GREEN DROP COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS. Performance trend Number of municipalities assessed (100%) 152 (100%)

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Background The Green Drop regulation programme seeks to identify and develop the core competencies required for the sector that, if strengthened, will gradually and sustainably improve the level of wastewater management in South Africa. It is a form of regulation that holds the intent to synergise the current goodwill exhibited by Water Services Institutions and existing government support programmes, to give the focus, commitment, planning and resources needed to achieve excellence in wastewater management. The Green Water Services Audit is the tool whereby incentive- and risk-based regulation is conducted in South Africa. The Green Drop process measures and compares the results of the performance of Water Service Institutions, and subsequently rewards (or penalises) the institution upon evidence of their excellence (or failures) according to the minimum standards or requirements that has been defined. Whilst the Green Drop assessment focuses on the entire value chain (reticulation, pumping, treatment, discharge) of the wastewater business within the municipal (or other) wastewater services business, the Cumulative Risk assessment focuses on the wastewater treatment function specifically. The latter approach allows the Regulator to have insight into the treatment component of the municipal business, which is one of the high risk components within the wastewater value chain. Risk-based regulation allows the municipality to identify and prioritise the critical risk areas within its wastewater treatment process and to take corrective measures to abate these. The two main outputs from the Green Drop assessment for the 20 cycle are: A weighted Green Drop score for each municipal system; and A Cumulative Risk Rating for each municipal wastewater treatment works. Wastewater Systems that are awarded Green Drop Certification status, achieved 90% and is marked with... Wastewater Systems that reside in critical state with exceptional poor performance for <30% is marked with... In keeping with the Minister s commitment to provide the water sector and its stakeholders with ongoing, current, accurate, verified and relevant information on the status of wastewater services in South Africa, the Green Drop Report 20 provides the findings and report progress pertaining to: current status and risk trend of municipal wastewater collection and treatment facilities; current status of collector and treatment facilities under ownership of the Department of Public Works; and current status of selected privately owned treatment and reticulation facilities. Municipal Wastewater Management: Status and Performance Background Wastewater services delivery is performed by one hundred and fifty two (152) Water Services Authorities in South Africa via an infrastructure network comprising of 824 wastewater collector and treatment systems. A total operational flow of 58.8 Ml/day is received at the 824 treatment facilities, which has a collective hydraulic design capacity of 6509.7 Ml/day (as ADWF). This means that 78.8% of the existing design capacity is accounted for by the current operational flows, leaving a theoretical surplus of 22.2% as available capacity for future demand (although many individual plants have no surplus and run at full capacity). National Green Drop Analysis Analysis of the 20/ Green Water Services Audit and site inspection results indicates that the reaching of the Green Drop objective is close to being achieved, considering the significant and progressive movement in overall performance made on national scale. However, the analysis also indicates that many municipalities still do not meet the regulatory expectations. GREEN DROP COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS Performance Category 2009 2010/ 20/ Performance trend Number of municipalities assessed 98 156 (100%) 152 (100%) EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Page 1

GREEN DROP COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS Performance Category 2009 2010/ 20/ Performance trend Number of wastewater systems assessed 444 821 824 Average Green Drop score 37% 45% 46.4% Number of Green Drop scores 50% 216 (49%) 361 (44%) 415 (50.4%) Number of Green Drop scores<50% 228 (51%) 460 (56%) 409 (49.6%) Number of Green Drop awards 33 40 60 Average Site Inspection Score N/A 51.4% 57.0% NATIONAL GREEN DROP SCORE N/A 71% 73.8% N/A = Not applied = improvement, = digress, = no change The 20/ Green Drop audits included all municipalities that own and operate wastewater infrastructure in South Africa. The 100% coverage remains constant with the 20 audit cycle, although some numeric changes were noted in the number of municipalities assessed, as result of demarcation changes. The results indicate that the incentive-based regulatory approach, enhanced by a risk-based methodology, succeeds to act as a positive stimulus to facilitate improved performance and public accountability, whilst establishing essential systems and processes to sustain and measure gradual improvement. Whereas only 216 systems obtained Green Drop scores of 50% in 2009 and 361 systems in 20, 415 systems obtained more than 50% in the 20 Green Drop cycle. On a %-scale, this marks an increase from 44 to 50.4% for systems with >50% Green Drop scores. The average Green Drop score follows an equally impressive improvement trend since 2009 (37%) to 20 (45%) to 20 (46.4%), indicating an improvement in the average performance by municipalities. Overall, the above table is marked by an all round which signifies an improvement trend in ALL performance areas. The most significant performance measure is however, the National Green Drop Score, which applies weight per size of a treatment system. The Regulator is satisfied with the increase in the national score from 71% in 20 to 73.8% in 20. The most impressive statistic is the number of Green Drop Certifications that were achieved in 20, totalling at 60 systems compared to 40 systems in 20 and 33 in 2009. What makes this figure remarkable, is that the 20 Green Drop criteria were significantly more stringent that the 20 criteria. In addition, it is noted that 6 systems missed the 90% cut off mark by a few decimal points and the Regulator trust that these systems will cross this boundary with the next GWSA cycle. A wastewater system that achieved 90%, can truly be regarded as excellent and has achieved a level of mastery that will compete with the best wastewater systems in the world Regrettably, a number of systems have been issued Purple Drops in 20. These 248 systems received <30% GDC scores during 20, thereby earning the undesirable status of systems in crisis'. Number of systems that is placed in excellent, good and critical positions Trend analysis 2009 to 20: 328 more systems were assessed in 20 (824) compared to 2009 (444) 60 systems achieved Green Drop Certification, indicating that 20 more systems are considered excellent ( 90%) compared to 20 Lesser number of systems (30.1%) are in critical state in 20 compared to 38.6% critical state systems in 20 50.3% of systems are residing in excellent/good/average areas in 20, compared to 44% of systems in 20, meaning the bulk of systems are now >50% 30.1% of all systems are in critical state, and regulatory actions will be prompted to address the poor performance these systems were issued Purple Drops and are clearly marked throughout the Report. 161 248 90 100% Excellent 80-<90% Good 50-<80% Average 30-<50% Poor 0-<30% Critical state 60 74 281 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Page 2

National Risk Analysis The Green Drop requirements are used to assess the entire value chain involved in the delivery of municipal wastewater services (collect, treat, discharge of sewage), whilst the risk analyses focus on the (treatment) function specifically. NATIONAL CUMULATIVE RISK COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS Performance Category 20 20 20 20 Performance Trend Highest CRR 29 32 28 30 Average CRR.3.6.3.2 Lowest CRR 4 3 2 4 Average Design Rating (A) 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 Average Capacity Exceedance Rating (B) 3.7 4.1 3.8 3.6 Average Effluent Failure Rating (C) 5.7 5.7 4.7 4.9 Average Technical Skills Rating (D) 2.4 2.6 2.5 2.5 Average % Deviation from CRR max 67.0 69.2 65.9 65.4 = digress (increased risk), = improvement (reduced risk), = no change From the above table, it can be observed that the national highest CRR in 20 is at 30 compared to the 28-32 risk positions during previous years. The average CRR decreased from.3 to.2%, indicating a slight improvement from the 20 Green Drop Progress Report findings. When compared to the previous 20 Green Drop assessment, the average CRR again shows an improvement from.6% to.2%. The CRR analysis indicates that a concerted effort must still be made to address the effluent failure (C) and technical skills (D) ratings in the country. The most significant risk indicator is however, the Average CRR %deviation of 65.4% which occupies a lower risk position compared to the 20 result. Hence, both the Green Drop score and the Cumulative Risk Rating indicate an overall improvement in wastewater services from the period 20 to 20. The following schematic shows the trend in each risk category from 20 to 20. National Risk Profile Number of treatment plants in low risk : medium risk : high risk : critical risk positions Number of WWTPs 300 250 200 150 100 50 196 8 220 199 259 262 244 272 264 284 2 232 9 7 154 1 0 RISK PERCENTAGE EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Page 3

The number of plants in critical risk space decreased from 154 to 1 over the past year (20 to 20). The plants that previously occupied the critical risk space are now occupying the high and medium risk categories, as can be seen by the increase in high risk- (2 to 232) and medium risk plants (244 to 272). These trends show an overall improvement trend and municipalities are strongly encouraged to continue with the implementation of their risk abatement process (W 2 RAP) to prioritise resources and to abate the higher risk outliers. Already, this graph illustrates that the W 2 RAP process is bearing fruit by consistently moving treatment facilities into lesser risk positions. Unfortunately, the positive trend is tempered by the upwards movement of 21 plants from low to moderate risk positions. It is important that municipalities ensure that risk positions are maintained once an acceptable risk space has been occupied. This position will be determined from the 20/14 Green Drop PAT process. Regrettable, 1 treatment plants still reside in critical risk positions. The Regulator will prompt the necessary actions to ensure those municipal plants are put under surveillance as hot spots to ensure that risk mitigation and compliance are up-scaled and fast-tracked. Regulatory Focus for 20 and 2014 The following Provinces received GREEN DROP SCORES BELOW 30%, which indicate that the overall municipal wastewater business is not on par with good practice and legislative compliance. These municipalities in these Provinces are placed under regulatory surveillance, in accordance the Water Services Act (1 0f 1997) Sections 62 and 63. Position Provinces Number of Wastewater Systems with <30% score 1 Gauteng 0 2 Western Cape 9 3 North West 21 4 Kwa-Zulu Natal 32 5 Limpopo 32 6 Northern Cape 33 7 Eastern Cape 34 8 Mpumalanga 41 9 Free State 46 248 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Page 4

Performance Barometer The GREEN DROP PERFORMANCE BAROMETER reflects the level of mastery that a municipality has achieved in terms of its overall municipal wastewater business, as indicated by the individual Municipal Green Drop Scores. The top performers are indicated on the bar chart left, whilst the lower achievers are grouped to the far right of the bar. A comparison between the 20 and 20 Green Drop scores reveals that Western Cape, Gauteng, Free State, Northern Cape and Limpopo have improved their performance positions, whilst Mpumalanga and North West Provinces shows a disappointing overall decline in performance. The CUMULATIVE RISK LOG reflects the level of risk that a municipality potentially pose in terms of its wastewater treatment facility, as indicated by the individual Cumulative Risk Ratings. The low risk municipalities are indicated on the bar chart left, whilst the critical risk municipalities are grouped to the far right of the bar chart. A 100% CRR value translates to a municipality which all key parameters (human resource, plant capacity, operational flow and effluent quality) hold an extremely high risk to public health and the environment. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Page 5

NATIONAL PERFORMANCE LOG 20 Risk Profile - % CRR/CRRmax 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 52.5% 55.1% 58.5% 66.7% 72.5% 74.9% 76.0% 77.0% 78.4% Risk-based Performance Position in South Africa National Best Performers Analysis of the Green Drop results reveals that the nine provinces can be categorised into various performance categories: Top Performers: Gauteng, Western Cape and Kwa-Zulu Natal o These provinces achieved the highest weighted Green Drop score and lowest Risk positions Average Performers: Eastern Cape and Free State o These provinces obtained weighted Green Drop scores in the average performance range Poor Performers: Northern Cape, Limpopo, North West and Mpumalanga o These provinces obtained weighted Green Drop scores of less that 50% and CRR positions in excess of 70%. Free State also falls under this category as result of its provincial CRR of >70%. Whilst the Green Drop process recognised and reward excellence as per above, the programme fundamentally is designed to acknowledge the effort and will of municipalities that showed progressive improvement in performance over time. It is therefore imperative to note the following top movers: Top advancers: o Northern Cape Province improved their weighted Green Drop score from 23% in 20 to 47.3% (24.3% improvement) o Limpopo improved their weighted Green Drop score from 24% to 44.6% (20.6% improvement) o Free State improved their weighted Green Drop score from 31.5% to 50.5% (19% improvement). Digressing trends: o Mpumalanga digressed significantly from 56% to 44% over the 2 year period o North West digressed from 50% to 44.1% over the same period. The Department of Water Affairs acknowledges the excellence in wastewater management achieved for the Green Water Services Audit year of 20/. The following are the three Best Provinces acknowledged for top overall performance, (including surveillance): Gauteng is acknowledged based on the following record of excellence: 82.7% Provincial Green Drop Score 86.2% of plants (50 of 58) in low and medium risk No number of Wastewater Systems <30% score The Western Cape is acknowledged based on the following record of excellence: 84.5% Provincial Green Drop Score 84.2% of plants (3 of 158) in low and medium risk positions. 9 number of Wastewater Systems with <30% score EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Page 6

Kwa-Zulu Natal is acknowledged based on the following record of excellence: 81.5% Provincial Green Drop Score 75.9% of plants (107 of 141) in low and medium risk 32 number of Wastewater Systems with <30% score There is marginal difference between the weighted scores of the top three provinces: Gauteng Province scored 82.7%: this is a markable improvement from the 20 score of 78.8% and notable that NONE of the municipalities in Gauteng are placed under regulatory surveillance; Western Cape Province scored 84.5%: thereby maintaining a good state and marginal improvement from the 20 score of 83.1%; noting that nine municipalities are placed under regulatory surveillance; Kwa-Zulu Natal has scored 81.5%: thereby maintaining its 20 status, noting that the province has 32 municipalities under regulatory surveillance. Three Provinces are acknowledged for BEST OVERALL PROGRESS since from 20 to 20: Northern Cape Limpopo Free State The following table summarises the 20 GREEN DROP CERTIFICATION awards: SIXTY (60) GREEN DROP CERTIFICATES ARE AWARDED IN THE COUNTRY AS A WHOLE: Province Number of Wastewater Systems with <30% score Number of 20 Green Drop Certificates Eastern Cape 34 1 Free State 46 1 Gauteng 0 8 Kwa-Zulu Natal 32 19 Limpopo 22 1 Mpumalanga 41 2 Northern Cape 33 1 North West 21 1 Western Cape 9 26 National Total 248 60 Conclusion The results from the Green Water Services Audit 20/ indicate that municipalities, on a national scale, have improved overall in terms of their National Green Drop score (71% in 20 to 73.8% in 20 ), as well as their Cumulative Risk Ratio (69.2% in 20 to 65.4% in 20 ). The Regulator is satisfied with the systematic and consistent improvement in municipal wastewater management. However, a number of municipal systems (30.1%) are still not on par with the expectations of the Green Drop regulatory programme, as per compliance and best practice requirements. These municipal systems have been issued with Purple Drops, that will serve as triggers to exert regulatory and enforcement measures following the release of the Green Drop Report 20. A special mention to the Gauteng Province, for being the 1 st Province in the Green Drop regulation history that recorded ZERO systems in critical state (<30% Green Drop score). This zero-tolerance of Purple Drops is commendable and set a benchmark for the nation. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Page 7