East Africa Region MEA Mobile Internet Survey Results: Karim Yaici and Ronan de Renesse Godolphin Ballroom (this main room) The impact of real-time network analytics on making faster, more informed business decisions: Justin van der Lande and Patrick Kelly Level 5, Room 2