Population Report, Aberdeen City and Shire

Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report, Aberdeen City and Shire RESEARCH AND INFORMATION

Research and Information Briefing Paper 2015/02 (Published in May 2015) POPULATION REPORT, ABERDEEN CITY AND SHIRE This is one of a series of briefing papers produced by the Research and Information Team. Population estimates can be used for a variety of purposes including resource allocation and planning of services. They are also used for calculating rates and performance measures, informing local and national policy, weighting surveys and in modelling the economy. It is intended that these papers will be used by council services and, where appropriate, our Community Planning partners to assist policy development and service delivery. This briefing paper examines the 2014 population estimates for Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire that were published by National Records of Scotland (NRS) on 30 April 2015. As well as the total population of the two areas, the paper looks at the age structures of the population and trends back to 1981. Population projections for the period up to 2037 are also summarised and, for Aberdeen only, neighbourhood population estimates are presented. For more information on this paper, please contact: Kamrun Chowdhury Research Officer Research and Information Office of Chief Executive Aberdeen City Council Old Town House, Broad Street 1st Floor, Room 26/27 Aberdeen, AB10 1FY 01224 523866 kchowdhury@aberdeencity.gov.uk Previous briefing papers have included the following topics: Population of Older People in Aberdeen Migrant Workers in Aberdeen City and Shire Migration Report, Aberdeen Household Projections for Aberdeen And Shire These papers, and other statistical reports, can be found in the Stats and Facts section of the Aberdeen City Council website: www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/statsandfacts We value your comments/feedback and would appreciate if you could provide your comments on this paper by following the link: https://www.surveymonkey.com/s/research-feedback-form Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 1

POPULATION REPORT, ABERDEEN CITY AND SHIRE Summary The estimated population of Aberdeen City in mid-2014 was 228,990, 1,860 higher than the previous year and 21,170 higher than the mid-2004 figure. The estimated population of Aberdeenshire on 30 June 2014 was 260,500, 2,760 higher than the previous year and 25,810 higher than the mid-2004 figure. The estimated population of the combined Aberdeen City and Shire area on 30 June 2014 was 489,490, a rise of 4,620 on the previous year and a rise of 46,980 since mid-2004. The combined Aberdeen City and Shire area accounts for 9.2% of Scotland s total population. Three-quarters of the population gain in Aberdeen City and Shire in the year to 30 June 2014 was due to migration. In Aberdeen City there was a net migration gain of 1,414, while the gain in Aberdeenshire was 2,048. The other component of population change is the difference between births and deaths, i.e. the natural change. In the year to 30 June 2014, that accounted for 1,130 of the total population increase in Aberdeen City and Shire. Aberdeen City has a relatively small group of 0-15 years of age population. That age group accounts for 14.6% of the total population, compared with the Scottish average of 17.1%. The number of people in Aberdeen City and Shire who are aged 65 and over makes up 16.1% of the total population, while that age group accounts for 17.8% of Scotland s population. In the period up to 2037, the population of Aberdeen City is projected to rise to 288,788. The Aberdeenshire population is also projected to grow throughout the projection period, reaching 299,813 in 2037. The age structure of the Aberdeen City and Shire population is projected to change significantly between 2012 and 2037. It is forecast that the 65+ age group in Aberdeen City will increase by 55.4%, while in Aberdeenshire that age group will increase by 74.4%. The number of children (aged 0-15 years) is projected to increase significantly in Aberdeen City by 44.8%, compared to an increase of 13.8% in Aberdeenshire. Neighbourhood population estimates vary greatly, from 13,099 in the Braeside, Mannofield, Broomhill and Seafield neighbourhood to 1,940 in Heathryfold. Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 2

Population Report, Aberdeen City and Shire 1. Introduction 1.1 The first section of this paper contains information on the 2014 mid-year population estimates (MYEs), which were published by National Records of Scotland (NRS) on 30 April 2015. It presents population data for the Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire areas and the combined Aberdeen City and Shire area. 1.2 The second section of the paper examines changes in population that have occurred in the 2013-2014 and 2004-2014 periods. Historical data, going back to 1981, is also presented, together with population estimates for Aberdeen s 37 neighbourhoods. 1.3 The final section summarises the results of the sub-national population projections produced by NRS on 14 May 2014. These projections were based on the 2012 MYEs and cover the period to 2037. 2. 2014 Population Estimates 2.1 The estimated population of the combined Aberdeen City and Shire area on 30 June 2014 was 489,490. Aberdeen City s estimated population was 228,990, while the Aberdeenshire total was 260,500. Aberdeen City and Shire accounts for 9.2% of the Scottish population see Table 1. Appendix 1 shows the 2014 population estimates for all Scottish Council areas. Table 1 Total Population, 2014 Male Female Total % of Scotland Aberdeen City 113,474 115,516 228,990 4.3% Aberdeenshire 129,478 131,022 260,500 4.9% Aberdeen City and Shire 242,952 246,538 489,490 9.2% Scotland 2,596,384 2,751,216 5,347,600-2.2 A summary of the age structure of the Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire population is shown in Table 2. The percentage of the total population that is aged 65+ is 15.0% in Aberdeen City and 17.6% in Aberdeenshire. These rates are lower than the overall Scottish average of 18.1%. A relatively low percentage (14.7%) of Aberdeen City s population is under 16 years old compared with Aberdeenshire (18.7%) and Scotland (17.0%). Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 3

Table 2 Age Structure of Population, 2014 0-15 (%) 16-24 (%) 25-44 (%) Aberdeen City 33,566 33,988 72,401 (14.7%) (14.8%) (31.6%). Aberdeenshire 48,681 (18.7%) 25,472 (9.8%) 65,598 (25.2%) 45-64 (%) 54,774 (23.9%) 74,961 (28.8%) 65+ (%) 34,261 (15.0%) 45,788 (17.6%) Total (%) 228,990 (100%) 260,500 (100%) Aberdeen City and Shire 82,247 (16.8%) 59,460 (12.1%) 137,999 (28.2%) 129,735 (26.5%) 80,049 (16.4%) 489,490 (100%) 911,282 619,875 Scotland (17.0%) (11.6%) Due to rounding sums may not add up 1,375,464 (25.7%) 1,472,590 (27.5%) 968,389 (18.1%) 5,347,600 (100%) 2.3 More detailed age breakdowns for Aberdeen City, Aberdeenshire and the combined Aberdeen City and Shire area are shown in Appendices 2a, 2b and 2c. Figures 1a and 1b show the population pyramids for Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire. Figure 1a Aberdeen City Population, by age and sex, 2014 2.4 Figure 1a shows that the number of young adults in Aberdeen City grows considerably between the ages of 16 to 30 as students and other young people move into the city. The reverse trend is seen in Aberdeenshire, where there are increasingly fewer young adults aged between 16 and 34 years, after which numbers rise see Figure 1b. The population pyramid shows how the city attracts young people in the 16-30 age groups, after which there is a net loss of people aged 31-40. The latter trend may be due to young families moving to larger properties in Aberdeenshire, where more family housing available. Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 4

Figure 1b Aberdeenshire Population, by age and sex, 2014 2.5 Tables 3a and 3b give a statistical snapshot of the age/sex structure of the Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire populations in 2014. This population profile shows that the highest male to female ratio in Aberdeen City is in the 25-44 year age group. In contrast, the highest male to female ratio in Aberdeenshire is in the 16-24 year age group. There are more females than males in the oldest age group (65+) in both Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire. Table 3a Gender balance by age groups, 2014 Aberdeen City Age Total Male Female Sex ratio (M/F) 0-15 33,566 17,135 16,431 1.04 16-24 33,988 16,249 17,739 0.92 25-44 72,401 37,637 34,764 1.08 45-64 54,774 27,615 27,159 1.02 65+ 34,261 14,838 19,423 0.76 Table 3b Gender balance by age groups, 2014 Aberdeenshire Age Total Male Female Sex ratio (M/F) 0-15 48,681 25,051 23,630 1.06 16-24 25,472 13,554 11,918 1.14 25-44 65,598 32,423 33,175 0.98 45-64 74,961 37,134 37,827 0.98 65+ 45,788 21,316 24,472 0.87 Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 5

3. Population Change (a) 2013-2014 3.1 Between 2013 and 2014, the population of Aberdeen City rose by 1,860 (0.8%), while there was a rise of 2,760 (1.1%) in Aberdeenshire. Aberdeen City had the fifth highest percentage increase (0.8%) of Scotland s 32 council areas, after Midlothian (+1.8%), Aberdeenshire (+1.1%), Edinburgh (+1.1%), and East Renfrewshire (+1.0%). In the combined Aberdeen City and Shire area, the population rose by 4,620 (+1.0%) see Table 4a. Table 4a Population Change, 2013-2014 2013 2014 Change Change 2013-14 % Aberdeen City 227,130 228,990 +1,860 +0.8% Aberdeenshire 257,740 260,500 +2,760 +1.1% Aberdeen City and Shire 484,870 489,490 +4,620 +1.0% Scotland 5,327,700 5,347,600 +19,900 +0.4% 3.2 In both Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire, there were more births than deaths in the year to 30 June 2014. Table 4b shows the components of population change in Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire. The natural change in Aberdeen City was +532, while it was +598 in Aberdeenshire. Most of the population change in that period was due to net migration, which accounted for almost 75% of the population change in the combined City and Shire area. Table 4b Components of Population Change, 2013-2014 2013 Migration Births Deaths Total Other 2014 Total Aberdeen City 227,130 2,598 2,066 1,414-86 228,990 Aberdeenshire 257,740 2,803 2,205 2,048 114 260,500 Aberdeen City and Shire 484,870 5,401 4,271 3,462 28 489,490 Scotland 5,327,700 56,101 52,584 17,585-1,202 5,347,600 3.3 Between June 2013 and June 2014, it is estimated that 7,040 migrants moved to Aberdeen City from other areas of Scotland, while 8,174 moved in the opposite direction. This means that there was a net loss of 1,134 migrants from Aberdeen City to the rest of Scotland. Most of the migration gain in Aberdeen City was from overseas; in-migrants (4,200) exceeded out-migrants (2,236) by 1,964. These figures are shown in Tables 4c, 4d and 4e along with equivalent data for Aberdeenshire. Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 6

Aberdeenshire 7,226 2,053 1,065 10,344 Aberdeen City and Shire 14,266 5,014 5,265 24,545 Scotland - 49,242 33,200 82,442 Aberdeenshire 5,586 1,769 941 8,296 Aberdeen City and Shire 13,760 4,146 3,177 21,083 Scotland - 39,657 25,200 64,857 Table 4c Origin of In-Migrants, 2013-2014 Within Rest of Overseas Total Scotland UK Aberdeen City 7,040 2,961 4,200 14,201 Table 4d Destination of Out-Migrants, 2013-2014 Within Scotland Rest of UK Overseas Total Aberdeen City 8,174 2,377 2,236 12,787 Table 4e Net Migration, 2013-2014 Within Scotland Rest of UK Overseas Total Aberdeen City -1134 584 1,964 1,414 Aberdeenshire 1,640 284 124 2,048 Aberdeen City and Shire 506 868 2,088 3,462 Scotland - 9,585 8,000 17,585 NB: Detailed information on migration will be released by NRS later this year. The data for Aberdeen will be analysed and published in a Briefing Paper following the release. (b) Population change in last ten years, 2004-2014 3.4 Between 2004 and 2014, the Aberdeen City population rose by 10.2% - up from 207,820 to 228,990. There was an increase of 11.0% in Aberdeenshire, where the population rose from 234,690 to 260,500 over the same period. In the combined Aberdeen City and Shire area, the population grew by 46,980 (10.6%) see Table 5a. Table 5a Population Change, 2004-2014 2004 2014 Change Change 2004-14 % Aberdeen City 207,820 228,990 +21,170 10.2% Aberdeenshire 234,690 260,500 +25,810 11.0% Aberdeen City and Shire 442,510 489,490 +46,980 10.6% Scotland 5,084,300 5,347,600 +263,300 5.2% Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 7

3.5 Table 5b shows the component of population change in the last ten years. Between 2004 and 2014, the number of births in Aberdeen City exceeded deaths by 3,732. However, the population increase between these two dates was mainly due to a net migration. In Aberdeenshire, the number of births exceeded deaths by 5,086 in the last ten years. Similar to Aberdeen City, most of the population change was due to net migration. Table 5b Components of Population Change, 2004-2014 2004 Migration Births Deaths Total Other 2014 Total Aberdeen City 207,820 24,593 20,861 20,655-3,217 228,990 Aberdeenshire 234,690 27,082 21,996 20,054 670 260,500 Aberdeen City and Shire 442,510 51,675 42,857 40,709-2,547 489,490 Scotland 5,084,300 573,638 547,945 224,578 13,029 5,347,600 4. Historical Data, 1981-2014 4.1 The population of Aberdeen City was 212,490 in 1981, rising to 219,880 in 1995, before falling year-on-year until 2004, a total fall of 14,170. Examination of historical data from NRS suggests that contributing factors to this drop are likely to include higher deaths than births in the period as well as a negative net migration in the period. From 2005 onwards, there has been an increase in the city s population. The Aberdeenshire population has risen almost every year between 1981 and 2014. The only decreases were in 2000 and 2001, when the population fell by 220 and 80, respectively. 4.2 Figure 2 shows the population trends in Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire over the 1981 to 2014 period. Figure 2 Population trends, 1981-2014 Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 8

5. Neighbourhood Population Estimates (Aberdeen City only) 5.1 In addition to council area population estimates and projections, NRS produce small area population estimates. These are published at data zone level (using 2001 data zone levels); this is the small area geography that is used by the Scottish Government for statistical purposes. There are 267 data zones in Aberdeen, each with an average population of around 851. These were amalgamated to give best-fit approximations of Aberdeen s neighbourhoods. 5.2 NRS have not yet published their small area population estimates for 2014. Therefore, the data in this section relates to the 2013 estimates. Updated neighbourhood population estimates will be posted in the Stats and Facts section of the Aberdeen City Council website once the small area data is released later this year. 5.3 Neighbourhood population estimates vary greatly. The Braeside, Mannofield, Broomhill and Seafield neighbourhood has an estimated population of 13,099, while Heathryfold s population is 1,940. The largest proportional increase in the year to end-june 2013 was in Old Aberdeen, where the population rose by 7.2%. There were also increases in Tillydrone (3.5%), Stockethill (3.2%), City Centre (2.8%) and Cults, Bieldside & Miltimber (2.8%). The largest decrease was in Froghall, Powis & Sunnybank, where the estimated population fell by 9.6%, followed by George Street, with a decrease of 4.7% between 2012 and 2013. 5.4 Appendix 3 shows the neighbourhood population estimates for 2013 and the age structure of the population. 6. Population Projections 6.1 In addition to the population estimates, National Records of Scotland (NRS) also produces a set of council area population projections every two years. The most recent set was the 2012-based projections, which cover the period to 2037. These figures were issued on 14 May 2014. The next population projection update will be published by NRS in November 2015. 6.2 The 2012-based NRS projections show that the population of Aberdeen City will continue to grow, reaching 288,788 in 2037. In Aberdeenshire, the population is projected to grow throughout the projection period, reaching 299,813 in 2037 - see Figure 3. The population of the combined Aberdeen City and Shire area is projected to reach 588,601 in 2037. Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 9

Figure 3 Population projections, 2012-2037 6.3 The age structures of the Aberdeen City and Aberdeenshire populations are projected to change significantly in the period to 2037. The number of children (aged 0-15 years) is projected to increase significantly in Aberdeen City by 44.8%, compared to an increase of 13.7% in Aberdeenshire. The number of working age people (16-64 years) is projected to increase in Aberdeen City by 19.3%, from 158,901 in 2012 to 189,617 in 2037. The 65+ age group is projected to increase by 55.4% over the same period see Table 6a. Table 6a Projected Age Structure Change, 2012-2037, Aberdeen City Age Group 2012 2037 Change % Change 2012-37 0-15 32,903 47,640 14,737 +44.8% 16-64 158,901 189,617 30,716 +19.3% 65+ 33,166 51,531 18,365 +55.4% All Ages 224,970 288,788 63,818 +28.4% 6.4 Changes to the age structure in Aberdeenshire are expected to be different to those in Aberdeen City. The number of working age people in Aberdeenshire is projected to increase by 3.5%, from 164,861 in 2012 to 170,641 in 2037. It is projected that only the 50-64 age groups will experience a population loss. The main change is expected to be in the 65+ age group, which is projected to increase by 74.4% in the period to 2037 see Table 6b. Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 10

Table 6b Projected Age Structure Change, 2012-2037, Aberdeenshire Age Group 2012 2037 Change % Change 2012-37 0-15 47,756 54,332 6,567 +13.7% 16-64 164,861 170,641 5,780 +3.5% 65+ 42,923 74,840 31,917 +74.4% All Ages 255,540 299,813 44,273 +17.3% 6.5 A Briefing Paper on the 2012-based NRS population projections is available to download from the Stats and Facts page of the Aberdeen City Council website: www.aberdeencity.gov.uk/statsandfacts 7. Population Density 7.1 Information on land areas and population densities for mid-2014 are shown in Table 7. The population density for Aberdeen City was 1,233 people per square kilometre and for Aberdeenshire was 41 people per square kilometre. The average population density for the Scotland at mid-2014 was 69 people per square kilometre. Land areas used for calculating population densities are based on the latest Standard Area Measurements produced by the Office for National Statistics. Table 7 Land Area and Population Density, Mid 2014 Population Mid 2014 Area (sq km) Density (persons/sq km) Aberdeen City 228,990 186 1,233 Aberdeenshire 260,500 6,313 41 Dundee 148,260 60 2,478 Edinburgh 492,680 263 1,871 Glasgow 599,650 175 3,433 Scotland 5,347,600 77,907 69 Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 11

8. Conclusions 8.1 The population of the Aberdeen City and Shire area has increased significantly since 2001, with most of that increase occurring in Aberdeenshire. However, in Aberdeen City the population has risen in each of the ten years since 2004, when the estimated population was 205,710. 8.2 The total population of Aberdeen City is projected to increase over the next few years reaching 288,788 by 2037. During that time there will be significant changes in the age structure. The main population change will be in the age groups of 0-15 years and 65+ years; these age groups will grow by 44.8% and 55.4% respectively in the period to 2037. The 16-29, 30-49 and 50-64 age groups are also projected to rise. These changes in the city s age structure will affect the demand for children services, growing demand for housing for older people and demand for social care services. 8.3 The projected increase in the 65+ age group will be more pronounced in Aberdeenshire, with a growth of 74.4%. More modest increases are projected in the 0-15, 16-29 and 30-49 age groups; while the 50-64 age group is projected to contract. 8.4 By 2037, it is projected that there will be 126,371 people in the combined Aberdeen City and Shire area in the 65+ age group, representing a quarter of the total population. This change, in particular, will have important consequences for the services delivered by the two councils and its community planning partners. Note on Methodology The estimated population of an area includes all those usually resident there, whatever their nationality. Students are treated as being resident at their term-time address. Members of UK and non-uk armed forces stationed in Scotland are included. Short-term international migrants are excluded. Population estimates are based on the 2011 Census and updated annually by 'ageing on' the population and applying information on births, deaths and migration. Births and deaths are estimated using data from the civil registration system, which is considered to be virtually complete. Migration is more difficult to estimate because there is no comprehensive registration system in the UK. Migration is derived from the National Health Service Central Register (NHSCR) and Community Health Index (CHI) for migration within the UK, and from the International Passenger Survey (IPS) for international migration. Further Information Details of the 2014 mid-year population estimates are available on the NRS website: http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-bytheme/population/population-estimates/mid-year-population-estimates/mid-2014 Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 12

Appendix 1 Estimated population, 30 June 2014 Council Area Male Female Total % of Scotland Aberdeen City 113,474 115,516 228,990 4.3% Aberdeenshire 129,478 131,022 260,500 4.9% Angus 56,769 59,891 116,660 2.2% Argyll & Bute 43,421 44,239 87,660 1.6% Clackmannanshire 25,119 26,071 51,190 1.0% Dumfries & Galloway 72,814 77,126 149,940 2.8% Dundee City 71,362 76,898 148,260 2.8% East Ayrshire 59,163 62,987 122,150 2.3% East Dunbartonshire 51,693 55,037 106,730 2.0% East Lothian 48,839 53,211 102,050 1.9% East Renfrewshire 43,999 48,381 92,380 1.7% Edinburgh, City of 239,922 252,758 492,680 9.2% Eilean Siar 13,441 13,809 27,250 0.5% Falkirk 77,022 80,618 157,640 2.9% Fife 177,912 189,348 367,260 6.9% Glasgow City 290,048 309,602 599,650 11.2% Highland 114,068 119,032 233,100 4.4% Inverclyde 38,130 41,730 79,860 1.5% Midlothian 41,531 44,679 86,210 1.6% Moray 46,656 48,094 94,750 1.8% North Ayrshire 64,863 71,587 136,450 2.6% North Lanarkshire 163,403 174,547 337,950 6.3% Orkney Islands 10,734 10,856 21,590 0.4% Perth & Kinross 72,729 76,151 148,880 2.8% Renfrewshire 83,769 90,461 174,230 3.3% Scottish Borders 55,316 58,714 114,030 2.1% Shetland Islands 11,799 11,431 23,230 0.4% South Ayrshire 53,691 58,819 112,510 2.1% South Lanarkshire 151,790 163,570 315,360 5.9% Stirling 43,977 47,603 91,580 1.7% West Dunbartonshire 42,696 47,034 89,730 1.7% West Lothian 86,756 90,394 177,150 3.3% SCOTLAND 2,596,384 2,751,216 5,347,600 - Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 13

2014 Mid-Year Population Estimate - Aberdeen City Total Population 228,990 Appendix 2a Age Male Female Total Age Male Female Total Age Male Female Total 0 1,315 1,248 2,563 30 2,130 1,976 4,106 60 1,308 1,156 2,464 1 1,252 1,210 2,462 31 2,149 2,028 4,177 61 1,206 1,120 2,326 2 1,293 1,249 2,542 32 2,013 1,892 3,905 62 1,167 1,137 2,304 3 1,251 1,192 2,443 33 1,999 1,774 3,773 63 1,136 1,119 2,255 4 1,206 1,143 2,349 34 1,869 1,715 3,584 64 1,134 1,083 2,217 0-4 6,317 6,042 12,359 30-34 10,160 9,385 19,545 60-64 5,951 5,615 11,566 5 1,170 1,097 2,267 35 1,833 1,532 3,365 65 1,163 1,188 2,351 6 1,089 1,123 2,212 36 1,583 1,441 3,024 66 1,115 1,151 2,266 7 1,029 1,026 2,055 37 1,557 1,320 2,877 67 1,229 1,303 2,532 8 1,008 969 1,977 38 1,519 1,400 2,919 68 911 939 1,850 9 963 935 1,898 39 1,483 1,344 2,827 69 709 809 1,518 5-9 5,259 5,150 10,409 35-39 7,975 7,037 15,012 65-69 5,127 5,390 10,517 10 898 867 1,765 40 1,439 1,291 2,730 70 745 832 1,577 11 905 852 1,757 41 1,542 1,398 2,940 71 754 858 1,612 12 903 837 1,740 42 1,464 1,490 2,954 72 712 852 1,564 13 908 866 1,774 43 1,547 1,471 3,018 73 626 772 1,398 14 972 908 1,880 44 1,346 1,422 2,768 74 632 800 1,432 10-14 4,586 4,330 8,916 40-44 7,338 7,072 14,410 70-74 3,469 4,114 7,583 15 973 909 1,882 45 1,484 1,434 2,918 75 580 807 1,387 16 989 924 1,913 46 1,502 1,392 2,894 76 632 759 1,391 17 1,067 1,044 2,111 47 1,566 1,411 2,977 77 567 759 1,326 18 1,284 1,418 2,702 48 1,401 1,511 2,912 78 526 753 1,279 19 1,581 2,041 3,622 49 1,522 1,561 3,083 79 505 697 1,202 15-19 5,894 6,336 12,230 45-49 7,475 7,309 14,784 75-79 2,810 3,775 6,585 20 1,716 2,082 3,798 50 1,451 1,549 3,000 80 483 668 1,151 21 2,003 2,363 4,366 51 1,557 1,540 3,097 81 416 616 1,032 22 2,426 2,708 5,134 52 1,536 1,522 3,058 82 433 668 1,101 23 2,658 2,678 5,336 53 1,387 1,437 2,824 83 359 547 906 24 2,525 2,481 5,006 54 1,424 1,459 2,883 84 301 569 870 20-24 11,328 12,312 23,640 50-54 7,355 7,507 14,862 80-84 1,992 3,068 5,060 25 2,605 2,370 4,975 55 1,457 1,420 2,877 85 269 532 801 26 2,513 2,298 4,811 56 1,386 1,390 2,776 86 205 449 654 27 2,469 2,189 4,658 57 1,381 1,316 2,697 87 237 381 618 28 2,366 2,212 4,578 58 1,338 1,332 2,670 88 165 331 496 29 2,211 2,201 4,412 59 1,272 1,270 2,542 89 174 292 466 25-29 12,164 11,270 23,434 55-59 6,834 6,728 13,562 85-89 1,050 1,985 3,035 90+ 390 1,091 1,481 Age Group Summaries Male Female Total Source: Population Statistics Branch All Ages 113,474 115,516 228,990 National Records of Scotland (NRS) 0-4 6,317 6,042 12,359 Ladywell House 5-11 7,062 6,869 13,931 Ladywell Road 12-15 3,756 3,520 7,276 EDINBURGH EH12 7TF 16-24 16,249 17,739 33,988 25-44 37,637 34,764 72,401 Crown Copyright 45-64 27,615 27,159 54,774 Reproduced with the permission of the Controller 65-74 8,596 9,504 18,100 of HMSO and the Queen's Printer for Scotland 75 and over 6,242 9,919 16,161 Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 14

Appendix 2b 2014 Mid-Year Population Estimate - Aberdeenshire Total Population 260,500 Age Male Female Total Age Male Female Total Age Male Female Total 0 1,456 1,441 2,897 30 1,379 1,522 2,901 60 1,716 1,755 3,471 1 1,511 1,395 2,906 31 1,469 1,557 3,026 61 1,593 1,676 3,269 2 1,560 1,469 3,029 32 1,534 1,689 3,223 62 1,572 1,582 3,154 3 1,663 1,589 3,252 33 1,638 1,663 3,301 63 1,607 1,610 3,217 4 1,701 1,643 3,344 34 1,630 1,726 3,356 64 1,606 1,612 3,218 0-4 7,891 7,537 15,428 30-34 7,650 8,157 15,807 60-64 8,094 8,235 16,329 5 1,681 1,661 3,342 35 1,584 1,634 3,218 65 1,757 1,618 3,375 6 1,736 1,506 3,242 36 1,540 1,598 3,138 66 1,736 1,651 3,387 7 1,627 1,492 3,119 37 1,626 1,639 3,265 67 1,828 1,809 3,637 8 1,566 1,516 3,082 38 1,728 1,699 3,427 68 1,331 1,379 2,710 9 1,502 1,453 2,955 39 1,652 1,691 3,343 69 1,174 1,253 2,427 5-9 8,112 7,628 15,740 35-39 8,130 8,261 16,391 65-69 7,826 7,710 15,536 10 1,523 1,385 2,908 40 1,834 1,824 3,658 70 1,198 1,207 2,405 11 1,471 1,415 2,886 41 1,925 1,885 3,810 71 1,125 1,188 2,313 12 1,440 1,381 2,821 42 1,931 1,957 3,888 72 1,022 1,157 2,179 13 1,442 1,379 2,821 43 1,959 2,159 4,118 73 900 1,014 1,914 14 1,612 1,401 3,013 44 1,971 2,020 3,991 74 944 1,076 2,020 10-14 7,488 6,961 14,449 40-44 9,620 9,845 19,465 70-74 5,189 5,642 10,831 15 1,560 1,504 3,064 45 2,003 2,168 4,171 75 905 977 1,882 16 1,596 1,479 3,075 46 1,963 2,023 3,986 76 839 908 1,747 17 1,582 1,410 2,992 47 2,047 2,124 4,171 77 761 884 1,645 18 1,496 1,267 2,763 48 1,999 2,132 4,131 78 780 841 1,621 19 1,542 1,303 2,845 49 2,081 2,166 4,247 79 685 764 1,449 15-19 7,776 6,963 14,739 45-49 10,093 10,613 20,706 75-79 3,970 4,374 8,344 20 1,580 1,336 2,916 50 2,079 2,123 4,202 80 581 757 1,338 21 1,489 1,317 2,806 51 2,052 2,156 4,208 81 561 702 1,263 22 1,355 1,308 2,663 52 1,986 1,981 3,967 82 485 663 1,148 23 1,508 1,234 2,742 53 1,939 1,941 3,880 83 446 635 1,081 24 1,406 1,264 2,670 54 1,856 1,821 3,677 84 394 567 961 20-24 7,338 6,459 13,797 50-54 9,912 10,022 19,934 80-84 2,467 3,324 5,791 25 1,393 1,222 2,615 55 1,792 1,853 3,645 85 334 488 822 26 1,397 1,375 2,772 56 1,921 1,793 3,714 86 289 499 788 27 1,389 1,398 2,787 57 1,798 1,799 3,597 87 234 434 668 28 1,382 1,431 2,813 58 1,799 1,793 3,592 88 217 394 611 29 1,462 1,486 2,948 59 1,725 1,719 3,444 89 186 323 509 25-29 7,023 6,912 13,935 55-59 9,035 8,957 17,992 85-89 1,260 2,138 3,398 90+ 604 1,284 1,888 Age Group Summaries Male Female Total Source: Population Statistics Branch All Ages 129,478 131,022 260,500 National Records of Scotland (NRS) 0-4 7,891 7,537 15,428 Ladywell House 5-11 11,106 10,428 21,534 Ladywell Road 12-15 6,054 5,665 11,719 EDINBURGH EH12 7TF 16-24 13,554 11,918 25,472 25-44 32,423 33,175 65,598 Crown Copyright 45-64 37,134 37,827 74,961 Reproduced with the permission of the Controller 65-74 13,015 13,352 26,367 of HMSO and the Queen's Printer for Scotland 75 and over 8,301 11,120 19,421 Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 15

2014 Mid-Year Population Estimate - Aberdeen City and Shire Total Population 489,490 Appendix 2c Age Male Female Total Age Male Female Total Age Male Female Total 0 2,771 2,689 5,460 30 3,509 3,498 7,007 60 3,024 2,911 5,935 1 2,763 2,605 5,368 31 3,618 3,585 7,203 61 2,799 2,796 5,595 2 2,853 2,718 5,571 32 3,547 3,581 7,128 62 2,739 2,719 5,458 3 2,914 2,781 5,695 33 3,637 3,437 7,074 63 2,743 2,729 5,472 4 2,907 2,786 5,693 34 3,499 3,441 6,940 64 2,740 2,695 5,435 0-4 14,208 13,579 27,787 30-34 17,810 17,542 35,352 60-64 14,045 13,850 27,895 5 2,851 2,758 5,609 35 3,417 3,166 6,583 65 2,920 2,806 5,726 6 2,825 2,629 5,454 36 3,123 3,039 6,162 66 2,851 2,802 5,653 7 2,656 2,518 5,174 37 3,183 2,959 6,142 67 3,057 3,112 6,169 8 2,574 2,485 5,059 38 3,247 3,099 6,346 68 2,242 2,318 4,560 9 2,465 2,388 4,853 39 3,135 3,035 6,170 69 1,883 2,062 3,945 5-9 13,371 12,778 26,149 35-39 16,105 15,298 31,403 65-69 12,953 13,100 26,053 10 2,421 2,252 4,673 40 3,273 3,115 6,388 70 1,943 2,039 3,982 11 2,376 2,267 4,643 41 3,467 3,283 6,750 71 1,879 2,046 3,925 12 2,343 2,218 4,561 42 3,395 3,447 6,842 72 1,734 2,009 3,743 13 2,350 2,245 4,595 43 3,506 3,630 7,136 73 1,526 1,786 3,312 14 2,584 2,309 4,893 44 3,317 3,442 6,759 74 1,576 1,876 3,452 10-14 12,074 11,291 23,365 40-44 16,958 16,917 33,875 70-74 8,658 9,756 18,414 15 2,533 2,413 4,946 45 3,487 3,602 7,089 75 1,485 1,784 3,269 16 2,585 2,403 4,988 46 3,465 3,415 6,880 76 1,471 1,667 3,138 17 2,649 2,454 5,103 47 3,613 3,535 7,148 77 1,328 1,643 2,971 18 2,780 2,685 5,465 48 3,400 3,643 7,043 78 1,306 1,594 2,900 19 3,123 3,344 6,467 49 3,603 3,727 7,330 79 1,190 1,461 2,651 15-19 13,670 13,299 26,969 45-49 17,568 17,922 35,490 75-79 6,780 8,149 14,929 20 3,296 3,418 6,714 50 3,530 3,672 7,202 80 1,064 1,425 2,489 21 3,492 3,680 7,172 51 3,609 3,696 7,305 81 977 1,318 2,295 22 3,781 4,016 7,797 52 3,522 3,503 7,025 82 918 1,331 2,249 23 4,166 3,912 8,078 53 3,326 3,378 6,704 83 805 1,182 1,987 24 3,931 3,745 7,676 54 3,280 3,280 6,560 84 695 1,136 1,831 20-24 18,666 18,771 37,437 50-54 17,267 17,529 34,796 80-84 4,459 6,392 10,851 25 3,998 3,592 7,590 55 3,249 3,273 6,522 85 603 1,020 1623 26 3,910 3,673 7,583 56 3,307 3,183 6,490 86 494 948 1442 27 3,858 3,587 7,445 57 3,179 3,115 6,294 87 471 815 1286 28 3,748 3,643 7,391 58 3,137 3,125 6,262 88 382 725 1107 29 3,673 3,687 7,360 59 2,997 2,989 5,986 89 360 615 975 25-29 19,187 18,182 37,369 55-59 15,869 15,685 31,554 85-89 2,310 4,123 6,433 90+ 994 2,375 3,369 Age Group Summaries Male Female Total Source: Population Statistics Branch All Ages 242,952 246,538 489,490 National Records of Scotland (NRS) 0-4 14,208 13,579 27,787 Ladywell House 5-11 18,168 17,297 35,465 Ladywell Road 12-15 9,810 9,185 18,995 EDINBURGH EH12 7TF 16-24 29,803 29,657 59,460 25-44 70,060 67,939 137,999 Crown Copyright 45-64 64,749 64,986 129,735 Reproduced with the permission of the Controller 65-74 21,611 22,856 44,467 of HMSO and the Queen's Printer for Scotland 75 and over 14,543 21,039 35,582 Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 16

Appendix 3 Aberdeen Neighbourhoods - Population Estimates, 2013 Neighbourhood All Ages 0-4 5-15 16-24 25-44 45-64 65-74 75+ Ashgrove 2,634 135 158 446 1,066 550 152 127 Balgownie & Donmouth 6,054 266 516 666 1,421 1,819 817 549 Braeside, Mannofield, Broomhill & Seafield 13,099 688 1,146 1,183 3,892 3,383 1,248 1,558 Bucksburn 8,131 414 691 792 2,384 2,170 878 802 City Centre 6,229 251 198 1,503 2,991 895 220 171 Cove 7,204 409 784 793 2,113 2,246 573 286 Culter 5,044 262 609 511 1,266 1,479 511 406 Cults, Bieldside & Milltimber 10,523 500 1,618 1,163 2,118 3,164 969 992 Cummings Park 2,147 132 360 313 560 532 152 98 Danestone 4,423 186 356 475 1,290 1,326 387 401 Denmore 3,105 155 356 355 879 915 286 160 Dyce 6,123 319 613 594 1,447 1,718 881 550 Ferryhill 10,190 444 590 1,403 4,375 2,088 588 702 Froghall, Powis & Sunnybank 5,375 264 328 1,728 1,905 773 215 163 Garthdee 5,151 242 460 870 1,525 1,201 405 447 George Street 6,055 269 227 2,050 2,332 832 201 145 Hanover 7,338 284 179 2,417 2,982 975 225 277 Hazlehead 5,152 257 479 475 1,157 1,508 571 706 Heathryfold 1,940 124 241 233 521 548 185 87 Hilton 7,056 417 530 1,026 2,281 1,562 610 629 Kincorth, Leggart & Nigg 8,821 538 868 962 2,356 2,397 788 912 Kingswells 5,275 409 826 516 1,559 1,362 321 282 Mastrick 7,686 480 863 892 2,039 2,124 637 652 Middlefield 2,881 236 475 437 837 641 144 110 Midstocket 4,390 225 518 450 1,205 1,218 381 393 Northfield 5,761 419 793 718 1,552 1,548 440 291 Old Aberdeen 3,500 131 176 1,785 796 389 121 103 Oldmachar 9,229 468 932 1,065 2,449 2,987 836 492 Rosemount 7,713 308 431 1,454 3,341 1,485 366 328 Seaton 6,098 320 391 1,656 1,917 1,060 383 371 Sheddocksley 4,099 234 390 397 955 1,201 448 474 Stockethill 4,037 255 343 522 1,111 863 455 487 Summerhill 3,616 221 362 359 1,072 857 328 417 Tillydrone 4,972 441 487 981 1,609 992 281 180 Torry 10,582 714 1,101 1,380 3,664 2,502 668 553 West End 10,201 476 997 1,216 3,954 2,456 586 515 Woodside 5,297 407 476 800 1,858 1,118 316 322 Aberdeen City 227,129 12,300 20,869 34,586 70,777 54,885 17,573 16,140 Neighbourhood populations are based on datazone population estimates produced by the National Records of Scotland Briefing Paper 2015/02 Population Report Aberdeen City & Shire Page 17

Office of Chief Executive Room 26/27 First Floor Old Town House Broad Street Aberdeen AB10 1FY E-mail statistics@aberdeencity.gov.uk Visit the Council Website www.aberdeencity.gov.uk