CAP GROUP UPDATE. Fernando Reitich President & CEO



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Transcription:

CAP GROUP UPDATE Fernando Reitich President & CEO March, 2014

Agenda 1

Ownership Structure Source: CAP, March. 2014 2

Integrated Operations Mining Steel Steel Processing Production capacity: 15 Mt/y Only large-scale iron ore producer in Chile On track to reach 18 million tons production capacity 85% exports, mainly to Asia Production: 0,7 Mt/y Nominal capacity: 1.45 Mt/y Domestic market Focus on grinding media, rebar & wire rod 50% of target market Production capacity:400 kt/y Leading steel processor in Chile Regional player: Chile, Perú and Argentina Mining Steel Steel processing 3

4

Mining sites CAP Mining has three different areas of operation in the north of Chile, located around the cities of: La Serena Vallenar Copiapó El Laco Punta Totoralillo Port Cerro Negro Norte Desalination Plant Copiapó Magnetite Plant Cities Mines Guacolda II Port Pellets Plant Vallenar El Algarrobo Los Colorados Plants Ports El Tofo Cristales La Serena El Romeral Guayacán Port 5

Iron ore mining operations Elqui Valley / La Serena El Romeral Mine / 4.0 million tons Pellet Feed, Lumps and Fines Infrastructure: Guayacan Port (165.000 dwt) and Railroad (38 km) Huasco Valley / Vallenar Los Colorados Mine - Pellet Plant / 7.2 million tons Pellets, Pellet Feed, Lumps and Fines Infrastructure: Guacolda II Port (300.000 dwt) and Railroad (140 km) Copiapo Valley / Copiapó Magnetite Plant / 3.0 million tons Pellet Feed Infrastructure: Punta Totoralillo Port (200.000 dwt) and Slurry Pipeline (120 km) Cerro Negro Norte Mine (commissioning by May 2014) / 4.0 million tons Pellet Feed Infrastructure: Slurry Pipeline (81 km) 6

Mining products BF and DR Pellets (Fe 65% - 66%) Lumps (Fe 62%) Pellet Feed (Fe 67% - 68%) Fines (Fe 62%) 7

Mining Property Ranking 2012 Hectares in exploration concessions - Chile N Company Hectares % 1 BHP Chile Inc. 2.219.500 12,38 2 Codelco 969.400 5,41 3 Antofagasta Minerals S.A. 736.800 4,11 4 Teck Exploraciones Mineras Chile Ltda. 728.600 4,07 5 CAP 609.400 3,4 Ranking 2012 Hectares in exploitation concessions - Chile N Company Hectares % 1 Soquimich S.A. 2.876.778 20,98 2 Codelco 838.207 6,11 3 Minera Escondida Limitada 362.108 2,64 4 SCM Virginia 256.751 1,87 5 Enami 254.229 1,85 6 Antofagasta Minerals S.A. 208.292 1,52 7 CAP 193.601 1,41 Top 5 position in exploration concessions More than 700.000 meters drilled over the period 2008-2013 Source: SERNAGEOMIN 8

Resources and reserves of magnetite ore As a result of continued successful exploration campaigns, iron ore resources have increased progressively over the years, reaching 6.350 million tons in 2013 Mine / Deposit Total Mineral Resources (1) Reserves (2) Mine Location Ton Grade (% Fe) Ton Grade (% Fe) Existing operations Los Colorados Vallenar 943 34,7% 509 36,5% Los Colorados District Vallenar 26 43,3% Romeral La Serena 455 28,3% 101 30,6% Hierro Atacama I - Candelaria (3) Copiapó 374 10,0% 374 10,0% El Algarrobo Vallenar 136 45,8% 81 49,5% Projects under construction Cerro Negro Norte Copiapó 377 32,8% 190 36,5% Reserves for future development El Laco Antofagasta 734 49,2% 376 56,7% Algarrobo District Vallenar 606 33,5% 118 35,5% Cristales Vallenar 149 32,8% Tofo District La Serena 2.551 25,6% 529 26,1% Source: CAP, March 2014 TOTAL 6.351 30,8% 2.278 33,2% (1) Resources: Minerals measured on a geological ore content feasible of being mined. (2) Reserves: Minerals measured on a geological content feasible of being mined economically. (3) CMP has the contract for processing the tailings of the Candelaria copper mine. 9

Th. MT Mining shipments and markets Shipments 14000,0 12000,0 10000,0 10.145 10.213 11.469 12.246 12.086 8000,0 7.251 6000,0 4000,0 2000,0,0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Shipments by markets and products (CY 2013) Lumps, 8% Sinter feed, 8% Self - fluxing pellets, 14% DR H&L pellets, 4% Pellet chips, 1% Fines, 5% Japan, 10% Bahrein, 9% Indonesia, 4% USA, 1% Pellet feed, 60% Chile, 11% China, 64% 10

Cash cost curve (2014) Global production cost CAP CAP Mining is a low cost producer of high grade magnetite concentrate Mine depletion will lead to higher demand for high grade pellet feed Environmental and economic constraints support the increased need for magnetite concentrate Pellet feed global production cost Magnetic pellet feed global production cost CAP CAP Source: Wood Mackenzie Research 11

Steel - Location Strategically located. Good logistics for raw materials, water and energy. Pier available more than 95% of the year. Part of an industrial area, near to universities and technical educational centers. San Vicente Bay. Talcahuano - Chile Huachipato Steel Mill 13

Steel focus on long products only Worldwide low capacity utilization has destroyed steel producers margins in the last years During 2013 the company shifted focus to long products only, aiming to exploit its competitive advantages HRC: Negative margins due to oversupplied market and subsidized export surplus from China and others Long products demand underpinned by domestic construction and mining sectors Reorganization of the plant to produce 700 kt/y, operating with only one blast furnace Strong adjustment in its industrial processes and workforce US dollar appreciation and lower raw materials prices are helping to lower production cost 14

Th. tons Steel products and shipments US$/Ton Shipments and prices 2.500 1.117 1.200 2.000 1.500 699 799 883 811 737 1.000 800 1.000 1.161 922 671 (1) 1.113 1.124 859 600 400 500 200 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 0 (1) 2010 production was affected by an earthquake Shipments Prices Product portfolio Reinforcing bars to construction, 6mm to 36mm coils or straight bars. Earthquake resistant Wired rod mesh or drawing, 5.5mm a 12mm Grinding media for grinding balls or mills, 25,4mm to 101,6mm 15

Steel Key considerations Strong market position based on high quality products and good logistics that over perform foreign competitors Market leadership Independent player in Latin America Undisputed leadership in Chilean market, 49% share on long products target market in 2013 Secured raw materials supply Iron ore and limestone supplied by sister company CAP Minería Competitive freight costs given geographic proximity Strong client relationships and superior logistics Longstanding, strong client relationships and strategic partnerships Long-term contracts and agreements with main customers Preferred supplier for MolyCop and Inchalam Group (Bekaert) accounting for almost 60% of long products market High technical skills and capabilities allow development of tailored made steel grades to satisfy end user needs. Lead times as short as 24 hr, production scheduling tuned with customer demand, high production planning flexibility allows superior logistics, building a strong distinction with imported steel. Superior logistic service, fast and reliable supply of steel products Reliable truck, ship and train transportation network The Chilean steel market will grow driven by increased demand from the construction and mining sectors Stable Chilean economy gives reliable business environment Growth prospects Chile s annual steel consumption per capita remains relatively low when compared against more developed countries outside the region 16

Steel processing

Th. tons Steel Processing US$/Ton o Main flat steel importer of the Pacific coast of South America o Creates value-added solutions for the construction, industry and infrastructure sectors in Chile, Peru and Argentina o Chile is LATAM s most intensive user of steel in construction Shipments and prices 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1.252 1.199 1.167 400 412 350 370 1.119 297 1.094 274 1.059 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Shipments Price 1.300 1.250 1.200 1.150 1.100 1.050 1.000 950 Infrastructure /Roads 35% Sales by Sector 2013 Industrial 3% Other 9% Construction 53% 18

Steel Processing Key considerations Market Leader Innovation CAP Steel Processing is the largest processor and seller of flat steel products in the Pacific coast of South America Revenues of MUS$ 365 per year, with a market share of 30%. World class plants and equipment From a manufacturer of steel tubes and frames to a leader company in innovation Differentiated products that give added value to industrial, residential and infrastructure construction 35% of sales come from products developed internally such as Metalcon, Tubest, insulated panels and roofing tiles Logistics Strength Larger volumes allows synergies and economies of scale, improving competitiveness Supply management of raw materials and steel products is key for Chile and Perú Market Vision CAP Steel Processing has a significant presence among main steel distributors Wide market presence through distributors network allows reaching all customers Provides more than 500 products to the market 19

Agenda 20

Short-term growth in China o GDP growth reached 7.7% in year 2013 o Growth lead by domestic demand should continue, even though fixed assets investment slows. o This divergent development will continue in 2014 Expect 7.5% YoY GDP growth in 2014 21

Demands of the chinese urbanization and development process 22

Iron ore quality evolution Crude iron ore grade is dropping Mine depletion will lead to higher demand for high grade concentrates Production from key CISA Chinese iron ore producers (Mt) Magnetite concentrate Average grade of hematite fines (Pilbara, Australia) 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 70 68 66 64 62 60 58 56 Source: Hatch, UNCTAD Source: www.visualcapitalist.com 23

Preference for higher quality iron ore Relative price performance of ores of different grades SOURCE: Macquarie, commodities research 24

Global steel demand growth o Global apparent finished steel demand will grow from 1.5 bn tons in 2014 to 1.7 bn tons by 2018 (implied 3% CAGR) (1) Other Developing includes CIS, MENA, Sub-Saharan Africa, Latin America, India, and Other Asia SOURCE: WSA; McKinsey Steel Demand Model Oliver Ramsbottom, Partner, McKinsey & Company, February 2014 25

Global steel capacity utilization o Nevertheless, world capacity utilization has been below 80% for the last 5 years, thereby practically destroying the margins of the steel production industry o Most of the excess capacity is concentrated in China. Current efforts to diminish this excess capacity have not yielded significant progress yet. o Annual average for world s crude steel capacity utilization rate was 78% in 2013, down 0,8% over 2012 26

2005 2006 2007 2008 Steel Steel Key market considerations in Chile 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Finished steel consumption per capita (Kg) 2011 steel per capita consumption (kg per capita) Steel consumption per capita 1.074 700 600 500 Japan Singapore 580 425 295 149 144 139 400 300 200 100 Poland Chile ('25) Mexico S. Africa Chile ('06) Greece Australia France Iceland New Zealand Korea Japan Germany US Mexico Chile Brazil Source: AME and IMF. Based on finished steel apparent demand 0 0 10.000 20.000 30.000 40.000 50.000 GDP per capita (US$) Source: World Steel Association, Inter-American Development Bank Chilean long steel market forecast (kt) 999 996 1.097 1.273 827 1.715 1.624 1.558 1.498 1.367 1.379 1.357 1.049 1.189 Product Family Growth 2005-2013 Projected Growth 2013-2018 Wire Rod -0.8% 1.1% Rebar 4,6% 5.0% Grinding Media 5,0% 6,0% Total 3,8% 4,8% Source: CSH 6 27

Agenda 28

CAP - Financial evolution USD Million 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Sales 1.972 1.375 1.994 2.787 2.470 2.297 EBITDA 534 128 740 1.184 764 708 EBITDA Margin 27,1% 9,3% 37,1% 42,5% 30,9% 30,8% Net Income Cash Gross Financial debt Net Financial debt Net Financial Debt /EBITDA Capex 291 25 590 442 234 184 379 393 981 883 711 309 880 907 1.001 628 719 932 501 514 20-255 8 623 0,94 4,01 0,03-0,22 0,01 0,88 161 142 207 282 777 975 (1) (1) Net income includes a MUS$ 58 expense related to write-off and impairment in the steel business 29

EBITDA contribution by business 100% 97% 94% 94% 98% 80% 77% 60% 40% 20% 0% -20% 18% 5% 6% 6% 8% 0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013-3% -2% -2% Iron Steel Steel Processing (1) EBITDA: Gross Margin S&AE + Depreciation and Amortization + Dividends received in cash, over the last twelve months 4% 30

Agenda 31

Mining Future Prospects Project Production Mt Est. Capex MUS$ Desalination Plant Totoralillo Port CNN Copiapó El Laco Magnetite Plant Expansion 1 Pf 110 Magnetite Plant Tofo 6,5 Pf 13,5 Pf 1.700 2.900 Guacolda Port Los Colorados Alcaparra 6 Pf 135 Kt Conc-Cu 1.600 300 Pellets Plant Algarrobo Vallenar Alcaparra Productora Los Colorados Expansion 4 Sf 500 Cruz Grande Port Cristales Pajonales Tofo North Sierra Tofo + Chupete Romeral La Serena Puerto Guayacán 32

Mining Future Prospects - Magnetite Plant expansion o The project consists in designing and building a third grinding and concentration line at the existing magnetite plant, to increase production in 1 Mt/y. o Some of the expected benefits are: Better utilization of mining resources Increased volumes of preconcentrate from Los Colorados and CNN Use of Candelaria s tailing dam Concentration process improvements Flotation Rougher concentration process Process yield improvement Optimization along the entire process 33

Mining Future Prospects - Tofo E 297 000 E 297 500 E 298 000 E 298 500 Investment (E) : 1,700 2,900 MUS$ N 6765000 Greenfield N 6764500 Production: 6.5-13,5 Mt/y of pellet feed Stage: Conceptual engineering N 6764000 N 6763500 NIVEL 1110 SIMBOLOGY S Waste 10 Fe%<15 15 Fe%<26 26 Fe%<45 Fe% 45 0 500 1000 m Drilling Fault Resources Volume [Mt] Fe [%] Measured 946 25.5 Indicated 455 23.4 Inferred 190 22.5 Total 1,591 24.5 0 200 400 m 34

Mining Future Prospects - Alcaparra Iron/Copper Iron ore body Investment (E): 1,600 + 300 MUS$ Production: 6 Mt/y of pellet feed 135 kt/y of copper concentrate Simbology Topography Drilling Stage: Advanced exploration Exploratory metallurgy Fe% 45 25 Fe% < 45 15 Fe% < 25 10 Fe% < 15 Núcleos Estéril Iron & Copper intersection Resources Volume [Mt] Fe/Cu [%] Iron 674 24.5 Copper 423 0.26 Simbology Topography Drilling Cu% 0.6 0.3 Cu% < 0.6 0.1 Cu% < 0.3 0.05 Cu% < 0.1 Cu% < 0.05 35

Mining Future Prospects Colorados Expansion Investment : 500 MUS$ Brownfield Production: 4 Mt/y of fines Stage: Basic engineering Resources 2012 Volume [Mt] Fe [%] Measured 694 31,5 Indicated 343 31,4 Inferred 100 33,9 TOTAL 1.137 31,7 Actual final pit Final pit with expansion LEYENDA Topografía Nov-13 SIMBOLOGY PitFinal 2008 Actual level PitFinal 2013 Final pit 2008 Sondaje Nuevo Final pit 2013 Sondaje Antiguo New drilling Envolvente 2008 Old drilling Fe% 57 Geological 40 envelope Fe% < 57 17 Fe% < 40 11 Fe% < 17 Fe% < 11 36

Future prospects - Infrastructure Desalination Plant Phase 3 under discussion with Pucobre: up to 130 l/s Totoralillo Port Desalination Plant S/S Totoralillo CNN Aqueduct 120 lt/s S/S CNN CNN Photovoltaic Plant Amanecer Solar CAP CAP transmission line Copiapó Cardones node Tierra Amarilla Aqueduct Caserones 170 lt/s Magnetite Plant 80 lt/s 37

Future prospects - Infrastructure - Desalination Plant Desalination Plant and CNN Aqueduct is operating from Feb 2014 and will provide 120 l/s to CNN Tierra Amarilla Aqueduct will be completed in April 2014 and will transport: 80 l/s to CMP s magnetite plant 170 l/s to Caserones mine CAP(51%) / Mitsubishi (49%) Capex: MUS$ 407 38

Future prospects - Infrastructure - Ports CAP Ports Punta Totoralillo: Guayacán: 29 km north of Caldera Herradura bay, Coquimbo Iron ore shipping Iron ore shipping 200,000 dwt 165,000 dwt Guacolda II: Located in Huasco City Iron ore shipping 300,000 dwt Huachipato: Talcahuano bay Unloading coal an iron ore & finished steel shipping Las losas: Located in Huasco City Multi purpose port Guarello: Guarello island, south Limestone shipping 800 kt/y 39

Future prospects - Infrastructure Providing services to third parties CAP Mining Totoralillo Port Third-party iron ore loading and storage capacity at Totoralillo port is 3 Mt/y Loaded tonnages: 2 Mt in 2013 and 2,5 Mt in 2014 EBITDA generation: 20 MUS$ in 2013 and 22 MUS$ in 2014 With the addition of 1 Mt/y of copper loading services under preliminary negotiation, EBITDA could reach MUS$ 35 per year (expected by 2017). Other CAP Ports Copper storage and loading services in preliminary negotiation stage at Las Losas port, and under study at Guayacan port. Copper loading services at Guayacán port, and various possibilities for CSH s port under study (expected to be defined by 2014) 40

Future prospects - Infrastructure Solar Energy Totoralillo Port Desalination Plant S/S Totoralillo S/S CNN CNN Photovoltaic Plant Amanecer Solar CAP CNN Aqueduct 120 lt/s CAP transmission line Cardones node Copiapó Tierra Amarilla Aqueduct Caserones 170 lt/s Magnetite Plant 80 lt/s 41

Future prospects Infrastructure - Solar Energy 100 MW Photovoltaic power plant fully committed to CAP (PPA) Located nearby CNN Mine CAP retains call option for up to 40% of the equity Financial hedge Compliance with NCRE law Connected to a 142 km long 220 kv transmission line owned by CAP General view of the Amanecer Solar Plant site, as of March 2014 42

Agenda 43

Final remarks CAP is advancing through sustainable development based on competitive advantages Concurrently, cost reduction initiatives and productivity improvements will be at the center of management efforts CAP Mining: operational improvements; achievement of overcapacity; CAP Steel: optimize raw materials and energy utilization; maximize semi-finished steel for the given pig iron production; CAP Steel Processing: minimize inventory; reduction of lead time and freight costs; 44

Final remarks CAP Mining On track for expansion of 50% production capacity to 18 Mt/y Ample portfolio of future prospects based on abundant reserves; further expansion to be defined in 2014 Global environmental and economic constraints support the growing need for CAP s magnetite concentrate CAP Steel Focus on long steel products that distinguishes from competitors through technology and/or logistics Expectation of cash neutrality and profitability in the near term Versatility: possible re-expansion dependent on market conditions CAP Steel Processing Already largest flat steel processor in the Pacific coast of South America Leader in innovative solutions for industrial and residential construction Strong plans for organic and inorganic growth 45

CAP GROUP UPDATE Fernando Reitich President & CEO March, 2014