Foreign Exchange Risk & Business Investment

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Transcription:

Foreign Exchange Risk & Business Investment Presented by: Ian Chinapoo Managing Director Investment Banking & Trinidad & Tobago CIBC FirstCaribbean June 24 th, 2011

Goals of Corporate Finance 1) Generate Maximum Shareholder Value 2) Earn, at a minimum, the Opportunity Cost of Capital (a.k.a. the hurdle rate or minimum rate of return 3) Ensure proper Governance & appropriate Incentives 2

Foreign Exchange Risk: A Key Element Foreign Exchange Risk is a key element of business exposure that must be managed if a Firm is to achieve the Goals of Corporate Finance. Let s look at the three types of Foreign Exchange Risk.. 3

Three Types of Foreign Exchange Risk 4

Translation Exposure Translation exposure, also called accounting exposure, is the potential for accounting-derived changes in owner s equity to occur because of the need to translate foreign currency financial statements of foreign subsidiaries into a single reporting currency to prepare worldwide consolidated financial statements. This, however, is not the only type of Foreign Exchange Risk, there are two others which are arguably more critical to a business, namely.. 5

Transaction vs. Operating Exposure Transaction exposure measures changes in the value of outstanding financial obligations incurred prior to a change in exchange rates but not due to be settled until after the exchange rates change. Thus, this type of exposure deals with changes in cash flows that result from existing contractual obligations. Operating exposure, also called economic exposure, competitive exposure, or strategic exposure, measures the change in the present value of the firm resulting from any change in future operating cash flows of the firm caused by an unexpected change in exchange rates. 6

Transaction vs. Operating Exposure Transaction exposure and operating exposure exist because of unexpected changes in future cash flows. The difference between the two is that transaction exposure is concerned with future cash flows already contracted for, while operating exposure focuses on expected (not yet contracted for) future cash flows that might change because a change in exchange rates has altered international competitiveness. 7

Business Impacts Tax Consequences The tax consequence of foreign exchange exposure varies by country. As a general rule, however, only realized foreign exchange losses are deductible for purposes of calculating income taxes. Similarly, only realized gains create taxable income. Realized means that the loss or gain involves cash flows. 8

Business Impacts Financial Risk Management Businesses possess a multitude of cash flows that are sensitive to changes in exchange rates, interest rates, and commodity prices. These three financial price risks are the subject of the growing field of financial risk management. Many firms attempt to manage their currency exposures through hedging. 9

Business Impacts Financial Risk Management The value of a firm, according to financial theory, is the net present value of all expected future cash flows to be generated. The fact that these cash flows are expected emphasizes that nothing about the future is certain. Currency risk is defined roughly as the variance in expected cash flows arising from unexpected exchange rate changes. A firm that hedges these exposures reduces some of the variance in the value of its future expected cash flows. 10

Business Impacts So, why Hedge? 11

Questions & Answers For more information: Visit Corporate Investment Banking at www.cibcfcib.com. Ian Chinapoo Managing Director, Investment Banking & Trinidad Opco 1 868 822 5054 Sharaz Ahamad Director, Origination, Investment Banking 1 868 822 5071 Anthony Seeraj Head of Corporate Banking 1 868 822 5051 Duane Hinkson Director, Advisory Services 1 868 822 5080 12