B/101063 THE O X F O R D H A N D B O O K OF NATIONAL SECURITY INTELLIGENCE Edited by LOCH K. JOHNSON OXJORD UNIVERSITY PRESS 2010
CONTENTS About the Contributors, xi PART I INTRODUCTION 1. National Security Intelligence, 3 Loch K. Johnson 2. National Security and Public Anxiety: Our Changing Perceptions, 33 Sir Richard Dearlove 3. Theories of Intelligence, 43 Peter Gill PART II THEORY AND METHOD 4. The Sources and Methods of Intelligence Studies, 59 James J. Wirtz 5. Getting Intelligence History Right: Reflections and Recommendations from the Inside, 70 Nicholas Dujmovic 6. Assessing Intelligence Performance, 87 John A. Gentry PART III THE EVOLUTION OF MODERN INTELLIGENCE 7. The Rise of the U.S. Intelligence System, 1917-1977,107 Michael Warner 8. The Rise and Fall of the CIA, 122 Rhodri Jeffreys-Jones
VI CONTENTS 9. British Strategic Intelligence and the Cold War, 138 Len Scott 10. Signals Intelligence in War and Power Politics, 1914-2010,155 John Ferris 11. The President's Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board, 172 Kenneth M. Absher, Michael C. Desch, and Roman Popadiuk 12. Intelligence and Law Enforcement, 189 Frederic F. Manget 13. The Evolution of International Collaboration in the Global Intelligence Era, 212 A. Denis Gift PART IV INTELLIGENCE COLLECTION AND PROCESSING 14. The Dilemma of Open Sources Intelligence: Is OSINT Really Intelligence?, 229 Arthur S. Hulnick 15. The Troubled Inheritance: The National Security Agency and the Obama Administration, 242 Matthew M. Aid 16. Human Source Intelligence, 257 Frederick P. Hitz 17. United Nations Peacekeeping Intelligence, 275 A. Walter Dorn 18. Privatized Spying: The Emerging Intelligence Industry, 296 Patrick R. Keefe 19. Guarding the Border: Intelligence and Law Enforcement in Canada's Immigration System, 310 Arne Kislenko 20. Extraordinary Rendition, 328 William G. Weaver and Robert M. Pallitto
ONTENTS Vll PART V INTELLIGENCE ANALYSIS AND PRODUCTION 21. Addressing "Complexities" in Homeland Security, 343 Gregory F. Treverton 22. The Intelligence Analysis Crisis, 359 Uri Bar-Joseph and Rose McDermott 23. Competitive Analysis: Techniques for Better Gauging Enemy Political Intentions and Military Capabilities, 375 Richard L. Russell 24. Decision Advantage and the Nature of Intelligence Analysis, 389 Jennifer E. Sims 25. Intelligence Analysis in an Uncertain Environment, 404 William M. Nolte 26. The Dilemma of Defense Intelligence, 422 Richard A. Best, Jr. PART VI INTELLIGENCE DISSEMINATION 27. The Policymaker-Intelligence Relationship, 437 Mark M. Lowenthal 28. On Uncertainty and the Limits of Intelligence, 452 Peter Jackson 29. The Perils of Politicization, 472 Paul R. Pillar 30. Leadership in an Intelligence Organization: The Directors of Central Intelligence and the CIA, 485 David Robarge PART VII COUNTERINTELLIGENCE 31. The Future of FBI Counterintelligence through the Lens of the Past Hundred Years, 505 Raymond J. Batvinis
Vlll CONTENTS 32. Treason: "'Tis Worse than Murder", 518 Stan A. Taylor and Kayle Buchanan 33. The Challenges of Counterintelligence, 537 Paul J. Redmond 34. Catching an Atom Spy: MI5 and the Investigation of Klaus Fuchs, 555 Timothy Gibbs PART VIII COVERT ACTION 35. Covert Action, Pentagon Style, 569 Jennifer D. Kibbe 36. Covert Action: United States Law in Substance, Process, and Practice, 587 James E. Baker 37. Covert Action: Strengths and Weaknesses, 608 William J. Daugherty PART IX INTELLIGENCE ACCOUNTABILITY 38. The Role of Defense in Shaping U.S. Intelligence Reform, 629 James R. Clapper, Jr. 39. Intelligence and the Law in the United Kingdom, 640 Ian Leigh 40. Rethinking the State Secrets Privilege, 657 Louis Fisher 41. Accounting for the Future or the Past?: Developing Accountability and Oversight Systems to Meet Future Intelligence Needs, 673 Stuart Farson and Reg Whitaker 42. "A Very British Institution": The Intelligence and Security Committee and Intelligence Accountability in the United Kingdom, 699 Mark Phythian 43. The Politics of Intelligence Accountability, 719 Glenn Hastedt
CONTENTS IX 44. Ethics and Professional Intelligence, 735 Michael Andregg PART X INTELLIGENCE IN OTHER LANDS 45. Intelligence in the Developing Democracies: The Quest for Transparency and Effectiveness, 757 Thomas C. Bruneau and Fiorina Cristiana (Cris) Matei 46. The Intelligence Services of Russia, 774 Robert W. Pringle 47. The German Bundesnachrichtendienst (BND): Evolution and Current Policy Issues, 790 Wolfgang Krieger 48. Israeli Intelligence: Organization, Failures, and Successes, 806 Ephraim Kahana 49. Intelligence and National Security: The Australian Experience, 823 David Martin Jones Glossary, 843 Index, 851