The Role of Big Data and Analytics in the Move Toward Scientific Transportation Engineering



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Transcription:

The Role of Big Data and Analytics in the Move Toward Scientific Transportation Engineering Bob McQueen CEO The 0cash Company Orlando, Florida bobmcqueen@0cash.com

Topics Introduction Smart cities What is big data? What are data analytics Transportation use cases Scientific traffic engineering The need for a data lake Summary 2

Smart Cities What is a Smart City Urban analytics and modeling Incentives and governance Mobility networks Places of living and work Electronic and social networks Energy networks How do you know how smart your city is? What steps can you take to make your city smarter? 3

What is Big Data? Exponential growth and new availability of data Structured and unstructured Rapid acceleration in many dimensions (volume, velocity, variety, variability and complexity) New Analytics: graph and path analytics, and analytics on new, non-relational data types (coupled with existing relational data) Tools: uncover insights from data such as text in accident reports, or patterns in visuals, to quickly find the signal in the noise Economics: retain, do not throw away signal timings, speed, flow and occupancy data, by leveraging hot and cold data storage Architecture: hybrid ecosystem that allows both old and new tools and enables rapid discovery analytics on new data Not New Most big data use cases are variations on: Safety, Efficiency User experience questions that public service agencies have been addressing for years

Big Data in Transportation Smart Vehicles Integrated Corridor Management SANDAG reports that ICM is generating about 1 terabyte of data every day Similar results expected around the country as we build our Data Lakes Ford Fusion Energi plug-in hybrid has more than 145 actuators, 4,716 signals, and 74 sensors to monitor the perimeter around the car as well as the car s functions and driver responses. These sensors produce more than 25 gigabytes of data hourly from more than 70 on-board computers that analyze it in realtime. Big focus on smart cars, what about smart back offices too? 2 Zetabytes per year across the USA 5

Preparing for Automation - Smart Back Offices Growth in Query complexity, Workload mixture, Depth of history, Number of users, Expectations Database Requirement: Analytic foundation must handle multi-dimensional growth! Workload Complexity REPORTING Historical Performance Reporting ANALYZING Mechanisms related to transportation demand and supply PREDICTING Future Transportation Demand and Supply OPERATIONALIZING Applying insights to transportation operations ACTIVATING Automated transportation back office Batch Ad Hoc Eventbased Triggering Continuous Update/Short Queries Analytics Primarily batch and some ad hoc reports Increase in ad hoc analysis Analytical modeling grows Single View of Transportation Better, Faster Decisions Drive Safety, Efficiency, User Experience Continuous update and time-sensitive queries become important Event-based triggering takes hold Data Sophistication 6

Data Analytics Systematic computational analysis of data or statistics. Information resulting from the systematic analysis of data or statistics. Relationships and insights that can guide business performance World class reporting can only ever make you a well-informed spectator at the game Analytics will empower you to be a coach and influence the performance of the team Reporting versus analytics a football analogy Transportation data analytics $ per % mode shift to transit Trip specific value propositions Stops per vehicle per trip Traffic turbulence 7

TransportationUse Cases Public Safety Integrated data for police and law enforcement Highway Safety Root causes of vehicle related safety issues Pedestrian Safety Root causes of safety issues involving pedestrians Scientic Investment Planning Work programs based on detailed undertanding of effects Performance Management Metrics, understand patterns & outcomes Transportation Effectiveness Planning, design, delivery & operations Asset Management & Maintenance State of Good Repair and Cost vs Quality Integrated Corridor Management Performance by mode; land use impacts Traveler User Experience O&D reliability, modal choice impacts & sentiments Toll roads & Public Private Partnership Demand trade-offs on time & reliability vs toll costs Parking Demand, revenue management and fee optimization Connected vehicle Vehicle-to-vehicle & to infrastructure connectivity benefits Public transit management Service effectiveness, last mile connectivity Traveler Information Single and multi-modal trip timings; route event information O&D Demand Traffic volumes and timings; trip patterns & demographics Freight Movement Network viability and access to trade markets 8

Use Case: Scientific Investment Planning Goals and Challenges Measures of investment effectiveness are required to improve expected versus actual benefits Investment requirements often exceed available funding, so there is need to balance funding between physical infrastructure (e.g. asphalt) and programs in intelligent transportation systems that better use available capacity Data & Analytics Data: Investment planning today is done with relatively sparse data (usually modeled data or from a limited sample) and evaluation of after the fact results is similarly sparse Big data now allows a high resolution before/after look at network impact of investments, going beyond immediate impacts to discern broader effect on the regional network; detail data helps include in investment planning decisions the constantly changing ebb and flow of normal traffic Analytics: Network analytics readily pinpoint chokepoints or linkages with disproportionate network impact - a key prioritization idea difficult to execute without adequate supporting detail or for new concepts such as intelligent transportation systems Results Better prioritization process, through analytics that define specific effects of a range of investments including intelligent transportation systems Adoption of a results driven approach, with focus on investment needs, timing and exactly what the money delivers Supports an approach going beyond KPIs to management of outcomes based on data that can be leveraged by decision-making constituencies

Scientific Transportation Engineering Speed variability analysis Bottleneck identification and characterization Data definitions of subjective terms Detailed understanding of causes and effects based on data Speed of travel Lag 2 Normal Lag 1 Slowdown End Queue Zone of influence Queue Queue Queue 60% of reference speed Traffic Turbulence Queue Head Queue 10

The Need for a Data Lake From data averse to data hungry Enterprise-wide data visibility 11

The Need for a Data Lake A study on roadway use was completed by a project team one month. Six months later another project team performed the same study because they did not know the other existed. A team looking to move on to the next phase of a project was unable to locate survey results in a timely fashion. Due to time constraints the survey had to be completely re-done. A project was executed to resurface a road one month exactly one month later the same road was ripped up by another project to install new lighting. Real, but anonymous whoops moments 12

Data Lake Architecture 13

Summary The Smart City Big Data and Data Analytics Transportation Use Cases Scientific traffic engineering The need for a Data Lake Transportation agency as a single organism 14