Calculating Production Costs to Determine Your Bottom Line

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Transcription:

Calculating Production Costs to Determine Your Bottom Line Dr. John Mabry Iowa State University

Starting Point: Goal is to Make a Profit Pork production can be a very enjoyable career But we live in a capitalist society, we still have to support our family This requires, over a period of time, that pork production makes a profit History has shown that Iowa is a great place to raise pigs and prosper

Pork Production has Changed Over the Past Years At one time, the pork producer ran a diversified business (multiple crops, multiple livestock species) and could just focus on raising pigs and crops Now, all of agriculture, all businesses have changed Wal-Mart effect

Pork Production has Changed Over the Past Years Consumer demands an acceptable quality commodity product, at the lowest price So as price lowers, the pork producer has taken the brunt of the effect Smaller profit margins per unit of production have demanded the need for more business skills and orientation

Effect on Pork Production (and Pork Producers) If the profit per pig is smaller, then the production unit must be larger to generate the same profit for the producer The producer must also be more efficient at pork production Specialization can enhance efficiency Result = shift away from diversified farms

New Demands on Pork Producer Larger size to capture efficiencies More specialized production skills More management skills (now manage people and pigs) More business orientation Use of computer technology Need for software to manage the farm, manage the business, for decision making and analysis

Today s Discussion Focus on cost of production components that influence profit Also, consider the production performance of the farm (higher performance lowers per unit cost) Package this so the producer can apply their farm specific information so analysis and decisions can apply better

Cost of Production Comes From Multiple Components Feed costs: function of feed price, feed conversion, pigs marketed/year, mortality rate, growth rate, Non-feed costs: Fixed (facilities, etc), Variable (ins., util., supplies, repairs, taxes, etc), Professional fees (mgt, acct.), Vet/Medicine, Labor, Breeding/Genetic costs, death losses, Trucking, and more

How Do You Measure? Feed costs: function of feed price, feed usage, feed conversion, and pigs marketed/sow/year Business records, computerized sow management systems and spreadsheets Non-feed costs: Labor, Fixed (facilities, etc), Variable (ins., util., supplies, repairs, taxes, etc), Professional fees (mgt, acct.), Vet/Medicine, Breeding/Genetic costs, death losses, Trucking, and more Business records

Bottom Line In order for the producer to objectively examine their cost of production and performance, You must have these records in a usable format And access to decision making tools that allow for farm specificity

Pig Profit Tracker Pig COP/Profit Estimator Excel spreadsheet Enter production information Farrowing from sow management system Post-weaning from spreadsheet summary Enter cost of production estimates for primary component of costs (per pig) Enter feed component prices of interest Enter anticipated market return Program estimates the net profit/loss per pig Can change inputs to see impact on net profit

Inputs From Records Pigs farrowed April 2008

Inputs From Records

Inputs From Records

Inputs From Records

Inputs From Records

Outputs From Spreadsheet

Outputs From Spreadsheet

Scenarios To Examine Using Pig Profit Tracker Current situation at your farm Effect of increasing reproductive rate Renting new facilities with higher cost, but better performance Raising market weight but with higher feed conversion rate Effect of improving a performance trait Effect of locking in inputs and/or return

Demonstrate Pig Profit Tracker Available at www.ipic.iastate.edu 800-808-7675

Scenarios Shown in Talk Start with assumptions in Estimated Returns from Farrow-Finish hogs in Iowa, born April 2008 Use assumptions for pigs born in Jan 2009 (lower feed costs, higher market price) Show impact of increasing reproductive rate (20.7 PSY to 24.0 PSY)

Scenarios Shown in Talk Show change if replacement gilt price was increased ($150 to $200) Show change if sow mortality increased (8 to 10%) Show change if annual replacement rate increased (50 to 60%) Show change if FCR was improved (2.85 to 2.75)

Scenarios Shown in Talk Show change if producer leases older WF facilities at a lower cost (10.20 fixed to 8.20 fixed), but FCR changed from 2.75 to 2.90 Show change if added Paylean at a cost of $2/head, but FCR improved from 2.90 to 2.80 Show change if WF mortality increased from 8 to 9%

Pig Profit Tracker Farm Scenario: Breed - Finish v.3.0 IOWA STATE UNIVERSITY - - (515) 294-4103, www.ipic.iastate.edu 1/19/09 Inputs Corn price ($/bu) 5.00 Weaning wt (lb) 13 Litters/sow/year 2.3 20.7 SBM ($/ton) 350.00 Sale/marketing wt (lb) 270 Pigs weaned/litter 9 VTM ($/ton) 624.00 Wean - Finish F:G (lb, live) 2.85 Replacement cost ($/gilt) 150.00 Additive ($/lb) 2.00 Wean - Finish mortality (%) 8.00 Cull sow sale weight (lb) 450 Carcass dress (%) 74.5 Avg death loss wt (lb) 100 Annual replacement rate (%) 50 Sow mortality rate (%) 8 50% Farrowing $ / pig weaned Post-Weaning to Finish $ / pig Gilt Dev purchase cost/female genetics $ 3.62 Death loss $ 3.00 Breeding cost/ semen & boars $ 1.65 Vet / Medicine $ 2.10 Vet / Medicine $ 1.22 Labor $ 2.60 Labor $ 3.90 Fixed (building, taxes, rent, pymt etc) $ 10.20 Fixed (building, taxes, rent, pymt etc) $ 2.30 Variable (ins, util, repairs, misc.) $ 16.75 Variable (ins, util, repairs, misc.) $ 6.25 Management / accounting fees $ 1.50 Management / accounting fees $ 1.00 Trucking $ 3.00 GMD average cost per ton ($/ton) 12.00 $ 0.67 GMD average cost per ton ($/ton) 12.00 $ 4.39 Cull sow value ($/lb) 0.26 $ (2.37) Other $ - Total non-feed costs $ 18.24 Total non-feed costs $ 43.54 Farrowing Post-Weaning to Finish Lact. (days) Days/yr Daily (lb) Total (lb) Lactation 19 44 12.3 537 % age Lb / pig $ / lb $ / pig Gestation 321 5.5 1766 Corn 76.58% 560.9 $ 0.09 $ 50.08 Total >> Sow feed per sow per year 2304 SBM 21.00% 153.8 $ 0.18 $ 26.92 Sow feed per pig weaned 111 VTM 2.27% 16.6 $ 0.31 $ 5.19 Additive 0.15% 1.1 $ 2.00 $ 2.20 % Lb / pig $ / lb $ / pig Paylean etc. $/hd $ - Corn 71.00% 79.0 $ 0.09 $ 7.05 Total 732.5 $ 84.38 SBM 25.50% 28.4 $ 0.18 $ 4.97 Cost per head-- summary breakdown VTM 3.30% 3.7 $ 0.31 $ 1.15 Farrowing Wean-Fin Total Additive 0.20% 0.2 $ 2.00 $ 0.45 Total feed cost $ 14.11 $ 84.38 $ 98.50 Total feed cost per pig weaned $ 13.61 Lb / pig $ / lb $ / pig Total non-feed cost $ 18.24 $ 43.54 $ 61.78 Prewean Pig Feed 1 $ 0.50 $ 0.50 Total SEW pig feed cost $ 14.11 Total >> $ 32.35 $ 127.93 $ 160.28 Miscellaneous Outputs Profit/loss Farrowing corn (bu/hd) 1.41 11.43 $/cwt carcass per head Finishing corn (bu/hd) 10.02 Income - (6-mo expected price) $ 67.00 $ 134.77 Wean-finish +deads F:G (lb) 2.76 Expense - Feed $ 48.97 $ 98.50 Feed cost + deads ($/hd/day) 2.55 - Non-feed $ 61.78 Wean-finish feed ($/ton) 230.41 Total $ 79.68 $ 160.28 Pre-wean feed ($/ton) 251.35 Profit/loss $ (12.68) $ (25.51) Profit/loss attributed to farrowing $ (5.15) Profit/loss attributed to finishing $ (20.36) April 2008 Example Farrowing Post-Weaning to Finish Income attributed to farrowing $ 27.20 Income attributed to post wean $ 107.57

Pig Profit Tracker Farm Scenario: Breed - Finish v.3.0 IOWA STATE UNIVERSITY - - (515) 294-4103, www.ipic.iastate.edu 1/19/09 Inputs Corn price ($/bu) 4.05 Weaning wt (lb) 13 Litters/sow/year 2.3 20.7 SBM ($/ton) 315.00 Sale/marketing wt (lb) 270 Pigs weaned/litter 9 VTM ($/ton) 624.00 Wean - Finish F:G (lb, live) 2.85 Replacement cost ($/gilt) 150.00 Additive ($/lb) 2.00 Wean - Finish mortality (%) 8.00 Cull sow sale weight (lb) 450 Carcass dress (%) 74.5 Avg death loss wt (lb) 100 Annual replacement rate (%) 50 Sow mortality rate (%) 8 50% Farrowing $ / pig weaned Post-Weaning to Finish $ / pig Gilt Dev purchase cost/female genetics $ 3.62 Death loss $ 3.00 Breeding cost/ semen & boars $ 1.65 Vet / Medicine $ 2.10 Vet / Medicine $ 1.22 Labor $ 2.60 Labor $ 3.90 Fixed (building, taxes, rent, pymt etc) $ 10.20 Fixed (building, taxes, rent, pymt etc) $ 2.30 Variable (ins, util, repairs, misc.) $ 16.75 Variable (ins, util, repairs, misc.) $ 6.25 Management / accounting fees $ 1.50 Management / accounting fees $ 1.00 Trucking $ 3.00 GMD average cost per ton ($/ton) 12.00 $ 0.67 GMD average cost per ton ($/ton) 12.00 $ 4.39 Cull sow value ($/lb) 0.26 $ (2.37) Other $ - Total non-feed costs $ 18.24 Total non-feed costs $ 43.54 Farrowing Lact. (days) Days/yr Daily (lb) Total (lb) Lactation 19 44 12.3 537 % age Lb / pig $ / lb $ / pig Gestation 321 5.5 1766 Corn 76.58% 560.9 $ 0.07 $ 40.57 Total >> Sow feed per sow per year 2304 SBM 21.00% 153.8 $ 0.16 $ 24.23 Sow feed per pig weaned 111 VTM 2.27% 16.6 $ 0.31 $ 5.19 Additive 0.15% 1.1 $ 2.00 $ 2.20 % Lb / pig $ / lb $ / pig Paylean etc. $/hd $ - Corn 71.00% 79.0 $ 0.07 $ 5.71 Total 732.5 $ 72.18 SBM 25.50% 28.4 $ 0.16 $ 4.47 Cost per head-- summary breakdown VTM 3.30% 3.7 $ 0.31 $ 1.15 Farrowing Wean-Fin Total Additive 0.20% 0.2 $ 2.00 $ 0.45 Total feed cost $ 12.28 $ 72.18 $ 84.45 Total feed cost per pig weaned $ 11.78 Lb / pig $ / lb $ / pig Total non-feed cost $ 18.24 $ 43.54 $ 61.78 Prewean Pig Feed 1 $ 0.50 $ 0.50 Total SEW pig feed cost $ 12.28 Total >> $ 30.51 $ 115.72 $ 146.23 Miscellaneous Outputs Post-Weaning to Finish Profit/loss Farrowing corn (bu/hd) 1.41 11.43 $/cwt carcass per head Finishing corn (bu/hd) 10.02 Income - (6-mo expected price) $ 75.00 $ 150.86 Wean-finish +deads F:G (lb) 2.76 Expense - Feed $ 41.98 $ 84.45 Feed cost + deads ($/hd/day) 2.18 - Non-feed $ 61.78 Wean-finish feed ($/ton) 197.08 Total $ 72.70 $ 146.23 Pre-wean feed ($/ton) 218.63 Profit/loss $ 2.30 $ 4.63 Profit/loss attributed to farrowing $ 0.97 Profit/loss attributed to finishing $ 3.66 Jan 2009 farrowed example Farrowing Post-Weaning to Finish Income attributed to farrowing $ 31.48 Income attributed to post wean $ 119.38

Summary Producer needs to accurately know their cost of production (total + components) Producer needs to accurately know their herd performnace (total + components) This requires a combination of records Business records Sow management system records Post-weaning performance records

Summary Analysis of these records using decision based software tools will allow the producer to Consider different options concurrently that individually influence profit, So the producer can see the impact on profit or loss Accuracy of any software is dependent on the accuracy of the information used in the analysis

Thank You For Your Attention