FINANCIAL RESULTS Q1 2016

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Transcription:

FINANCIAL RESULTS Q1 2016 CFO Hallvard Granheim 28 th April 2016

Highlights Q1 Increase in underlying results (EBITDA) - Nordic prices are down 15% Q-on-Q - High production from Nordic hydropower assets and improved contribution from international assets - Underlying EBITDA of NOK 4250 million Net profit at NOK 2389 million Investment decision on 1000 MW onshore wind in Central Norway 2

Health, safety and environment Total Recordable Injuries rate 1 TRI-rate 10 8 6 Target 4 2 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2014 2015 2016 Health and safety - Quarterly injuries rate reaching target. - Continuously top priority to improve safety performance - Sick leave 3.3% Environment - No serious environmental incidents 3 1 TRI rate: Number of injuries per million hours worked (per quarter)

New segment structure from 2016 European flexible generation Market operations International hydropower Wind power District heating Industrial ownership Other activities No adjustments No adjustments No adjustments No adjustments No adjustments New revenue specification Share of profit/loss in equity accounted investments included in operating profit and EBITDA

Key figures NOK million Q1 2016 Q1 2015 FY 2015 Gross revenues 1 14 326 14 209 51 262 EBITDA 1 4 250 3 961 10 853 Net profit/loss 2 389 3 683-2 370 Overall production up 24% Q-on-Q Nordic prices down 15% measured in EUR Q-on-Q Currency effects influence net profit positively in both quarters - The effects were higher in 2015 than in 2016 5 1 Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items

Gross operating revenues NOK million 14 209 14 326 51 262 Underlying gross operating revenues 1 in Q1 influenced by: - High Nordic power production offsetting lower power prices - Higher contribution from International hydropower Q1 2015 Q1 2016 FY 2015 Q1 16/Q1 15 + 1% 6 1 Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items

Net operating revenues NOK million Sales revenues less energy purchase Net operating revenues Q1 2015 Generation Sales and trading +88 Share of profit/loss in equity accounted investments Customers -480 Other operating revenues Transmission costs Net operating revenues Q1 2016 5 952 Others +70-38 -55 +77 6 487 +873 Net operating revenues 1 up by NOK 535 million (+ 9%) Major effects: - Net generation up NOK 873 million due to higher production from Nordic hydro assets and new capacity in International hydropower - Net Sales and trading up due to higher profitability in trading portfolios - Net Customers down following negative development in the origination portfolios 7 1 Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items

Record high production Monthly power generation TWh 6 4 2 0 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Q1 production up 24% Q-on-Q Technology TWh Change in TWh Hydropower 18.6 +3.7 Wind power 0.6 - Gas power 0.2 - Bio power 0.1 - Total 19.4 +3.7 2015 2016 8

Price development in Q1 Electricity, average monthly price EUR/MWh 60 40 20 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 EEX, base forward Nord Pool, system price EEX, base Nord Pool, system forward Q1 Nordic power prices lower than in 2015 due to strengthened hydrological balance - System price: 23.9 EUR/MWh - 15% German power prices down compared with Q1 2015 following lower fuel prices - Spot price (base): 25.1 EUR/MWh - 22% Nordic forward prices increased in the short end and decreased further out Forwards down in Germany 9

Nordic reservoir levels Nordic reservoir water levels 100 2015 80 60 2016 % 40 20 0 1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 Week Median 1 At start of year Nordic reservoirs were 118% of median Inflow above normal in the Nordic region At the end of March reservoirs were 47.6 TWh corresponding to 115% of median Reservoirs filled to 39.2% of maximum capacity of 121.4 TWh 10 1 Median 1990-2012

NOK 4.3 billion in underlying EBITDA NOK million 3 961 4 250 10 853 Q1 2015 Q1 2016 FY 2015 Underlying EBITDA 1 was up by NOK 289 million Q-on-Q Major effect from high Nordic power production counterbalancing lower prices Improved contributions from International Hydropower - Particularly due to new consolidated capacity Q1 16/Q1 15 + 7% 1 Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items 11

Q1 currency effects of NOK +1 316 million Breakdown Net financial items Q1 2016 NOK million 966-135 -140 1 176 485 Debt in foreign currency Currency hedging and short-term positions Currency effects subsidiaries and associates Other financial items Net financial items Q1 2016 There are negative translation effects in equity 12

Net profit influenced by currency effects NOK million Q1 2016 Q1 2015 FY 2015 Net profit/loss 2 389 3 683-2 370 Solid contributions from operating activities - Mainly through high power production Currency effects influence net profit positively - The effects were higher in 2015 than in 2016 13

Q1 net profit breakdown Underlying 1 EBITDA Q1 2015 Q1 2016 Underlying 1 EBITDA Q1 2016 Net Profit Q1 2016 NOK million 3 961 535 245 4 251 1 176 593 0 894 2 390 1 550 Q1 2015 Adj. EBITDA Net operating revenues Operating expenses ex. dep. Q1 2016 Adj. EBITDA Unrealised changes in energy contracts Depreciation Impairments/ non-recurring items Net financial items Tax Q1 2016 Net profit Underlying EBITDA +7% vs. Q1/15 Booked net profit affected by positive currency effects amounting to NOK +1 316 million. 1 Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items 14

Q1 EBITDA segment breakdown NOK million 2 920 Associates Consolidated 1 914 282 411 49 632-27 362 58 9 49 115-141 European flexible generation Market operations International hydropower Wind power District heating Industrial ownership Other activities/ Group items 1 Adjusted for unrealised changes in value on energy contracts and significant non-recurring items 15

Q1 2016 capital expenditure 1 Internat. Hydropower 20% Wind Power 48% NOK 1.7 billion European Flexible Generation 22% Ind. Ownership 8% Other 2 2% Distribution of CAPEX in the quarter: - 75% expansion investments - 2% investments in shareholdings - 23% maintenance investments New hydropower capacity under construction in Norway and Albania Wind power developments in UK and completion of projects in Sweden Maintenance primarily within hydropower in the Nordic region 16 1 Exclusive loans to associates 2 Including District heating and Other activities

Cash flow Cash flow NOK million 16 000 12 000 9 056 +535 +2 860-153 10 743 8 000-1 556 4 000 0 Cash reserves 01.01 From operations Investment activities Changes in debt Share issue to minorities, currency effects Cash reserves 31.03 17

Long-term debt Debt repayment profile NOK million 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 >2026 NOK 36.1 billion in net interestbearing debt (NOK 35.0 billion at year end 2015) - NOK 38%, EUR 44%, GBP 13%, USD 3%, BRL 2% - 63% floating interest - Interest-bearing net debt ratio 29.2% - NOK 6.3 billion debt matures in 2016 18

Strong credit ratings A- / Negative Baa1 / Stable Maintaining current ratings with S&P 1 and Moody s Strong support from owner CAPEX adapted to financial capacity 19 1 In a report published 26 February 2016 Standard & Poor's affirmed Statkraft's A- rating but changed the outlook from 'stable' to 'negative'

Summary High Nordic production offset low power prices Increased contribution from international assets Investment plan adapted to financial capacity Strategic advantage: Low cost position, high flexibility and large reservoir capacity 20

THANK YOU Contact information for Investor Relations: Thomas Geiran: Phone: +47 905 79 979 E-mail: Thomas.Geiran@statkraft.com Yngve Frøshaug: Phone: +47 900 23 021 E-mail: Yngve.Froshaug@statkraft.com 21 www.statkraft.com

APPENDIX

Statement of Comprehensive Income 23

Statement of Financial Position 24

Statement of Cash Flow 25