8th January 2016. SEB Nordic Seminar 2016



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Transcription:

8th January 2016 SEB Nordic Seminar 2016

Disclaimer All statements in this presentation other than statements of historical fact are forward-looking statements, which are subject to a number of risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict and are based upon assumptions as to future events that may not prove accurate. Certain such forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forwardlooking terminology such as believe, may, will, should, would be, expect or anticipate or similar expressions, or the negative thereof, or other variations thereof, or comparable terminology, or by discussions of strategy, plans or intentions. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialise, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary materially from those described in this presentation as anticipated, believed or expected. Prosafe does not intend, and does not assume any obligation to update any industry information or forward-looking statements set forth in this presentation to reflect subsequent events or circumstances. 2

Agenda Introduction Status & outlook in brief Industry & company Summary Appendix 3

The leading high-end accommodation company globally Prosafe s strategy is to be the preferred supplier of semisubmersible accommodation vessels and to pursue profitable growth within the high end of the offshore accommodation industry Currently owns 12 vessels + three new builds in progress Three times as large as the second-largest player: 45-50% market share OOS; 2 POSH; 2 Axis Off.; 2 Cotemar; 3 2016E: Semi owners globally 2016E: Semi owners North Sea Singleasset owners; 3 Floatel Int.; 5 Prosafe; 15 Axis Offshore; 2 Singleasset owners; 2 Floatel Int.; 4 Prosafe; 8 4

Agenda Introduction Status & outlook in brief Industry & company Summary Appendix 5

Historically outperformed OSX and OSEBX 1600% 1400% PRS (dividend re-inv) OSEBX (dividend re-inv) OSX (dividend re-inv) 1200% 1000% 800% 600% 400% 200% 0% Apr-97 Apr-98 Apr-99 Apr-00 Apr-01 Apr-02 Apr-03 Apr-04 Apr-05 Apr-06 Apr-07 Apr-08 Apr-09 Apr-10 Apr-11 Apr-12 Apr-13 Apr-14 Apr-15-200% Annual eq. (Dec 15) Value creation target resolved by BoD: PRS 10,2 % Prosafe shall at least double shareholder value over a 5 year period, measured as the combined value OSEBX 7,9 % creation of increased earnings per share and capital returned to shareholders. OSX 4,1 % 6

Activity level forecasted to rebound in 2018 when cost levels have been reduced Source: Norwegian Ministry of Finance (October 2015) Index based on the industry total capex and the cost level going forward Lower cost Higher activity (given same capex) Peak cost level assumed in 2014 25% cost reduction assumed by 2019 2011 = 100 (activity level) Source: Norwegian Ministry of Finance / Prosafe 7

How is Prosafe placed to handle the down-turn? Vessels Clear market leader High quality vessels Fleet renewal and new builds Operations and organisation By far the largest operator in high-end offshore accommodation Unmatched operational track-record from accommodation operations worldwide Highly competent organisation Finance Lower cost of capital than competitors Commercial Robust order backlog 8

What is Prosafe doing to handle the down-turn? Vessels (capex) Long-term planning of fleet investments to ensure optimal capital allocation both short and long term Operations and organisation (opex) Substantial operating cost reduction as a consequence of activity level adjustments, natural currency hedges and cost efficiency measures Finance (finance cost) Maintaining a good relationship with all funding sources Commercial (revenue) Aiming for win-win agreements with clients 9

Cost efficiency measures Review of cost reduction potential has been ongoing and will continue in light of the industry downturn and market outlook The whole cost structure, both onshore and offshore, is under review Some measures already implemented, more to follow 10

Temporary suspension of dividend payments The company believes that this will be beneficial for the company, both from a commercial, financial and strategic perspective, and it will improve financial robustness and optionality The company reaffirms the long-term dividend policy as described in the Q3 2014 report 11

Raised NOK 590 million in private placement The private placement, which represents approximately 9.99% of the previous outstanding shares, was over-subscribed at the subscription price and supported by existing and new institutional investors Price was NOK 25 per share, representing a premium of 4.6% to the closing price 3 December 2015 The proceeds will be used to strengthen the company's balance sheet and liquidity position as well as for general corporate purposes The proceeds will further strengthen the company's ability to work proactively with all stakeholders, and allow the company to be in a better position to execute on preferred initiatives in the near term challenging market 12

Recent commercial developments Statoil Mariner: A win-win agreement Moved from start in 2016 to start in 2017 Total value up by USD 55 million and duration up by 5 months Mexico: Safe Hibernia extended until end Q1 2016 Safe Britannia contract ended year-end. Vessel remains in operational readiness mode in Mexico. Longer term prospects remain positive TSV completed and commissioned. Client acceptance testing in progress with contract commencement in the very near future. 13

Contract coverage 14

Contract backlog robust per Q315 Gross value of charter contracts 2 500 Status end Q3 15 Firm contracts USD 1084 + Options (1) USD 621 = Total USD 1705 2 000 Options Letter of Intent Firm contracts 1 500 1 000 15 USD million 500 0 Q3 15 Q2 15 Q1 15 Q4 14 Q3 14 Q2 14 Q1 14 Q4 13 Q3 13 Q2 13 Q1 13 Q4 12 Q3 12 Q2 12 Q1 12 Q4 11 Q3 11 Q2 11 Q1 11 Q4 10 Q3 10 Q2 10 Q1 10 Q4 09 Q3 09 Q2 09 Q1 09 Q4 08 Q3 08 Q2 08

Agenda Introduction Status & outlook in brief Industry & company Summary Appendix 16

Summary Challenging industry conditions However, Prosafe is generally well positioned Good order backlog through 2016 and into 2017 The clear market leader globally All new builds contracted Recent equity issue further strengthens the company's ability to work proactively with all stakeholders 17

Agenda Introduction Status & outlook in brief Industry & company Investment perspectives Appendix 18

Income statement (Unaudited figures in USD million) Q3 15 Q2 15 Q3 14 9M 15 9M 14 2014 Operating revenues 154.1 92.5 169.5 370.8 394.6 548.7 Operating expenses (56.5) (51.0) (59.9) (159.3) (175.9) (236.1) EBITDA 97.6 41.5 109.6 211.5 218.7 312.6 Depreciation (26.3) (18.7) (16.6) (62.0) (47.8) (64.3) Operating profit 71.3 22.8 93.0 149.5 170.9 248.3 Interest income 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 Interest expenses (8.2) (12.8) (10.0) (31.2) (27.1) (37.3) Other financial items (7.4) 5.7 (7.9) (17.6) (4.9) (20.0) Net financial items (15.6) (7.0) (17.7) (48.7) (31.7) (57.0) Profit before taxes 55.7 15.8 75.3 100.8 139.2 191.3 Taxes (2.5) (3.6) (7.9) (8.4) (11.4) (12.5) Net profit 53.2 12.2 67.4 92.4 127.8 178.8 EPS 0.23 0.05 0.29 0.39 0.55 0.76 Diluted EPS 0.23 0.05 0.29 0.39 0.55 0.76 19

Balance sheet (Unaudited figures in USD million) 30.09.15 30.06.15 30.09.14 31.12.14 Goodwill 226.7 226.7 226.7 226.7 Vessels 1 698.3 1 611.5 1 004.1 1 027.3 New builds 213.6 211.1 293.7 311.8 Other non-current assets 5.5 6.0 5.2 5.7 Total non-current assets 2 144.1 2 055.3 1 529.7 1 571.5 Cash and deposits 85.2 94.9 145.6 122.4 Other current assets 112.9 91.5 93.6 122.9 Total current assets 198.1 186.4 239.2 245.3 Total assets 2 342.2 2 241.7 1 768.9 1 816.8 Share capital 65.9 65.9 65.9 65.9 Other equity 711.2 694.7 660.7 682.6 Total equity 777.1 760.6 726.6 748.5 Interest-free long-term liabilities 81.9 59.4 45.2 55.9 Interest-bearing long-term debt 1 277.3 1 185.6 919.4 830.1 Total long-term liabilities 1 359.2 1 245.0 964.6 886.0 Other interest-free current liabilities 175.3 203.1 77.7 182.3 Current portion of long-term debt 30.6 33.0 0.0 0.0 Total current liabilities 205.9 236.1 77.7 182.3 Total equity and liabilities 2 342.2 2 241.7 1 768.9 1 816.8 20

Debt facilities Facility Commitment Maturity Margin NOK 500 million bond (2011-16) NOK 500 million (Bought back NOK 240 million) Q1 2016 350 bps NOK 500 million bond (2012-17) NOK 500 million Q1 2017 375 bps NOK 700 million bond (2013-18) NOK 700 million Q4 2018 295 bps NOK 700 million bond (2014-19) NOK 700 million Q3 2019 310 bps NOK 500 million bond (2013-20) NOK 500 million Q1 2020 375 bps USD 288 million credit facility (2014-21) USD 288 million Q1 2021 225 bps USD 1,300 million credit facility (2015-22) USD 1,300 million Q1 2022 190 bps 21

Debt profile 22

North Sea - dayrates 23

Mexico - dayrates 24

Rest of world, excl. NS - dayrates 25

Offshore accommodation «Back to normal» Accommodation vessel need Exploration Development Production Hook-up/ commissioning Decommissioning «Back to normal»: Majority of prospects currently being «traditional demand» like maintenance and modification work In general lead times are shorter for modification work compared to hook-up and commissioning projects 26