OLG Slots & Casinos Patron Based Slot Strategy



Similar documents
INCREASED SLOT FLOOR REVENUE FROM THE ORTIZ STANDARD. White Paper RAISE YOUR EXPECTATIONS

University of Nevada, Reno. Slots 101. Presented by: Ken Moberly

Over the past few years, management in

Greg Fletcher. Sharpshooter Roulette. Video Guide. Russell Hunter Publishing, Inc.

13:69D 1.39 Progressive slot machine jackpots (a) This section shall apply to any slot machine jackpot that may increase in value as the machine is

(SEE IF YOU KNOW THE TRUTH ABOUT GAMBLING)

Russell Hunter Publishing Inc

Contents. Introduction...1. The Lingo...3. Know the Different Types of Machines Know the Machine You re Playing...35

Automatic Bet Tracker!

From slot machines to gaming terminals experiences with regulatory changes in Norway Vienna September 2010

GAMING MANAGEMENT SEMINAR SERIES. Prices of Casino Games. Jason Zhicheng Gao 高 志 成

GLOSSARY ADR. cage. a secured area within a casino where records of transactions are kept, money is counted and chips can be exchanged for cash CAGR

Fire Bet Rules of Play

Loss rebates. December 27, 2004

This, is Blade Stepper, a modern spin on the classic 3-reel mechanical slot machine.

Standard 12: The student will explain and evaluate the financial impact and consequences of gambling.

TABLE OF CONTENTS. ROULETTE FREE System # ROULETTE FREE System #

36 Odds, Expected Value, and Conditional Probability

SIXTEEN PLAYERS, TWO DICE, ONE SHOOTER

Market Research & Jurisdictional Review. A summary report to the Horse Racing Industry Transition Panel

Marina Bay Sands. George Tanasijevich President and CEO of Marina Bay Sands

Section 7C: The Law of Large Numbers

Live Dealer Electronic Table Games

COMPARISON OF FIXED & VARIABLE RATES (25 YEARS) CHARTERED BANK ADMINISTERED INTEREST RATES - PRIME BUSINESS*

COMPARISON OF FIXED & VARIABLE RATES (25 YEARS) CHARTERED BANK ADMINISTERED INTEREST RATES - PRIME BUSINESS*

A UNIQUE COMBINATION OF CHANCE & SKILL

Revenue Sharing Fairness of Woodbine Slots

VEGAS 2047 High Limit Advantage Play Video Pinball

Expected Value and the Game of Craps

NAPCS Product List for NAICS 7132: Gambling Industries

Martin J. Silverthorne. Triple Win. Roulette. A Powerful New Way to Win $4,000 a Day Playing Roulette! Silverthorne Publications, Inc.

Intelligent Agent for Playing Casino Card Games

Australian Reels Slot Machine By Michael Shackleford, A.S.A. January 13, 2009

KNOWLEDGE IS POWER The BEST first-timers guide to betting on and winning at the races you ll EVER encounter

MrMajik s Money Management Strategy Copyright MrMajik.com 2003 All rights reserved.

Elementary Statistics and Inference. Elementary Statistics and Inference. 17 Expected Value and Standard Error. 22S:025 or 7P:025.

Diamond Games Premium III Game Description Revision 1.0

Casino Gaming Regulation

9. Children, Technology and Gambling

the GentInG GUIde to slots

Mega Moolah 5 Reel Drive Progressive Jackpot Video Slot

January 2012, Number 64 ALL-WAYS TM NEWSLETTER

THE 101 CASINO BLACKJACK X with BUSTER BLACKJACK BONUS BET v1.2

Inside the pokies - player guide

In the situations that we will encounter, we may generally calculate the probability of an event

Solution. Solution. (a) Sum of probabilities = 1 (Verify) (b) (see graph) Chapter 4 (Sections ) Homework Solutions. Section 4.

ACCESS LOG - Log that is filled out when accessing a gaming device or ticket redemption kiosk.

Lecture 25: Money Management Steven Skiena. skiena

This Method will show you exactly how you can profit from this specific online casino and beat them at their own game.

Mobile App Monetization. With The Facebook Audience Network

Wordw'de Hospita ity and Tourism Themes

Diamond Games Premium VI Game Description Revision 1.0 WS

Alpha Game Platform Setup and Operation

Golf League Formats and How to Run Them

Measuring Awareness and Outcomes

Betting systems: how not to lose your money gambling

Market Assessment & Campaign SLA Calculator LOGO WE OPEN THE DOOR, SO YOU CAN CLOSE IT.

PAR Sheets, probabilities, and slot machine play: Implications for problem and non-problem gambling

Advanced handicapping made easy.

Turtle Strategies. Winning Systems for Slot Machines and Blackjack. Martin J. Silverthorne. (Plus $50.00 of Free Coupons Included)

Mega Moolah - Isis Video Slot

Hedging Foreign Exchange Rate Risk with CME FX Futures Canadian Dollar vs. U.S. Dollar

Casino Gaming Rule 2010

Commission-Free. Baccarat Dragon Bonus

Enriching Tradition Through Technology

A THEORETICAL ANALYSIS OF THE MECHANISMS OF COMPETITION IN THE GAMBLING MARKET

Learn How to Use The Roulette Layout To Calculate Winning Payoffs For All Straight-up Winning Bets

Texas Advanced Deposit Wagering

How To Play Classic Slots

Would You Like To Earn $1000 s With The Click Of A Button?

photos: Shutterstock.com Page 76 lneonline.com Les Nouvelles Esthétiques & Spa November 2014

UNDERGROUND TONK LEAGUE

You can place bets on the Roulette table until the dealer announces, No more bets.

Bonus Blackjack & Slots Systems

Know it all. Table Gaming Guide

Restaurant Equipment Industry

No duplication of transmission of the material included within except with express written permission from the author.

During the course of our research on NBA basketball, we found out a couple of interesting principles.

Electronic Games: A STORY OF TWO MARKETS Today s Mainstream Casino Gamer. Tomorrow s EGM and Interactive Audience

CONTENT 18/19 02/03 20/21 04/05 22/23 06/07 08/09 24/25 26/27 10/11 28/29 12/13 30/31 14/15 16/17 CONTENT LOTTERIES SCRATCH CARDS BINGO GAME SHOWS

The experience and professionalism of our team makes it pleasure for you to work with us.

The impact of social media gambling sites on youth: Should we be concerned?

Chapter 5 End of Chapter Review Question KEY

FACEBOOK STRATEGIC SHIFT

Black Jack. and how to win

The Ben Franklin Count

How to Play Blackjack Alex Powell, Jayden Dodson, Triston Williams, Michael DuVall University of North Texas TECM /27/2014

Introduction to the Danish Gambling market. Experiences from Denmark

Solutions. Loyalty & Reward Solutions Transform Your Business and Grow Your Revenue

Introduction to the Rebate on Loss Analyzer Contact:

Mr. Janne Peräkylä. Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer, RAY. Chairman of the Finnish Foundation for Gaming Research

The Very Best Way We Know to Play the Pick 3

Double Deck Blackjack

Expected Value. 24 February Expected Value 24 February /19

2urbo Blackjack Hold their face value

Introduction to Discrete Probability. Terminology. Probability definition. 22c:19, section 6.x Hantao Zhang

Transcription:

OLG Slots & Casinos Patron Based Slot Strategy 2012 Canadian Gaming Summit

OLG OLG s Patron Based Slot Strategy How did we achieve it? What were the next steps? Where do we go from here? 2

OLG Slot Strategy In 2009, OLG re-evaluated our existing slot strategy to ensure it was patron focused and sustainable With many locals market properties, sustainability and a long term strategy were key Technology, Competition, and a shift to low denom games made a new strategy necessary Marketing patron data and focus groups were all telling the same story.players wanted more time on device. 3

Slot Product Strategy Price Configuration Options Theme Location Line Count Bets / Line # Reels Top Award Volatility Hold % The 3 key areas of focus were hold, pricing, and volatility. Properly addressing all 3 will give the patrons what they were asking for 4

Slot Strategy: What is our focus? Hold Strategy Get within the hold range based on average bet Pricing Strategy Have max bets at 2X 3X average bet while monitoring WPU and Utilization Game Mix Have the proper game mix (denoms, Reel/Video, multi denom, volatility, fixed bet, ect) at each site. Dashboard will show where we are and where we are going Providing sites with data that is relevant

What Changed? In 2005, we didn t have many of our popular penny or 2-cent games When players migrated to lower denom games, they were playing games with a higher hold percentage.thus increasing hold. With increased competition and more sites, most of the sites that were considered under-serviced, were no longer under-serviced All Marketing data was showing that players wanted to get value for their dollar. Time on device was the key focus Local market players with a fixed bankroll want to stretch play on their budget

Hold % Hold Background The goal was to identify the optimal hold % on every slot machine at every site based on its earning potential and market placement. Original strategic intent was to reward higher average wagers with lower holds across different identified market segments based on proximity to major urban areas or Ontario borders. higher wager = lower hold, lower wager = higher hold More and more lower denomination games with high max bets naturally raised the hold on floor, thus creating an environment with tighter games and in some cases less time on device for our patrons. 7

Slot Hold Strategy Concerns What Did we Ask Ourselves? Are our present hold percentages encouraging new players to come back? Will the growing increase of popular of lower denomination games continue to raise the overall hold profile at our sites under the existing strategy? Is having our travelling players experience different strategies at sites a problem? Do we need different strategies for different locations? Short-term focused management incentive schema, but long-term product strategy. How much is it reasonable to lower our hold percentages knowing extra coin-in will be required to offset any net win loss? 8

Price Price Pricing is a big driver for time on device. By limiting the amount a patron can wager, you can lengthen their stay. Pricing is evaluated on a game by game basis A Max Bet of 2X-3X average bet at the machine level provides the site flexibility to accommodate high rollers who prefer certain machines and generally bet in excess of the denomination average. 9

Price Max Bet Management This will show sweet spots and let us know where we are missing the mark 10

Roll Back Side Mount Creative For games in which we lowered max bet, we used this signage to show players that the price of the game had changed.

Volatility Volatility Proven to be the largest driver of time on device under fixed bankroll simulations on basic pay tables. Each vendor calculates differently and it is sometimes difficult to attain concrete conclusive evidence as game complexity increases. Need to be aware of setup options when purchasing machines and work the vendors to have Low/Med/High classifications to help balance the floor. 12

Configurations Hold & Pricing Slot Operations Review / discuss any current order with site Review game configurations, line bet Hold % within specified range - review Product offerings, low, med, high volatility assessments Review product offering denomination Quarterly review with the site Discuss trends with sites / what's working / not Discussions on Denomination mix, Vendor/Platform mix, Top award Discussions on Reel vs. Video mix, # of games on the floor 13

Providing sites with data that is relevant Monthly hold and pricing information Top themes and configurations Optimal game floor mix New game performance metrics + 0r 5% reports Access to field slot operations team Non complaint/ vendor obsolesce tracker Slot machine performance by vendor and denomination Lease performance metrics

Example of Strategy While the OLG slot strategy is consistent, the game by game drill down allows the strategy to cater to the different players in the different markets Example: Slot Machine XYZ is being installed at Site A (high occupancy, high win site, high average bet) and at site B (low occupancy, low win site, low avg bet). This game is being installed at both sites as a 50 line penny game. Here is how the strategy can differ from site to site: Site A similar games have a $1.60 average bet. XYZ will be a 50 line penny game with a 90% payback and 500 coin max Site B - similar games have a $0.80 average bet. XYZ will be a 50 line penny game with a 92% payback and 250 coin max 15

Why is it Important Most of the OLG sites are locals markets Short sighted strategies aimed to "get the money fast may prove successful in the short term but won t be sustainable. A patron focused strategy will get the patrons to visit the casinos more and not less. This will improve the player experience, drive revenue, and beat the competition Many patrons visit the casino on fixed bankrolls and don t want to lose that money in the first few minutes. A patron focused strategy with a fair hold %, reasonable max bets, and the correct pay table would slow down the rate at which players are losing and thus give them more time on device. Let the players tell us what they want not us telling them

Result from the first year Theo Hold and Actual Hold - trended down, but only slightly Duration per Session (Carded) - increased Total Carded Duration - increased significantly, the result of increases to both Duration per Session and total number of Sessions Win per Visit (Carded) - decreased Carded Visits - increased Utilization (occupancy) - continues to increase year over year Average Bet (Carded) - decreased slightly Slot Win - remained the same

Conclusion from Results Despite decreases in Hold, we experienced increases in both Duration per Carded Session and Total Utilization while maintaining Net Win approximately to plan. As the Slot Hold Strategy has been fully implemented, it appears as though we are achieving a positive impact on the overall player experience. 18

Results from an OLG Slot Hold % Slot Utilization & Carded Avg Bet While the hold and the average bet slightly decreased, the utilization and net win increased. 19

OLG Site Rolling 12

Total Carded Duration The Total Carded duration continues to increase This would show that the players are getting increased time on device

Patrons Visiting Other OLG Locations Need for Consistency

Game Mix The OLG Ace Team has provided Slots with a gaming dashboard for each site This dashboard consists of data from the current floor as well as recommendations on an optimal future floor that maximizes patron demands The hold, pricing, and game mix strategy all allow for the sites to cater to our top Players..and the need for the Gambler games. The game mix focuses on play time and revenue and is a moving target Example penny games with 20% Coin In and 40% Handle Pulls would have an optimal mix of 30% of the floor using a 50/50 slit Optimal Game mix calculations can be adjusted and can be modified to be site specific

Slot Strategy 1.0 Advantages All sites consistent Strategy addresses low denom games Vendors understand our strategy Pricing strategy keeps max bets reasonable Coin In and Utilization increase as a result of lower slot holds High end hold max keeps sites from putting holds at 13-15% Disadvantages Some games can t get within strategy Some vendors don t offer the hold ranges we prefer Strategy was to just get within a range and not necessarily be strategic Sites with high utilization and low utilization are using the same strategy May be missing revenue opportunities by having slot holds too low on some games

Analysis of Strategy Key Findings Games with a low hold generally have a higher utilization (occupancy) while games with a higher hold have a lower utilization. Games with a higher hold generally have a high WPU but have a low Utilization and Coin in. The games within OLG hold strategy seem to be hitting the sweet spot and meeting player demands while also having a favorable WPU Low denom games with low average bets have higher WPU with higher holds while the Utilization is virtually the same, regardless of hold (*Revenue Opportunity*) As avg bet rises, the utilization/occupancy difference in hold is noticeable While the high hold games are the most profitable at the high utilzation sites, the low hold games are actually the most profitable at the low utilization sites

Going Forward - Slot Strategy 2.0 Once the sites were within strategy for awhile, we then shifted our focus to strategically aim at increasing revenues without affecting the patron experience in a negative manner All decisions made were data driven and not just ad hoc decisions By analyzing data we can determine where we are succeeding and where we are missing revenue opportunities. It is important to recognize differences in patron demographics and preferences at all 19 OLG sites All OLG sites were mandated to be more strategic in setting (and changing) the hold percentages of slot machines

Going Forward - Slot Strategy 2.0 The highly utilized low denom games provided revenue opportunities - Hold on these games were geared to the high end of the strategy range Higher utilization sites needed to be more aggressive in having holds towards the high end of the strategy while lower utilization sites did the opposite An ideal floor allows for patrons to get additional time on device on the plow horse games while OLG can maximize revenue on the stars Strategically increasing the hold on the highly utilized games will increase revenue and have a minimal impact on overall site time on device and utilization Strategic hold adjustments will also show an increase in the overall site hold without having to make changes to the entire floor Analyzing all PAR sheets gives us more information on what games work at various sites Why do patrons like certain pay tables and not others?

Hit Distribution The hit distribution below shows how games with a similar payback % can have the hits distributed differently Knowing what your players prefer is key Give the patrons what they want -not what you think they want 28

Trending Trending is important to stay ahead of the game Data will show when games are starting to tail off even when their overall performance is still positive This data will show honeymoon periods for certain games Decisions on new game purchases and conversion kits will be made easier by using trending data Trending is important for leased games to ensure they are meeting the revenue targets for premium products 29

Leased Game Trending Example Leased Game Trending Leased Game Trending: This Game has have had the performance decline since it has been installed. This game performance has consistently declined since install Sex and the City 6 Month Performance Trend (Feb -July 2011) $1,600.00 $1,550.00 $1,500.00 $1,450.00 $1,400.00 $1,350.00 $1,300.00 $1,250.00 $1,200.00 $1,150.00 $1,100.00 $1,050.00 $1,000.00 $950.00 $900.00 $850.00 $800.00 $750.00 $700.00 $650.00 $600.00 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 37% 36% 35% 34% 33% 32% 31% 30% WPD Standard WPD Theo WPD Utilization 30

Leased Game Trending Leased Game Trending Leased Game Trending only 3 months data and already seems to be declining rapidly. We should start discussing a plan This game performance has consistently declined since install to replace these 2 games. Game XYZ Monopoly Performance Trend (May-July 2011) $1,000.00 $900.00 $800.00 $700.00 $600.00 $500.00 36% 35% 34% 33% 32% 31% 30% 29% 28% 27% 26% WPD Standard WPD Theo WPD Utilization $400.00 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 25% 31

How do we measure success? What impact is this having on our patrons? Are they getting a bang for their buck? Is their time on device increasing? Is utilization (occupancy) increasing? Are focus groups and customer surveys showing more positive results? What impact is this having on OLG? How did the changes we made affect the utilization and WPU at the site? Are we driving revenue? Are we meeting revenue targets? Does this fit into our long term strategy?

Why do we have a patron based slot strategy? OLG recognizes that while our patrons may have limits on how much they can spend.they don t have limits on where they can spend it 33

Questions? Earl Cobb ecobb@olg.ca (613) 558-9412 Marc Colameco mcolameco@olg.ca (519) 331-0752 34