OVERVIEW OF THE USE OF CROSS CURRENCY SWAPS



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Transcription:

OVERVIEW OF THE USE OF CROSS CURRENCY SWAPS PRACTICAL CONSIDERATIONS IVAN LARIN CAPITAL MARKETS DEPARTMENT FABDM Webinar for Debt Managers Washington, D.C. 20 th January, 2016

AGENDA 1. BASICS 2. Pre-TRADE a. Prerequisites b. Operational infrastructure 3. SWAP EXECUTION a. Modeling b. Execution 4. Post-TRADE a. Collateral management b. Liquidity management c. Accounting considerations

What is a Swap? A swap is an exchange of one set of future cash flows for another. Cash flows are for a defined period of time and can be customized. Can be traded on exchanges or Over-the-Counter. Principal may or may not be exchanged. There are many different types of swaps. Interest rate, currency, commodity, credit default, etc. 2

Cross Currency Swap a series of FX forwards Basic idea Convert cash flow stream in one currency into another Type Fixed-fixed Fixed-floating Floating-floating (XCCY Basis Swap) Principal exchange Initial exchange (optional) Final exchange (at maturity using spot FX at trade date) Main Benefits Achieve the desired currency composition of the debt portfolio Tap new markets/investors Extend maturities 3

Application - Hedging Morocco s Eurobond 4

Cross Currency Swap Cashflows Initial exchange of principal amount Morocco EUR 753 m USD 1,000 m WB Interim exchange of interest Morocco USD 4.25% EUR 3.75% WB Final exchange of principal amount (same amount, no FX risk) Morocco USD 1,000 m EUR 753 m WB 5

Swap Process Overview Pre-trade Internal Approvals Trade execution Legal Agreements (ISDA / CSA s) Infrastructure (swap model, systems, people, accounts) Internal Modeling Indicative quotes from dealers Execution Post-trade Booking / Settlement MtM Margining Accounting considerations 6

Pre-Trade Prerequisites Operational Infrastructure

PRE-TRADE CONDITIONS Internal Approvals does the DMO have internal authority to enter into derivative contracts? Understanding of regulatory framework Operational infrastructure IT Systems, FO/BO staff Relationship with market makers Legal agreements (ISDA and CSA) Risk framework: debt management strategy and credit risk policy 8

Phases of Execution OPERATIONAL INFRASTRUCTURE Accounts Hard currency and local currency accounts need to be operational in relevant banks. Authorizations Authorized signatories and instructions method (SWIFT) need to be in place. Systems Market data feed and valuation model need to be set up to keep track of value of the contract. 9

Trade Execution Design and Structuring Valuation Negotiation and Execution

Structuring Swaps: Main Parameters Effective date Maturity date Notional amounts currency, bullet/amortizing/accreting schedule Principal exchange initial, final, or both (and FX applied) Interest rate characteristics pay/receive, floating/fixed, index/spread Payment and reset cycle quarterly/semi-annually/annually Day count convention e.g. 30/360, Act/360, Act/365, etc. Business calendar for resets and payments Adjustment: following/modified following, adjusted/unadjusted, etc. 11

Valuation and Pricing: Broker Screens Once a trade is structured and term sheet prepared, the next step is to come up with a value and/or price of the structure. Sources: Broker screens (plain-vanilla) Financial models Dealer indications Major components: Cash flows amounts, conventions Discount rates sources, zero rates Model Assumptions interpolations, short-term rates Bid/Ask Spreads pricing depends on liquidity 12

Sample CCS Termsheet Agree on EUR fixed rate Agree on FX rate to determine EUR principal amount Include cash flows if amortizing 13

Screen rates are insufficient to value swaps with bespoke cash flows Screen rates assume the following standard market conventions: Cashflow conventions in USD Fixed leg: Semi-annual, 30/360, Modified following, Unadjusted Floating leg: Quarterly, Act/360, Modified following, Adjusted Effective date: T+2 Credit risk very low counterparty credit risk Bilaterally collateralized Zero threshold for both counterparties Margin called daily Additional independent amount to cover the short dated cure period risk Funding Self funded via collateral agreement 14

Suggestions for Better Execution NEGOTIATION AND EXECUTION Send Term Sheet to several brokers Check screen rates and request broker indications Go live with best indications Done confirm trade has been executed over the phone Exchange confirmations 15

Factors Affecting Swap Pricing Credit Risk (OTC): Existence of a collateral agreement (e.g. Credit Support Annex (CSA)) Volatility: Higher volatility, wider bid/ask spread Size: too small / too large Tenor: when the tenor is longer than market liquidity Dealer s position and market view: Predetermined appetite based on market positions Commitment to certain markets or niches Local currency or other market limitations requiring the dealer to keep the risk on their books Complexity of the transaction 16

AFTER THE TRADE Collateral Management Liquidity Management Accounting Considerations

MARK TO MARKET MOVEMENT Example: Cross-currency EUR/USD swap At maturity: Counterparty A must pay USD 1,000m and Counterparty B must pay EUR 753 m EUR753 Counterparty A Counterparty B USD1,000 Assuming the EUR appreciates over the life of a swap, Counterparty A s receive leg increases in value, relative to its pay leg. The swap has a positive mark-to-market in favor of Counterparty A (swap is in-the-money ). Counterparty A has a credit exposure to Counterparty B. 18

THE ROLE OF COLLATERAL Collateral agreements lower the effective exposure, allowing the institution to liquidate the collateral to compensate for the economic loss in case of a default of the counterparty The collateral to be delivered or returned will depend on the difference between the MTM of the aggregate portfolio and the value of the existing collateral Mark-to- Market $80 m Collateral Request: $30 m Value of the Collateral $50 m 19

LIQUIDITY MANAGEMENT COLLATERAL ARRANGEMENTS Future margin calls need to be measured Contingent liquidity needs to be available to post margin Margin can be in cash or securities Consider outsourcing / using custodial services to manage margin requirements Failure to post margin can lead to early termination at very unfavorable times resulting in realized losses and unhedged exposure 20

COLLATERAL ACCOUNTING ARRANGEMENTS APPROACHES Will depend on reporting standards of the particular country Two broad categories of treatment: Accrual accounting Will reflect accrued interest at cost Does not vacillate with changing market conditions Assumes swaps will be held until maturity Mark-to-Market approach ( MtM ) Reflects changes to market rates Income varies with market conditions Greater volatility in income 21

Q&A

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