Trading Policy and Georgian Export



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Trading Policy and Georgian Export Gelashvili Madona Associate Professor, Faculty of Business and Economics, Sokhumi State University, Tbilisi, Georgia Abstract Introduction and aim: Georgian foreign trade relations are characterized by a number of problems and features but it is also clear that at present it is extremely important for Georgia to deepen trade and economic relations with developed countries than with the countries of the same level of development. This is mainly due to the country s growing technological dependence on developed countries. It is greatly significant for developing and transitive countries to attract foreign investments that is one of the basis of economic development, growing export and their integration in world economy and trade; stimulating Georgian export and reducing foreign trade balance shall be highlighted. Therefore, the main goal of the research work is evaluation of foreign trade relation trends and based on it discussion and analysis of the country s foreign trade turnover, export-import, largest trade partner countries and largest import and export products. The subject of research is state trade policy of Georgia as the independent country focused on export, ways and methods of its implementation. Research methodology: To evaluate the directions of the foreign trade relations of Georgia, the work offers discussion of the foreign trade turnover, export & import, largest trade partner countries, largest groups of import and export goods and other indicators. Georgian government supports the idea of export-oriented policies. Reduction of import tariffs and liberal local policies of recent s are best suitable for such approach. Export-oriented policies imply entry to the foreign markets and improvement of situation, with respect of production and costs in domestic export sector. Both of these aspects are subject of trade agreements, determining the conditions for opening markets for one another by the trade partners. And such negotiations deal not only with the tariff and non-tariff barriers but legislation regulating and forming the markets in general, as well. Results and implications: It is doubtless that the share of developed countries in Georgia export shall be increased that will grow the competitiveness of export production. Growing trade cooperation with developed countries is not only the incentive for their local production development but also the basis for attracting investments; the scale of Georgian trade and economic cooperation shall be significantly increased with the EU countries; and the main thing is to make the perspective of Georgian transit potential usage reality that will importantly grow Georgia s trade-economic cooperation with the International Community and on the background of globalization it will facilitate Georgia to be on a decent place in the world trade. For Georgian government export is a source of future economic growth. Considering Georgia s small export base it can be assumed that successful reforms will support creation of newer export products than expansion of the existing ones. This assumption is especially true when the existing export basket does not include almost any of the processing products. Conclusion: So far, several sectors of Georgian industry are beyond international distribution of labor. Export potential is still unused. Substantial increase of actual economic growth presumably coincided with significant structural changes of Georgia s export basket. That s why, the aim of export support policy shall be not increasing the volume of the same product but discovering and using those new export products the competitive production of which is possible through implementation of lower trade barriers and local policy supporting market development. Keywords: international trading, export, import, trade turnover, world trading organization, world market, business partner. The retrospection of developing trading relationships From nineties the strengthening of the international wave was caused by the policy pursued by most of the countries, which was directed to the formation of open economics. The strengthening of the internalization process was reflected on the deepening of the tendencies of trans-nationalization, integration and globalization, which forms a supporting environment for developing international business. For the activation of international business and fully integrating with the world market, it is of outmost importance to learn the concepts and world experience about international trading, direct foreign

investments and economic development, based on which, pursuing the right governmental policy of the internationalization of business will become possible in the future. At least for the last three hundred s, the scientists are researching the problem in the international trading, of why the countries (nations) trade with each other. The answer to the presented question is active in this day too, not only of scientifically learning the topic, but of the practical realization of international trading arrangement, the direction of trading, and definition of the structure and the size. World-wide systematic researches in forgein trading field was started in the Mercantelism era. From this era on to this day, the divergences about the regulation of macroeconomics, between political figures and scientists, has formed two different directions of regulation in the world economic thinking- liberalism and protectionism, which presents an active research subject on every level of the development of humankind, because of its difficulty and importance. Every country which is in the field of foreign trading, including Georgia, more or less uses this two political directions. After achieving independence, Georgia has established diplomatic and trading relationships with a lot of countries. From the early s, in the economics of our country, an unwelcomed tendency was established, which was reflected in the negative balance of the accounts of current operations. But with the help of international organizations, most importantly, the international exchange fund and the World Bank he by comparison managed the stabilization of economic situation and liberalization of foreign trade. Already in the 1992, the deficit of the then current operations accounts consisted of 247.2 million U.S. Dollars, and from that point on, it is described by a growing tendency. In case of using its geographical location and rationally using its natural resources, Georgia can take a worthy role in the world trading and increase the trading-economic relationships with the world commonwealth. Today Georgia is the field of great interest between the world s greatest countries. Independent Georgia has been given a capability of being a connecting bridge of the east and west, north and south. Policy oriented on export must consider getting into the foreign markets and improving the cost conditions and the production in the local export sector. Both of this aspects are a topic of agreement negotiation about trading, which defines with what conditions the countries will open their markets to each other. During trading negotiations every partner tries to get discounts from the other partner, in the fields in which they have a relative advantage. Georgia has export potential in the labor-intensive manufacturing more so, than in simple product production, which does not give away some kind of special advantage compared with mass production. Georgia is mainly interested in opening a euro union market for agricultural products and labor-intensive products. On second thought, high industrial economics, like Euro Union, mainly perform export of big scaled economic-having differentiated and technologically modern products. Because of this, the interest of this countries is to enter the markets with this products and services associated with them. Also, the Euro union focuses on the entrance of those kind of difficult markets, which are like financial markets, and on those aspects connected to economy, which are like defending intellectual properties. The object of special interests of each of the partners, is presented by different markets. For better rating the foreign trading relationship s tendencies we must discuss the county s trading rotation, export-import, biggest trading partner countries, biggest import and export commodity groups and other indicators in more details. In 2000 the country was accepted in to the world trading organization (WTO), after which an important step was taken in the country, from the viewpoint of developing trading policy, which is expressed in the following: Low import tariffs was made, and often times it was fully abolished; From 16 tariffs only 3 was left (0%, 5%, 1); VAT and Excise is balanced and equal on the local import commodity; The amount of import and export licenses was decreased. The country achieved favorable trade regimes, which made it more attractive on the world markets. First of all it was reflected in, that a unified tariff system was developed with the countries in world trading organization, the tariff system which is lower compared to the most countries of the world; and secondly, a preferential trade regime was established with U.S.A., Canada, Switzerland and Japan. In the of 2000, in the world s 87 countries, there was $323.9 million dollar value export from Georgia. The cost of imported products from 92 countries, consisted of $709.5 million dollars. In the 2001 the value of exports in 81 countries was $317.2 million, and the import value of products from 104 countries consisted of $752 million. In the 2002, the value of exports in 86 countries was $345.7 million, and the import value of products from 111 countries consisted of $794.7 million.

In the 2003, the value of exports in 83 countries was $461.3 million, and the import value of products from 112 countries consisted of $1,139 million. In the 2004, the value of exports was greatly increased and it was $646.9 million in 80 countries, and the value of imported products from 117 countries consisted of $1,844.3 million. In 2005 Georgia enacted a new Tax Code, which greatly reduced tax rates. The tax system had important institutional changes. The amount of taxes was reduced, 5 states (countries): income, excise, VAT, customs, profit and 2 locals. Local taxes are determined by local authorities. According to the data of 2005, Georgian export achieved $865.5 million. Export of products was in 94 countries, and from 120 countries there was $2,487.5 million worth of import products from 120 countries. In 2006, from 100 countries the value of exported products in Georgia was %993.2 million. The imported products value from 121 countries was $3,680.8 million. In 2007 the negative trading balance with 100 partner countries because of the trading deficit consisted of 4122,3 million dollars, instead of 104 countries and 2850,8 million US dollars, which was fixated in the 2006. In 2007 the country had a positive trading balance with 23 countries (145,8 million US dollars), instead of 28 countries and 109,2 million US dollars, which was fixated in the previous. The export amounted 1,232.1 million and the value of imported products amounted $5,212.2 million. In 2008, 20% social tax, which was paid by business an income tax by 1, was unified in 25% income tax; since the first January of 2008 the corporate profit tax was decreased from 20 to 15%, the dividends were exempted from tax; the 28% VAT is a must for those entrepreneurs, whose ly rotation exceeds 100 thousand gel; The international export shipping, tourism and other services are subject to zero VAT. As a result of a tax reform in 2010, business became a subject to differentiated taxation. Its types were allocated: Micro, small and medium. If the entrepreneurs usual ly turnover is less than 30 thousand gel, they are not a subject to taxation. In order to not limit the development of business in the country, the licensing and permitting requirements were simplified, the licenses were reduced by 98%, 756 of the licenses were abolished, and new regimes for licensing were founded. General tendencies formed in Georgia s foreign trading in 2007-2014 s is described by the given table below, from which it is plainly visible, that like in previous s, Georgia s foreign trading turnover is rising, but the trading deficit is rising with a higher tempo and accordingly the coefficient of import getting covered by export is not rising. The geography of trading and the amount of trading countries is rising, but the amount of countries with which Georgia has positive trading balance is not rising. And even though it is the truth that compared to the previous period, export figure (indicator) as a whole is rising, the export commodity structure is not changing. Generalized figures of Georgia s foreign trading 2007-2014 s. Table #1. Million U.S.A. Dollars 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 export(fob) import(cif) turnover balance 1232 5212 6444-3980 1 495 6 302 7 797-4 806 1 134 4 500 5 634-3 367 1 677 5 257 6 935-3 580 2 189 7 058 9 247-4 869 2 377 7 842 10 220-5 465 2 909 7 874 10 784-4965 2861 8596 11457-5735

Georgia s foreign trading by country groups 2008-2012 s. 2009 2010 s s Million U.S.A. Dollars 2008 s Export, total including: Euro Union countries (27) - Black Sea Economic Cooperation Organization countries - Guam countries - CIS countries - WTO countries - Economic cooperation and development countries - Import, total Including: Euro Union countries (27) - Black Sea Economic Cooperation Organization countries - Guam countries - CIS countries - WTO countries - Economic cooperation and development countries - 1 4951 335 884 339 541 920 752 6 302 1 756 2 981 1 269 1 998 3 886 3 069 1 134 238 697 251 416 667 521 4 500 1 336 2 288 835 1 298 2 926 2 303 1 677 310 898 374 677 931 741 5 257 1 467 2 620 1 050 1 588 3 226 2 516 2011 s 2 189 424 1 185 578 1 053 1 051 814 7 058 2 053 3 553 1 323 1 942 4 432 3 388 Table #2. 2012 s 2 377 353 1 331 805 1 246 1 034 790 7 842 2 427 3 761 1 241 1 997 5 089 3 930 In 2014 the foreign trade turnover with EU countries was 2990 million U.S.A. dollars (in 2013 2879 million USA dollars), which is 4 percent more than the corresponding figures of the previous (there was also a rise in 2013, which was 3 percent more than the previous ). From this numbers, export amounted 621 million USA dollars (2 percent more), and import amounted 2369 million dollars (4 percent more). Georgia's foreign trade turnover with these countries accounted for 26 percent, including 22 percent in export and 28 percent in import (correspondingly in the 2013 26, 21 and 28 percent). 30 percent of the trading deficit in 2014 (32 percent in 2013) was on the countries of EU. The foreign trading turnover with CIS countries in the 2014 amounted 3593 million usa dollars (5 percent less than in 2013). From this numbers, export amounted 1465 million USA dollars (10 percent less), and import amounted 2127 million USA dollars (2 percent less). CIS countries share in Georgia s foreign trading turnover was 31 percent, including 51 percent in export and 25 percent in import (correspondingly in the 2013 35, 56 and 27 percent). 12 percent of the trading deficit in 2014 (11 percent in 2013) was on CIS countries. In 2013, the ten largest trade partners share in Georgia's total foreign trade turnover amounted 66 per cent. Largest foreign trading partners are: Turkey (1529 million USA dollars), Azerbaijan (1348 million USA dollars) and Ukraine (795 million USA dollars). It is of outmost importance for Georgia to improve trading economic relationships with EU. The EU market is one of the largest markets in the world and it makes up 20% of world trades. Georgia s export in EU is described by a steadily rising tendency, but compared to the size of import it is unessential, which is characterized as a plainly visible negative balance. In the terms of world economic globalization and integration, it is vital for Georgia to increase the scale of trade-economic relationship with EU. Even more so when Georgia s strategic and trade-economic interests includes striving for EU membership. It is also important, in the terms of liberal trading policy to open up the markets with EU on bilateral level. The said statement said both positive and negative sides to it, but in perspective, in the long run Georgia will surely win. Opening up bilateral economic borders supports diversification of export market and reduces the independence of the country in separate markets. Taking into thought the unimportant part of Georgia s export in the big market of EU, importing Georgian products will not become a threat for the inner market of the EU. Georgia s inclusion in the European trade-economic field will support the increase the competitiveness in the world market for agriculture and industry sectors, it

will also support social-economic development of Georgia, creation of new jobs, strengthening of middle class, establishment of European norms in economic and legal fields, regulation of topics connected to non-tariff barriers and other standards. All of this will support the increase of social-economic indicators in the country, which in its own right will increase the trading relationship with developed countries. Commodity structure of Georgia s foreign trading Analysis of Georgia s main commodity structure of foreign trading shows us, that the commodity structure for exporting is dependent on the commodity structure of importing. When import is almost 450% more than export, import is not oriented on investment goods, and export of raw material has direction, the share of the finished product in it is small. Largest commodity positions in Georgia s export Table #3. Name 2010 Export, total Including: Motor cars Ferroalloys Mineral or chemical, nitrogenous fertilizers Gold, raw or semi-raw Other nuts, fresh or dried Ethyl alcohol Non-denatured, Alcoholic strength Less than 80% vol. alcoholic drinks. Grape natural wines Mineral and Fresh waters Ores and copper concentrates Other commodities 1 677 472 227 360 1 263 966 16% 84 155 5% 117 647 7% 75 134 55 705 41 138 36 917 74 504 693 704 41% 2011 2 189 136 450 297 21% 254 911 1 144 091 7% 109 890 5% 130 086 6% 67 852 54 103 47 607 85 135 838 995 38% 2012 2 377 455 587 296 25% 260 478 11% 137 221 6% 87 977 83 659 80 027 64 871 59 341 53 535 910 987 38% 2013 2 908 499 703 862 24, 299 898 7,9% 130576 4,5% 166 713 5,7% 99 866 3, 127 851 4, 106 884 3,7% 161 632 5,6% 1 066 611 36,7% 2014 2 861 191 517 787 18,1% 285 752 24,2 10% 137 622 4,8% 183 399 6, 95 190 3, 180 722 6, 137 124 4,8% 248 090 8,7% 919 705 36,5%

This from the commodity group the first place in top 10 exports still went to motor vehicles, which amounted to 704 million USA dollars, 2 of the whole export. This tendency is intact in the of 2014, but the amount was drastically decreased making only 518 million gel, which is 18 percent of the whole export. Ferroalloys export amounted 230 million USA dollars, and its share in the whole export was 8 percent. Third place went to hazelnuts and groups of other kinds of nuts. The export of this group s goods amounted 167 million USA dollar and its share in the whole export was 6 percent. This tendency is intact with the data of 2014 too. In 2014, the ten largest trade partners share in Georgia's total foreign trade turnover amounted 68 percent. The largest trading partners are: Turkey (1966 million USA dollars), Azerbaijan (1182 million USA dollars) and Russia (853 million USA dollars). In order to increase the export of the country, financial support is necessary. In particular, a system for export production and export operation insurance and lending must be formed. For the establishment of western markets, the quality of products originated from Georgia, export potential and rising competitiveness must be considered as a prioritized way. It is also a must to make events, which will be focused on implementing modern technologies and machine-devices in local production. Compared to the import, the export of Georgia is unfavorable. However in the import structure technology and machine-devices are presented as a negligible share. It should be noted, that in Georgia the goods structure of import must be focused on developing the countries production power more, which is also a basis for improving the export base. For this the development of local production must be the first priority and a special attention must be paid to those fields, which can bring serious export income to our country. Many products are imported in Georgia, which could also be produced here and with an equal or better quality. Similar tendencies are also preserved in 2015. According to the data of the first quarter the trading turnover amounted 2 279 million USA dollars, the amount of import is 1776 million USA dollars, export 503 million USA dollars, correspondingly the trading turnover is still deficient and the balance amounts to 1273 million USA dollars. According to the first quarter, the analysis of the main goods structure of foreign trading, shows us that, the export of the country still mainly comes on motor cars, ferroalloys and copper and ore concentrates, but the import of oil and oil products, automobiles and treatments expenditures. The representation of the main trading partners is also still preserved. It should be noted, that both the export and import sizes were increased in Russia, in 2014y. the ten largest trade partners share in Georgia's total foreign trade turnover amounted 68 percent. The largest trading partners are: Turkey (1966 million USA dollars), Azerbaijan (1182 million USA dollars) and Russia (853 million USA dollars). In the total turnover of Georgia, share of this 3 trading partner countries correspondingly amounts to 17, 2; 10, 3 and 7, 4 percent. Conclusion Georgian foreign trade relations are characterized by a number of problems and features but it is also clear that at present it is extremely important for Georgia to deepen trade and economic relations with developed countries than with the countries of the same level of development. This is mainly due to the country s growing technological dependence on developed countries. It is greatly significant for developing and transitive countries to attract foreign investments that is one of the basis of economic development, growing export and their integration in world economy and trade; stimulating Georgian export and reducing foreign trade balance shall be highlighted. It is doubtless that the share of developed countries in Georgia export shall be increased that will grow the competitiveness of export production. Growing trade cooperation with developed countries is not only the incentive for their local production development but also the basis for attracting investments; the scale of Georgian trade and economic cooperation shall be significantly increased with the EU countries; and the main thing is to make the perspective of Georgian transit potential usage reality that will importantly grow Georgia s trade-economic cooperation with the International Community and on the background of globalization it will facilitate Georgia to be on a decent place in the world trade. For Georgian government export is a source of future economic growth. Considering Georgia s small export base it can be assumed that successful reforms will support creation of newer export products than expansion of the existing ones. This assumption is especially true when the existing export basket does not include almost any of the processing products. So far, several sectors of Georgian industry are beyond international distribution of labor. Export potential is still unused. Substantial increase of actual economic growth presumably coincided with significant structural changes of Georgia s export basket. That s why, the aim of export support policy shall be not increasing the volume of the same product but discovering and using those new export products the

competitive production of which is possible through implementation of lower trade barriers and local policy supporting market development. Literature: 1. Aslamazishvili N., foreign trading, tb., 2003 2. Gelashvili M., Macroeconomics, tb., 2009 3. Shengelia T., Global business, new Georgia, tb., 2010 4. Michael P. Todaro, Stephen C. Smith, Economic Development, 2008 5. http://embassy.mfa.gov.ge/index.php?lang_id=eng&sec_id=19 6. http://www.economy.ge/?category=23&lang=geo 7. http://www.government.gov.ge/index.php?lang_id=geo&sec_id=132&info_id=95 8. http://www.geostat.ge/?action=page&p_id=136&lang=geo 9. www.eprs.ge The overview of Georgian economy of 2012 10. www.econpolicyfact.ge Macroeconomic issues 11. www.24saati.ge Export-import potential of Georgia