HOW WE MEET OUR COMMITMENTS. June 5, 2007

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Transcription:

HOW WE MEET OUR COMMITMENTS June 5, 2007 1

Forward-looking Statements This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to the Corporation. These forward-looking statements, by their nature, necessarily involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by these forward-looking statements. We consider the assumptions on which these forward-looking statements are based to be reasonable, but caution the reader that these assumptions regarding future events, many of which are beyond our control, may ultimately prove to be incorrect since they are subject to risks and uncertainties that affect us. The Corporation disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, other than as required by law. 2

Agenda Transat Overview Market and industry highlights Financial Review Strategic Plan Update 3

Transat A.T. Inc. A vertically-integrated, international holiday travel specialist AIRLINES ACCOMODATIONS CRUISE COMPANIES DESTINATION AND GROUND SERVICES TRANSAT OUTGOING & INCOMING TOUR OPERATORS WIDE RANGE OF PACKAGED PRODUCTS & AIRLINE SEATS INTERNATIONAL DISTRIBUTION NETWORK TRAVEL AGENCIES INTERNET & CALL CENTERS CONSUMERS 4

Outgoing Tour Operators More than 60 destination countries from Canada, France, United Kingdom Emphasis on packages, tours, cruises Mass tourism and niche products Approx. 1.8 million clients/year 5

Incoming TOs and Destination Services Largest incoming tour operator in Canada with 240,000 travellers from abroad (2006) Key player in Greece with 66,000 travellers Sells packages in more than 50 countries (to Canada and/or Greece) Presence in Dominican Republic, Mexico and Florida 6

Air Travel Air Transat (wholly-owned) Largest international charter carrier in Canada All Airbus fleet (16 wide-body aircraft) Solid overall performance Agreement with WestJet (from Canada) Service in smaller markets with smaller planes Renewed to 2010 (min. 200,000 seats/year) Other agreements Agreements with other carriers from the UK, France, Canada 7

Accommodation and Cruises Agreements with 300+ hotels in sun destinations, 600+ in Europe More than 20 all-inclusive Clubs Lookéa in 10 countries 2007 Comprehensive portfolio of cruises Stated intention of acquiring equity in hotel partnership (Mexico, Dominican Republic) 8

Distribution Multi-channel distribution in Canada, France, UK Travel agencies (corporate, franchised, independent) Web sites and call centers (B2C, B2B) Network of partners and GSAs in Europe 400+ travel agencies in Canada, 72 in France 9

Sales by Distribution Channel (Canada) Fiscal 2007 year-to-date Controlled sales 25.2% Third party sales 74.8% Travel agencies 20.0% Internet B2C sales 5.2% 10

Tourism Market: Challenges and Opportunities Market growing steadily, but extremely competitive More diversified source- and destination-markets, new expectations, consumer powerful Consolidation in the top-10: MyTravel + Thomas Cook, TUI + First Choice Pressure on airline travel (environment, taxes and fees, security constraints, etc.) Tourism a very resilient market, demographics provide fertile ground for growth 11

Market Growth: International Tourist Arrivals (In millions of tourists) 1,600 ACTUAL FORECASTS SOUTH ASIA MIDDLE EAST AFRICA 1,200 EAST ASIA/ PACIFIC AMERICAS 800 400 EUROPE 0 1950 Expected 1960average 1970annual 1980 growth 1990 rate 19952000-2020: 4.1% 2010 2020 Source: UNWTO 12

Three-year Review (2004-2006) For the year ended October 31st (in millions of C$ except per share amounts) 2004 2005 2006 REVENUES 2,199.8 2,364.5 2,603.7 MARGIN (% of revenues) 163.8 7.4% 120.6 5.1% 126.9 4.9% NET INCOME adjusted* 83.7 3.8% 48.7 2.1% 65.8 2.5% EPS (diluted) adjusted* 2.03 1.17 1.85 CASH FLOW from operations 184.3 74.2 113.3 * Excluding restructuring charges and gain on disposal of Star Airlines and Anyway 13

Margin (In millions of dollars) 163.8 120.6 126.9 58.0 74.1 75.0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 14

3,000 2,500 High Fuel Prices (In millions of dollars) REVENUES +18% 300 250 2,000 +93% 200 1,500 1,000 FUEL 150 500 100 2004 2005 2006 15

New Accounting Standards on Hedge Accounting Fuel hedging based on heating oil futures contract (no jet-fuel based derivatives) Imperfect correlation (jet fuel vs heating oil) New obligation to reflect mark-to-market fluctuations Non-cash fuel expense of $9.7 million before tax in Q1 2007 16

First Quarter (Adjusted) ended January 31 (In millions of dollars) 2007 2006 REVENUES 712.3 581.6 MARGIN 24.7 14.0 NET INCOME 8.6 5.2 EPS (diluted) 0.25 0.13 CASH FLOW (from operations) 102.9 65.1 17

Use of Available Cash (In millions of dollars) As at Jan. 31 2007 AVAILABLE CASH 242.2 SAFETY CUSHION 150.0 CASH AVAILABLE FOR ACQUISITIONS 92.2 18

2006-2008 Strategic Plan Update Market leader for all-inclusive winter packages in Ontario Canadian Affair acquisition in the UK: more firepower in summer 2007 Good performance of French tour operators, Look Voyages profitable, sales up TTC, Air Transat more efficient, costs under control 19

Next on the Agenda Actively seeking US acquisition opportunities Largest, fragmented market Strategy based on complementarity Accommodation Hotel ownership or joint venture in our major South destinations (Mexico, Dominican Republic) Better margin and control on capacity, product quality Grow destination services 20

Tour Operators: Valuation metrics (In C$ millions, except per share data) TOUR OPERATORS SHARE PRICE 22-May.-07 EQUITY VALUE C$ MILLION ENTERPRISE ADJ. EV / EBITDAR VALUE C$ MILLION LTM 2007E 2008E First Choice Holidays plc MyTravel Kuoni Travel Holding GROUP AVERAGE TUI AG Club Mediterrannée Transat A.T. Inc. 3.57 4,195 5,800 10.8x 9.7x 9.0x 3.41 3,381 4,753 12.0x 9.5x 8.8x CHF756 2,131 2,225 12.3x 10.3x 9.4x 11.7x 9.8x 9.1x 21.65 8,489 22,397 7.6x 6.5x 5.8x 49.28 1,392 1,895 18.0x 11.7x 9.6x C$37.55 1,280 1,519 8.2x 7.2x 6.4x 21

Tour Operators: Valuation metrics (In C$ millions, except per share data) P / E EBITDAR EBITDA RENT NET INCOME TOUR OPERATORS LTM 2007E 2008E First Choice Holidays plc 26.8x 19.9x 17.6x 9.3% 6.4% 2.8% 2.7% MyTravel Kuoni Travel Holding 42.1x 17.9x 14.2x 6.6% 3.7% 2.9% 19.4x 17.2x 14.9x 5.0% 4.1% 0.9% 1.3% 2.9% GROUP AVERAGE 29.4x 18.3 15.6x 7.0% 4.8% 2.2% 2.3% TUI AG N / A 36.7x 15.1x 9.9% 4.2% 5.7% N / A Club Mediterrannée N / A 78.2x 35.2x 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% (0.8%) Transat A.T. Inc. 16.9x 15.6x 13.0x 6.8% 5.0% 1.8% 2.5% 22

Transat A.T. Inc. Volatile, but growing tourism market International, vertically integrated platform More efficient, agile and innovative Solid financial position and cash generation Emphasis on growth and profitability Strong focus on strategic plan 23

HOW WE MEET OUR COMMITMENTS June 5, 2007 24