A Quick Note on the Present Sandy! Katrina! Maysak?
What s on the Agenda - CNMI? - What I was asked to talk about - Why I decided to talk about climate analogs and an experimental product - Purpose & Approach - Process, Results, Products - What would make this better?
The Saipan Vulnerability Assessment: Coastal Flood Maps & a Down-Scaled SOVI
What did we learn from the Saipan Vulnerability Assessment? - Governor Inos likes maps - CNMI Legislative decisions and policy driven by stories - Coffee Table Reports are not working!
Approach for Assessing Data-Poor Rota & Tinian - How to work with limited data? - How to elicit meaningful input? Data? - How to derive results compatible with CNMI decision makers communication style. - Communicate findings and have island communities own the assessment
The Climate Analog Approach - Matches stories to historic/time series data We ve had great success with this in a lot of island communities - Compares these conditions to future scenarios and projections Hmmm you could do that, but that s a bit of a stretch
The Climate Analog Approach PGIS and village workshops to record and geo-reference stories of extremes Identify best historic climate/extremes data Identify 50 and 75 year projections of relevant climate phenomena Integrate stories/impacts, historic conditions, and potential future conditions. Remember, the Governor likes maps
The Workshops - Structured story-telling based on event type, chronology, level of impact, and responses/adaptations - Surveys (structured similarly to story-telling sessions) - Participatory mapping and referencing of recorded stories
The Initial Mapping Why not E-Beam? - Slow adoption of technology - Sense of community ownership of maps - Multi-user correction/editing - CNMI Departments of Finance and Procurement have not converted to computers yet (still using type writers) Drought relief during ENSO events adjacent to Enola Gay runway Decadal shoreline retreat during La Nina-dominant periods
Digitizing - Features clipped to established boundaries and features, where appropriate
The Attribution {EventID} {Name} {Event Class} {Magnitude} {Year} {Period} {Impact Type} {Level of Impact} {Historic Source} {Historic Links} {Future Change} {Projection} {Projection Source} {Future Magnitude} {Vulnerability} {Future Links} {Story Source} {Story}
Song-Song Village & the Marlin Flood
{EventID} {Period} {Level of Impact} {Magnitude} {Future Change} {Projection} {Vulnerability}
NOAA CO-OPS, Guam Gauge USACE SLR Calculator
Song-Song Storm Surge In the Story Map
Song-Song Storm Surge In the Story Map
Where could this tool go? - Increase from five representative stories/island to 10 - Custom App to utilize web services/requests. - The problem with this approach: Data services and back-end databases tend to be incomplete as far as CNMI data.
Information, Data, Products Story Maps & Web Mapping Application Spatial Datasets (PGIS results) Display or Download Online PDF Report (links to individual stories)
Thank You! (check out our links)