North Carolina Criminal Justice Performance Measures November 17, 214
Prison Population North Carolina Prison Population: 1997 214 45, 4, 35, 31,581 4,824 41,3 37,665 3, 25, 2, 15, 1, 5, 1997-2 Growth: -3% 2 29 Growth: + 29% Justice reinvestment (211) 211 214 Growth: -8% 1997 1998 1999 2 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 In 29, the state s prison population was growing significantly. Since enactment of JRA in 211, prison population has decreased 8 percent. Reduced prison population allowed the state to remain out of jail backlog for the past three fiscal years saving what was a $1 million dollar per month cost during first 6 months of 211. Average Daily Backlog Yearly Cost (Millions) 27 27 $.4 28 125 $1.83 29 28 $3.4 21 659 $9.67 211* 42 $5.85 212 $. 213 $. 214 $. *through only first 6 months of 21 211 Page 2
Prison Composition North Carolina Prison Admissions 21 214 18, 16, Probation Revocations 15,976 15,118 14, 12, 11,586 5% Drop in Revocation Entries 1, New Offense Convictions 8, 6, Justice reinvestment (211) 7,44 4, Other 2, 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 Probation Revocations as % of Total Prison Admissions 21 5% 22 49% 23 51% 24 51% 25 52% 26 53% 27 51% 28 51% 29 53% 21 52% 211 52% 212 46% 213 37% 214 37% 76% of the probation revocations to prison were for technical violations of supervision in 29 1% of technical violators now serve a 9 day period of confinement in response to violation (CRV) CRV Entries: 212 214 3 25 2 15 1 5 544 2,429 2,731 212 213 214 Page 3
Population Trends 45, Prison Population at JRA Passing June 211 41,3 Baseline Projected Prison Population 43,22 5% increase from June 211 population 4, JRA Projected Prison Population 38,264 35, 25 Actual Prison Population 36,663 214 Actual Prison Population 37,665 8% drop in prison population 5% drop in probation revocations 3, 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 11.5 percent drop in the projected 217 prison population: from 43,22 to 38,264 8 percent drop in prison population between 211 and 214: from 41,3 to 37,665 5 percent drop in admissions due to probation revocation between 211 and 214: from 15,118 to 7,44 Page 4
Prison Releases 2, 18, 16, 14, 12, 1, 8, 6, 4, 2, 17,814 Prison Exits 18,244 15,147 Exits without Supervision 8,716 29 21 211 212 213 214 In 211, 84% of all structured sentencing felony prison releases did not receive supervision In 214, 48% of structured sentencing prison releases received no supervision and the trend continues to decline Page 5
Probation Revocations Probation Revocation Rates: 27 214 4.% 36.% 37.6% 35.% 3.% 25.% 2.% 15.% 47 percent drop in revocation rate between 211 and 214: from 37.6% to 19.7% 53 percent drop in offenders exiting probation due to revocation between 211 and 214: from 24,995 to 11,686 Justice reinvestment (211) 19.7% 1.% 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 Average Caseload Post JRA Pre JRA 2 4 6 8 1 Impact of reduced case loads: Greater emphasis on high risk offenders. Quality contacts; more ability to focus on offender needs. Page 6
Probation Revocation by Risk Level Revocation Rate by Risk Level 7% 6% 61% 64% 65% 58% 62% 53% 5% 4% 3% 2% 39% 39% 37% 31% 27% 2% 23% 13% 33% 15% 3% 12% 1% % 29 21 211 212 213 214 High Risk Medium Risk Low Risk JRA codified existing practice of using risk assessment to drive supervision and re focused probation practice. Association between risk and revocation rates indicate renewed focus on risk assessment is on target; offenders with higher risk profiles are more likely to be have probation revoked. 214 revocation rates declined for all risk levels; higher risk offenders had greater reductions: High risk decreased from 62% to 53% Medium risk decreased from 33% to 3% Low risk decreased from 15% to 12% Page 7
Swift & Certain Sanctions 13 14 1,389 615 515 853 12 13 1,166 412 99 184 11 12 267 Cases 5 1, 1,5 2, 2,5 3, 3,5 4, Delegated Authority High Risk Delegated Authority Quick Dip (2 Day) Quick Dip (3 Day) JRA created additional tools for probation officers to increase offender accountability with swift and certain responses to negative behavior. Use of JRA tools has increased significantly; especially utilization of administrative jail sanction ( quick dip ). No Quick Dip Quick Dip Quick Dip Outcomes.2%.1% 7.9% 1.6% 16.6% 19.5%.% 5.% 1.% 15.% 2.% 25.% Absconded Revoked Unsatisfactory Termination Compared outcomes for 368 offenders who had a quick dip to a group of matched offenders who did not have a quick dip as a response to similar non compliance. 91.8 percent (338) of the offenders with a quick dip had a positive outcome compared to only 53.3 percent (196) of offenders from the comparison group, who did not have a quick dip. Page 8
Arrests and Crime Trends 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, Arrests Down 16.9% 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 Total Arrests Arrest Rate CY26 519,26 5,844.5 CY27 57,527 5,587.8 CY28 59,828 5,5. CY29 499,461 5,299.4 CY21 489,725 5,135.8 CY211 479,135 4,956.9 CY212 469,885 4,811.8 CY213 431,65 4,376.9 45, 4, 35, 3, 25, 2, 15, 1, 5, Murder, Rape, Robbery, Aggravate Assault, Burglary, Larceny, Motor Vehicle Theft Index Crimes 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 Total Index Index Crime Crimes Rate CY26 398,613 4,487. CY27 44,863 4,457.5 CY28 46,479 4,385.1 CY29 374,322 3,971.7 CY21 359,854 3,773.8 CY211 368,58 3,813.1 CY212 357,74 3,656,6 CY213 334,928 3,396.2 45, 4, 35, 3, 25, 2, 15, 1, 5, Murder, Rape, Robbery, Aggravate Assault Violent Crimes Down 21.7% 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 Total Violent Violent Crime Crimes Rate CY26 41,48 466.1 CY27 41,757 459.7 CY28 42,33 456.7 CY29 37,26 395.3 CY21 34,16 356.7 CY211 33,341 344.9 CY212 33,985 348. CY213 32,433 328.9 Page 9
Spending Fiscal Year Budget Allocations Fiscal Year DPS Authorized Budget Probation Authorized Budget Parole Authorized Budget 26 27 $1,28,819,47 $143,968,694 $1,49,133 27 28 $1,311,798,56 $148,234,414 $1,46,583 28 29 $1,58,499,24 $164,813,62 $1,488,674 29 21 $1,43,28,42 $173,391,28 $1,535,166 21 211 $1,365,379,681 $167,415,122 $1,52,511 211 212 $1,412,886,261 $168,248,47 $1,696,677 212 213 $1,423,972,223 $171,775,13 $1,938,747 7.6% 7.4% 7.2% 7.% 6.8% 6.6% 6.4% 6.2% 6.% 5.8% 5.6% Budget as a Percent of Total NC Appropriations Budget as a Percent of Total NC Appropriations: 26 27 6.4% 27 28 6.3% 28 29 7.1% 29 21 7.4% 21 211 7.2% 211 212 7.2% 212 213 7.1% While overall spending on corrections and public safety continues to increase, the proportion of public funds spent in this area has begun to decline. Page 1
Reinvestments $1. $5. Millions $ Savings Savings Achieved as of January 215 11 Prison Closures $ 55.8 million Regional Office Closure $ 1.2 million Eliminate Double Celling (Pamlico) $ 2.4 million Operating Budget Reduction $ 1. million Prison Conversions (Eastern & Johnston) $ 6.94 million Diagnostic Center Reduction $.82 million Remove Misdemeanants from State Prison $ 6.64 million Total JRA Reductions $ 83.62 million Reinvestments to Date Reinvestment 175 Additional Probation Parole Officers & Equipment $ 14.63 million Increase Parole Commission Staff $.38 million Expand Electronic Monitoring Program $ 1.8 million Provide Substance Abuse Treatment for High Risk/High $ 4. million Need Individuals Fund Treatment for Effective Community Supervision $ 4.14 million Program Fund CRV Centers $ 7.43 million Total JRA Reinvestments $ 32.38 million Page 11