Currency Options (1): Concepts and Uses



Similar documents
Option Put-Call Parity Relations When the Underlying Security Pays Dividends

WHAT ARE OPTION CONTRACTS?

Nikkei Stock Average Volatility Index Real-time Version Index Guidebook

INTEREST RATE FUTURES AND THEIR OPTIONS: SOME PRICING APPROACHES

Chapter 9 Bond Prices and Yield

Random Walk in 1-D. 3 possible paths x vs n. -5 For our random walk, we assume the probabilities p,q do not depend on time (n) - stationary

Duration and Convexity ( ) 20 = Bond B has a maturity of 5 years and also has a required rate of return of 10%. Its price is $613.

Morningstar Investor Return

SHB Gas Oil. Index Rules v1.3 Version as of 1 January 2013

Equities: Positions and Portfolio Returns

Markit Excess Return Credit Indices Guide for price based indices

Chapter 6: Business Valuation (Income Approach)

Credit Index Options: the no-armageddon pricing measure and the role of correlation after the subprime crisis

I. Basic Concepts (Ch. 1-4)

Hedging with Forwards and Futures

The Time Value of Money

NASDAQ-100 Futures Index SM Methodology

PROFIT TEST MODELLING IN LIFE ASSURANCE USING SPREADSHEETS PART ONE

C Fast-Dealing Property Trading Game C

Term Structure of Prices of Asian Options

Impact of scripless trading on business practices of Sub-brokers.

Introduction to Arbitrage Pricing

LEASING VERSUSBUYING

A Note on Using the Svensson procedure to estimate the risk free rate in corporate valuation

Table of contents Chapter 1 Interest rates and factors Chapter 2 Level annuities Chapter 3 Varying annuities

Conceptually calculating what a 110 OTM call option should be worth if the present price of the stock is

Chapter 8: Regression with Lagged Explanatory Variables

FORWARD AND FUTURES CONTRACTS

ACTUARIAL FUNCTIONS 1_05

Chapter 6 Interest Rates and Bond Valuation

PRICING and STATIC REPLICATION of FX QUANTO OPTIONS

4. International Parity Conditions

Pricing Single Name Credit Derivatives

Economics Honors Exam 2008 Solutions Question 5

Present Value Methodology

CLASSIFICATION OF REINSURANCE IN LIFE INSURANCE

BALANCE OF PAYMENTS. First quarter Balance of payments

The option pricing framework

INSTITUTE OF ECONOMIC STUDIES

The Greek financial crisis: growing imbalances and sovereign spreads. Heather D. Gibson, Stephan G. Hall and George S. Tavlas

The Grantor Retained Annuity Trust (GRAT)

11/6/2013. Chapter 14: Dynamic AD-AS. Introduction. Introduction. Keeping track of time. The model s elements

Can Individual Investors Use Technical Trading Rules to Beat the Asian Markets?

Foreign Exchange and Quantos

Risk Modelling of Collateralised Lending

MSCI Index Calculation Methodology

Chapter 2 Problems. 3600s = 25m / s d = s t = 25m / s 0.5s = 12.5m. Δx = x(4) x(0) =12m 0m =12m

LECTURE: SOCIAL SECURITY HILARY HOYNES UC DAVIS EC230 OUTLINE OF LECTURE:

ANOMALIES IN INDIAN STOCK MARKET AN EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM SEASONALITY EFFECT ON BSEIT INDEX

Estimating Time-Varying Equity Risk Premium The Japanese Stock Market

Double Entry System of Accounting

Appendix D Flexibility Factor/Margin of Choice Desktop Research

The Interest Rate Risk of Mortgage Loan Portfolio of Banks

Chapter 7. Response of First-Order RL and RC Circuits

FUTURES AND OPTIONS. Professor Craig Pirrong Spring, 2007

Journal Of Business & Economics Research September 2005 Volume 3, Number 9

Optimal Investment and Consumption Decision of Family with Life Insurance

UNDERSTANDING THE DEATH BENEFIT SWITCH OPTION IN UNIVERSAL LIFE POLICIES. Nadine Gatzert

Forecasting, Ordering and Stock- Holding for Erratic Demand

The Information Content of Implied Skewness and Kurtosis Changes Prior to Earnings Announcements for Stock and Option Returns

CRISES AND THE FLEXIBLE PRICE MONETARY MODEL. Sarantis Kalyvitis

Diagnostic Examination

cooking trajectory boiling water B (t) microwave time t (mins)

Order Flows, Delta Hedging and Exchange Rate Dynamics

The Transport Equation

How To Price An Opion

One dictionary: Native language - English/English - native language or English - English

THE FIRM'S INVESTMENT DECISION UNDER CERTAINTY: CAPITAL BUDGETING AND RANKING OF NEW INVESTMENT PROJECTS

Usefulness of the Forward Curve in Forecasting Oil Prices

THE LAW SOCIETY OF THE AUSTRALIAN CAPITAL TERRITORY

Forecasting Sales: A Model and Some Evidence from the Retail Industry. Russell Lundholm Sarah McVay Taylor Randall

The Greek Implied Volatility Index: Construction and Properties

GUIDE GOVERNING SMI RISK CONTROL INDICES

Methodology brief Introducing the J.P. Morgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Global (EMBI Global)

Hedging versus not hedging: strategies for managing foreign exchange transaction exposure

Optimal Stock Selling/Buying Strategy with reference to the Ultimate Average

How To Calculate Price Elasiciy Per Capia Per Capi

RC (Resistor-Capacitor) Circuits. AP Physics C

Description of the CBOE S&P 500 BuyWrite Index (BXM SM )

Permutations and Combinations

C The Fast-Dealing Property Trading Game C

Optimal Withdrawal Strategies for Retirees with Multiple Savings Accounts


Lecture Note on the Real Exchange Rate

17 Laplace transform. Solving linear ODE with piecewise continuous right hand sides

= r t dt + σ S,t db S t (19.1) with interest rates given by a mean reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck or Vasicek process,

Longevity 11 Lyon 7-9 September 2015

Chapter 1.6 Financial Management

Guide to Options Strategies

IMPLICIT OPTIONS IN LIFE INSURANCE CONTRACTS FROM OPTION PRICING TO THE PRICE OF THE OPTION. Tobias Dillmann * and Jochen Ruß **

A Tale of Two Indices

Transcription:

Overview Chaper 8 Currency

Overview Overview Pus and Calls Some Jargon: IV, I-A-OTM, TV Raional Exercising Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Advanages Summary Are Opions oo Expensive?

Overview Overview Pus and Calls Some Jargon: IV, I-A-OTM, TV Raional Exercising Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Advanages Summary Are Opions oo Expensive?

Overview Overview Pus and Calls Some Jargon: IV, I-A-OTM, TV Raional Exercising Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Advanages Summary Are Opions oo Expensive?

Overview Overview Pus and Calls Some Jargon: IV, I-A-OTM, TV Raional Exercising Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Advanages Summary Are Opions oo Expensive?

Overview Overview Pus and Calls Some Jargon: IV, I-A-OTM, TV Raional Exercising Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Advanages Summary Are Opions oo Expensive?

Overview Overview Pus and Calls Some Jargon: IV, I-A-OTM, TV Raional Exercising Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Advanages Summary Are Opions oo Expensive?

Ouline Pus and Calls Some Jargon Raional Exercising Using Pus and Calls Some Jargon: IV, I-A-OTM, TV Raional Exercising Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Advanages Summary Are Opions oo Expensive?

A Young person s Guide o F Opions Pus and Calls Some Jargon Raional Exercising Using { buy (call opion) Opions: he holder has he righ o, sell (pu opion) { a (European-syle opion) an agreed-upon expiry up unil (American syle opion) momen T, an agreed-upon quaniy of a specied asse ( underlying ) a an agreed-upon price (srike or exercise price), from/o he wrier of he opion. Exercising (killing) he opion: using he righ, ha is, buying (or selling) a he srike, a T or (for an American-syle:) possibly also early, i.e. before T Premium: he price paid (by he holder, o wrier) for he opion, irrespecive of exercising. Usually paid upfron, rarely a T (forward-syle), someimes parly via mark2marke and parly final (fuures-syle).

A Young person s Guide o F Opions Pus and Calls Some Jargon Raional Exercising Using { buy (call opion) Opions: he holder has he righ o, sell (pu opion) { a (European-syle opion) an agreed-upon expiry up unil (American syle opion) momen T, an agreed-upon quaniy of a specied asse ( underlying ) a an agreed-upon price (srike or exercise price), from/o he wrier of he opion. Exercising (killing) he opion: using he righ, ha is, buying (or selling) a he srike, a T or (for an American-syle:) possibly also early, i.e. before T Premium: he price paid (by he holder, o wrier) for he opion, irrespecive of exercising. Usually paid upfron, rarely a T (forward-syle), someimes parly via mark2marke and parly final (fuures-syle).

A Young person s Guide o F Opions Pus and Calls Some Jargon Raional Exercising Using { buy (call opion) Opions: he holder has he righ o, sell (pu opion) { a (European-syle opion) an agreed-upon expiry up unil (American syle opion) momen T, an agreed-upon quaniy of a specied asse ( underlying ) a an agreed-upon price (srike or exercise price), from/o he wrier of he opion. Exercising (killing) he opion: using he righ, ha is, buying (or selling) a he srike, a T or (for an American-syle:) possibly also early, i.e. before T Premium: he price paid (by he holder, o wrier) for he opion, irrespecive of exercising. Usually paid upfron, rarely a T (forward-syle), someimes parly via mark2marke and parly final (fuures-syle).

A Young person s Guide o F Opions Pus and Calls Some Jargon Raional Exercising Using { buy (call opion) Opions: he holder has he righ o, sell (pu opion) { a (European-syle opion) an agreed-upon expiry up unil (American syle opion) momen T, an agreed-upon quaniy of a specied asse ( underlying ) a an agreed-upon price (srike or exercise price), from/o he wrier of he opion. Exercising (killing) he opion: using he righ, ha is, buying (or selling) a he srike, a T or (for an American-syle:) possibly also early, i.e. before T Premium: he price paid (by he holder, o wrier) for he opion, irrespecive of exercising. Usually paid upfron, rarely a T (forward-syle), someimes parly via mark2marke and parly final (fuures-syle).

A Young person s Guide o F Opions Pus and Calls Some Jargon Raional Exercising Using { buy (call opion) Opions: he holder has he righ o, sell (pu opion) { a (European-syle opion) an agreed-upon expiry up unil (American syle opion) momen T, an agreed-upon quaniy of a specied asse ( underlying ) a an agreed-upon price (srike or exercise price), from/o he wrier of he opion. Exercising (killing) he opion: using he righ, ha is, buying (or selling) a he srike, a T or (for an American-syle:) possibly also early, i.e. before T Premium: he price paid (by he holder, o wrier) for he opion, irrespecive of exercising. Usually paid upfron, rarely a T (forward-syle), someimes parly via mark2marke and parly final (fuures-syle).

A Young person s Guide o F Opions Pus and Calls Some Jargon Raional Exercising Using { buy (call opion) Opions: he holder has he righ o, sell (pu opion) { a (European-syle opion) an agreed-upon expiry up unil (American syle opion) momen T, an agreed-upon quaniy of a specied asse ( underlying ) a an agreed-upon price (srike or exercise price), from/o he wrier of he opion. Exercising (killing) he opion: using he righ, ha is, buying (or selling) a he srike, a T or (for an American-syle:) possibly also early, i.e. before T Premium: he price paid (by he holder, o wrier) for he opion, irrespecive of exercising. Usually paid upfron, rarely a T (forward-syle), someimes parly via mark2marke and parly final (fuures-syle).

A Young person s Guide o F Opions Pus and Calls Some Jargon Raional Exercising Using { buy (call opion) Opions: he holder has he righ o, sell (pu opion) { a (European-syle opion) an agreed-upon expiry up unil (American syle opion) momen T, an agreed-upon quaniy of a specied asse ( underlying ) a an agreed-upon price (srike or exercise price), from/o he wrier of he opion. Exercising (killing) he opion: using he righ, ha is, buying (or selling) a he srike, a T or (for an American-syle:) possibly also early, i.e. before T Premium: he price paid (by he holder, o wrier) for he opion, irrespecive of exercising. Usually paid upfron, rarely a T (forward-syle), someimes parly via mark2marke and parly final (fuures-syle).

A Young person s Guide o F Opions (2) Pus and Calls Some Jargon Raional Exercising Using Inrinsic value or value dead: wha he opion would be worh if he exercise decision would have o be aken now. In / a /ou of he money (ITM, ATM, OTM): he srike relaive o he curren price is such ha immediae exercise would yield a posiive / zero / negaive cashflow. ITM means he inrinsic value is posiive. Time value := premium - inrinsic value. Posiive if he marke hinks ha i s beer o pospone exercising. An ATM/OTM opion s premium is pure ime value.

A Young person s Guide o F Opions (2) Pus and Calls Some Jargon Raional Exercising Using Inrinsic value or value dead: wha he opion would be worh if he exercise decision would have o be aken now. In / a /ou of he money (ITM, ATM, OTM): he srike relaive o he curren price is such ha immediae exercise would yield a posiive / zero / negaive cashflow. ITM means he inrinsic value is posiive. Time value := premium - inrinsic value. Posiive if he marke hinks ha i s beer o pospone exercising. An ATM/OTM opion s premium is pure ime value.

A Young person s Guide o F Opions (2) Pus and Calls Some Jargon Raional Exercising Using Inrinsic value or value dead: wha he opion would be worh if he exercise decision would have o be aken now. In / a /ou of he money (ITM, ATM, OTM): he srike relaive o he curren price is such ha immediae exercise would yield a posiive / zero / negaive cashflow. ITM means he inrinsic value is posiive. Time value := premium - inrinsic value. Posiive if he marke hinks ha i s beer o pospone exercising. An ATM/OTM opion s premium is pure ime value.

Exercise Rules Pus and Calls Some Jargon Raional Exercising Using (syle) call pu European S T > > S { { T S American > > S C am = S (> 0) P am = S (> 0) European European Call: iff S Call: T > iff S T >... European... Pu: European iff > Pu: S T iff > S T! C! European: C wha s wha par of wha forward conrac? T = Max( S T, 0) = ( S T ) + T = Max( S T, 0) = ( S T ) +! P T = Max( S! P T = T, Max( S 0) = T, T) 0) + = ( S CT CT (holder) (holder) (wrier) S T C (wrier) T S T C T P T PT P T (holder) (wrier) PT (holder) S T (wrier) S

Ouline Using Pus and Calls Some Jargon: IV, I-A-OTM, TV Raional Exercising Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Advanages Summary Are Opions oo Expensive?

Insiuional suff Using Traded v OTC Traded: Exchanges copied afer fuures: margin (for wrier), clearing OTC: professionals Opion on fuures conrac Call: if you exercise, you become long side of a conrac wih hisoric price,never marked o marke. Triggers MM flow of f,tf. Exercise rules: Eur: Am: Fuures-syle opions iniial margin; daily MM; final paymen useful for speculaors price is [price of regular opion] (1 + r,t) if on fuures: convenien for pu-call arbirage

Insiuional suff Using Traded v OTC Traded: Exchanges copied afer fuures: margin (for wrier), clearing OTC: professionals Opion on fuures conrac Call: if you exercise, you become long side of a conrac wih hisoric price,never marked o marke. Triggers MM flow of f,tf. Exercise rules: Eur: Am: Fuures-syle opions iniial margin; daily MM; final paymen useful for speculaors price is [price of regular opion] (1 + r,t) if on fuures: convenien for pu-call arbirage

Insiuional suff Using Traded v OTC Traded: Exchanges copied afer fuures: margin (for wrier), clearing OTC: professionals Opion on fuures conrac Call: if you exercise, you become long side of a conrac wih hisoric price,never marked o marke. Triggers MM flow of f,tf. Exercise rules: Eur: Am: Fuures-syle opions iniial margin; daily MM; final paymen useful for speculaors price is [price of regular opion] (1 + r,t) if on fuures: convenien for pu-call arbirage

Wholesale rading Opions Publicaions (1): End of Day Using Quoes Tex Currencies News & Noices Produc informaion Trading calendars News & Noices Produc informaion Conrac specificaions Traded opions: conrac info (LIFFE) Figure 8.3: Conrac daa for EUR/USD opion (DE) a LIFFE US DOLLAR / EURO OPTIONS Underlying : Codes and classificaion Mnemo DE MEP AMS Exercise ype European Uni! US Dollar / Euro Opions Uni of rading 100 Conrac size USD 10.000 Expiry monhs Quoaion Euros per USD 100 Minimum price movemen (ick size and value) Las rading day Selemen Trading hours Clearing Opion syle Exercise 1) Iniial lifeime: 1, 2, and 3 monhs Cycle: all monhs 2) Iniial lifeime: 6, 9 and 12 monhs Cycle: March, June, Sepember and December 3) Iniial lifeime: 3 years Cycle: Sepember EUR 0.01 (= EUR 1 per conrac) Trading in expiring currency derivaives have he EuroF rae as heir selemen basis and ends a 13.00 Amserdam ime on he hird Friday of he expiry monh, provided his is a business day. If i is no, he previous business day will be he las day of rading. EuroF rae conracs: Cash selemen, based on he value of he Euro / US Dollar rae se by EuroF a 13.00 Amserdam ime. For DE, he inverse value of he EuroF Euro / US Dollar rae is used and rounded off o four decimal places. 9.00 17.25 Amserdam ime LCH.Clearne S.A. European syle. Holders of long posiions are no eniled o exercise heir opions before he exercise dae. European Las updae 21/12/04 Trading Plaform: LIFFE CONNECT Wholesale Service: Prof Trade Faciliy

Traded opions: price info (Neue Zürcher Zeiung) Using DEVISENOPTIONEN Srike Call Srike Pu Sep Dez Mar Jun Sep Dez Mar Jun $/Fr. Kassamielkurs: 1.2235 100,000 $; Rp/$ 1.2000 2.60 3.06 3.41 3.65 1.2000 0.62 2.23 3.56 4.71 1.2250 1.07 1.90 2.34 2.66 1.2250 1.59 3.53 4.97 6.18 1.2500 0.41 1.12 1.57 1.91 1.2250 3.42 5.23 6.67 7.89 1.2750 0.25 0.67 1.05 1.37 1.2750 5.57 7.27 8.62 9.80 C/Fr. Kassamielkurs: 1.5781 100,000 C; Rp/C 1.5750 2.60 3.06 3.41 3.65 1.5750 0.62 2.23 3.56 4.71 1.6000 0.23 0.37 0.47 0.53 1.6000 2.62 3.39 4.10 4.74 1.6250 0.22 0.25 0.30 0.34 1.6250 5.09 5.75 6.41 7.01 1.6500 0.21 0.23 0.26 0.27 1.6500 7.85 8.22 8.84 9.41 C/$ Kassamielkurs: 1.2917 100,000 $; Cen/$ 1.2750 2.74 4.01 5.12 6.02 1.2750 0.58 1.49 2.08 2.55 1.3000 1.02 2.61 3.73 4.66 1.3000 3.52 1.03 4.48 4.85 1.3250 0.42 1.63 2.66 6.54 1.3250 3.52 4.03 4.48 4.85 1.3500 0.26 1.01 1.87 2.66 1.3500 5.84 5.87 6.11 6.36 Quelle: UBS

Ouline Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Pus and Calls Some Jargon: IV, I-A-OTM, TV Raional Exercising Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Advanages Summary Are Opions oo Expensive?

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(excse)<1. Calls: lobos C > S 1+r,T C [he above] if... C > 0 because... C 0 if... C am C because... C am = C if Summary: C am because... C > Max S 1+r,T C am > Max(S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: C am > Max S «, 0 > Max(S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(excse)<1. Calls: lobos C > S 1+r,T C [he above] if... C > 0 because... C 0 if... C am C because... C am = C if Summary: C am because... C > Max S 1+r,T C am > Max(S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: C am > Max S «, 0 > Max(S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(excse)<1. Calls: lobos C > S 1+r,T C [he above] if... C > 0 because... C 0 if... C am C because... C am = C if Summary: C am because... C > Max S 1+r,T C am > Max(S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: C am > Max S «, 0 > Max(S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(excse)<1. Calls: lobos C > S 1+r,T C [he above] if... C > 0 because... C 0 if... C am C because... C am = C if Summary: C am because... C > Max S 1+r,T C am > Max(S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: C am > Max S «, 0 > Max(S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(excse)<1. Calls: lobos C > S 1+r,T C [he above] if... C > 0 because... C 0 if... C am C because... C am = C if Summary: C am because... C > Max S 1+r,T C am > Max(S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: C am > Max S «, 0 > Max(S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(excse)<1. Calls: lobos C > S 1+r,T C [he above] if... C > 0 because... C 0 if... C am C because... C am = C if Summary: C am because... C > Max S 1+r,T C am > Max(S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: C am > Max S «, 0 > Max(S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(excse)<1. Calls: lobos C > S 1+r,T C [he above] if... C > 0 because... C 0 if... C am C because... C am = C if Summary: C am because... C > Max S 1+r,T C am > Max(S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: C am > Max S «, 0 > Max(S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(excse)<1. Calls: lobos C > S 1+r,T C [he above] if... C > 0 because... C 0 if... C am C because... C am = C if Summary: C am because... C > Max S 1+r,T C am > Max(S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: C am > Max S «, 0 > Max(S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(excse)<1. Calls: lobos C > S 1+r,T C [he above] if... C > 0 because... C 0 if... C am C because... C am = C if Summary: C am because... C > Max S 1+r,T C am > Max(S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: C am > Max S «, 0 > Max(S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(excse)<1. Calls: lobos C > S 1+r,T C [he above] if... C > 0 because... C 0 if... C am C because... C am = C if Summary: C am because... C > Max S 1+r,T C am > Max(S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: C am > Max S «, 0 > Max(S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(exrcise)<1. Pus: lobos P > S 1+r,T P [he above] if... P > 0 because... P 0 if... P am P because... P am = P if Summary: P am because... P > Max S 1+r,T P am > Max( S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: «P am > Max S, 0 > Max( S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(exrcise)<1. Pus: lobos P > S 1+r,T P [he above] if... P > 0 because... P 0 if... P am P because... P am = P if Summary: P am because... P > Max S 1+r,T P am > Max( S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: «P am > Max S, 0 > Max( S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(exrcise)<1. Pus: lobos P > S 1+r,T P [he above] if... P > 0 because... P 0 if... P am P because... P am = P if Summary: P am because... P > Max S 1+r,T P am > Max( S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: «P am > Max S, 0 > Max( S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(exrcise)<1. Pus: lobos P > S 1+r,T P [he above] if... P > 0 because... P 0 if... P am P because... P am = P if Summary: P am because... P > Max S 1+r,T P am > Max( S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: «P am > Max S, 0 > Max( S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(exrcise)<1. Pus: lobos P > S 1+r,T P [he above] if... P > 0 because... P 0 if... P am P because... P am = P if Summary: P am because... P > Max S 1+r,T P am > Max( S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: «P am > Max S, 0 > Max( S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(exrcise)<1. Pus: lobos P > S 1+r,T P [he above] if... P > 0 because... P 0 if... P am P because... P am = P if Summary: P am because... P > Max S 1+r,T P am > Max( S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: «P am > Max S, 0 > Max( S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(exrcise)<1. Pus: lobos P > S 1+r,T P [he above] if... P > 0 because... P 0 if... P am P because... P am = P if Summary: P am because... P > Max S 1+r,T P am > Max( S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: «P am > Max S, 0 > Max( S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(exrcise)<1. Pus: lobos P > S 1+r,T P [he above] if... P > 0 because... P 0 if... P am P because... P am = P if Summary: P am because... P > Max S 1+r,T P am > Max( S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: «P am > Max S, 0 > Max( S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(exrcise)<1. Pus: lobos P > S 1+r,T P [he above] if... P > 0 because... P 0 if... P am P because... P am = P if Summary: P am because... P > Max S 1+r,T P am > Max( S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: «P am > Max S, 0 > Max( S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

on Prices & Implicaions Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Assume genuine uncerainy: 0 < prob(exrcise)<1. Pus: lobos P > S 1+r,T P [he above] if... P > 0 because... P 0 if... P am P because... P am = P if Summary: P am because... P > Max S 1+r,T P am > Max( S, 0) = IV because..., 0. Noe: if r > r = 0, he firs bound subsumes he second one: «P am > Max S, 0 > Max( S, 0) = IV 1 + r,t when r > r = 0, early exercise is...

Pu-Call Pariy European Opions! 2.3. arbirage Noe he replicaion possibiliies: replicaion possibiliies Call Pu forward purchase + = 2. Uses of op Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy = FC1 PN + HC PN Synheic opions Applicaions Hedged posiions S T + P T = C T! synh call S T + P T C T =! synh HC S T + synh C T = opions PN P T! synh pu (synh T-Bills) P T + C T = S T! synh FC S T + P T = C T synh call S T + P T C T = PN synh HC PN S T + C T = P T synh pu P T + C T = S T synh FC PN

Pu-Call Pariy Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy A no-arb relaion: if a T: C T P T = S T, by arb here mus be pariy also a : C P = F,T = S (Pu-Call Pariy 1 + r,t 1 + r,t Eur. opions only!) 1 + r,t Three implicaions A-he-forward (ATF): if = F,T hen C = P, i.e. ATF pus and calls have equal prices A-he-money (ATM): if = S hen r,t r >, T C P = S (1 + r,t)(1 + r,t ) = < 0 if r,t > = < r, T. i.e. ATM call (=upward poenial) is more valuable han pu (downward poenial) if F,T > S (i.e. FC srong ) & vv. As soon as we have a Call opion price model, PCPariy implies he Pu opion pricing model.

Pu-Call Pariy Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy A no-arb relaion: if a T: C T P T = S T, by arb here mus be pariy also a : C P = F,T = S (Pu-Call Pariy 1 + r,t 1 + r,t Eur. opions only!) 1 + r,t Three implicaions A-he-forward (ATF): if = F,T hen C = P, i.e. ATF pus and calls have equal prices A-he-money (ATM): if = S hen r,t r >, T C P = S (1 + r,t)(1 + r,t ) = < 0 if r,t > = < r, T. i.e. ATM call (=upward poenial) is more valuable han pu (downward poenial) if F,T > S (i.e. FC srong ) & vv. As soon as we have a Call opion price model, PCPariy implies he Pu opion pricing model.

Pu-Call Pariy Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy A no-arb relaion: if a T: C T P T = S T, by arb here mus be pariy also a : C P = F,T = S (Pu-Call Pariy 1 + r,t 1 + r,t Eur. opions only!) 1 + r,t Three implicaions A-he-forward (ATF): if = F,T hen C = P, i.e. ATF pus and calls have equal prices A-he-money (ATM): if = S hen r,t r >, T C P = S (1 + r,t)(1 + r,t ) = < 0 if r,t > = < r, T. i.e. ATM call (=upward poenial) is more valuable han pu (downward poenial) if F,T > S (i.e. FC srong ) & vv. As soon as we have a Call opion price model, PCPariy implies he Pu opion pricing model.

Pu-Call Pariy Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy A no-arb relaion: if a T: C T P T = S T, by arb here mus be pariy also a : C P = F,T = S (Pu-Call Pariy 1 + r,t 1 + r,t Eur. opions only!) 1 + r,t Three implicaions A-he-forward (ATF): if = F,T hen C = P, i.e. ATF pus and calls have equal prices A-he-money (ATM): if = S hen r,t r >, T C P = S (1 + r,t)(1 + r,t ) = < 0 if r,t > = < r, T. i.e. ATM call (=upward poenial) is more valuable han pu (downward poenial) if F,T > S (i.e. FC srong ) & vv. As soon as we have a Call opion price model, PCPariy implies he Pu opion pricing model.

Ouline Using Advanages Pus and Calls Some Jargon: IV, I-A-OTM, TV Raional Exercising Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Advanages Summary Are Opions oo Expensive?

Using Opions 2: 1.3. Advanage as a hedge insrumen Forward hedge: eliminaes all uncerainy downward & upside 1. Basics of opions Opion: buy insurance agains bad raes (: S below in case of e.g. A/R; above in case of e.g. A/P) One-edged of conracual exposure Using 0 hedged A/P C T S T 0 hedged A/R A/R P T S T Advanages A/P Hedging exposures wih big quaniy risks P. Sercu and R. Uppal The Finance Workbook page 8.5 Examples: In ender, risky A/R ec, risky sock invesmens, reinsurance, Advanage : no risk of wo bad idings losing on he exposed posiion and on he hedge: OTM opion no exercised Dubious argumen: opion s added flexibiliy is sill 100% ied o risk, no o quaniy risk

Using Opions 2: 1.3. Advanage as a hedge insrumen Forward hedge: eliminaes all uncerainy downward & upside 1. Basics of opions Opion: buy insurance agains bad raes (: S below in case of e.g. A/R; above in case of e.g. A/P) One-edged of conracual exposure Using 0 hedged A/P C T S T 0 hedged A/R A/R P T S T Advanages A/P Hedging exposures wih big quaniy risks P. Sercu and R. Uppal The Finance Workbook page 8.5 Examples: In ender, risky A/R ec, risky sock invesmens, reinsurance, Advanage : no risk of wo bad idings losing on he exposed posiion and on he hedge: OTM opion no exercised Dubious argumen: opion s added flexibiliy is sill 100% ied o risk, no o quaniy risk

More on Opions as hedges 2. Uses of opions 2.1 Hedging nonlinear exposure To hedge away jus he downside, keeping he upside risk. Bu: bear in mind ha one Example: pays a price expors for his. as an opion "To hedge FC posiions wih your risk perifraxes (e.g. inernaional can beender, sold eiher inernaional home reinsurance)" a EUR 1, or Bu: he exra flexibiliy offered expored by opions a is sill USD 1 S-relaed, ne (price no akership). Q-relaed. To hedge non-linear exposures Thus see (usually graph V operaing exposures) T = 1 + Max( S T 1, 0), quie opion-like expor Insiuional Example: Aspecs your prioblaphoxes can be sold Using a Opions home a (1): EUR 1, or expored a USD 1 ne (price akership). Thus, V T = 1 + Max(S T 1, 0). Selling an opion replaces his poenial exra income by is (PV-ed) CEQ, he Advanages premium income. forward canno remove he exposure a all. opimal use 1 sell a home P. Sercu and R. Uppal The Finance Workbook page 8.7 1 Selling an opion replaces his poenial exra income by is (PV d) CEQ, he premium income. Naive forward (USD 1 per perifrax) canno remove he exposure a all. S T

More on Opions as hedges 2. Uses of opions 2.1 Hedging nonlinear exposure To hedge away jus he downside, keeping he upside risk. Bu: bear in mind ha one Example: pays a price expors for his. as an opion "To hedge FC posiions wih your risk perifraxes (e.g. inernaional can beender, sold eiher inernaional home reinsurance)" a EUR 1, or Bu: he exra flexibiliy offered expored by opions a is sill USD 1 S-relaed, ne (price no akership). Q-relaed. To hedge non-linear exposures Thus see (usually graph V operaing exposures) T = 1 + Max( S T 1, 0), quie opion-like expor Insiuional Example: Aspecs your prioblaphoxes can be sold Using a Opions home a (1): EUR 1, or expored a USD 1 ne (price akership). Thus, V T = 1 + Max(S T 1, 0). Selling an opion replaces his poenial exra income by is (PV-ed) CEQ, he Advanages premium income. forward canno remove he exposure a all. opimal use 1 sell a home P. Sercu and R. Uppal The Finance Workbook page 8.7 1 Selling an opion replaces his poenial exra income by is (PV d) CEQ, he premium income. Naive forward (USD 1 per perifrax) canno remove he exposure a all. S T

More on Opions as hedges 2. Uses of opions 2.1 Hedging nonlinear exposure To hedge away jus he downside, keeping he upside risk. Bu: bear in mind ha one Example: pays a price expors for his. as an opion "To hedge FC posiions wih your risk perifraxes (e.g. inernaional can beender, sold eiher inernaional home reinsurance)" a EUR 1, or Bu: he exra flexibiliy offered expored by opions a is sill USD 1 S-relaed, ne (price no akership). Q-relaed. To hedge non-linear exposures Thus see (usually graph V operaing exposures) T = 1 + Max( S T 1, 0), quie opion-like expor Insiuional Example: Aspecs your prioblaphoxes can be sold Using a Opions home a (1): EUR 1, or expored a USD 1 ne (price akership). Thus, V T = 1 + Max(S T 1, 0). Selling an opion replaces his poenial exra income by is (PV-ed) CEQ, he Advanages premium income. forward canno remove he exposure a all. opimal use 1 sell a home P. Sercu and R. Uppal The Finance Workbook page 8.7 1 Selling an opion replaces his poenial exra income by is (PV d) CEQ, he premium income. Naive forward (USD 1 per perifrax) canno remove he exposure a all. S T

Piecewise Linear Approximaions & Opions Using Advanages S_T Cash Flow Approx1 Approx2 0.90 100.0 94.0 100.0 0.91 95.5 94.0 97.5 0.92 92.0 94.0 95.0 0.93 89.5 94.0 92.5 0.94 88.0 94.0 90.0 0.95 87.5 94.0 87.5 0.96 88.0 94.0 90.0 0.97 89.5 94.0 92.5 0.98 92.0 94.0 95.0 0.99 95.5 94.0 97.5 1.00 100.0 94.0 100.0 1.01 105.5 104.0 110.0 1.02 112.0 114.0 120.0 1.03 119.5 124.0 130.0 1.04 128.0 134.0 140.0 1.05 137.5 144.0 150.0 1.06 148.0 154.0 160.0 1.07 159.5 164.0 170.0 1.08 172.0 174.0 180.0 1.09 185.5 184.0 190.0 1.10 200.0 194.0 200.0 Cash Flow 250.0 200.0 150.0 100.0 50.0 0.0 Non-consan exposure 0.90 0.95 1.00 1.05 1.10 S_T

Ouline Using Pus and Calls Some Jargon: IV, I-A-OTM, TV Raional Exercising Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Advanages Summary Are Opions oo Expensive?

Speculaing on S or on σ s Using on S Bulls buy calls or sell pus, Bears buy pus or sell calls 2.2. speculaion Buying opions limis your risk o2. heuses premium of opions... bu he chance of losing all is usually big ( 50%, ATM) speculaion? Selling opions is risky s giving up diversificaion because of exra-ordinary expeced reurn s disagreemen wih marke Speculaing prices: over- or onundervalued volailiyasses ion wih opions Wai ill T and cash in big-ime or so you hope laing à la hausse/baisse wih limied ax loss is ar in mind: sill a large prob of losing ire iniial invesmen! laion on volailiy by buying/selling les/srangles. See able below and graph. y boh pu and call because sraddle srangle or cash in as soon as he marke has seen he error of is ways prob(0.9) prob(1.0) prob(1.1) expecaion for C, P (=1) and revalued he opions or so you hope inion 0.25 0.50 0.25 E you (C or P) = 0.025

Speculaing on S or on σ s Using on S Bulls buy calls or sell pus, Bears buy pus or sell calls 2.2. speculaion Buying opions limis your risk o2. heuses premium of opions... bu he chance of losing all is usually big ( 50%, ATM) speculaion? Selling opions is risky s giving up diversificaion because of exra-ordinary expeced reurn s disagreemen wih marke Speculaing prices: over- or onundervalued volailiyasses ion wih opions Wai ill T and cash in big-ime or so you hope laing à la hausse/baisse wih limied ax loss is ar in mind: sill a large prob of losing ire iniial invesmen! laion on volailiy by buying/selling les/srangles. See able below and graph. y boh pu and call because sraddle srangle or cash in as soon as he marke has seen he error of is ways prob(0.9) prob(1.0) prob(1.1) expecaion for C, P (=1) and revalued he opions or so you hope inion 0.25 0.50 0.25 E you (C or P) = 0.025

Speculaing on S or on σ s Using on S Bulls buy calls or sell pus, Bears buy pus or sell calls 2.2. speculaion Buying opions limis your risk o2. heuses premium of opions... bu he chance of losing all is usually big ( 50%, ATM) speculaion? Selling opions is risky s giving up diversificaion because of exra-ordinary expeced reurn s disagreemen wih marke Speculaing prices: over- or onundervalued volailiyasses ion wih opions Wai ill T and cash in big-ime or so you hope laing à la hausse/baisse wih limied ax loss is ar in mind: sill a large prob of losing ire iniial invesmen! laion on volailiy by buying/selling les/srangles. See able below and graph. y boh pu and call because sraddle srangle or cash in as soon as he marke has seen he error of is ways prob(0.9) prob(1.0) prob(1.1) expecaion for C, P (=1) and revalued he opions or so you hope inion 0.25 0.50 0.25 E you (C or P) = 0.025

Speculaing on S or on σ s Using on S Bulls buy calls or sell pus, Bears buy pus or sell calls 2.2. speculaion Buying opions limis your risk o2. heuses premium of opions... bu he chance of losing all is usually big ( 50%, ATM) speculaion? Selling opions is risky s giving up diversificaion because of exra-ordinary expeced reurn s disagreemen wih marke Speculaing prices: over- or onundervalued volailiyasses ion wih opions Wai ill T and cash in big-ime or so you hope laing à la hausse/baisse wih limied ax loss is ar in mind: sill a large prob of losing ire iniial invesmen! laion on volailiy by buying/selling les/srangles. See able below and graph. y boh pu and call because sraddle srangle or cash in as soon as he marke has seen he error of is ways prob(0.9) prob(1.0) prob(1.1) expecaion for C, P (=1) and revalued he opions or so you hope inion 0.25 0.50 0.25 E you (C or P) = 0.025

Ouline Using Summary Are Opions oo Expensive? Pus and Calls Some Jargon: IV, I-A-OTM, TV Raional Exercising Using (European) Pu-Call Pariy Advanages Summary Are Opions oo Expensive?

learned in his chaper? Using Summary Are Opions oo Expensive? Chopped-up Forward Conracs European opions provide he holder wih he posiive par of he payoff of he comparable forward conrac below for he pu, above for he call. The wrier ges he negaive pars. Opions being zero-sum games, he paries can agree only if he holder pays he wrier a premium, which should be he risk-adjused and discouned expeced value. on prices. As a European opion provides he nice par of he comparable forwards, he value of he laer is a lower bound on he E opion s price. Zero is anoher lower bound. American opions are worh a leas he E opion, and also a leas he inrinsic value. For some ineres-rae combinaions he laer bound can never be reached, or is unlikely o ever be reached.

learned in his chaper? Using Summary Are Opions oo Expensive? Chopped-up Forward Conracs European opions provide he holder wih he posiive par of he payoff of he comparable forward conrac below for he pu, above for he call. The wrier ges he negaive pars. Opions being zero-sum games, he paries can agree only if he holder pays he wrier a premium, which should be he risk-adjused and discouned expeced value. on prices. As a European opion provides he nice par of he comparable forwards, he value of he laer is a lower bound on he E opion s price. Zero is anoher lower bound. American opions are worh a leas he E opion, and also a leas he inrinsic value. For some ineres-rae combinaions he laer bound can never be reached, or is unlikely o ever be reached.

learned in his chaper? con d Using Summary Are Opions oo Expensive? Pu-Call Pariy As (European!) pus & calls are bis & pieces of forwards, one can replicae a forward from opions, or one opion from forwards and he oher opion; or one can hedge. Traders do his o balance heir books or fill holes in he marke. The resuling no-arb consrain is called Pu-Call Pariy. Using opions Being broken-up forwards, opions can be used for one-edged, or of non-consan exposures Because of is convexiy an opion can also be used o speculae on volailiy, no jus on he sign of S.

learned in his chaper? con d Using Summary Are Opions oo Expensive? Pu-Call Pariy As (European!) pus & calls are bis & pieces of forwards, one can replicae a forward from opions, or one opion from forwards and he oher opion; or one can hedge. Traders do his o balance heir books or fill holes in he marke. The resuling no-arb consrain is called Pu-Call Pariy. Using opions Being broken-up forwards, opions can be used for one-edged, or of non-consan exposures Because of is convexiy an opion can also be used o speculae on volailiy, no jus on he sign of S.

Are Opions oo Expensive? Using Summary Are Opions oo Expensive? The mos expensive opion is cheap The mos expensive opion is a VeryDeep ITM one, and i is priced as a forward, which canno be conroversially expensive. Ourageous Bid-ask Spreads? Bid-Ask for opions is easily 5% or more. bu... canno be compared o spread on forwards, since he premium is a levered ne value while he forward is he price of one leg Example: If F = 100 and F 0 = 98 and r 0 hen he marke value is 2; and a 0.10% spread on F would already be a 5% spread on 2. In addiion, he opion is much more cosly and risky, o he bank, han a forward Lack of Undersanding You need o read he nex chaper

Are Opions oo Expensive? Using Summary Are Opions oo Expensive? The mos expensive opion is cheap The mos expensive opion is a VeryDeep ITM one, and i is priced as a forward, which canno be conroversially expensive. Ourageous Bid-ask Spreads? Bid-Ask for opions is easily 5% or more. bu... canno be compared o spread on forwards, since he premium is a levered ne value while he forward is he price of one leg Example: If F = 100 and F 0 = 98 and r 0 hen he marke value is 2; and a 0.10% spread on F would already be a 5% spread on 2. In addiion, he opion is much more cosly and risky, o he bank, han a forward Lack of Undersanding You need o read he nex chaper

Are Opions oo Expensive? Using Summary Are Opions oo Expensive? The mos expensive opion is cheap The mos expensive opion is a VeryDeep ITM one, and i is priced as a forward, which canno be conroversially expensive. Ourageous Bid-ask Spreads? Bid-Ask for opions is easily 5% or more. bu... canno be compared o spread on forwards, since he premium is a levered ne value while he forward is he price of one leg Example: If F = 100 and F 0 = 98 and r 0 hen he marke value is 2; and a 0.10% spread on F would already be a 5% spread on 2. In addiion, he opion is much more cosly and risky, o he bank, han a forward Lack of Undersanding You need o read he nex chaper