Francisco Sá Head of Soft Drinks



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Transcription:

Francisco Sá Head of Soft Drinks

Soft Drinks Agenda Profitability Evolution The Brazilian Soft Drinks Market AmBev s Soft Drink Strategy

Profitability Evolution EBITDA Margin 7.3% 15.4% 18.5% 29.4% 429 189 246 EBITDA CAGR = 79% 75 2001 2002 2003 2004

Profitability Evolution Relevance of Soft Drink Business 12% 429 4% 75 1932 3408 SD Total 2001 2004

Profitability Evolution Right Fews Strategy Right Fews Few Brands Few Channels Few Programs

Profitability Evolution The Right Fews Strategy Full integration of soft drinks into beer operation, without deriving focus from beer COGS advantage to KO Bottlers (avg-13%) COGS advantage to KO Bottlers (avg-13%) System bigger than KOI Brazil 8 oz csmm 04 AmBev KO Beer in Brazil Non-Alc. In Brazil 1,017 336 150 1,069 1,353 1,219 Total AmBev (ex-beer) 2,68 2,44 2003 / 2004 *R$ per CS KOF - Brazil 2,90 2,81 2003 / 2004 Andina - Brazil 2,96 2,85 2003 / 2004 Internal AmBev Costing Exercise conservatively shows the added value for soft drinks to be in Beer Trucks in terms of Cost to Serve. Full Costing: CSD Incremental Approach: CSD Cost to Serve (RTM) R$ 21,01 / hl -16% R$ 17,83 / hl

Profitability Evolution The Right Fews Strategy Full integration of soft drinks into beer operation, without deriving focus from beer Discipline to terminate nonmost profitable SKUs core products focusing on the Consistent price gap policy in relation to market leader Close relationship with PepsiCo Leverage pricing expertise developed for beer Focus on few geographies

Market Overview Relevance of the Brazilian Market 80 60% 70 47% 52% 50% 60 41% 50 40% 40 25% 33% 30% 30 20% 20 10 10% 0 Brazil - Beer Brazil Soft Drink China Germany Russia 0% 1% Soft Drink = 0,6% Beer (Brazil)

Market Overview Flavor Segmentation Others 16% Flavors 49% Lemon 12% Guaraná 50% Cola 51% Orange 22% AmBev s Guaraná Antarctica is the #1 Guarana Brand 2005 YTD

Market Overview Channel & Packaging Segmentation Sales Channels Packaging Bars Self Service 25% 50% Single Serve 22% Mom & Pop s 25% 78% Multi Serve

Market Overview Share Evolution Coca Cola 50,2% 50,6% 50,2% 50,6% 52,9% Price for 2L PET OW Bottle R$2.58 Others 32,7% 33,0% 33,2% 32,5% 30,2% R$1.56 17,1% 16,4% 16,6% 16,9% 16,9% R$2.32 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 YTD

Market Overview Regional Market Scenarios 55,4 51,6 53,9 36,2 17,5 27,1 12,1 24,7 24,4 Area 1 Area 2 Area 3 AMBEV KO BR BRANDS

Market Overview Market Share by Channel 25,0% 18,8% 11,5% 18,5% 14,5% 18,0% Bar M & P SS SS 1-4 SS 5-19 SS +20

Market Overview Multi Serve Price Evolution Price per Liter 1,40 Multi Serve 1,20 1,00 0,80 0,60 0,40 ago/03 out/03 dez/03 fev/04 abr/04 jun/04 ago/04 out/04 dez/04 fev/05 abr/05 jun/05 AmBev Coke Others

Market Overview OW 2L Pet Real Price Evolution 105 Real Price Index 103 101 2L OW PET 99 97 95 93 jul/00 jan/01 jul/01 jan/02 jul/02 jan/03 jul/03 jan/04 jul/04 jan/05

Soft Drink Strategy Market Share + Profitability Strong Brands Availability Price Execution RTM Cost to Serve PepsiCo Relationship

Strong Brands AmBev Portfolio Leader in the flavor segment Second in cola segment Leader in sports drinks

Strong Brands Opportunity in the Diet / Light Segment Development AmBev Share 8,0% 8,4% 36% 92,0% 91,6% AmBev Diet/LightBrand Equity 2000 2005 PT L GA D CC L CC L L PT L GA D CC L CC L L PT L GA D CC L CC L L PC L PT L CC L GA D CC L L PC L PT L GA D CC L CC L L PC L GA D PT L CC L GA D PT L CC L K L PC CC L PC L L CC L L A B C D E F G

Strong Brands Key Brand Indicators Preference 17 Consideration 76 Awareness 100

Strong Brands Preference & Switchers Preference Guaraná Antarctica Pepsi Cola 13 12,4 11 11 Switchers Coca Loyal - 2002 2003 2004 YTD 2005 0 J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A M J J A S O N D J F M A 2002 2003 2004 2005

Availability Gap in Execution Coverage Total Coca Cola PET 2L 86,0% 85,0% 84,0% 86,0% 85,0% 78,0% 74,0% 74,0% 76,0% 72,0% PET 2L 50,0% 50,0% 52,0% 55,0% 53,0% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 YTD

Availability Gap in Portfolio Consumer Occasion Out of Home In Home Benefits Purchase Occasion Immediate Routine Stock Up Out of Pocket AmBev CSD Value BIB Portfolio Convenience AmBev # of packs 4 4 1 Coca Cola # of packs 5 9 2/3

Availability Package Decision based on sales algorithm 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Market Share Contribution Margin

Availability Simulation Tool Introduction of a 2.5L PET presentation for Pepsi Cola in the South of Brazil 30,6% 29,1% Estimated Share Performance 28,2% 29,4% 28,8% 26,5% 27,6% Actual Share Performance 26,3% May 29 June 05 12 June June 19

Availability Gatorade Per Capita Per Capita (Annual 8oz servings) 7,2 6,8 1,0 Mexico Venezuela Brazil

Execution Relationship Programs Programs focused in execution in the point of sale Points scored in accordance to the quality of category management Outsourced monitoring Increase refrigeration capacity

Strong Relationship with Pepsico Track record of value creation Best Practice Alluminum cans New 2L PET bottle Product Innovation Pepsi Twist Non Carbonated Soft Drinks

Strong Relationship with Pepsico Track record of value creation Brand innovations adapted to local consumers to boost share with profitability Improved brand equity indicators with the correct mix of local/global initiatives Stronger local team structure to support the business

Soft Drinks EBITDA Pool & Share Total R$ 2.5B 30% 17% B Brands Ambev Coke 53% R$ 0.5B AmBev EBITDA Pool Soft Drinks Market Share