Research Forecast Report Analytics software solutions: worldwide forecast 2014 2018 September 2014 Justin van der Lande and Atul Arora
2 Contents Slide no. 5. Executive summary 6. Capsule summary: analytics software solutions worldwide forecast 2013 2018 7. The worldwide analytics software market is forecast to grow from USD2.1 billion in 2013 to USD3.8 billion in 2018, at a 12.9% CAGR 8. Revenue assurance systems revenue will continue to grow, but to a lesser extent than that of business analytics systems 9. Growth in analytics systems revenue will be highest in APAC, but NA will continue to generate the largest proportion of revenue 10. Mature markets will maintain their share of revenue during the forecast period, driven by increasingly sophisticated analytics systems 11. Recommendations 12. Recommendations for CSPs 13. Recommendations for vendors 14. Forecasts 15. Business analytics revenue will grow during the forecast period, driven by expanding analytics tools applications and geographical spread 16. CSPs in NA and Western Europe have invested heavily in analytics solutions and will continue to do so 17. EMEA and APAC will increase their share of business analytics software revenue at the expense of LATAM and NA 18. Revenue assurance system revenue will continue to grow, driven by the complexity of the systems and CSPs concern about margins Slide no. 19. Spending growth will be highest in emerging markets the highest in the APAC and LATAM 20. Growth in revenue assurance systems revenue will be lowest in mature markets and highest in the emerging markets of APAC and LATAM 21. Market drivers and inhibitors 22. The requirement for CSPs to process growing volumes of data in real time will drive them to continue to deploy analytics tools 23. Lack of clear application-level business drivers could hinder the predicted high level of growth in the analytics software solutions market 24. Analytics software solutions market drivers [1] 25. Analytics software solutions market drivers [2] 26. Analytics software solutions market drivers [3] 27. Analytics software solutions market inhibitors [1] 28. Analytics software solutions market inhibitors [2] 29. Business environment 30. The business environment in 2013 31. Regional outlook for 2014 32. Analytics innovation adoption 33. Market definition 34. Key analytics framework elements and their relationship with other data infrastructure components 35. Vendors must provide each of the elements to create analytics applications that are complete solutions
3 Contents Slide no. 36. Definitions of components in an analytics framework [1] 37. Definitions of components in an analytics framework [2] 38. Revenue assurance 39. Business analytics 40. Definition of geographical regions [1] 41. Definition of geographical regions [2] 42. Definition of geographical regions [3] 43. Key business drivers and market characteristics and how they map to different operational and software strategies 44. About the authors and Analysys Mason 45. About the authors 46. About Analysys Mason 47. Research from Analysys Mason 48. Consulting from Analysys Mason
4 List of figures Figure 1: Analytics product innovations and market influencers by subsegment Figure 2: Analytics software solutions revenue 2013 and CAGR 2013 2018, by region Figure 3: Analytics software solutions revenue 2013 and CAGR 2013 2018, by sub-segment Figure 4: Analytics software solutions revenue, worldwide, 2013 2018 Figure 5: Analytics software solutions revenue by sub-segment, worldwide, 2013 2018 Figure 6: Analytics software solutions revenue by region, worldwide, 2013 2018 Figure 7: Analytics software solutions revenue worldwide, by region, 2013 and 2018 Figure 8: Business analytics software solutions revenue, worldwide, 2013 2018 Figure 9: Business analytics software solutions revenue by region, worldwide, 2013 2018 Figure 10: Business analytics software solutions revenue worldwide, by region, 2013 and 2018 Figure 11: Revenue assurance software solutions revenue, worldwide, 2013 2018 Figure 12: Revenue assurance software solutions revenue by region, worldwide, 2013 2018 Figure 13: Revenue assurance software solutions revenue worldwide, by region, 2013 and 2018 Figure 14: Drivers and enablers of growth in the analytics software solutions market during the forecast period Figure 15a c: Analytics software solutions market drivers Figure 16a b: Analytics software solutions market inhibitors Figure 17: The features of analytics software solutions and their position on the innovation adoption curve, worldwide, 2013 Figure 18: Analytics solutions market taxonomy Figure 19: The components of an analytics application Figure 20a b: Definitions of analytics components Figure 21: Definition of the revenue assurance sub-segment Figure 22: Definition of the business analytics sub-segment Figure 23a c: Regional breakdown used in this report Figure 24: Mapping of key business drivers and market characteristics according to business environment, and operational and software strategies
Percentage of revenue Analytics software solutions: worldwide forecast 2014 2018 10 Mature markets will maintain their share of revenue during the forecast period, driven by increasingly sophisticated analytics systems Figure 7: Analytics software solutions revenue worldwide, by region, 2013 and 2018 [Source: Analysys Mason, 2014] 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 16.9% 17.3% 36.7% 37.0% 5.7% 4.7% 40.7% 41.0% APAC EMEA LATAM NA The overall market share of revenue will not change significantly during the period. Each telecoms market is affected by different factors the most significant is the level of market maturity. NA is the largest user of analytics tools driven by market maturity and the need for innovative marketing to maintain market share. New technology such as software-defined networks will also drive uses of analytics to provide dynamic optimisation of network functions. Revenue in LATAM will grow, but the region will lose out to other faster-growing regions, such as APAC, and will experience a decline in the overall market share. Revenue in the EMEA region will grow, as CSPs in the mature markets of Western Europe invest in moresophisticated analytics tools to maintain market share and optimise network assets. APAC s share of revenue will grow the fastest, driven by underlying telecoms market growth of subscribers and service revenue, a high level of innovation and roll-out of new services particularly LTE. 0% 2013 2018
12 Recommendations for CSPs Short term Have firm plans in place for a big data analytics strategy to ensure that a powerful data store and low-cost computing capability is available to all levels of the enterprise. Adopt the principles outlined by the TM Forum s Frameworx Information Framework (SID) to ensure a standardised approach to different data sources. Adopt a set of standard products or language such as R (also known as GNU S) to enable different teams to share common analytics data models. Revenue assurance teams should work with a common data set to other analytics use cases to ensure a streamlined set of tools and resources. Medium and longer term Create a central organisation that is responsible for developing analytics models. This will provide a shared understanding across the enterprise and governance that a federated set of teams would find difficult to achieve. Appoint a chief data officer who will take responsibility for all data sets and is the custodian of which data can be used legally. Use the analytics infrastructure in any customer experience management initiatives in order to compare internal KPIs with any external surveys, such as the Net Promoter Score. Incorporate new data sources, particularly social media, into data sets that analytics tools are able to analyse, and provide.
44 Executive summary Recommendations Forecasts Market drivers and inhibitors Business environment Market definition About the authors and Analysys Mason
45 About the authors Justin van der Lande (Principal Analyst) leads the Analytics Software Strategies, Customer Experience Management Software Strategies and CSP IT Strategies research programmes, which are part of Analysys Mason s Telecoms Software research stream. He specialises in business intelligence and analytics tools, the functionality of which cuts across all of the research programmes in this area. He also provides project management for large-scale projects within our Telecoms Software research. Justin has more than 20 years experience in the communications industry in software development, marketing and research. He has held senior positions at NCR/AT&T, Micromuse (IBM), Granite Systems (Telcordia) and at the TM Forum. Justin holds a BSc in Management Science and Computer Studies from the University of Wales. Atul Arora (Analyst) is part of the Telecoms Software research team and contributes to the Analytics Software Strategies, Customer Care and Digital Economy Software Strategies programmes. He joined Analysys Mason in 2013 after working as an intern analyst in the telecoms sector for a year. Atul has worked on a range of projects focused on telecoms verticals, cloud services and mobile services in emerging markets. He holds a bachelor's degree from Jaypee University (India) and a Master's degree from University College London.
46 About Analysys Mason Knowing what s going on is one thing. Understanding how to take advantage of events is quite another. Our ability to understand the complex workings of telecoms, media and technology (TMT) industries and draw practical conclusions, based on the specialist knowledge of our people, is what sets Analysys Mason apart. We deliver our key services via two channels: consulting and research. Consulting Our focus is exclusively on TMT. We support multi-billion dollar investments, advise clients on regulatory matters, provide spectrum valuation and auction support, and advise on operational performance, business planning and strategy. We have developed rigorous methodologies that deliver tangible results for clients around the world. For more information, please visit www.analysysmason.com/consulting. Research We analyse, track and forecast the different services accessed by consumers and enterprises, as well as the software, infrastructure and technology delivering those services. Research clients benefit from regular and timely intelligence in addition to direct access to our team of expert analysts. Our dedicated Custom Research team undertakes specialised and bespoke projects for clients. For more information, please visit www.analysysmason.com/research.
47 Research from Analysys Mason We provide dedicated coverage of developments in the telecoms, media and technology (TMT) sectors, through a range of research programmes that focus on different services and regions of the world. Alongside our standardised suite of research programmes, our Custom Research team undertakes specialised, bespoke research projects for clients. The dedicated team offers tailored investigations and answers complex questions on markets, competitors and services with customised industry intelligence and insights. To find out more, please visit www.analysysmason.com/research.
48 Consulting from Analysys Mason For more than 25 years, our consultants have been bringing the benefits of applied intelligence to enable clients around the world to make the most of their opportunities. Our clients in the telecoms, media and technology (TMT) sectors operate in dynamic markets where change is constant. We help shape their understanding of the future so they can thrive in these demanding conditions. To do that, we have developed rigorous methodologies that deliver real results for clients around the world. Our focus is exclusively on TMT. We advise clients on regulatory matters, help shape spectrum policy and develop spectrum strategy, support multi-billion dollar investments, advise on operational performance and develop new business strategies. Such projects result in a depth of knowledge and a range of expertise that sets us apart. We help clients solve their most pressing problems, enabling them to go farther, faster and achieve their commercial objectives. To find out more, please visit www.analysysmason.com/consulting.
Published by Analysys Mason Limited Bush House North West Wing Aldwych London WC2B 4PJ UK Tel: +44 (0)20 7395 9000 Fax: +44 (0)20 7395 9001 Email: research@analysysmason.com www.analysysmason.com/research Registered in England No. 5177472. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise without the prior written permission of the publisher. Figures and projections contained in this report are based on publicly available information only and are produced by the Research Division of Analysys Mason Limited independently of any clientspecific work within Analysys Mason Limited. The opinions expressed are those of the stated authors only. Analysys Mason Limited recognises that many terms appearing in this report are proprietary; all such trademarks are acknowledged and every effort has been made to indicate them by the normal UK publishing practice of capitalisation. However, the presence of a term, in whatever form, does not affect its legal status as a trademark. Analysys Mason Limited maintains that all reasonable care and skill have been used in the compilation of this publication. However, Analysys Mason Limited shall not be under any liability for loss or damage (including consequential loss) whatsoever or howsoever arising as a result of the use of this publication by the customer, his servants, agents or any third party.