Financial Overview & Strategy



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Transcription:

Financial Overview & Strategy

Conservative approach to financial management Risk Management Unhedged gold production Leverage Target Internal Net Debt : EBITDA threshold of 1 times Funding Strategy Combination of internal cash flow and debt Equity issuance a last resort Credit Rating Investment grade rating Baa3 Positive (Moody s); BBB- Stable (S&P) Dividend Policy Consistent t policy 50% of net earnings less growth capital average pay-out ratio: 42% of earnings over the past 5 years 168 170

Improving financial metrics September Quarter 2008 2011 Hedging ZERO ZERO Net Debt:EBITDA 1 0.67 times 0.42 times Free cash flow 2 US$(235)m US$346m NCE margin -4% 29% Investment Grade Rating None Baa3/BBB- Funding Sources Available USD and ZAR Bank Debt ZAR Bank, CP 3 and Bond USD Bank and Bond Maturities 1, 3 and 4 years 1, 3, 5 and 20 years 1. Net Debt to EBITDA ratio is calculated by dividing net debt as at the end of September by EBITDA for the September quarter (annualised) 2. Free cash flow is defined as cash flow from operating activities less capital expenditure additions 3. CP commercial paper programme in the SA market 169 171

Notional cash expenditure (NCE) explained Disciplined approach to managing the all-in cost for the Group, and for each operation NCE includes NCE margin breakdown (US$/oz) Operating costs Growth and sustaining capital expenditure Brownfields exploration NCE margin provides an indication of free cash flow available to pay taxes, repay debt, fund greenfields exploration and pay dividends 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 274 293 740 772 318 820 490 836 NCE margin NCE Gold price Manage NCE to increase free cash flow 400 200 260 229 243 278 NCE Target Q3 2011 Short-term 20% 29% Medium to Long-term 25% 0 76 80 97 78 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Brownfields exploration Project Capex Sustaining Capex Operating costs NCE Margin 170

Growing the NCE Margin Record NCE margin of 29% in Q3 2011 exceeds long-term target US$/oz 1800 1600 1400 Gold Price Total Cash Cost NCE 29 29% % 1200 21% 21 % 1000 800 600 400 Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep Dec Mar Jun Sep 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009 2009 2010 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 2011 Cost containment allowing the higher gold price to be delivered to the bottom line Data points are per quarter 171 173

Industry is faced with rising costs Peer group NCE & Cash Costs quarter ending September 2011 (US$/oz) US$/oz 1800 NCE Cash Costs 1600 1400 1200 1,094 1,173173 1,212 1,342 1,371 1,436 1,493 1,548 1,262 1,669 1000 800 600 737 578 851 733 800 651 706 879 400 200 0 Cash costs % of NCE Company 1 Company 2 Gold Fields Company 3 Peer average Company 4 Company 5 Company 6 Company 7 67% 49% 70% 55% 58% 45% 47% 82% 53% Source: Company reports, J.P. Morgan estimates. Note: Cash costs = Operating cots excluding royalties. NCE = Operating costs excluding royalties plus capex expressed per ounce of gold produced. Newmont does not report royalty costs separately. Royalty costs stated here are J.P. Morgan estimates and actuals could differ. Peer group includes AngloGold, Barrick, Newmont, Kinross, Goldcorp, Newcrest 1 and Harmony 172 174

Comparative cost trends Gold Fields regional cash cost trends (Q1 2005 = 100) 3.00 South Africa Ghana Australia Peru 2.50 2.00 150 1.50 1.00 0.50 - Q1 2005 Q2 2005 Q3 2005 Q4 2005 Q1 2006 Q2 2006 Q3 2006 Q4 2006 Q1 2007 Q2 2007 Q3 2007 Q4 2007 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 173 175

Business Process Re-engineering (BPR) Objective: Mitigate mining inflation Target sustainable gold production with at least 20% NCE margin in the short- to medium-term and 25% in the long-term South Africa Total savings: July 2010 to Sept 2011: R353 million (annualised annuity effect: R838m) Labour reduction Electricity consumption savings West Africa Total savings Jan 2011 to Sept 2011: US$32 million Conversion to owner mining and maintenance Improved equipment availability and utilisation Australia Total savings July 2011 to Sept 2011: A$2 million Conversion to owner mining Trucking efficiencies (availabilities and utilisation) 174 176

Balance sheet positioned for growth Conservative debt strategy - low gearing Net debt (US$m) & Net debt:ebitda ratio (times) 1 600 Net Debt (LHS) Net Debt:EBITDA (RHS) 1.60 1 400 1.40 1 200 1.20 1 000 1.00 800 0.80 600 0.60 400 0.40 200 0.20-2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Sept 2011 * 0.00 Note: * Net Debt to EBITDA ratio for the September 2011 quarter is calculated by dividing net debt as at 30 September 2011 by EBITDA for September 2011 quarter annualised. EBITDA for each of the other calendar years is calculated on a rolling 12 month basis. 175 177

Strong liquidity position and conservative maturity management Debt Maturity Profile 30 Sep 2011 (US$m) 1 Available committed Facilities as at 30 Sept 2011 1 200 US$790 million undrawn USD facilities 1 000 ZAR3 billion undrawn ZAR facilities 800 Extended maturity profile In October 2010, issued 10 year US$1bn 4.875% note New US$1bn 5-year RCF (June 2016 maturity) 600 400 200 - C2011 C2012 C2013 C2014 C2015 C2016 C2020 1. Utilised committed facilities 176 178

~42% Average dividend pay-out ratio 1 Dividend Policy: 50% of earnings less growth capital expenditure EPS DPS Pay-out % 2011 2 329 100 30% 2010 161 140 87% 2009 492 130 26% 2008 400 215 54% 2007 504 95 19% 2006 525 200 38% Average 42% 1. Dividend payout ratio expressed as a percentage of earnings (for calendar years) 2. Interim dividend for C2011 177 179

Returning cash to shareholders One of the highest dividend yields in the sector 12 month net dividend yield (%) Gold Fields 1.33% Newmont 1.23% Barrick 1.03% Newcrest 0.86% Kinross 0.84% Goldcorp 0.81% AngloGold Ashanti 0.71% Harmony Gold 0.56% Source: Bloomberg as at 28 Nov 2011 178 180

Conservative balance sheet and debt strategy Balance sheet positioned for growth Low Gearing Net Debt:EBITDA of 0.42 times 1 Strong liquidity position Robust cash flow generation Annualised free cash flow from operations 2 of R10 billion (US$1.4 billion) Conservative maturity management Investment grade credit rating: Baa3 Positive (Moody s); BBB- Stable (S&P) Committed to returning cash to shareholders h 1. Net Debt to EBITDA ratio for the September 2011 quarter is calculated by dividing net debt as at 30 September 2011 by EBITDA for September 2011 quarter annualised 2. Free cash flow is defined as cash flow from operating activities less capital expenditure additions 179 181