TURKISH CATASTROPHE INSURANCE POOL

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Catastrophes and Insurance Lessons, Challanges and Trends TURKISH CATASTROPHE INSURANCE POOL International ECO Symposium on Disaster Economics AFAD- ECO - DPPI SEE 3 April 2013 İstanbul/Turkey

HISTORY The devastating Earthquakes in Marmara region on 17th August and 12th November 1999 Insured loss: around USD 800 milion Economic loss: over USD 10 billion Low insurance penetration (especially for residential risks) Burden on public budget Decree law no 587 compulsory earthquake insurance as of 27th September 2000 untill 18th of August 2012 As from 18th August 2012 new 6305 Catastrophe Insurance Law

PRE-TCIP WHY GOVERNMENT S PRIORITIES Reactive solutions versus proactive solutions Shortage of funds in immediate need Allowance of funds to those in need is problematic Political and bureaucratic considerations may prevail Government priorities is on getting back to economic and social life A compulsory earthquake insurance system for homeowners Affordable price for every homeowner True risk transfer mechanism Claims-paying capacity to limit government s exposure Build national catastrophes reserves by time improvement of risk culture and insurance consciousness in public Rely on distribution channels of Turkish insurance industry

ESTABLISMENT OF TCIP LEGAL AND FINANCIAL BASE OF TCIP Financed by Marmara Earthquake Emergency Reconstruction Project co-financed by Turkish Government World Bank European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Decree law no 587 compulsory earthquake insurance as of 27th September 2000. Eureko Sigorta is tendered for the following 5 years till August, 2015 As from 18th August 2012 new 6305 Catastrophe Insurance Law PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP INSURER REINSURER SALES FUNCTIONS OPERATIONAL SERVICES RISK MANAGEMENT SUPPORT CLAIMS MANAGEMENT HOUSEHOLDERS RISK MANAGEMENT BEHAVIOUR TCIP AUTHORITIES REGULATION SUPERVISION LEGAL FRAMEWORK RISK MANAGEMENT SUPPORT DISASTER MANAGEMENT

%19,6 %21,1 %24,2 %24,2 %29,2 %31,2 %38,7 EARTHQUAKE INSURANCE 2002-2012 CAGR %8,3 Total No of policies 5,2 mio Annual premium 310 mio USD Avg. Sum insured 37.579 USD Avg. Premium 59 USD Total Claim Files 20.475 Total claims paid 84 mio USD Total Penetration %30,8 PENETRATION EARTHQUAKE ZONES TARGET 10.000.000 %00,9 %16,1 ZONE 5 49.809 ZONE 4 838.594 %10,9 ZONE 3 559.480 %26,4 ZONE 2 1.380.059 %45,7 ZONE 1 2.388.346

STRUCTURE OF TCIP THE TREASURY GENERAL DIRECTORATE OF INSURANCE CONTRACTUAL AGREEMENT TCIP BOARD OF DIRECTORS MANAGMENT COMPANY REINSURANCE FUND MANAGMENT CLAIM IT PR INSURANCE COMPANIES CLAIM OPERATIONS AGENCIES BROKERS BANC ASSURANCE DIRECT & ADC 16 MILLION HOMEOWNERS

IT INFRASTRUCTURE IT STRUCTURE ACENTALAR COMPANIES / AGENTS CALL CENTER ISTANBUL DASK Merkez INTERNET FIREWALL LEASED LINE ANKARA DISASTER RECOVER CENTER - FIREWALL WEB SERVER WEB SERVER DMZ DMZ WAN J2EE APPLICATION S ERVER J2EE APPLICATION S ERVER LDAP J2EE APPLICATION S ERVER DATABASE REPLICATION LDA P DATABASE State of the art technology 99,9% service level Investing into satellite and mobile technologies Continuous improvement Various level Back-up services, data and programs Disaster Recovery Center is able to be in full operation within 2 hours

ACVIEVEMENTS and NEW LAW ACHIEVEMENTS Improved penetration from 4% to 32% Increased public awareness for earthquake and insurance Centralized marketing activities and brand management Kept pricing at affordable level Claims-paying capacity: USD 4 billion Solid reinsurance program Operational efficiency Improved coordinated work between the public agencies, the insurance industry, universities, etc.. Model structure for effective publicprivate partnership Finding quality capacity Ethical sensitivity NATIONAL STRATEGIC PLAN FOR 2023 NEW LAW Inforce since 18th of August 2012: flexible framework enabling improvements on product and structure Improve awareness and sign of state support Increased check points in utility services Additional natural perils to be included in case of market shortage Able to provide reinsurance support for natural perils Treasury to act as the last resort by providing reinsurance support Able to establish alternative distribution channel Government aid being subject to having TCIP policy Other articles on cat response, scientific research, international coordination

TCIP IN NEAR FUTURE 6.000.000 policies TARGET 10.000.000 Excelling in claim management Increased use of Technology Increased communication and public relation activities Increased Coordination between Institutions

NEW ERA IN CAT MANAGEMENT LESSONS Less loss of lives in the countries with stringent building codes (Chile and New Zealand) Multiple events are not unusual (1999 Turkev and 2011 New Zealand) Secondary risk causing severe damages (tsunami, aquafaction) Modeling has it s limitation Underestimated scenarios Economic Political Demographic Ambiguity on expectations from insurance industry Importance of strong construction industry LESSONS Operational capacity is as important as financial capacity Outdated operational manuals Procedures must be simple and lean Application of sum insured or indemnity limits Necessity for collaboration between; Lack of; Industries companies and public offices cities-countries adjusting capacity technology Field knowledge 12.01.10 7.0 Haiti Earthqauke 27.02.10 8.8 Chile Earthquake 04.09.10 7.1 New Zealand Earthquake 11.01.11 Australian Flood 11.03.11 8.9 Japan Earthquake 22.02.11 6.3 New Zealand Earthquake

EĞİTİM PLATFOR M YÖNETİM PLATFORMU CAT OPERATION RISK ASSESMENT Strong and efficient client contact Emergency call center services Strong presence on the field Fast and accurate claim adjusting Claim adjusting resources Solidarity approach against the event Effective communication with public OPERATIONAL CAPACITY Technologhy is must Early assesment tools Continous assesment of the event Pre-described roles and activities Clear and smart database Simple and lean prodecures Strong operation center Trained adjusting capacity DASK HASAR DANIŞMA KURULU LİSANSLI EKSPERLER SORUMLU EKSPER BÜROLARI HASAR TESPİT UZMANLARI SORUMLU LUK BÖLGELER İ SORUMLU LUK BÖLGELER İ SORUMLU LUK BÖLGELER İ SORUMLU LUK BÖLGELER İ SORUMLU LUK BÖLGELER İ

2 20 20 20 36 80 80 100 150 175 200 225 250 511 585 565 760 775 840 840 1,150 1,250 1,325 1,575 1,550 1.950 CAT FINANCE RISK ASSESMENT Increased risk perception causing higher loss estimates Ever increasing claim protection needs Increased sensivity on removing burden on national budget Increased willingness to collaborate CLAIM PAYMENT CAPACITY Diversify the Tools Alternative solutions (cat bond, structured deals, swaps etc) Diversify the Regions Spread through all regions Diversify the Market More capacity from financial markets (credit lines, bonds etc) Diversify the Currency Policy, construction industry, reinsurance program Diversify the Payback conditions Ensure solvency of the system Reinsurance Program 2011-2012 1.780.000.000 R/I protection 250.000.000 priority A rated panel of Reinsurers One of the biggest R/I Program in the world 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

CAT EVENT 1 CAT EVENT 3 MANAGEMENT OF OPERATION CENTER CALL CENTER 4 Hazine Müsteşarlığı Türkiye Sigorta ve Reasürans Şirketleri Birliği Sigorta Şirketleri AFAD Afet ve Acil Durum Yönetimi Başkanlığı TOBB Türkiye Odalar ve Borsalar Birliği Eksperler İcra Kurulu İstanbul Valiliği - Acil Durum Başkanlığı AKOM Çevre ve Şehircilik Bakanlığı Valilikler, Belediyeler ve diğer yerel Yönetimler Çağrı Merkezi Şirketleri Taşıma ve Ulaştırma Şirketleri Telekominikasyon Şirketleri COORDINATION W/STAKE HOLDERS Catering (yiyecek-içecek) Şirketleri Oteller Güvenlik Şirketleri Kargo ve Kurye şirketleri Mobil Banka Hizmetleri OPERATION CENTER 2 CLAIM ADJUSTMENT

CHALLENGES AND OBJECTIVES CHALLENGES Low insurance awareness Enforcement of new Catastrophe Insurance Law Low penetration rate Restructuring of TCIP after a decade Aligning with national databases Effective control level in public offices Ensuring sound reconstruction activities after claim payment High cost of maintaining contingency capacity OBJECTIVES Increasing number of policies Excelling in Cat Response Establishing strong synergy between institutions Public offices Insurance companies, intermediaries Claim adjusters Increasing Reinsurance capacity Using alternative claim financing tools Implementation of new projects

CONTINUES COMMUNICTION AND PUBLIC RELATION

CONTINUES COMMUNICTION AND PUBLIC RELATION

Catastrophes and Insurance Lessons, Challanges and Trends TURKISH CATASTROPHE INSURANCE POOL International ECO Symposium on Disaster Economics AFAD- ECO - DPPI SEE 3 April 2013 İstanbul/Turkey