2014 Pierce County Buildable Lands Report A P R E S E N T AT I O N T O T H E R E G I O N A L T E C H N I C A L F O R U M Realize 2030 Honor the Past Look Ahead
Does the County have enough urban residential and commercial land to accommodate the 20-year housing and employment growth targets? Scope of Work Development Data Assumptions Inventory: GIS Model Housing/ Employment Capacity Consistency Analysis Comment Period Submit Final Draft
An Integrated Approach
Vacant Pipeline and Major Projects Underutilized Unbuildable Inventory *Excluding Tacoma s Mixed Use and Manufacturing/Industrial Centers
Vacant Parcels of vacant land 1.4 acre vacant lot in CC zone Does not have a use based on ATR classification Divided into Vacant and Vacant (single unit) depending on size
Underutilized Single family residence 5 acres MSF zone (4 DU/AC) Parcels with an existing use Capable of accommodating more growth 20:1 ratio Commercial Retail/Service 1 acre 1,768 SF At least 3,000 SF and not adjacent to marine shoreline Improvement value less than $1,000,000 for commercial/mf; $500,000 for SF 2.5:1 or greater for residential assumed to existing build out 5:1 or greater for commercial assumed to existing build out Residential Example Assumed DU/AC1 Current DU/AC2 Ratio3 1 unit 20:1 5 (acres) X 4 (DU/AC) 20 units Commercial Example Average Parcel Capacity1 Average Building Capacity2 1 (acre) X 19.37 (emp. per acre) 1,768 (SF)/500 (emp. per SF) 19 Jobs 3 Jobs 6:1 ratio 1 The 2 The assumed density of the parcel based on the past trends and allowed density for that zone density of current development on the parcel 3 Underutilized Ratio3 6:1 parcels are determined by a ratio of greater than or equal to 2.5:1 units for residential and 5:1 for commercial
Pipeline and Major Projects Parcels with an application for development planned within the 20-year time frame Known development that has occurred since 2010 Sunrise and Lipoma Firs Developments
Undevelopable Parcels with an existing use ATR Classification: Vacant land major problem Categorized as unbuildable based on ATR classification; or Does not meet underutilized criteria
Expansion (Future Improvement) Parcels with an existing use Built / Undevelopable status Parcels that meet most underutilized criteria but fail improvement value criteria Parcels where existing owners may decide to expand or subdivide
Assumptions Development Assumptions and Trends: Residential Densities Employment Densities Percent Residential vs. Commercial for Mixed Use Zones Deductions for: o Roads o Critical Areas o Recreation/Park/Other o Public Facilities/Institutions o Land in Residential Zones for Non-Residential Uses o Land Unavailable for Development
Capacity Calculations 123.13 Applying deductions to the gross acreages from the inventory by zone. 18.4% 12 units 152 jobs 123.13 41.5% 152 jobs 12 units *Excluding Tacoma s Mixed Use and Manufacturing/Industrial Centers
Capacity Results Calculating housing and employment density by multiplying assumed densities by net acreages and adding in vacant single units and pipeline units/estimated employees.
2030 Total Housing Units Needed1 2010 Total Housing Units2 Auburn 3,634 3,146 488 5 493 Bonney Lake 8,498 6,394 2,104 171 2,275 Buckley 2,930 1,669 1,261 60 1,321 298 218 80 19 99 DuPont 5,291 3,241 2,050 47 2,097 Eatonville 1,353 1,059 294 130 424 Edgewood 6,003 3,801 2,202 407 2,609 Fife 4,457 3,895 562 78 640 Fircrest 3,351 2,847 504 40 544 Gig Harbor 5,431 3,560 1,871 89 1,960 Lakewood 34,284 26,548 7,736 1,829 9,565 Milton 2,779 2,724 55 126 181 Orting 3,121 2,361 760 32 792 Puyallup 22,611 16,171 6,440 445 6,885 Roy 487 326 161 8 169 Ruston 775 430 345 1 346 South Prairie 281 174 107 2 109 Steilacoom 3,385 2,793 592 63 655 Sumner 5,743 4,279 1,464 127 1,591 Tacoma 129,030 85,786 43,244 3,996 47,240 University Place 18,698 13,573 5,125 584 5,709 238 175 63 2 65 Unincorporated Urban Pierce County 99,563 72,091 27,472 2,242 29,714 Total 362,241 257,261 104,980 10,503 115,483 Jurisdiction Calculating Need Using: 2030 Targets Adopted by Pierce County Ordinance No. 2011-36s 2010 Baseline Data Displaced Units/Jobs from GIS Model Carbonado Wilkeson 1Adopted by Pierce County Ordinance No. 2011-36s. 22010 Census. Additional Housing Needed Displaced (2010-2030) Units Total Housing Units Needed
Conclusion Does the County have enough urban residential and commercial land to accommodate the 20-year housing and employment growth targets? Yes
Countywide Need Vs. Capacity 2030 Housing Need Vs. Capacity 184,962 200,000 150,000 2030 Employment Need Vs. Capacity 319,386 350,000 115,483 300,000 250,000 200,000 100,000 160,885 150,000 50,000 100,000 50,000 0 0 Total Jobs Total Housing Units Need Capacity Need Capacity
Housing Need Vs. Capacity by Jurisdiction Wilkeson University Place Need Capacity Sumner Steilacoom South Prairie Ruston Roy Puyallup Orting Milton Lakewood Gig Harbor Fircrest Fife Edgewood Eatonville DuPont Carbonado Buckley Bonney Lake Auburn 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 Tacoma U.U. Pierce County 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 100,000
Employment Need Vs. Capacity by Jurisdiction Wilkeson University Place Sumner Steilacoom South Prairie Ruston Roy Puyallup Pacific Orting Milton Lakewood Gig Harbor Fircrest Fife Edgewood Eatonville DuPont Carbonado Buckley Bonney Lake Auburn Need Capacity 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 Tacoma U.U. Pierce County 0 50,000 100,000 150,000 200,000
Consistency Analysis Housing 20 19 16 4 0 20 Fircrest 16 Roy 5 Employment DuPont Puyallup 12 8 May need to adopt reasonable measures: 12 Lakewood Pacific 15 Puyallup 9 8 0 South Prairie University Place Wilkeson 4 Number of Jurisdictions May need to adopt reasonable measures: Number of Jurisdictions Meeting Housing Targets Meeting Employment Targets Not Meeting Housing Targets Not Meeting EmploymentTargets
Pierce County Buildable Lands Program Dan Cardwell Senior Planner (253) 798-7039 dcardwe@co.pierce.wa.us Jessica Gwilt Assistant Planner (253) 798-3752 jgwilt@co.pierce.wa.us Neil Quisenberry GIS Specialist (253) 798-4667 nquisen@co.pierce.wa.us