Ludwigshafen, February 25, 2014



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Transcription:

Ludwigshafen, February 25, 2014 Analyst Conference FY2013

Cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements This presentation may contain forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties, including those pertaining to the anticipated benefits to be realized from the proposals described herein. Forward-looking statements may include, in particular, statements about future events, future financial performance, plans, strategies, expectations, prospects, competitive environment, regulation and supply and demand. BASF has based these forward-looking statements on its views and assumptions with respect to future events and financial performance. Actual financial performance could differ materially from that projected in the forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty of estimates, forecasts and projections, and financial performance may be better or worse than anticipated. Given these uncertainties, readers should not put undue reliance on any forward-looking statements. The information contained in this presentation is subject to change without notice and BASF does not undertake any duty to update the forwardlooking statements, and the estimates and assumptions associated with them, except to the extent required by applicable laws and regulations. 2

BASF increased sales and earnings Business performance Q4 13 vs. Q4 12 FY 13 vs. FY 12 Sales 18.1 billion +1% 74.0 billion +3% EBITDA 2.6 billion +26% 10.4 billion +4% EBIT before special items 1.5 billion +18% 7.2 billion +8% EBIT 1.6 billion +55% 7.3 billion +8% Net income 1.1 billion +16% 4.8 billion 0% Reported EPS 1.24 +16% 5.27 0% Adjusted EPS 1.02 (24%) 5.37 (5%) Operating cash flow 1.9 billion +20% 7.9 billion +19% Sales development Period Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies Q4 13 vs. Q4 12 5% (2%) 2% (4%) FY 13 vs. FY 12 5% 0% 1% (3%) 3

Ongoing portfolio development Upstream Downstream Øyvind Hagen Transaction with Statoil Pronova BioPharma Gazprom asset swap Enzymes 4

Investments for organic growth Capex budget 2014-2018 by segment Capex budget 2014-2018 by region Performance Products 15% Functional Materials & Solutions 12% Agricultural Solutions 7% Other 13% 20 billion Chemicals 33% Oil & Gas 20% Asia Pacific 18% South America 4% Other 4% North America 25% 20 billion Europe 49% 5

Strong commitment to R&D R&D expenditure (billion ) 2,0 1,5 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 Key facts 1.8 billion R&D expenditure in 2013 Further increase of R&D spending planned in 2014 ~10,650 employees in R&D 1,0 0,5 ~3,000 projects Research Verbund: Cooperations with ~600 excellent partners from universities, start-ups and industry 0,0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6

Strong increase in pipeline value Crop Protection innovation pipeline Pipeline peak sales potential* (billion ) 2,5 2,0 1,5 1,0 0,5 1,2 1,7 2,1 Key facts Value of Crop Protection pipeline rose by 400 million for products launched between 2010 and 2020 Significant increase in peak sales potential of blockbuster crop protection products: Xemium : > 600 million (+ 200 million) Kixor : > 300 million (+ 100 million) 0,0 2011 2012 2013 * For products launched between 2010 and 2020 7

Operational excellence programs STEP program on track: ~ 1 billion earnings contribution by 2015 Annual earnings contribution in million 3,000 2,000 1,000 STEP program Targeted annual earnings contribution of ~ 1 billion by end of 2015 Project timeline: 2012 2015 Program is on track Total of ~ 600 million achieved by the end of 2013 One-time cost & investments: ~ 1 billion 0 2013 2015 Former cost saving programs NEXT STEP 8

Restructuring Performance Products Announced measures to strengthen competitiveness Measures Leather and textile chemicals (March 18, 2013) Water, oilfield and mining chemicals (March 27, 2013) Plastic additives and pigments (April 23, 2013) Pigments (October 23, 2013) Paper Chemicals (January 23, 2014) Establishment of global innovation center in China Optimization of various functions and relocation to Asia Pacific Establishment of global business unit to realize synergies Divestment of industrial water management business Adjustments at sites in the Basel area to adapt to changed market conditions Downsizing of R&D activities Optimization of global production network Closure, restructuring and evaluation of strategic options for production assets Shutdown of latex production in Europe Ongoing portfolio optimization Reduction of ~500 positions by 2015 Reduction of ~650 positions by 2017 Reduction of ~250 positions by 2015 9

Attractive shareholder return Dividend per share ( ) Key facts 3.00 3,0 2.50 2,5 2.00 2,0 1.50 1,5 1.00 1,0 0.50 0,5 0,85 1,00 1,50 1,95 1,95 1,70 2,20 2,50 Proposal: 2,70 2,60 Dividend proposal of 2.70 per share, an increase of 3.8% Average annual dividend increase of approx. 14% (2004-2013) Attractive dividend yield of 3.5% in 2013** Dividend yield above 3% in any given year since 2004 0,0 2004 2007 2010 2013 Yield* 3.2% 3.1% 4.1% 3.8% 7.0% 3.9% 3.7% 4.6% 3.7% 3.5% * Dividend yield based on share price at year-end ** Based on BASF share price of 77.49 on Dec 30, 2013 10

Delivering consistent, long-term value 11

Outlook 2014 Expectations for the global economy Forecast 2014 2013 GDP 2.8% 2.3% Chemicals (excl. pharma) 4.4% 4.6% Industrial production 3.7% 2.5% US$ / Euro 1.30 1.33 Oil price: Brent (US$ / bbl) 110 109 12

Outlook 2014 by region Chemical production (excl. pharma) Forecast 2014 2013 4.4% World 4.6% EU 1.1% 0.0% USA 2.8% 3.2% Asia (excl. Japan) 7.2% 8.5% Japan 2.5% 1.8% South America 2.4% 1.3% 13

Outlook BASF Group 2014 We aim to increase our sales volumes excluding the effects of acquisitions and divestitures. Nonetheless, sales will decline slightly compared with 2013 due to the divestiture of the gas trading and storage business planned for mid-2014. We expect a slight increase in EBIT before special items, especially as a result of considerably higher contributions from the Performance Products and Functional Materials & Solutions segments. We aim to earn a high premium on our cost of capital once again in 2014. 14

Chemicals Significantly higher earnings due to better volumes and margins Q4 13 segment sales (million ) vs. Q4 12 EBIT before special items (million ) Intermediates 708 +4% Monomers 1,488 (13%) 4,191 (5%) Petrochemicals 1,995 (2%) 600 400 200 0 445 Q4'12 510 Q4'13 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 2,171 FY'12 2,182 FY'13 Sales development Period Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies Q4 13 vs. Q4 12 4% (6%) 0% (3%) FY 13 vs. FY 12 0% (3%) 0% (2%) 15

Performance Products Volume growth and higher earnings despite currency headwinds Q4 13 segment sales (million ) vs. Q4 12 EBIT before special items (million ) Performance Chemicals 866 +0% Paper Chemicals 345 (7%) Nutrition & Health 511 +6% 3,683 0% Dispersions & Pigments 806 Care Chemicals 1,155 (3%) 300 +2% 200 183 100 0 Q4'12 216 Q4'13 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 1,421 FY'12 1,365 FY'13 Sales development Period Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies Q4 13 vs. Q4 12 5% (2%) 1% (4%) FY 13 vs. FY 12 3% (2%) 1% (3%) 16

Functional Materials & Solutions Strong automotive demand lifts volumes Q4 13 segment sales (million ) vs. Q4 12 EBIT before special items (million ) Performance Materials 1,557 +1% Coatings 749 0% 4,129 (1%) Catalysts 1,326 0% Construction Chemicals 497 (11%) 250 200 150 100 50 0 228 Q4'12 238 Q4'13 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 932 FY'12 1,070 FY'13 Sales development Period Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies Q4 13 vs. Q4 12 5% 0% (1%) (5%) FY 13 vs. FY 12 4% 1% 0% (4%) 17

Agricultural Solutions Successful fourth quarter: Earnings doubled Q4 13 segment sales (million ) vs. Q4 12 EBIT before special items (million ) 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 877 890 Q4 2012 Q4 2013 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 33 Q4'12 67 Q4'13 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 1,037 FY'12 1,222 FY'13 Sales development Period Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies Q4 13 vs. Q4 12 1% 2% 4% (6%) FY 13 vs. FY 12 10% 3% 4% (5%) 18

Oil & Gas Higher earnings due to increased production volumes Q4 13 segment sales (million ) vs. Q4 12 EBIT before special items / Net income (million ) Exploration & Production 861 +32% 4,150 +10% Natural Gas Trading 3,289 +5% 1,000 500 0 407 310 535 389 97 260 146 652 Exploration & Production 2,000 1,387 1,540 1,000 564 1,201 0 1,876 489 Natural Gas Trading 1,969 429 Q4 '12 Q4 '13 FY '12 FY '13 1,780 Net income Sales development Period Volumes Price/Currencies Portfolio Q4 13 vs. Q4 12 7% (3%) 6% FY 13 vs. FY 12 14% (1%) 3% 19

Review of Other (million ) Q4 2013 Q4 2012 2013 2012 Sales 1,106 1,030 4,190 4,061 EBIT before special items (114) (67) (618) (790) Thereof corporate research group corporate costs currency results, hedges and other valuation effects other businesses (102) (66) (109) 99 (105) (73) (91) 25 (386) (237) (190) 254 (391) (255) (454) Special items 3 158 (46) 575 EBIT (111) 91 (664) (215) 224 20

Record operating cash flow in 2013 Million 2013 2012 Cash provided by operating activities 7,870 6,602 Thereof changes in net working capital miscellaneous items 805 (973) (844) (661) Cash provided by investing activities (5,769) (3,977) Thereof payments related to tangible / intangible assets (4,660) (4,015) acquisitions / divestitures (1,093) (319) Cash used in financing activities (1,874) (2,904) Thereof changes in financial liabilities dividends 828 (2,702) (343) (2,560) 2013 Strong free cash flow of 3.2 billion, despite higher capex (+ 0.6 billion) High shareholder remuneration; 2.7 billion paid in dividends to our shareholders and minority interest holders Changes in financial liabilities of ~ 0.8 billion due to the issuance of several bonds as well as the $1.25 billion US private placement at attractive rates 21

Balance sheet remains strong Balance sheet 2013 vs. 2012 (billion ) Long-term assets 25.6 27.8 Disposal group Inventories Accounts receivable Other assets Liquid funds 62.7 35.2 3.3 9.6 9.5 3.5 1.6 Dec 31 2012 64.4 37.1 2.8 9.6 9.4 3.7 1.8 Dec 31 2013 62.7 12.8 2.0 22.3 Dec 31 2012 64.4 14.4 1.3 20.9 Dec 31 2013 Stockholders Equity Financial debt Disposal group Other liabilities Highlights 2013 Increase in long-term assets by 1.9 billion, due to capex and acquisitions Decline in pension provisions by 1.7 billion due to increased discount rates Financial debt increased by 1.6 billion reflecting issuance of bonds and private placements Net debt: 12.6 billion Net debt/ebitda ratio: 1.2 Equity ratio: 43.2% (2012: 40.8%) 22

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