What the latest evidence tells us

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What the latest evidence tells us Sustaining private tenancies: experiences & opportunities Dr Wendy Stone Director AHURI Research Centre Swinburne University of Technology

Overview Drawn from new AHURI research: sustaining private tenancies Part 1: The private rental sector (PRS) context Part 2: A framework to consider tenant support Part 3: An opportunity for policy and practice innovation

Part 1 The private rental sector context

National Private Rental Sector (PRS) growth 1981 2011 Households Per cent Households Per cent New South Wales 339,061 21.1% 584,020 24.0% Victoria 228,706 19.0% 431,520 22.6% Queensland 151,523 22.4% 415,588 26.9% South Australia 67,603 15.9% 117,282 19.2% Western Australia 87,318 22.1% 175,046 22.0% Tasmania 23,900 18.1% 35,584 18.7% Northern Territory 8,854 33.9% 14,469 22.6% Australian Capital Territory 11,28 16.7% 27,955 21.6% Australia 918,250 20.3% 1,801,464 23.4%

Housing-related disadvantage in the private rental sector Decline in overall private rental affordability; median rent to median income ratio changed from 19.0% in 1981 to 26.9% in 2011 Heightened rates of residential mobility among private rental tenants relative to all tenures. 39.5% private tenants moved 3 or more times in previous five years compared with 7.8% among other tenures Forced housing moves including evictions and affordability accounted for 22.6% of these PRS moves

New norms emerging: long-term private renters 33% of all long-term private renters are single person households; 30% of long-term renter households include dependent children (20% couple,10% sole parent) Close to half of all long-term renters are aged 30 44, with 30% aged 45 64 years Households with main source of income pension or benefit are over-represented among long-term renters Income quintiles two and three over-represented among long-term private renters, including low-income waged Long-term tenancies relatively under-regulated

The research project Aims To complement current knowledge of failed tenancies To contribute a tenant perspective on assistance needs Approach and methods A holistic framework enabling upstream intervention Interviews with 76 low to moderate income tenants Melbourne, Sydney and Perth sub-market analysis Interviews with 16 agencies about tenant supports Identification of vulnerabilities, risks and opportunities

Part 2 A framework to consider tenant support

A conceptual framework Context: Daily hassles associated with low to moderate income Critical Life Events Economic Health/disability Family formation Threats to income and household capabilities Housing shocks Access Affordability Security Quality Safety Housing-related problems in the private rental sector Context: Private rental sector (PRS) Household capacity to sustain tenancies Commonwealth Rent Assistance Housing and/or crisis assistance

Findings: tenant types Few critical life events New migrants Working tenants Experiencing hardship Managing independently Accumulated and crippling life events Family disruption, health challenges, carer/caring, trauma, work difficulties Disrupted work histories High assistance needs

A migrant tenant few life events In the beginning when we were still in South Africa I kept checking the Australian rental market so then I saw houses like between $250- $320 a week. When we got here all those houses had gone... so when we got here we saw that we weren t going to find anything in that range, in the $280 to $320 so we re-budgeted and thought we re going to look at $350 to $400 but $400 was the max we could push to. (WA, couple with children)

A Service Provider accumulated life events Most of our clients fall behind in rent because of a relationship breakdown or unemployment or mental health issues... Because an exorbitant rental increase... When things aren't going well. A relationship might breakdown and they kind of lose it and they might turn to drugs, they might, you know, they re off work and it all goes out of control... staying in somebody else s house... When they don t have any of those that s when they ve got more energy to come and speak they re in the right headspace. (Legal service, Melbourne)

Housing shocks = risk points

A tenant access to tenancies All connections! Because, you know, like the Bangladeshi s are very well connected, extremely well connected. (NSW, single) A strategy of supported arrival as a pathway into more formal segments of the rental market where and when possible.

A tenant rent affordability, standards and running costs Yeah sometimes I am behind yeah. Yeah electricity is killing now. Really hard, yeah, really hard. $650. That s crazy. (NSW, couple) The taps in the shower were dripping for so long, my son fixed them, then it happened again and I told the real estate after an inspection and they did nothing then also the toilet kept running the water bill was just so ridiculously high. (Vic, couple with children)

A Service Provider exit points/lease transitions This is where issues of tenants rights become problematic, is a lot of property managers will guilt tenants into signing over their bond because of damage or because of rental arrears, therefore meaning that the landlord can access the entire bond without having to go to VCAT [court]. (Agency, Melbourne) [The bond loan] was there as a fail safe before now it s become a target for [landlords] to actually try and raise their rents to the 55 per cent criteria. (Agency, Melbourne)

Insurances Insurance type Personal attributes Labour market attachment (independent income generation) Social capital/support Financial borrowing capacity Market based insurance Government and related support Example indicators Resilience and temperament Education Paid work Cash flow; work security and regularity Assistance from informal networks (family and friends) Community relationships Informal Informal borrowing (family) Formal Regular banking sector Pay day loans Unemployment insurance Health insurance Home/Car insurance Income support Commonwealth Rent Assistance Private Rental Assistance

A tenant paid work as an insurance We re weighing up do we actually sell everything we have here and move to Melbourne and live with mum but then that would be offset because I know it to be true in Victoria they re going through a lot of hardship just as New South Wales and South Australia, just announced last week through the closures of factories and Ford and closing down the prospects of being able to obtain work with a decent wage it would be offset So the rent goes down but our rent savings is enormous but then our wages go down so how have we benefit, and it s cost us a lot of money to sell all our possessions and move over there to Melbourne. (WA, couple with children)

A tenant work disincentives in the PRS I was getting a single parents benefit... So if I earned more money I d get less benefit, so pretty much I couldn t improve my income unless I could get a fulltime job that would pay me more than $600 a week and there s no job that s not going to exacerbate the [medical] condition. (Vic single mother)

Sub-markets and market segments Housing shocks are most pronounced in tight housing markets: Perth, followed by major Sydney, major Melbourne, with relief in outer Melbourne Formal real estate managed rental is difficult for households without experience & know-how to manage, and for those with histories Privately managed and informal rental can provide access to housing (eg via Gumtree, social networks); but can introduce/ exacerbate risk

Practitioner perspectives New types of tenants in need Highly mobile tenants requiring assistance Lack of knowledge and education among some tenants: need for tenant education/ literacy Financial risk points: bonds, rent payments, debt Exit risks: exit before end of lease fear moving Problems driven by problems of rental affordability Enabling unscrupulous landlord practices: predatory landlords (including overseas investors)

Questions to consider Private rental as a public housing exit tenure? Private rental as a place in which low to moderate income households can, on average, get ahead? Private rental as enabling of migrant settlement? Private rental sector as presenting opportunities for: Innovation in responses to households in need? Institutional innovation and development?

Part 3 An opportunity for policy and practice innovation

Rental assistance innovation 1 Funded, formalised and promoted integration of housing assistance into sites of critical life event and housing shock service contact points: Medical centres Financial services including debt counselling Legal services including family law courts and mediation Migration information and settlement advice Student housing services

Rental assistance innovation 2

Rental assistance innovation 3

A tenure of wear & tear Social housing: maintenance Private rental: wear & tear Home ownership: strengthening