Principles of Epidemiology



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SELF-STUDY Course SS1000 Principles of Epidemiology in Public Health Practice Third Edition An to Applied Epidemiology and Biostatistics U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Office of Workforce and Career Development Atlanta, GA 30333

CONTENTS Acknowledgments...v... viii Lesson One: to Epidemiology Lesson... 1-1 Lesson Objectives... 1-1 Major Sections Definition of Epidemiology... 1-2 Historical Evolution of Epidemiology... 1-7 Uses... 1-12 Core Epidemiologic Functions... 1-15 The Epidemiologic Approach... 1-21 Descriptive Epidemiology... 1-31 Analytic Epidemiology... 1-46 Concepts of Disease Occurrence... 1-52 Natural History and Spectrum of Disease... 1-59 Chain of Infection... 1-62 Epidemic Disease Occurrence... 1-72 Summary... 1-80 Exercise Answers... 1-81 Self-Assessment Quiz... 1-85 Answers to Self-Assessment Quiz... 1-90 References... 1-93 Lesson Two: Summarizing Data Lesson... 2-1 Lesson Objectives... 2-1 Major Sections Organizing Data... 2-2 Types of Variables... 2-3 Frequency Distributions... 2-6 Properties of Frequency Distributions... 2-10 Methods for Summarizing Data... 2-14 Measures of Central Location... 2-15 Measures of Spread... 2-35 Choosing the Right Measure of Central Location and Spread... 2-52 Summary... 2-58 Exercise Answers... 2-59 Self-Assessment Quiz... 2-65 Answers to Self-Assessment Quiz... 2-70 References... 2-72 Page ii

Lesson Three: Measures of Risk Lesson... 3-1 Lesson Objectives... 3-1 Major Sections Frequency Measures... 3-2 Morbidity Frequency Measures... 3-10 Mortality Frequency Measures... 3-20 Natality (Birth) Measures... 3-38 Measures of Association... 3-38 Measures of Public Health Impact... 3-47 Summary... 3-50 Exercise Answers... 3-51 Self-Assessment Quiz... 3-55 Answers to Self-Assessment Quiz... 3-61 References... 3-64 Lesson Four: Displaying Public Health Data Lesson... 4-1 Lesson Objectives... 4-1 Major Sections to Tables and Graphs... 4-2 Tables...4-3 Graphs... 4-22 Other Data Displays... 4-42 Using Computer Technology... 4-63 Summary... 4-66 Exercise Answers... 4-72 Self-Assessment Quiz... 4-80 Answers to Self-Assessment Quiz... 4-85 References... 4-88 Lesson Five: Public Health Surveillance Lesson... 5-1 Lesson Objectives... 5-1 Major Sections... 5-2 Purpose and Characteristics of Public Health Surveillance... 5-3 Identifying Health Problems for Surveillance... 5-4 Identifying or Collecting Data for Surveillance... 5-11 Analyzing and Interpreting Data... 5-21 Disseminating Data and Interpretation... 5-32 Evaluating and Improving Surveillance... 5-36 Summary... 5-40 Appendix A. Characteristics of Well-Conducted Surveillance... 5-41 Page iii

Appendix B. CDC Fact Sheet on Chlamydia... 5-43 Appendix C. Examples of Surveillance... 5-46 Appendix D. Major Health Data Systems in the United States... 5-50 Appendix E. Limitations of Notifiable Disease Surveillance and Recommendations for Improvement... 5-51 Exercise Answers... 5-55 Self-Assessment Quiz... 5-61 Answers to Self-Assessment Quiz... 5-66 References... 5-71 Lesson Six: Investigating an Outbreak Lesson... 6-1 Lesson Objectives... 6-1 Major Sections: to Investigating an Outbreak... 6-2 Steps of an Outbreak Investigation... 6-8 Summary... 6-57 Exercise Answers... 6-59 Self-Assessment Quiz... 6-65 Answers to Self-Assessment Quiz... 6-72 References... 6-76 Glossary Page iv

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Developed by U.S. Department of Health and Human Services Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) Office of Workforce and Career Development (OWCD) Career Development Division (CDD) Atlanta, Georgia 30333 Technical Content Richard Dicker, MD, MSc., Lead Author, CDC/OWCD/CDD (retired) Fátima Coronado, MD, MPH, CDC/OWCD/CDD Denise Koo, MD, MPH, CDC/OWCD/CDD Roy Gibson Parrish, II, MD (contractor) Development Team Sonya Arundar, MS, CDC (contractor) Cassie Edwards, CDC (contractor) Nancy Hunt, MPH, CDC (contractor) Ron Teske, MS, CDC (contractor) Susan Baker Toal, MPH, Public Health Consultant (contractor) Susan D. Welch, M.Ed., Georgia Poison Center Planning Committee Chris Allen, RPh, MPH, CDC Walter Daley, DVM, MPH, CDC Pat Drehobl, RN, MPH, CDC Sharon Hall, RN, PhD, CDC Dennis Jarvis, MPH, CHES, CDC Denise Koo, MD, MPH, CDC Graphics/Illustrations Sonya Arundar, MS, CDC (contractor) Lee Oakley, CDC (retired) Jim Walters, CDC (contractor) Technical Reviewers Tomas Aragon, MD, DrPH, UC Berkeley Center for Infectious Disease Preparedness Diane Bennett, MD, MPH, CDC Danae Bixler, MD, MPH, West Virginia Bureau for Public Health R. Elliot Churchill, MS, MA, CDC (retired) Roxanne Ereth, Arizona Department of Health Services Stephen Everett, MPH, Yavapai County Community Health Services, Arizona Page v

Michael Fraser, PhD., National Association of County and City Health Officials Nancy Gathany, M. Ed., CDC Marjorie A.Getz, MPHIL, Bradley University, Illinois John Mosely Hayes, DrPH, MBA, MSPH, Tribal Epidemiology Center United South and Eastern Tribes, Inc., Tennessee Richard Hopkins, MD, MSPH, Florida Department of Health John M. Horan, MD, MPH, Georgia Division of Public Health Christy Bruton Kwon, MSPH, SAIC Edmond F. Maes, PhD, CDC Sharon McDonnell, MD, MPH, Darmouth Medical School William S. Paul, MD, MPH, Chicago Department of Public Health James Ransom, MPH, National Association of County and City Health Officials Lynn Steele, MS, CDC Donna Stroup, PhD., MSc., American Cancer Society Douglas A. Thoroughman, PhD, CDC Kirsten Weiser, MD, Darmouth Hitchcock Medical School Celia Woodfill, PhD, California Department of Health Services Field Test Participants Sean Altekruse, DVM, MPH, PhD, United States Department of Agriculture Gwen Barnett, MPH, CHES, CDC Jason Bell, MD, MPH Lisa Benaise, MD, CDC Amy Binggeli, DrPH, RD, CHES, CLE, Imperial County Public Health Department, California Kim M. Blindauer, DVM, MPH, ATSDR Randy Bong, RN, Federal Bureau of Prisons Johnna Burton, BS, CHES, Tennessee Department of Health Catherine C.Chow, MD, MPH, CDC Janet Cliatt, MT., CLS (NCA), National Institutes of Health Catherine Dentinger, FNP, MS, NYC Department of Health and Mental Hygiene Veronica Gordon, RN, BSN, MS, Indian Health Service, New Mexico Sue Gorman, Pharm. D., CDC Deborah Gould, PhD., CDC Juliana Grant, MD, CDC Lori Evans Hall, Pharm. D., CDC Nazmul Hassan, MS, Food and Drug Administration Daniel L. Holcomb, ATSDR Asim A. Jani, MD, MPH FACP, CDC Jean Jones, RN, CDC Charletta Lewis, BSN, Wellpinit Indian Health Service, Washington Sheila F. Mahoney, CNM., MPH, National Institutes of Health Cassandra Martin, MPH, CHES, Georgia Department of Human Resources Joan Marie McFarland, RN, PHN, Winslow Indian Health Care Center, Arizona Rosemarie McIntyre, RN, MS, CHES, CDC Page vi

Gayle L. Miller, DVM, PhD(c), Jefferson County Department of Health and Environment, Missouri Long S. Nguyen, MPH, CHES, CDC (contractor) Paras M. Patel, R.Ph., Food and Drug Administration Rossanne M. Philen, MD, MS, CDC Alyson Richmond, MPH, CHES, CDC (contractor) Glenna A. Schindler, MPH, RN, CHES, Missouri Sandra Schumacher, MD, MPH, CDC Julie R.Sinclair, DVM, MPH, CDC Nita Sood, R.Ph., Pharm.D., Health Resources and Services Administration P. Lynne Stockton, VMD, MS, CDC Jill B. Surrency, MPH, CHES, CDC (contractor) Joyce K. Witt, RN, CDC Page vii

INTRODUCTION This course was developed by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) as a self-study course. Continuing education credits are offered for certified public health educators, nurses, physicians, pharmacists, veterinarians, and public health professionals. CE credit is available only through the CDC/ATSDR Training and Continuing Education Online system at www.cdc.gov/phtnonline. To receive CE credit, you must register for the course (SS1000) and complete the evaluation and examination online. You must achieve a score of 70% or higher to pass the examination. If you do not pass the first time, you can take the exam a second time. For more information about continuing education, call 1-800-41TRAIN (1-800-418-7246) or by e-mail at ce@cdc.gov. Course Design This course covers basic epidemiology principles, concepts, and procedures useful in the surveillance and investigation of health-related states or events. It is designed for federal, state, and local government health professionals and private sector health professionals who are responsible for disease surveillance or investigation. A basic understanding of the practices of public health and biostatistics is recommended. Course Materials The course materials consist of six lessons. Each lesson presents instructional text interspersed with relevant exercises that apply and test knowledge and skills gained. Lesson One: to Epidemiology Key features and applications of descriptive and analytic epidemiology Lesson Two: Summarizing Data Calculation and interpretation of mean, median, mode, ranges, variance, standard deviation, and confidence interval Lesson Three: Measures of Risk Calculation and interpretation of ratios, proportions, incidence rates, mortality rates, prevalence, and years of potential life lost Lesson Four: Displaying Public Health Data Preparation and application of tables, graphs, and charts such as arithmetic-scale line, histograms, pie chart, and box plot Lesson Five: Public Health Surveillance Processes, uses, and evaluation of public health surveillance in the United States Page viii

Lesson Six: Investigating an Outbreak Steps of an outbreak investigation A Glossary that defines the major terms used in the course is also provided at the end of Lesson Six. Supplementary Materials In addition to the course materials, students may want to use the following: A calculator with square root and logarithmic functions for some of the exercises. A copy of Heymann, DL, ed. Control of Communicable Diseases Manual, 18th edition, 2004, for reference. Available from the American Public Health Association (202) 777-2742. Objectives Students who successfully complete this course should be able to correctly: Describe key features and applications of descriptive and analytic epidemiology. Calculate and interpret ratios, proportions, incidence rates, mortality rates, prevalence, and years of potential life lost. Calculate and interpret mean, median, mode, ranges, variance, standard deviation, and confidence interval. Prepare and apply tables, graphs, and charts such as arithmetic-scale line, scatter diagram, pie chart, and box plot. Describe the processes, uses, and evaluation of public health surveillance. Describe the steps of an outbreak investigation. General Instructions Self-study courses are self-paced. We recommend that a lesson be completed within two weeks. To get the most out of this course, establish a regular time and method of study. Research has shown that these factors greatly influence learning ability. Each lesson in the course consists of reading, exercises, and a self-assessment quiz. Reading Assignments Complete the assigned reading before attempting to answer the self-assessment questions. Read thoroughly and re-read for understanding as necessary. A casual reading may result in missing useful information which supports main themes. Assignments are designed to cover one or two major subject areas. However, as you progress, it is often necessary to combine previous learning to accomplish new skills. A review of previous lessons may be necessary. Frequent visits to the Glossary may also be useful. Exercises Exercises are included within each lesson to help you apply the lesson content. Some exercises may be more applicable to your workplace and background than others. You should review the answers to all exercises since the answers are very detailed. Answers to Page ix

the exercises can be found at the end of each lesson. Your answers to these exercises are valuable study guides for the final examination. Self-Assessment Quizzes After completing the reading assignment, answer the self-assessment quizzes before continuing to the next lesson. Answers to the quizzes can be found at the end of the lesson. After passing all six lesson quizzes, you should be prepared for the final examination. Self-assessment quizzes are open book Unless otherwise noted, choose ALL CORRECT answers. Do not guess at the answer You should score at least 70% correct before continuing to the next lesson. Tips for Answering Questions Carefully read the question. Note that it may ask, Which is CORRECT? as well as Which is NOT CORRECT? or Which is the EXCEPTION? Read all the choices given. One choice may be a correct statement, but another choice may be more nearly correct or complete for the question that is asked. Final Examination and Course Evaluation The final examination and course evaluation are available only on-line. The final requirement for the course is an open-book examination. We recommend that you thoroughly review the questions included with each lesson before completing the exam. It is our sincere hope that you will find this undertaking to be a profitable and satisfying experience. We solicit your constructive criticism at all times and ask that you let us know whenever you have problems or need assistance. Page x