Nortex CO2 for EOR as CCUS Conference Policy Incentives and Barriers

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Nortex CO2 for EOR as CCUS Conference Policy Incentives and Barriers Fred Eames October 5, 2015 Partner Hunton & Williams LLP

Introduction Hunton & Williams LLP Founded in 1901, Richmond, VA 800+ lawyers, 19 offices, 6 countries Dallas, Houston, Austin Strong focus on energy and environment, particularly air Personal Partner, Hunton & Williams LLP 2005 - present Decade experience on Capitol Hill Counsel, House Committee on Energy & Commerce Represent utilities, oil and gas, other energy clients on energy/environment Founded CCS Alliance in 2008 2

What We Will Discuss 1. Cost and regulatory structure in utility industry 2. CCUS regulatory issues 3. CCUS incentives and barriers

Utility Regulatory Structure and CCUS Regulated markets Least-cost planning or integrated resource planning States may take into account special State benefits Kemper lignite, oil, water, jobs, world leadership Mountaineer Virginia rejected recovery for CCS-ready expenses

Utility Regulatory Structure and CCUS Deregulated markets Market-based rates Utility typically no longer owns generation (parent company may) Auction-based clearing mechanism Cost of new environmental controls changes Capacity markets send signals to maintain existing generation and build new generation

PJM Base Residual Auction Results Annual Resources: RTO-wide, high zone 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2014/15 (PS North) 2015/16 (ATSI) 2016/17 (PSEG) 2017/18 (PSEG) 2018/19 (EMAAC)

Renewables Subsidies/Incentives Section 45 Production Tax Credit - $23 MWh Investment Tax Credit DOE loan guarantees Carbon credits (RGGI, CPP?) AND PURCHASE OBLIGATIONS PURPA mandatory purchase at avoided cost (repealed for competitive areas) State RPS (16 States plus D.C.)

PJM Generation Under Construction Number of Projects: Coal = 0 Wind 34 Gas 28 Solar 26 Methane 4 Hydro 3 Nuclear 1

PJM Generation Under Construction Transfer Capacity Requested Wind 708 Gas 11,365 Solar 84 Methane 14 Hydro 248 Nuclear 1570 Biomass 25 Coal 0

$160 $140 $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 Adv. Coal w/ccs Cost of New Generation EIA Data Adv. Coal Gas CC Wind Adv. Nuclear Solar PV

Existing CCUS Incentives Section 45Q tax credit $21.51/ton for non-eor storage $10.75/ton for EOR storage Limited to 75 million tons Complications from storage rules DOE Clean Coal Program RD&D GHG regulations incentive or barrier?

President s FY 2016 Budget Proposal Two new tax incentives: $2 billion for new/retrofitted power plants with CCS capturing at least 75% of CO2 30% ITC Retrofits only: > 250 MW and 1 million tpy 70% must go to projects at least 75% coal No more than 60% to new plants or retrofits Sequestration tax credit $50/ton for permanently sequestered CO2 not beneficially used $10/ton for CO2 permanently sequestered and beneficially reused 20-year term

Proposed CCUS Incentives Heitkamp Bill Contract for differences variable price support for CCUS based on price of oil 30% tax credit for sequestration costs 25% of DOE loan guarantees to coal Clean Energy Coal bonds (tax credits for sequestration and efficiency) Revise DOE coal R&D programs CCS risk management proposal Industry Tax Credit Proposal

Barriers "So if somebody wants to build a coal-powered plant, they can; it's just that it will bankrupt them because they're going to be charged a huge sum for all that greenhouse gas that's being emitted." - Candidate Barack Obama, 2008 [H]uge swaths of other industries that once might have been right there with the US Chamber of Commerce and coal companies in fighting new regulations are now competing to have the greenest image. - Boston Globe, August 6, 2015

Policy Barriers UIC Class VI rule (non-eor) Overly stringent requirements EPA regulates, not States EPA has yet to delegate authority to a single State New Plants 111(b) rule 111(b) New coal required to use CCS partial capture (1,400 lbs./mwh) GHG reporting under Subpart RR even in oil and gas formations

Policy Barriers Existing Plants - Clean Power Plan (111(d) rule) Will force shut down or scaled back dispatch of coal Who will invest in CCS for scaled-back use? GHG reporting under Subpart RR even in oil and gas formations EPA usurps State control of natural resource law

Legal Issues with111(d) Rule Improper emission reduction assumptions Building blocks assume unrealistic reductions Section 111/112 Issue Incentive Program EPA has no authority to establish special incentives for construction of wind and solar in low-income communities

Legal Issues with 111(d) Rule Outside the fence line regulation best system of emission reduction... adequately demonstrated Improper emission reduction assumptions Building blocks assume unrealistic reductions EPACT 05 restriction Section 111/112 limitation - EPA may only require standards of performance for an air pollutant which is not... emitted from a source category which is regulated under [section 112] of this title.

111(d) Rule Seeks to Exponentially Expand EPA s Role EPA becomes the supreme energy regulator Dispatch order now becomes a function of environmental regulation, not energy regulation. EPA requires that State regulators order remedies they are not authorized to require Environmental dispatch Ordering purchase of renewables Ordering use of third-party generation generally

Policy parity National Coal Council Urgent need for numerous commercial demonstration units Parity is in comparison with the subsidies, incentives, mandates applicable to renewables DOE favorable to advancing CCS in international climate talks